NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev

[morvillz7z]

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In today's MNF, i'll be testing my luck on this betbuilder, and I took some of the lowest numbers I could find to boost the odds above even because i'm struggling to find a decent single bet to take for the match.

MNF Unders are 13/14 thus far if you are into that...


Last MNF was rather painful to watch if you had anything on the Vikings. Dobbs was brilliant the first few games with the Vikings, but that was a lackluster performance with all those picks he threw. Losing one of my props by 1 yard (Addison rec yards) was not fun either.

Public all over the Jags tonight, as it should be. Bengals with Browning at QB have no chance. Main reason why i have Mixon's rushing yards under, only 8 rushes for 16 yards last week, teams gonna stack up the box knowing Browning ain't a threat, plus the Bengals are 10-point underdogs likely to play from behind. Love Engram and the Jag's slot receivers (namely Kirk), last week Bengals gave 9 recs for 120 yards to Pat Freiermuth, Bengals are also bottom 3 against the position on the season.

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[1714838288]

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[ralle14]

MNF Unders are 13/14 thus far if you are into that...

That's what I had in mind too, but the unders aren't treating me well recently.

Somehow i'm not too annoyed about the loss since the Bengals deserve it with the way they relentlessly scored back whenever the Jaguars tried to march their way down for a TD. That turnover in the second half made me think it was over for the Bengals, but their defense found a way to stop the Jaguars, and it only got worse when Lawrence got injured midway through the drive.

[rdbase]

Tonight for the TNF we have two teams I have not watched nor followed throughout the season so far:
Pittsburgh Steelers going against the New England Patriots

The home team are the favorites because what I had heard about Belichick's side they just stink to high heaven with a record of 2-10.

Here are the markets for Thursday Night Football for those who are not familiar with the terms of the American Football League:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/pittsburgh-steelers-v-new-england-patriots-656645ca34ce9a00010a90c2

[ralle14]

With how the Pats and Steelers always end with low scores, the under 30.5 points felt like the obvious play for today.

This is probably the lowest total i've bet on this season, and hopefully, the trend doesn't fail us under backers.

The home team are the favorites because what I had heard about Belichick's side they just stink to high heaven with a record of 2-10.

Even though the Pats stink, i'm amazed they held the Chargers by only two field goals.  

[morvillz7z]

<...>
This is probably the lowest total i've bet on this season, and hopefully, the trend doesn't fail us under backers.
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I've read somewhere it's the lowest total in 30 years...



That being said, i've also hammered the under, probably the only market that makes sense tonight.

Didn't even bother looking for player props. JuJu Smith-Schuster's revenge game would have been nice, but then again you've B. Zappe at QB. Lol

I've several Steeler players in a few of my fantasy leagues, so i'll still end up watching the game. It's annoying Steelers got rid of Matt Canada (one of the worst offensive coordinators in the league), and now Pickett is injured...

Anyways, there could still be drama in a 7-3 final score.  

edit; Safe to say our Unders are cooked!

Everytime i shit on a mediocre qb it backfires immediately, i'm forced to watch their legacy game. Zappe turns into freaking Joe Montana after getting shut out with like 5 first downs the week before. Lol

[rdbase]

So Patriots managed to keep the Steelers at bay and actually win the game. Think I saw both quarterbacks getting switched out this game from what I remember when I turned it on while watching another sports team of mine playing at the sametime.

For this NFL Sunday we have some really good matchups.
Here are those markets for all of the American Football matches:


https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

The ones that I am placing bets on are the Texans, Jags and Ravens. Good odds for Jacksonville in my books!
Just hope Trevor Lawrence is alright today and cleared to play as I seen him practicing on Thursday right before the airing of TNF: Steelers/Pats match.

[ralle14]

After that bitter loss from the Patriots vs. Steelers match, i'll take a stab at another under ticket and it'll be for the Jets vs. Texans match. I expect the weather to be a huge factor in holding the total below 30 and it's probably why the line is this low, even though the Texans are capable of scoring.



The Texans' @1.61 would've been a solid bet, but it looks so easy that it's giving off some trap vibes because the pressure will probably start to mount on their side when every win matters more in their hunt for the playoffs.

Edit: The under got ruined by that last-minute field goal from the Jets.

[morvillz7z]

Edit: The under got ruined by that last-minute field goal from the Jets.

Tough break right there...Jets putting up 30 points in a single game is crazy though, they had six straight under 14 before today's game.

I barely hit my two-game parlay in the early window, glad i shaved off a few points of the Bears/Lions Over.

Eagles/Cowboys should be a good one, my main ticket is on the Tush Push  , have one more on CeeDee Lamb and AJ Brown alt receiving yards. Cowboys struggled last week with Metcalf, while Brown went over 100 rec against a very good 49ers defense. Hoping for a high-scoring game i guess.

[rdbase]

Dak is Bak!
The Cowboys just destroyed the Eagles and their tush push, which can only go so far if they can't produce anything from getting the first down out of it.
Dallas were 1.59x prematch and priced by the bookies accordingly for this match.
Had -3.5 points which was 1.96x was the easiest win of an NFL you could possibly ask for all year.
Couldn't believe the score 33-13 with the Eagles offense being laughed off the field.
Just Incredible!

For Monday Night Football, we have two matchups for tonight:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

[wheelz1200]

Edit: The under got ruined by that last-minute field goal from the Jets.

Tough break right there...Jets putting up 30 points in a single game is crazy though, they had six straight under 14 before today's game.

