Exactly I agree with you, this is the one of reasons why someone should have a long term mindset toward bitcoin investment is very important, many people made big mistakes for treating bitcoin like a short term savings instead of a long term investment, before investing in bitcoin is also a good idea to make sure that essential needs and responsibilities are well covered, and also bitcoin should be purchase with funds that is not needed anytime soon or for expenses.
Whenever someone want to invest in bitcoin you should prepare to leave that your investment untouched for many years not a month because those who benefit most are those that remain patient even during the period of volatility. That’s I come with this good example for someone to planting a fruit mango tree today and expecting to harvest fruit next week. That’s unbelievable, such can never happen,that tree needs time to develop a strong roots before it can produce anything valuable. That apply to bitcoin investment works in similar way, that’s to leave your bitcoin investment untouched for many years is more favorable for you than short term.
Sometimes, it's not that people aren't investing long-term but rather because of financial circumstances that force them to invest short-term. This doesn't mean we can equate all Bitcoin investments with the same approach.
Yeah, but this thread is not about doing whatever you want when it comes to how you think about investing, since this a thread about my ideas about investing.
Every choice made by a person certainly has a goal and mindset for each of them and I really agree with the idea you said that the biggest mistake is indeed if they do it with a short-term investment pattern only what we need to understand together is that someone who does it with a pattern like that is definitely from the financial side and income that does not fully support them to make long-term investments so that the short term is their last way to do it like that and they also think that if the income they get is always stable or have more than one source of income of course they will not follow or do it with a short-term pattern they will definitely make long-term investments so their last choice when their income is lacking is to invest with a short-term pattern.
That is gobble-dee-gook. Short term pattern is trading rather than investing.
Sure, guys might get started with bitcoin and not know the difference between investing and trading, so they might have to learn the difference, and learn that bitcoin is an investment rather than a trade.
If they decide to trade or they cannot figure it out, then ideas about those guys likely fits in some other thread, since we are talking about investing here, not trading.
Doing this, of course we are someone who has a lot of finances or income especially weekly or monthly income because every person who makes long-term investments and will not touch the investments that have been collected of course that person can be said to just sit back and every month or week there is always income that exceeds their needs and let alone those who do like that we personally will also do the same thing to not touch what we have collected because they do it very easily in terms of finances that come to them and I liken them to having a business that has more than five businesses so that every week they have income from one business or business that they created so that two of our businesses are sufficient for needs so that three more are projected towards Bitcoin investments without us touching this is a picture that we can say as an example.
I don't know if it is a great example, since anyone with discretionary funds can invest into bitcoin, and yeah it can take 1-2 cycles or more to build up a bitcoin investment, even if a person has decent amounts of discretionary funds and he is also putting decent amounts of that discretionary income into bitcoin.
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Well the last time i checked, you don’t have the right to tell other people what they should do or shouldn’t do with their bitcoin. If someone decides to save up in bitcoin and buy a car for themselves then they must have a good reason for it and it is their choice to make because they are the ones that know what their predicament is, and their priorities, and also how that decision could improve their life.
You can’t just say a car is a liability for everyone. Some people could buy a car to use it to offer transportation services and make money from it, create opportunities for themselves or simply just to make their daily lives more easier. So in this case is it still a liability?
Also this your idea that their bitcoin would have definitely generated more profit if they had just kept holding it is a flawed argument. Nothing about the future returns of bitcoin is guaranteed. Yes bitcoin has performed well over the past years but past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
So the bottom line is that we are all investing to improve the quality of our lives.
So if someone reaches their goal and decides to use their bitcoin to buy something valuable or meaningful for themselves, then their investment has done exactly what it was supposed to do.Are you talking about investing or trading?
Sure people can do what they like, but if they cash out of all of their bitcoin to buy a car, then they might have had been trading rather than investing, at least in terms of how we have been talking about investing within the context of this thread.
Sure, your point about cars having utility as well can justify buying a car, yet we might need to know more if a guy might get into bitcoin and then just completely get out of bitcoin in order to buy a car, since that does not seem to be on topic within the context of this thread.
