Bitcoin 2022 bear market?

[davis196]

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

Your thoughts?

And where is your great analysis about why the Bitcoin price should be at 16-22K right now?
The current Bitcoin price is what it is.Everything else is just wishful thinking and/or FUD.
Nobody can say when the bearish market will occur.Maybe we are in a bearish market right now,or maybe the bearish market will happen,when price drops below 40K or 30K.
There's no guarantee that the Bitcoin price is moving in cycles.The BTC price is determined mostly by supply and demand,not by some imaginary cycles.There are some other factors,which can influence the price,but most of them are temporary-crypto whales buying and selling,bullish or FUD news about Bitcoin,crypto miners being kicked out by some country,etc.

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[Baofeng]

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

Your thoughts?

And where is your great analysis about why the Bitcoin price should be at 16-22K right now?
The current Bitcoin price is what it is.Everything else is just wishful thinking and/or FUD.

Not defending the guy, but we can have our own opinion and we can argue against it. I'm not also sure if $16k-$22k will be the lows for this year. But we will see.

Nobody can say when the bearish market will occur.Maybe we are in a bearish market right now,or maybe the bearish market will happen,when price drops below 40K or 30K.
There's no guarantee that the Bitcoin price is moving in cycles.The BTC price is determined mostly by supply and demand,not by some imaginary cycles.There are some other factors,which can influence the price,but most of them are temporary-crypto whales buying and selling,bullish or FUD news about Bitcoin,crypto miners being kicked out by some country,etc.

I guess we should look at the bright side. If the price goes bearish, then it's time to accumulate and buy a lot of bitcoin. I'm talking about my first bulls/bears experience. When I did see the bearish trend in 2018, I don't know what to do, although I did buy some, I should have totally focus on bitcoin and try to accumulate as many as I can. So that is my target if the bearish market starts this year.

[buwaytress]

Predicting the market from BTC point of view is becoming less significant. Recent trends have indicated that BTC movement now goes in opposite direction against some altcoins. Therefore, the market may not follow the existing circles which are derived from the influence of BTC over altcoins.

Says someone whose Avatar text talks about... fourth generation blockchain. At this rate, we might see 8 generations by next Bitcoin halving.

Like it or not, crypto is a Bitcoin point of view. Which recent (long-term) trends can you produce? Alts and deficoins getting ATH anytime in the last year is thanks to the (ongoing) rally of Bitcoin.

You'd have to be really stubborn to think otherwise.

[Rikafip]

Either way, time is running relentlessly and what seems very far away today will soon become a reality - so while anything is possible, I don't want to believe the price of BTC could fall below $20k, it would take us back 5 years. Like it or not, hundreds of thousands of BTCs today are owned by wealthy individuals and various companies, they have changed the rules of the game and therefore a four-year cycle could be broken.

Yeah, I don't expect BTC seeing below 20K, unless something huge happening. Same goes for bear market like in 2018, market is different nowadays. After all, we didn't have bull run as it was in 2017, so maybe bear won't be as bad as before.

Either way, I am not too much fussed about it, I stopped worrying about BTC price long time ago. Just gotta think long term, and that's about it.


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[Drnice]

If we look at the recent result of the bear market Bitcoin has experiencend and faced, we will see that, this could be a range where the market would be in a range for some period of time. The bear market if looked closely, got to it's first ATH and then price retracement took place, making room for the next bull run. When the second bull run started, it's was on a hot run. I will say, the market is currently on retracement or range mode, which might stay for a while, except it breakers it's support levels at $40k - $38k or breaks it's resistance of around $45k mark.
No matter how the bear market goes, I don't really think Bitcoin will get to the lows of $20k. Using previous views, the price of Bitcoin does not touch it's lowest lows, rather makes a new low, and then target new highs.

[YinShuiSiYuan]

The prices of all cryptocurrencies are constantly falling. Personally, I think this is just a correction, but many experts say the price of BTC could go down to $30k. If that happens, it could mean the beginning of a bear market. I hope it doesn't and in a few months we will have new ATH.