I barely hit my two-game parlay in the early window, glad i shaved off a few points of the Bears/Lions Over.

Eagles/Cowboys should be a good one, my main ticket is on the Tush Push  , have one more on CeeDee Lamb and AJ Brown alt receiving yards. Cowboys struggled last week with Metcalf, while Brown went over 100 rec against a very good 49ers defense. Hoping for a high-scoring game i guess.

I had aj and ceedee on yards too.  I though easily ceedee would have shredded them.  Came up 16 yards short.  He had his chances just couldn't get that big breakthrough.  Another sneaky one I took amd will be taking the rest of the year is Michael Pittman, so long as minster is the qb.  Minster looks for him every play.  The volume is always there so the yards tend to come.

[ralle14]

With two matches playing at the same time later today, i've tried making an alternative teaser/multi with GB -2.5 and MIA -6.5 @1.88. I assume the Dolphins will win, but covering the original spread might be questionable, so I pushed it down to a touchdown since it's available. The Packers' leg is another obvious pick, and I can't count out the Giants in keeping this a tight match, so I had to take the alternative spread as well.

[rdbase]

Ouch!
Both favorites lost last night by 1-2 score games.
Nobody saw that coming having both massive underdogs winning their match on the same Monday night football where there were two games being played at the sametime.

Tuned in late into both games and the favorites were leading then nodded off.
There were a few minutes left so thought these strong teams had it all notched up so left the games!
Must of been some patented NFL drama and some last second field goal action for them to be that close.

With that loss by Green bay this means the 49ers are the first team to clinch a play-off spot despite the Cowboys having the exact same 10-3 record.

[rdbase]

For the Thursday Night Football match up tonight we have two teams that are very much equal in the offensive and defensive department, hence the way the bookies view it aswell.
This would reflect in both their 5-8 records for the season's Raiders and Chargers sides.

Here are the markets for TNF for this evening:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

[ralle14]

We have another TNF match with a low total because both teams are expected to play their backup QBs.

Others say it's a trap because a win for these two doesn't affect anything when their playoff chances are close to impossible, but i'll still take that under, even though it can quickly backfire like that Patriots and Steelers match.  



Edit: It's only the first half and the Raiders alone scored 40+ points. 

[morvillz7z]

image source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mQ0LRWjffzI&t

This right there cost me a nice 6-acca Anytime TD Scorer @ over 220 total odds which also included (a.cooper, j. reed*, c. kupp, r. mostert, j. mckinnon and of course d. henry). All of them scored today, except for Henry.

He was first stopped on 1 & goal at the 1-yard line and then what you see in the screenshot, Will Levis kept the ball and scored himself even though there were two big gaps left by the Titans' OLine, no way Henry wouldn't score. Soo close this... Not to mention Henry had like 1k+ yards on 10TDs in his last 4-5 meetings against the Texans. Such a bummer!

*not sure why j. reed is marked red in my ticket, he 100% scored today...not that it matters though.

[rdbase]

Jesus!
A 220+ odds acca depending on only a TD by a sure shot like Henry is heartbreaking!
I know that feeling as I had a similar acca that lost by one bout and it was a 133+ odds betslip for the UFC.

We have Monday Night Football on tap for tonight to try our luck again!

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/seattle-seahawks-v-philadelphia-eagles-656f7b141650fc0001c87288

Can the Eagles fly higher tonight with the Cowboys falling so badly yesterday.

[ralle14]

Jesus!
A 220+ odds acca depending on only a TD by a sure shot like Henry is heartbreaking!
I know that feeling as I had a similar acca that lost by one bout and it was a 133+ odds betslip for the UFC.

Same. Several weeks ago, I had a prop bet on the NBA and it's one of my worst losses after it lost by a point.

Is it weird to like the Seahawks today? Both faced the same opponents recently and the Eagles don't seem as threatening when they're starting to bottle. The Seahawks are in a worse spot, but their losses are much closer than the Eagles.

[rdbase]

Jesus!
A 220+ odds acca depending on only a TD by a sure shot like Henry is heartbreaking!
I know that feeling as I had a similar acca that lost by one bout and it was a 133+ odds betslip for the UFC.

Same. Several weeks ago, I had a prop bet on the NBA and it's one of my worst losses after it lost by a point.

Is it weird to like the Seahawks today? Both faced the same opponents recently and the Eagles don't seem as threatening when they're starting to bottle. The Seahawks are in a worse spot, but their losses are much closer than the Eagles.

Game time change of quarterback for the Seahawks: Geno Smith is out and Drew Lock is in!


Don't know how this game is going to play out now.
Was watching the pre-game show and Hurts has an illness so won't be 100% but still playing. Geno was dressed and still able to play tonight but decided to go with the second string QB instead.

[ralle14]

Game time change of quarterback for the Seahawks: Geno Smith is out and Drew Lock is in!

My bet got cooked, but what a turnaround for the Seahawks in the fourth quarter as they somehow scored a TD to take back the lead with only two minutes remaining.

The Seahawks' defense also came in clutch in the fourth quarter for getting those two INTs, specifically the second interception to seal the game and extend the Eagle's losing streak.

[rdbase]

Do not know anybody who had Drew Lock and the Seahawks to win that game especially after the announcement of Geno Smith being out of the game.
The face of Jalen when the camera panned over to him with around a minute left sitting on the sidelines told the entire story: "It Hurts so much!"

We have some good matches coming up for the week with the playoff picture smoothing out a bit more.