NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev

[morvillz7z]

(Word around the office is we are a bit down on expected players for this promo atm, so a higher chance one of you guys will take the prize!)

^ This slightly changes things for me, greyed out the pick so yall don't copy from me. 

<...>but I thought, well, it's a 1mbtc bet and if I somehow get it right 7 times<...>

Given the low expected number of participants and the coinflippy nature of the markets, this could very well end within the 5th-6th event...if not earlier.

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[buwaytress]

Hey, hey, hey! I got past day 1. Absolute coinflip as morvillz7z said, and glad I got this one, but I'm pretty sure most people went for a "No" huh? nice that we also got the .01 mbtc profit from the win hahaha.

List hasn't updated from my side so can't see who or how many are still alive. This can't be really just 3 people left though? Or did everyone else go for Yes? Heh

[ralle14]

The second market is already up and congrats on surviving the first match,  I really thought the Bucs would easily cover that 7+ but good to see the Cowboys put up a good fight and make it close.

Based on what i've seen a lot of people smashed the Bucs handicap since it pushed all the way up to -9.5 before kickoff iirc.

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/sportsbet-specials/daily-specials/nfl/new-orleans-saints-green-bay-packers-613a3216f337ae25a30caa21

[rdbase]

It was quite a first game in the NFL with Brady putting on a show driving down the field and putting it in the end zone all within under a minute in the third quarter. Then the final drive to win them the game by 2 points.
But yeah ralle14, everybody lost because they thought the Buccs would cover the spread.
The next match will be tougher to predict since the saints have a new quarterback at the helm.
So this one is a hard one and only for the second round.

[ralle14]

Excited for the upcoming matches, i've used my free bets on the Seahawks -2.5 and Chiefs. I also went for the Seahawks as my first week team in the survivor pool really confident in them to win against the Colts.

I'm planning to add more bets later on like the Packers and maybe Rams. How about you guys any bets on the first week ?

https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/8ffcc63b-9115-4a7f-a317-43be14116dc1

[buwaytress]

Just realised that Packers are playing soon and they are also in the selection for the 2nd leg of Last Man Standing. I don't know much about anything but Packers are really highly rated outside of the obvious favourites. Would have waited for odds on them to improve but in case they win tomorrow, I've booked in my last outright.

@ralle14 I made early outrights on 5 teams, using the daily boost of course;) So my final list of outrights for Super Bowl winner, even bets on each:
Steelers @37.3
Dolphins @34
Patriots @34
Seahawks @25.2
Packers @14.2

Re Last Man Standing, last season, by the way, was NFL's historic high of TDs scored. The trend, apparently has been going up every season. It was 4.6 TDs per game on average, crazy. That's one every quarter right?

I'm such a Google expert...

[buwaytress]

OK so I passed the 2nd leg but I think I failed still as I've just realised now that the 3rd leg was about 2 hours away from the 2nd one, and past midnight. Match is even over now.

So there was a window to bet in between the first match settling and the third one starting, but I wasn't able to stay up so late, so good luck to whomever managed to stay on and bet! I know I'm out haha.

[ralle14]

@ralle14 I made early outrights on 5 teams, using the daily boost of course;) So my final list of outrights for Super Bowl winner, even bets on each:

Best of luck on the outright bets, I was planning on taking a couple of future bets like over/under wins on certain teams but I skipped on the bets due to the survivor pools.

For the MNF game i've got my bet on the Ravens-4.5@1.90 and a bit more on the moneyline, I think they'll win by at least a touchdown but the Raiders is a team that can't be underestimated.

Edit : All I have to say is that both of their defense suck and Ravens' defense crumbled so hard at the end of the fourth.

[buwaytress]

Best of luck on the outright bets, I was planning on taking a couple of future bets like over/under wins on certain teams but I skipped on the bets due to the survivor pools.

For the MNF game i've got my bet on the Ravens-4.5@1.90 and a bit more on the moneyline, I think they'll win by at least a touchdown but the Raiders is a team that can't be underestimated.

And good luck to your survivor pools! I played them 3/4 years ago when presented on a grid, helped guys like me to visually see (since I knew and still know nothing about the sport).

I've got tonight's bet on 4th leg of Last Man Standing on YES this time. Time to snag it all with a positive outlook, no?

[rdbase]

@ralle14 I made early outrights on 5 teams, using the daily boost of course;) So my final list of outrights for Super Bowl winner, even bets on each:

Best of luck on the outright bets, I was planning on taking a couple of future bets like over/under wins on certain teams but I skipped on the bets due to the survivor pools.

For the MNF game i've got my bet on the Ravens-4.5@1.90 and a bit more on the moneyline, I think they'll win by at least a touchdown but the Raiders is a team that can't be underestimated.

Edit : All I have to say is that both of their defense suck and Ravens' defense crumbled so hard at the end of the fourth.

The Ravens were looking to run away with the game in the first half with a score of 17-10 and the Raiders struggling in their red zone.
Couldn't believe the massive attack by vegas in the 4th quarter to take this one 33-27.
I had over 50.5 points and Vegas @4.80x as they were the underdogs this match against a strong looking Lamar Jackson's Raven team.

Glad to have the NFL and full stadium of fans again. It brings that bit of extra to get the home team going in these type of games.

Don't forget there is a Thursday night football giveaway from Sportsbet.io here for you to have a chance on winning some nice prizes:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5359822

[rdbase]

Been on a 0-3 streak for the NFL first with the Las Vegas Raiders last week, Sunday night with Kansas City Chiefs then on yesterday's match with the Green Bay Packers all for the bet builders.
Only off by 1 selection on all with 4+ picks on each betslip.
Very annoying to get them all right but off by 3 yards passing, 1 TD and blown covering of the spread due to rain with a fumbled hiked ball.

