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[pooya87]

It is hard to choose from these 2 options because the answer is "it depends".

You see 2018 bear market that lasted a year happened BECAUSE there was a BUBBLE. Just like the 2014 bear market and 2011 bear market and so on.
So if we are to see same prolonged bear markets repeat, we first have to see a BUBBLE of the same MAGNITUDE. So far we are nowhere near the same size of the bubble since said bubble would only occur between $400k and $500k.

So the answer is: it depends on whether we can see the same massive bubble at the end of this cycle possibly in first quarter of 2022 or is the 4 year cycle finally broken in which case we can no longer see the prolonged bear market only small drops that last a very short time like a month or two.

[Iron Fist]

It depends on both the "adoption" story and on the "valuation" story.
Bitcoin has become a better store of value, for the reasons mentioned earlier, because of its growing acceptance in society. Let's also not forget that blockchain technology is what the financial industry is trying to build on. If "the Bitcoin industry" can grow more, adoption will improve, therefore increasing "valuation" and on the other hand adoption will remain a key to prove the possibility of building a viable Bitcoin as a store of value.

Adoption is clearly happening, however one should be cautious. As mentioned earlier, adoption of bitcoin as a means of payment is still relatively low and price increases for bitcoin has mostly been driven by speculators, which can be described as volatility.

The increased adoption of bitcoin has also been tempered by the highly uncertain economic environment and the ongoing regulatory uncertainty. In fact, the bitcoin market is largely unregulated and in many countries those who buy bitcoin are susceptible to losing all their money if things go south.

[Oceat]

I believe that in 2022 Bitcoin would still be the same as what we had this year yet during in winter if bearish would successfully took the market then we'll completely going straight in a bearish season. It seems to me that people are learning their lessons in the past to not just dump when China pull their ban-fud card.

Investors are crucial to the market because they are the ones who are going to help us pump the market even more but I would never think it would break another resistance next year. We are most likely going to hover to $40k to $50k until December I suppose then investors starts to dump then bear season activate or I could be wrong in my prediction.

[dezoel]

Interesting to see that the results are so close to each other, I assumed that people would be expecting a lot more from crypto and I assumed that we would be doing a lot better as well. Turns out we are not really there yet and we should definitely be doing a lot better in the long run to convince people we are fine.

In the end it is still the bull sayers that are more in numbers and I hope that it will stay like that, it would become a self-fulfilling prophecy if it was like that. However, I also believe that 100k is still possible in 2022 while many people disagree with me so I do not know what to think anymore, let's hope that I am right because that would mean great things for all of us.

[mladen00]

I expect that 1BTC will be equal 1BTC

[uneng]

Usually bitcoin's price increases in the end of the year and that is what I expect from now on. I see no reason for a pessimistic wave on crypto currency right now. Things are pretty good and adoption is evolving well. Regulations are coming from different countries and although I don't like it, they are inevitable. Early adopters will have to get used to it and understand they can be benefical for bringing a portion of the population to adopt btc too, as many people only do what their governments say they are allowed to do (through regulations).

Meanwhile more (and new) investors are also developing interest for crypto currencies day by day, as we have children getting older and traditional investors finally changing their minds about bitcoin due to the reputation the digital currency has been able to build along the years. If some investors want to cashout their profits I think it won't have a big impact at all, because there will be many others willing to buy yet.

[Iron Fist]

I expect that 1BTC will be equal 1BTC

The prediction is probably one of the most accurate I've ever seen here, but when we talk about crypto, no prediction is foolproof. 

[Kittygalore]

I don't have that much expectation, bitcoin tends to break expectations so I don't expect too much or too big from bitcoin, for me it's the prices and more people and institutions including countries continue to adopt bitcoin.

Me too, bitcoin has done a lot of things before that we never expected, I remember when at that time bitcoin was still around the hundred dollar mark and not a lot of people really thought anything that it will go higher than that and then it did.