And besides, i only used this buying a car scenario as an example to point out that people invest in bitcoin for different reasons and also to highlight that when a person has a clear vision for why they started investing in bitcoin, they tend to be more focused and careful with the kind of decisions they make with their investment. It’s not everybody that wants to hold their bitcoin for 100years without spending from it.
Try to be realistic. NO one here is proclaiming that guys have to hold bitcoin for anywhere beyond their own lives, even though some guys do want to hand bitcoin down to their heirs... but we are not necessarily getting into those kinds of details within this thread.
I'm OK with this discussion remaining on Bitcoin and not the crypto market. Calling them crypto investors is a bit of a misnomer as not every cryptocurrency is as robust and valuable over the long-term as Bitcoin. In the realm of investing, both DCA and buying dips can be successful approaches. Contingent upon the individual's inclinations. DCA can help avoid the timing the market pressure. But a small cash on the sidelines" for major corrections might give an extra opportunity. The key point is consistency, having a plan and building your Bitcoin holdings slowly and steadily over time.
What you say is not wrong, because investors who focus on buying Bitcoin using the DCA method must also have other plans and focuses, such as preparing cash for specific purposes, as in your example. Because when a market downturn occurs, investors who used to buy Bitcoin continuously are often eager to capitalize on the price decline with their new capital. This means that investors who are immune to any situation will always want to buy in any situation because they have already developed a plan and thought about how to deal with it before it occurs.
So, it's not surprising that many investors who have used DCA from the past and present still don't panic when they see price declines, because for them, it also represents an opportunity to inject new capital into the market, even though their existing capital has been reduced by the price decline. However, some investors are clearly willing to wait patiently for a recovery
while using their new capital to achieve greater profits at another time.If you are talking about profits, then how could you still be talking about investing? You seem to be deviating into trading ideas if you believe that considering "profits" as some kind of a motivator for how a guy should consider his bitcoin stacking.
Otherwise, I largely agree with the rest of your statement. Guys will combine buy the dip and DCA strategies and act like they are doing something smart, and sure they can do whatever they like, yet they should realize that there are trade-offs, like you mentioned, which is that the dips may or may not happen and they also might screw up their own focus on ongoing buying of bitcoin and increasing their discretionary income, which might be better ways to spend their time and energies rather than screwing around waiting for dips that may or may not end up happening.
Even after continuing to buy continuously, if a person saves money and waits to take advantage of the decline or to buy aggressively, it is not at all right. Whether the price of Bitcoin is currently at its highest level or at its lowest level, we should continue to buy continuously.
Whether guys buy bitcoin aggressively or whimpily, those are personal choices. I frequently suggest that guys buy bitcoin as aggressively as they are able to without over doing it, yet every guy who is buying bitcoin has to figure out how aggressively that he wants to be or that he is able to be... so I am not going to tell guys what they should do when it comes to figuring out how much bitcoin that they should buy at any given time and/or at any particular price movement. Guys have to account for their cashflows and also various aspects of their personal situation, including where they are at in their bitcoin accumulation process.
Waiting for a decline can take a person away from the path of continuous investment. Many times it is seen that the desired decline never happens. Waiting for a decline is waiting for an unknown future, it is never possible to say whether it will ever happen or not.
Waiting is more problematic for guys who have not started and also for guys who are in the early stages of their bitcoin journey.
Also there may well be guys who had been investing 4 - 8 years or longer and they still are in the early stages of their bitcoin investment journey, so they likely need to continue to buy on a regular, consistent, persistent, ongoingly and perhaps even aggressive way... but we cannot tell them what to do.
If a person wants to take advantage of the decline while continuing to buy continuously, then if he has the ability to take out a loan,
Huh? I never said that. What the fuck you trying to proclaim that it is a good idea to take out a loan in order to increase aggressiveness on dips. That is retarded, and it sounds like gambling rather than investing.
I am not opposed to loans, yet most of the times, loans should ONLY be used by guys who already have strong cashflows and decently strong levels of discretionary funds.