Still have 16 more weeks to go the get it right I guess.

There is a Thursday night football giveaway of freebet prizes for those who wish to participate:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5360973

[rdbase]

Pretty cool article to see from the recent crippling of the whole entire economic markets lately:

source: https://bucswire.usatoday.com/2021/09/21/tom-brady-bitcoin-cryptocurrencies-etheruem-solana-tampa-bay-buccaneers
           https://bleacherreport.com/articles/10012931-tom-brady-says-he-would-love-to-be-paid-part-of-buccaneers-salary-in-cryptocurrency

Here is him explaining it directly on a podcast earlier in the week:
https://twitter.com/TomBrady/status/1440411107542192136

[ralle14]

Been on a 0-3 streak for the NFL first with the Las Vegas Raiders last week, Sunday night with Kansas City Chiefs then on yesterday's match with the Green Bay Packers all for the bet builders.
Only off by 1 selection on all with 4+ picks on each betslip.
Very annoying to get them all right but off by 3 yards passing, 1 TD and blown covering of the spread due to rain with a fumbled hiked ball.

I also got burned on that Chiefs game, I thought they had it in the bag after reaching the FG range with only a minute left then things turned for the worse as they turned the ball over.  

For TNF I took Panthers -6.5 @1.71(boosted) bought some points since I don't like taking handicaps above 6 whenever my preferred team is on the road. I know Texans won't be playing with their starting QB but it's better not to underestimate their firepower.

[rdbase]

Been on a 0-3 streak for the NFL first with the Las Vegas Raiders last week, Sunday night with Kansas City Chiefs then on yesterday's match with the Green Bay Packers all for the bet builders.
Only off by 1 selection on all with 4+ picks on each betslip.
Very annoying to get them all right but off by 3 yards passing, 1 TD and blown covering of the spread due to rain with a fumbled hiked ball.

I also got burned on that Chiefs game, I thought they had it in the bag after reaching the FG range with only a minute left then things turned for the worse as they turned the ball over.  

For TNF I took Panthers -6.5 @1.71(boosted) bought some points since I don't like taking handicaps above 6 whenever my preferred team is on the road. I know Texans won't be playing with their starting QB but it's better not to underestimate their firepower.

This was the one where I only needed 3 passing yards left from his 343 so to win the betbuilder.
In the NFL just when you think nothing can go wrong, will go wrong near the end of the game.
Best to wait until the final whistle sounds so to say you had anything "in the bag!".

Carolina was looking alright at the beginning but now the Texans are building up momentum in the second half.
We will see how this one ends up with the rookie quarterback at the helm for the Texans.

[ralle14]

Carolina was looking alright at the beginning but now the Texans are building up momentum in the second half.
We will see how this one ends up with the rookie quarterback at the helm for the Texans.

Yeah, things looked quite iffy midway through the game, it felt like Panthers won't cover but luckily the Texans eventually ran out of steam.

Later today, i'm rolling with the 49ers to win@1.59 I think this will be a good way to test the waters for the Packers but i'm still having doubts on their recent performance. I feel like the Packers will continue to struggle on the road and the Niners will come out on top as they looked good on their first two road game and now that they have the home advantage it'll only get worse for the Packers.

[rdbase]

Ralle14, Packers really came out to play that night. I had them and the under at 51 points and they score over 60.
So not only my betbuilder lost for the weekend but my high odds of 3.30x for the packers with the under.
So don't feel too bad.

There were some record breaking plays this past weekend with Tucker on the Ravens hitting the longest field goal in history being at 66 yards which hit the crossbar but still bounced across.
https://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2021/9/27/22695783/nfl-longest-field-goals-justin-tucker-66-yards
Also Agnew on the Jaguars ran for one of the longest kick-off return for a touchdown at 109 yards.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uxBm4HaPJXU
So not all sad in the NFL this past weekend.

[rdbase]

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals are playing in this Thursday night football.
Looks like Trevor Lawrence and his crew are the underdogs in this match. But it does seem he has shaken off the nervousness from the preseason.
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/cincinnati-bengals-vs-jacksonville-jaguars-614a272db8baaa76f08a91c2  

You can also choose the correct selections in this challenge so to win some prizes:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5362970.0

[ralle14]

I went with the Bengals -6.5 @1.82 (boosted) even though they're missing a few players I still don't trust the Jaguars to keep this close but I think this one will go over given their performance against Cardinals last week.

I also have them as my survivor pick, imo Bengals' defense will be the main deciding factor in this game.

Edit : Rip, Bengals can't even get any points in the first half.

[rdbase]

It was a good game with Jacksonville winning the first half and as with any new quarterback at the helm, Lawrence had to work out those kinks.
An impressive outing but Bengals were too strong and won it with a single field goal in the end.
It did go over by the end of the game.

Big weekend with a full slate of matches and the biggest one would be Brady returning to New England to face off against his old team the Patriots for the first time since the trade to Tampa bay.

[buwaytress]

Belated Yeehaw for Bengals. Won the predictions promo (2nd prize) and to make things sweeter, put those freebets on absolute winners, ended up almost tripling the freebet value (1.5mbtc) into BTC.

I've been going for close scores in most of NFL related predictions (including Last Man Standing which I lost when it was down to 2 haha) and that seems to be going really well. As in, betting against covering the spread. Those spreads always seem too high for me but I guess I'm looking at it from football (soccer) eyes, huh?