[darewaller]

It is possible that the bear market just started, or maybe history may not repeat itself, but what is most important is that people should be careful of altcoins, if bear run continues, it will dawn more on altcoins, some altcoins can decrease in value and never reach all-time-high again or it might take longer than usual before all-time-high. Some altcoins will become shitcoins again and some will become and remain dead. It will be a stressful time for people that hold some altcoins and their price will plummeted as usual.

That has been tested on altcoins during the last bear market. If my memory serves me right, ETH went to less than $100 in 2018 or 2019. So it is a hard fall for them and so with those shitcoins who died in the last bear market.

ETH did went under 100 dollars, from the peak of nearly 1500 dollars. So, it is clear to me that we will never have that kind of drop ever again. Imagine the fact that none of the coins at the top went below their previous ATH during 2017-2018 peak. That is a very important thing, sure some like XRP managed to fail to do that, and it serves them right for building a centralized project like that. But the reality is that we can't really keep on treading over those bad ones.

The good ones are still above that price line and I feel like we are doing fine right now, even with the drops we have right now, we are still doing a lot better and that is what matters.

[arwin100]

It is possible that the bear market just started, or maybe history may not repeat itself, but what is most important is that people should be careful of altcoins, if bear run continues, it will dawn more on altcoins, some altcoins can decrease in value and never reach all-time-high again or it might take longer than usual before all-time-high. Some altcoins will become shitcoins again and some will become and remain dead. It will be a stressful time for people that hold some altcoins and their price will plummeted as usual.

That has been tested on altcoins during the last bear market. If my memory serves me right, ETH went to less than $100 in 2018 or 2019. So it is a hard fall for them and so with those shitcoins who died in the last bear market.

ETH did went under 100 dollars, from the peak of nearly 1500 dollars. So, it is clear to me that we will never have that kind of drop ever again. Imagine the fact that none of the coins at the top went below their previous ATH during 2017-2018 peak. That is a very important thing, sure some like XRP managed to fail to do that, and it serves them right for building a centralized project like that. But the reality is that we can't really keep on treading over those bad ones.

The good ones are still above that price line and I feel like we are doing fine right now, even with the drops we have right now, we are still doing a lot better and that is what matters.

Right now we have good adoption have and people think about good things on those top coins since it accumulated more volume for the past years compare to the year 2017-2018 and from that we can securely say that we will not go down to the point that bitcoin reach to 4 digits since we know many backers are now with bitcoin so for sure this bear season we encounter will just take few months and recovery scenario will follow after this.

[sheenshane]

The prices of all cryptocurrencies are constantly falling. Personally, I think this is just a correction, but many experts say the price of BTC could go down to $30k. If that happens, it could mean the beginning of a bear market. I hope it doesn't and in a few months we will have new ATH.

Nope, I'm still having a positive prediction that Bitcoin will not fall down to $30k with this year but you're right, Bitcoin was now facing a short correction and the reason could be Bitcoin harder to recover from being deep because people are still affected by the FUD.  Look around, Bitcoin has been adopted and legalized in the most country so I don't have a doubt it will drop further beyond $40k.

Possibly, there could be a bull market if there were country continue announcing Bitcoin becomes legal tender in their place.  More adoption means it will increase the demand and it could become the price becomes higher and higher.

[Obito]

I don't think that we're going to follow the same patter before 2020, we broke that cycle in 2021 so I don't see how it's going to suddenly be the same, also if it was then how low would it go and will we see a big pump this year? Maybe we could also see the situation outside the market as a factor to the movement, what would happen if there's no more pandemic? Will we see more growth or decline?

[michellee]

I don't think that we're going to follow the same patter before 2020, we broke that cycle in 2021 so I don't see how it's going to suddenly be the same, also if it was then how low would it go and will we see a big pump this year? Maybe we could also see the situation outside the market as a factor to the movement, what would happen if there's no more pandemic? Will we see more growth or decline?