[hatshepsut93]

What if instead of bearish or bullish markets Bitcoin will just be bound in a range between $30k and $60k for the whole year? This is also a possible scenario if there's not enough people willing to buy, either for the first time or as additional purchases, but also if not enough people believe that the crash is coming and show their #stronghands, then the price has no reason to move too far from where it is now. If this happened, I would take it as a positive sign that Bitcoin is maturing.

[dimonstration]

I believe that in 2022 Bitcoin would still be the same as what we had this year yet during in winter if bearish would successfully took the market then we'll completely going straight in a bearish season. It seems to me that people are learning their lessons in the past to not just dump when China pull their ban-fud card.

Bitcoin holders were smart enough now to think that price of bitcoin will increase more yearly. Tgough we can see last year upto this year that BTc is able to pump despite pandemic then what more once many countries open their boundaries for economy. We can not prdeict the mind of big companies whether to enter crypto or not but soon when the market seems stable they might try going into it too. Next year pump will depend whether pandemic ends or it will just keep its pace ranging with the same prices it is during the last quarter.

[Furious 7]

We can't quite say for sure that 2022 is a real bull that can reach a new ATH but I realize from the many predictions about bitcoin will be better than now, is it possible that this will keep the promise where bitcoin can skyrocket?

On the other hand, winter is always associated with bearishness, which means that investors who have struggled to buy bitcoin from now on but in reality it can happen, just imagine they will definitely think about how to maintain the existing atmosphere.

But I think the starting point in 2022 would be better as a good bridge.

[davis196]

I expect the pandemic to finally come to an end and the global economy starting to recover very fast in 2022.
This might seem like a pretty bullish sign for Bitcoin,but I don't think that the governments will become friendly towards the cryptocurrency industry during 2022.We might see big time government FUD,this time coming from the USA and the EU.
One thing is certain-the Bitcoin price will remain volatile,with ups and downs,bull runs and price drops.
I'm expecting a price between 60K and 80K in 2022,if there's no major BTC ban in the western world.
 

[pooya87]

I expect the pandemic to finally come to an end and the global economy starting to recover very fast in 2022. This might seem like a pretty bullish sign for Bitcoin,

I disagree simply because the pandemic didn't have a significant [negative] effect on bitcoin for its end to have any significant [positive] effect on it either. Take a look at the past years when we have been dealing with the Pandemic. Fiat is losing its value and other assets have been severely under-performing excluding those that got dumped hard meanwhile bitcoin has gone up 1800%.

I don't know what more bullish sign you want from bitcoin other than 1800% rise!!!

[Lucius]

So far, these cycles are working and their formation has never been broken in the entire history of bitcoin. Someone thinks this is a coincidence, but I am not one of them. I believe in bitcoin, but I do not believe in "endless" growth that can last for several years. But there is an opinion that the market is transforming and these cycles could change globally. Well, anything is possible in the crypto world, and let's see how 2022 proves itself. Personally, I think that a red candle is more likely to be expected than a green one, but I would be glad to be wrong.

Although your question is in the realm of speculation, I chose the first option because I think some things will change and that it is possible that we will not have a repetition of the identical situation that happened in the past - that is, to what is best known to everyone, the beginning of the crypto winter in 2018.

Although some disagree with this, in my opinion, the biggest indicator that there is a significant chance that Bitcoin can continue positively in 2022 lies in the fact that this time the market is strongly influenced by the factor of institutional involvement. I think that factor gives much more credibility to Bitcoin than it has been in the past, and all the good that has been happening in recent months still outweighs all the bad news, or maybe it's better to say all the news that the media wants to portray as extremely bad.

What is perhaps the biggest problem at the moment is the uncertainty in the US with the liquidity of their monetary system, which can no longer meet its obligations, and we all know that such a situation is reflected in the global markets of which Bitcoin is a part.

I don't know what more bullish sign you want from bitcoin other than 1800% rise!!!