So many times guys need to bolster up their own bitcoin buying and cashflow management practices before even employing debt (or leverage) in their bitcoin accumulation practices, and also loans are not even necessary many times, since the terms of many loans might not justify taking them...so it seems retarded to believe that either a person should increase bitcoin buying aggressiveness when BTC prices dip or that loans are part of an ordinary bitcoin accumulation practice.
he can buy aggressively by taking out a loan. Or if he has some kind of land that he is not using or is not getting any benefit from it at present, then he can sell that land and buy aggressively during the decline. Depending on our financial situation, it is best to continue to buy aggressively as much as possible without overdoing it.
You seem to like the idea of buying aggressively, and I don't have a problem with guys being aggressive when they know what they are doing and they have reasonably strong cashflow management practices in place, yet being aggressive for the mere sake of it or based on perceived changes in the bitcoin price seems quite problematic and outside of the kinds of practices that I am trying to highlight in this thread.
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Are you contradicting yourself?
Actually, you said at the beginning that it is not right to wait for DIP. Then you say that when DIP comes, you can buy aggressively by taking out a loan or selling the land. Why don't you understand that if DIP is waiting for an unknown future, then I think taking a loan for the same unknown event can be even more risky. Because buying on loan means going beyond your discretionary income and buying with money that may actually be beyond your ability. Because if the interest rate on the loan is high and the time is short, it will be a cut in your throat. However, in some cases, taking a loan may be reasonable, if the interest rate on the loan is low or the loan is available for a long time. In this, there is an opportunity to repay the loan gradually in many installments.
But before taking a loan, you need to be sure whether you can repay that loan or not. In this, you can take advantage of DIP and gradually, without any stress, the loan may be paid off before you know it.
Actually, this is a good point @Charcol.
It may well be the case that @Tongley believes that if he uses a loan to buy the bitcoin dip, then if the BTC price goes up after he takes the loan, then he can use the proceeds of the bitcoin to pay back the loan... which is nearly retarded since it is a form of gambling, and we are not talking about gambling in this thread.
personally, buying the dip doesn't seem attractive to me due to the fact that it is time consuming. Just like you said that there's no certainty about when the dip will happen, of course that's the more reason why I don't find it attractive. Majority of the investors who feel buying the dip is the best method for Thier Bitcoin accumulation end up wasting a whole lot of years just to wait for the dip, some started recently why some are yet to get started meanwhile, those of Thier friends that started together with them and have chosing to adopt the DCA is close to achieving Thier investment target. These method of buying the dip delayed a lot of guys from not starting Thier Bitcoin investment quite on time, so I don't even see anything attractive about this method.
Buying the dip is actually not attractive. Within the same period of time there's less tendency of an investor buying the dip to be close to their accumulation target compared to an investor using DCA strategy. DCA strategy gives an investor the chance to make good use of the dip without necessarily waiting for the dip but just busy DCAing but increase buying on obvious decline like if BTC is $70,009 and when your interval to buy is due BTC drops to $65,000. knowing this is, you decide to add planned extra available discretionary funds to buy Bitcoin.
You can invest in Bitcoin in any way, but the most DCA method is the best investment strategy. This is usually not to use emergency funds in small dumping, I did not like your strategy. Because if the price of Bitcoin drops from $70k to $65k, how will he use emergency funds to buy Bitcoin? At this time, if the price of Bitcoin continues to fall further, then that person may face danger and panic and leave his Bitcoin holding at a loss.
So emergency funds should not be used in this general market fall, if the price of Bitcoin suddenly drops from $70k to $40k, then he can use emergency funds up to 50% of his total money. And if there is a further fall, then he can use 25 percent of his average bill in this way in stages (estimated Bitcoin purchase strategy).
I don't see how buying bitcoin constitutes an emergency. Sure reserve funds can be used to buy bitcoin on dips, yet a person might buy some dips and then the price keeps dipping, so then if he already bought on the dip, where is he going to get more money? He may be better off to just keep regularly buying rather than changing his aggressiveness level based on perceived drops in the BTC price.