With so much news about crypto, the pattern has already changed as many new people are interested in investing in crypto, especially after seeing what happened to bitcoin in the last ATH. They are trying to follow other people who have already invested in crypto and want to profit. Hopefully, the pump will come this year and help us make another big profit so we need to be ready for that. Even if the bear market comes this year, we can still use that moment to benefit by investing many good coins and holding it for a while to wait for the next bull run.

[thecodebear]

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

Your thoughts?

No a crypto winter bear market isn't coming.

What you need to understand is that the big crashes didn't simply happen after post-halving bull runs, they happened because these bull runs led to huge unsustainable blow-off tops. The thing is, that didn't happen this time. Instead, Bitcoin built up for a few months, but then stalled. Instead of a blow off top, which might have taken Bitcoin from $60k to $150k or something, it just went sideways basically (in the $30,000s to $60,000s range) for just about a year now.

So rather than a blow-off top and now a bear market coming, what we've had is just about a year of sideways movement and consolidation with see-sawing positive and negative periods. And the past half year has been a massive accumulation by holders after that initial sell off last Spring. If anything, Bitcoin is leading into another bull market now. Supply of Bitcoin is extremely low after many months of strong accumulation by holders, this is precisely what we see leading into big bull markets. It's the same thing that happened leading up to the bull market of late 2020 / early 2021.

So as soon as the market sentiment turns positive again (and it certainly seems like it is on the cusp of doing this) Bitcoin is going to start tearing upwards again. Right now it is still pretty negative just because so many people THOUGHT a bear market would be coming now so they sold in anticipation of this thing that wasn't going to happen, but the market does appear to have bottomed now. This year we should see the price of Bitcoin far surpass what it reached last year. Over $100k is very likely this year.

The macro cycles of Bitcoin have changed. Get rich quick speculators have abandoned Bitcoin and now ride (and mostly die) on useless meme coins and random alts, along with some promising up and coming projects like various smart contract platforms. Bitcoin buyers now consist of much more wary investors and much less of the FOMO and panic sell get rich quick speculator crowd. This means slower, but, crucially, steady growth. This is why Bitcoin didn't blast off to $150k or $200k last year, and it is also why Bitcoin isn't heading into a year-plus long bear market now. Instead we're seeing gradual growth in waves as Bitcoin adoption continues to gradually take over the world (loooooong way still to go). Hence, a year ago Bitcoin was hitting $40k for the first time and that was a high value, now it's bottoming at $40k and is vastly oversold. Gradual but solid growth over the past year. And as we have seen, this growth will happen in waves of enthusiasm and despair as the price still bounces up and down a lot, just on a shorter time scale and with much less extremes than we saw in past cycles. We've seen two smaller cycles in the past year and Bitcoin is gearing up for the next one. Bitcoin is in great shape right now and 2022 looks very bullish indeed!

[Reatim]

Predicting the market from BTC point of view is becoming less significant. Recent trends have indicated that BTC movement now goes in opposite direction against some altcoins. Therefore, the market may not follow the existing circles which are derived from the influence of BTC over altcoins.

I never did believe prediction from the very beginning though i uses them as preference for my investment strategy , I read carefully those prediction and checking who is the most closer to my expectation and my instinct and then i will decide on my own and not relying on that specific speculative post.
in this i have saved my chances for many times not like in the past that i try to trust those predictions and brings me total losses .
now i learned my lessons and only believe my self and not someone that tries to lure me or try to get my sympathy and trust .

[Chato1977]

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

Your thoughts?

There is a possibilities that this is just the beginning of Bear market but what we can see now is a stable position of crypto in which market is believing to be more stronger and less volatile not like in the past year after halbing.

so the least could happen is the price may drop a little but will surely brings upward in the next year or so .

[yohananaomi]

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

Your thoughts?