As we have already commented in some other threads, people obviously only care about what happened a month or two ago, and they are not too interested in anything older than that. This coincides with short-term profits, so we have more dissatisfied (impatient) who ask "when $100k?", than those who are happy because the price increase is as much as 1800% in a very short period, especially if we take the effects of the pandemic to all other investments.

[Iron Fist]

Sell it at the height of its bubble! This is the argument you'll see most in all forums of discussion. The problem with this argument is that there is no historical precedent to support this opinion.

[thecodebear]

I think it's been pretty clear since this Spring, when Bitcoin went sideway for a few months instead of building up to a huge blow-off top, that the market has matured significantly since the last cycle. Blow-off tops are now left for the uninformed investors of random altcoins and meme tokens now. The Bitcoin market is much more mature now.

This whole decade will likely be a super cycle bull run.
This year we got a few months of bull run, stabilizing, then a moderate crash for a couple months. Now we're back to the bull run part. Roughly this sort of pattern is likely to continue for years: bitcoin goes up, wary investors cash out, price corrects for a while but doesn't come close to a crypto winter, then as accumulation increases the market turns back to bullish and new ATHs are broken.

So for 2022 I expect new ATHs. I expect Bitcoin to go over $100k, and then probably spend a few months back under $100k before rising back up probably later in the year. For the most part I expect every year to have new ATHs this decade.

[sheenshane]

I'm tired of technically guessing the market price in the future and instead of doing that, sometimes I think it's better to let the price where it goes.
And now, I'm following on this, Bitcoin Price Prediction For 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 And 2025, I've been following them for years and it seems they had an accurate result.

According to them, if Bitcoin price will break the new ATH this year until Q4.  That is the start that they will resist until the Q4 of the next year 2022 and it could be at that time, the anticipated price that anyone predicted the $100k of Bitcoin price will potentially be the next target.

IMO, it's possible that it will reach that price since there are too many factors and a lot that has happened now.  Country's legalization and big company's adoption will most likely be the main reason we will reach even $100k by the next year 2022.

[samcrypto]

If we started the bull run right now then we might see a big correction next year because we know this market, can’t sustain a whole year of bull run.

The 1st to 2nd quarter of 2022 will be good for sure but the last two quarter might be the correction phase and that is another chance to get in and increase your holdings. I’m confident as well that Bitcoin can enter into another bull run.

[Kong Hey Pakboy]

If we started the bull run right now then we might see a big correction next year because we know this market, can’t sustain a whole year of bull run.

The 1st to 2nd quarter of 2022 will be good for sure but the last two quarter might be the correction phase and that is another chance to get in and increase your holdings. I’m confident as well that Bitcoin can enter into another bull run.

If the bull run really did start right now, wouldn't the 1st quarter be the part where the correction happens? But even so it's going to be a treacherous journey for everyone especially for hodlers that have a specific number in mind including me which might frustrate and disappoint us.

[Fundamentals Of]

If we started the bull run right now then we might see a big correction next year because we know this market, can’t sustain a whole year of bull run.

The 1st to 2nd quarter of 2022 will be good for sure but the last two quarter might be the correction phase and that is another chance to get in and increase your holdings. I’m confident as well that Bitcoin can enter into another bull run.

If the bull run really did start right now, wouldn't the 1st quarter be the part where the correction happens? But even so it's going to be a treacherous journey for everyone especially for hodlers that have a specific number in mind including me which might frustrate and disappoint us.

We are probably at the start of the last quarter bull run right now. This could be the largest one that will finally bring Bitcoin's price to $100,000 at least. S2F prediction, which has been pretty much accurate more or less for the past months and years, has Bitcoin at $135,000 this coming December. If this happens, or even at $100,000, I am expecting a correction in the first months of 2022. But if the price fails to touch $100,000, then it is expected that it will come by January. The rest of the first quarter is bound to be correction time.