⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ COPA America ⚽ Prediction Pool Discussion Thread

[LTU_btc]

Finally I didn't forgot to post my prediction in competition .
On paper Brazil - Chile sounds like a good game, but Chile don't look good so far and I doubt that Brazil will have issues.
Uruguay - Colombia sounds like most interesting game. And my random prediction that Paraguay - Peru will be boring game which will come to extra time and maybe penalties.

[icopress]

To be honest, I'm a little surprised that people predict a huge number of yellow cards in the free betting contest ... 20+ cards in 4 games, seriously? While you guys may know something that I don't know, even my 12-cards prediction seems a bit exaggerated to me, ^{[I understand that this tournament is more dynamic, but still]}.

[Trofo]

To be honest, I'm a little surprised that people predict a huge number of yellow cards in the free betting contest ... 20+ cards in 4 games, seriously? While you guys may know something that I don't know, even my 12-cards prediction seems a bit exaggerated to me, ^{[I understand that this tournament is more dynamic, but still]}.

The thing with the cards in copa is that there is good probability that at least one of the games will end with half of the players booked. For instance if we see an ugly start early in the game then South Americans take revenge for that. Then you get revenge on revenge and a nice fight to top it off a after a couple of revenge starts. Seen it often enough when stakes are lower.....

[Joca97]

Finally I didn't forgot to post my prediction in competition .
On paper Brazil - Chile sounds like a good game, but Chile don't look good so far and I doubt that Brazil will have issues.
Uruguay - Colombia sounds like most interesting game. And my random prediction that Paraguay - Peru will be boring game which will come to extra time and maybe penalties.

Im expecting a final between Argentina and Brazil if some surprises dont come. Chile looks really bad this year and i dont think they have a much chance in this match. Uruguay is also fighting hard to score they play good but Cavani has been struggling the entire tournament so far

[tomahawk9]

To be honest, I'm a little surprised that people predict a huge number of yellow cards in the free betting contest ... 20+ cards in 4 games, seriously? While you guys may know something that I don't know, even my 12-cards prediction seems a bit exaggerated to me, ^{[I understand that this tournament is more dynamic, but still]}.

south americans get a little more aggressive during international games it's extremely unlikely that a match over there finishes without a single player getting booked, something very, very likely to happen in the Euro for example. It's like part of the football culture in south america, intense, fierce and aggressive football

check out the cards stats in the Copa America 2019 here, TL;DR: an avg of 5 cards per game

you can even check the total booking odds in your favorite bookie. No way you'll find good value in under 2.5/over 1.5 cards, pretty much everyone expects a bloodbath (not literally, you know what i mean lol)

[icopress]

Trofo, Btw, my searches for the situation you mentioned were unsuccessful ... But, this is really a discovery for me ... and the point is not even that until this year I did not track COPA America, but that I held a parallel with the European championship, (but I will still hope that in the end I will be right with my prediction).

[Trofo]

(but I will still hope that in the end I will be right with my prediction).

You could be right with your prediction, nobody knows what will happen. We are just pointing out that hot South American blood which can lead to lots of cards and even fights more often then in Europe. Sometimes there is very little needed, I remember one Brazil game when Neymar did a couple of unnecessary and maybe a little bit disrespectful dribbles and after that he was on his back every time he got the ball. They just changed the player who was marking him every time previous one got yellow card.

[morvillz7z]

image source: https://www.foxsports.com/live

Peru is the first semi-finalist, winning on penalties in a game that had six goals and two red cards. I hope you guys stayed late to watch it, it was well worth it. Possibly the best one so far, first match in this tournament that mattered, but don't get me started on the format we had this year, 20 matches just to eliminate two teams who were missing half of their players due to covid. Anyways, Peru should have won in regulation imo, but they gave up an easy goal from a corner with a man up, followed by a last-minute equalizer. Paraguay clearly missed having Almiron in their lineup, he was their best player in the previous matches...

I'm glad they went back to having no extra time after 90 minutes and instead we go straight to penalties, it's refreshing, plus it's 1 point for those of us who had the game as a draw ...not sure if the draw would've held the way these guys play defense. lol

[Altryist]

Im expecting a final between Argentina and Brazil if some surprises dont come. Chile looks really bad this year and i dont think they have a much chance in this match. Uruguay is also fighting hard to score they play good but Cavani has been struggling the entire tournament so far

The classic confrontation between Brazil and Argentina, it would be a good match, but Argentina for me this year does not look like a very strong team and I think that Uruguay could give them a good competition. As for Brazil, I hope they make it to the final. The game against Chile was very difficult for Brazil, they had to play in the second half of the match outnumbered after removal, which of course is very difficult for the whole team.