While i try to believe that there are a bear market coming yet i will never buy that idea of lowering to even 22k? and will never really take that 16k 

Bitcoin will drop down only to at least 30k level and that is the lowest this can be ,I trust big company that invests in bitcoin to continue supporting the coins in the next years to come.

everyone will hope that what you say will come true, but we will not know because until now bitcoin can still continue to make corrections. indeed all will try to bitcoin not to sink deeper, even if possible maybe not to fall below $ 40K, but can it be done?

hopefully there is no bad news on bitcoin so that it can continue to be stable at the current price, because it is clear that many large companies currently holding bitcoin will also try to provide encouragement so that it does not continue to be corrected, because it will make the upgrade time slower.

[MainIbem]

Predicting the market from BTC point of view is becoming less significant. Recent trends have indicated that BTC movement now goes in opposite direction against some altcoins. Therefore, the market may not follow the existing circles which are derived from the influence of BTC over altcoins.

Says someone whose Avatar text talks about... fourth generation blockchain. At this rate, we might see 8 generations by next Bitcoin halving.

Like it or not, crypto is a Bitcoin point of view. Which recent (long-term) trends can you produce? Alts and deficoins getting ATH anytime in the last year is thanks to the (ongoing) rally of Bitcoin.

You'd have to be really stubborn to think otherwise.

Satochi was that stubborn and thought otherwise and here we are rallying around BTC, the creation of stubbornness. Time will tell.

[rodskee]

Predicting the market from BTC point of view is becoming less significant. Recent trends have indicated that BTC movement now goes in opposite direction against some altcoins. Therefore, the market may not follow the existing circles which are derived from the influence of BTC over altcoins.

Yeah and seems that most of predictions are going different direction , so i think it is better to risk choosing the other side when taking the prediction into consideration lol.

I don't think that we're going to follow the same patter before 2020, we broke that cycle in 2021 so I don't see how it's going to suddenly be the same, also if it was then how low would it go and will we see a big pump this year? Maybe we could also see the situation outside the market as a factor to the movement, what would happen if there's no more pandemic? Will we see more growth or decline?

There will be same as past happening because Crypto market now is more independent now comparing to the last years that is manipulated , now we can see that market is moving in direction that whales did not anticipated .

[Yaunfitda]

Predicting the market from BTC point of view is becoming less significant. Recent trends have indicated that BTC movement now goes in opposite direction against some altcoins. Therefore, the market may not follow the existing circles which are derived from the influence of BTC over altcoins.

Says someone whose Avatar text talks about... fourth generation blockchain. At this rate, we might see 8 generations by next Bitcoin halving.

Like it or not, crypto is a Bitcoin point of view. Which recent (long-term) trends can you produce? Alts and deficoins getting ATH anytime in the last year is thanks to the (ongoing) rally of Bitcoin.

You'd have to be really stubborn to think otherwise.

Satochi was that stubborn and thought otherwise and here we are rallying around BTC, the creation of stubbornness. Time will tell.

Stubborn in what way? he gifted us with his creation. And he knows that there are chances that it will fail or it will succeed. But alas, after 10 years, bitcoin has grown tremendously and steadily being adopted.

So yeah, time will tell, but at this point it is really moving forward in a positive way. We already established several facts already, like it's cycle, bear and bull market. And that what makes this market very interesting because it's really unpredictable and goes against the traditional financial markets.

[Epaper]

In my opinion, in 2022 the bitcoin bear market will continue at least until March, because bitcoin price movements will still experience a correction. If you look at the indicators or price movement charts, there is a possibility that Bitcoin will experience a price decline in the $40k-$42K support area.

[Mamun74]

I think This  year bitcoin price will be more pump like 2021.2021 Bitcoin price was huge increase i hope 2022 Bitcoin will be reached $70k+.Now bitcoin price around $42000+. I hope many new investor will come in soon and bitcoin price will recover this year.Bitcoin showing their similar pattern like 2012-2013.I thik bitcoin price movement  still correction.