[Trofo]

So talking about hot blood south americans, first game yesterday had 8 yellow cards. 2 of those were 2nd yellows. Then in second game Jesus had a start like he watched Bruce Lee movie to prepare for the match. Did you guys ever see Jesus make a strong start in Europe? Copa brings the most emotions and rivalry from these guys and over cards or red cards are always just waiting to happen.

[tomahawk9]

Then in second game Jesus had a start like he watched Bruce Lee movie to prepare for the match.

heh! for those missed it https://twitter.com/TSN_Sports/status/1411129853571735558

and yeah, as expected, it was a yellow card festival last night, could've gone with Total Bookings pts in a few single bets but i won two similar tickets earlier and called it a day

Later today, one hell of a match, Uruguay - Colombia. It might be another game with a lot of bookings. Their last meeting in 2020 had 5 yellow cards and a red card. Hmm 🤔

[DIA7]

Copa America semi-finals we got:
Peru vs Brazil
Colombia vs Argentina
For me this is one of the best championships where Messi played with Argentina if not the best in terms of fighting, desire, influence and the numbers he is getting.
If Argentina is destined to win the championship, it is definitely Leo’s championship and if you lose the championship it will definitely be Because there weren't enough players to help him at crucial moments.

[Trofo]

If Argentina is destined to win the championship, it is definitely Leo’s championship and if you lose the championship it will definitely be Because there weren't enough players to help him at crucial moments.

Fun fact to think about. Messi is now without contract at Barca and can sign for whichever club he wishes. Is it possible that this has freed him in some way and he is now performing better than ever? It has been long time since he had to "prove" his quality in order to get better contract or maybe it is just the freedom that suits him.

[morvillz7z]

Ahh man, those Superbru wankers were handing out slam points for the meaningless group stage matches only and not the quarter-finals.

I thought we would get one, this is such a bummer, especially since we had two draws. Bad Superbru, baaad Superbru! 

Does anyone know if the third-place match will be included, or it's just the semis and the final?

[Trofo]

Does anyone know if the third-place match will be included, or it's just the semis and the final?

Depends on Copa format. Is there third match play off?

Slam points are awarded after you get 6 correct results (maybe some other number) so it is impossible to get them when you get to stages where there is less games then threshold for slam points. That is why these kind of competitions usually get resolved during group stage.

New competition is up. I went with something different this time around, hope you guys like it.

[morvillz7z]

Slam points are awarded after you get 6 correct results (maybe some other number) so it is impossible to get them when you get to stages where there is less games then threshold for slam points.

source: https://www.superbru.com/copaamerica/how_to_play.php#tab=scoring

Slam Points
Round 1 to Round 5
4 correct outcomes = 1pt

We have different scoring for Copa America, rounds 1 to 5 also had 4 matches, just like the quarter-finals, but apparently no slam points here. Btw, someone from the general standings has 4 slam points...

Does anyone know if the third-place match will be included, or it's just the semis and the final?

Depends on Copa format. Is there third match play off?

According to Wikipedia, there is one, 9th July @Estádio Nacional Mané Garrincha.

[tomahawk9]

you guys have any active bets for the game tonight? i booked this one @4.5



i'm surprised to see Peru moneyline at 15 odds, are they playing with the reserve team or something? i know they're playing against brazil, but, c'mon now 

[buwaytress]

Whoops, sorry, I knew I forgot about the mini contest haha.

And yes, third place for Copa (not for EURO) I answered that myself some time back...

And yes, toma, I was surprised myself. I booked one at around 173/10 on Fairlay, though I did notice it was even 18/1++ at Sportsbet, and I bet you there's a super boost for whoever's waiting -- 20/1 is too good to ignore.

I mean man, these were the last finalists! Yes Brazil hammered them in the end, but you know, draws, penalties. That sort of thing lives and breathes in LatAm football;)

[Harkorede]

you guys have any active bets for the game tonight? i booked this one @4.5



i'm surprised to see Peru moneyline at 15 odds, are they playing with the reserve team or something? i know they're playing against brazil, but, c'mon now 

Peru really have done much in this tournament for me to take a risk on them, even If I'd agree that the odds is a too much, I think it is also justifiable.

The odds is currently at 16, I'll be going with Over 2.5 instead, because I don't see an upset happening.

[LTU_btc]

Thanks for reminder about competition. I thought that both games will be played tomorrow.
Personally, I expect Brazil to reach comfortable win. For Argentina it's not going to be easy, but I hope to see Brazil - Argentina final.
But when I look at schedule, final will be played so late in the night from Sunday to Monday. Why not to play on Saturday, especially because there will be no EURO games. They probably forcus on South America people, but their schedule is one of reasons why Copa is so poorly covered in Europe.