Bitcoin 2022 bear market?

[Emitdama]

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

There is going to be a bear market taking place in this year, but it is not bad to keep on with the Hodl, because I’m currently holding my coins and not minding whether the market is going down or not, although I have already taken some of my profit and have decided to keep holding till another bull run takes place.

The bear will likely be taking place as it did before, would probably last for four or five years, although I think that the market wouldn’t really drop very low, maybe it would maintain the $40,000 price, because the market is huge now and dropping as low as $16,000 and $22,000 is more less likely to happen.

[lixer]

Indeed the history showing bitcoin have similar pattern since 2013 that the next year after reach new peak bitcoin price always be entering bear market and it happend too this year that the price dropped more than 39% compare to the highest price which happened on last year and this might be bitter for bitcoin users that if bitcoin following same pattern such as previous price then probably we will see new peak happend at 2025 but i wish this wrong because I want to see bitcoin price high again

I do not agree with this. If we keep the cycle going ourselves, then it will be a cycle, if we stop that cycle then it will not be one. People forget that it is us that decide where the market will go, many people react like there are some other power that changes the price of bitcoin and that is how it is decided but the reality is that it is not how that is decided. You buy it and make it go up, you sell it and make it go down, there are no other third party that ends up changing the price.

This is not some automatic market that goes up and down in circles and you just need to enter at the right timing, you just need to realize that market will do whatever you say it will do. In this case, it is not YOU of course, but a general "you" as in everyone. So if everyone wants to take it higher than we are going to see it go higher.

[ultrloa]

I think This  year bitcoin price will be more pump like 2021.2021 Bitcoin price was huge increase i hope 2022 Bitcoin will be reached $70k+.Now bitcoin price around $42000+. I hope many new investor will come in soon and bitcoin price will recover this year.Bitcoin showing their similar pattern like 2012-2013.I thik bitcoin price movement  still correction.

People hope for that to happen but what if this scenerio will not came? maybe we need to take action towards on how the market moves since if we just hope while the market is declining then provably we will miss some good movements which can generate us an income. So for me its good to do short term trades while waiting for the market to do something great on following months.

[Yaunfitda]

I think This  year bitcoin price will be more pump like 2021.2021 Bitcoin price was huge increase i hope 2022 Bitcoin will be reached $70k+.Now bitcoin price around $42000+. I hope many new investor will come in soon and bitcoin price will recover this year.Bitcoin showing their similar pattern like 2012-2013.I thik bitcoin price movement  still correction.

People hope for that to happen but what if this scenerio will not came? maybe we need to take action towards on how the market moves since if we just hope while the market is declining then provably we will miss some good movements which can generate us an income. So for me its good to do short term trades while waiting for the market to do something great on following months.

Yeah, and that is what I'm trying to say as way since December.
The price is already on a decline after hitting a ATH last November, and for sure the bear market might take over this 2022. I know the feeling though, it's really hard to see the price going down but we can't do anything but to prepare for the worst.
Maybe this first quarter alone might be a good gauge and know if we are really in a bear market or not or if there could be some surprise and we might bounce back. So we will have to see but expect the worst.

[perfect999]

The price is already on a decline after hitting a ATH last November, and for sure the bear market might take over this 2022. I know the feeling though, it's really hard to see the price going down but we can't do anything but to prepare for the worst.
Maybe this first quarter alone might be a good gauge and know if we are really in a bear market or not or if there could be some surprise and we might bounce back. So we will have to see but expect the worst.

Has there been a change in the fundamentals of the crypto world? Is bitcoin not what it is a few months ago? Is there any big bad code faulting going around? No? Then we should not be worried about anything at all right now.

We had China attacking bitcoin, we had Elon pump and dumping, we had second largest mining nation having a civil war going on, we had so many bad things in the news regarding crypto, the fact that inflation is now high in most major nations and people can find other means for investment also didn't help neither. So, crypto is still great, and it will still break the ATH price eventually, we just had a bad stretch, that's it.

[Shasha80]

I think This  year bitcoin price will be more pump like 2021.2021 Bitcoin price was huge increase i hope 2022 Bitcoin will be reached $70k+.Now bitcoin price around $42000+. I hope many new investor will come in soon and bitcoin price will recover this year.Bitcoin showing their similar pattern like 2012-2013.I thik bitcoin price movement  still correction.

People hope for that to happen but what if this scenerio will not came? maybe we need to take action towards on how the market moves since if we just hope while the market is declining then provably we will miss some good movements which can generate us an income. So for me its good to do short term trades while waiting for the market to do something great on following months.

That is the importance of us having careful planning, to be able to anticipate if Bitcoin does not move as expected. That's why we should always
have a backup plan in case the worst case scenario happens. But so far I see Bitcoin's performance is still quite good, the current market conditions
are only the effect of many investors taking profit. As long as Bitcoin support is strong and Bitcoin doesn't drop below $40k, I'm still optimistic
that investors will start buying Bitcoin again. So Bitcoin's rise will happen, we just need to be a little patient. But I agree with your suggestion,
with current Bitcoin price movements we can make short-term trades to be able to make a profit, because right now Bitcoin is currently only
moving between $41k-$43k price.

[Finestream]

I think This  year bitcoin price will be more pump like 2021.2021 Bitcoin price was huge increase i hope 2022 Bitcoin will be reached $70k+.Now bitcoin price around $42000+. I hope many new investor will come in soon and bitcoin price will recover this year.Bitcoin showing their similar pattern like 2012-2013.I thik bitcoin price movement  still correction.

People hope for that to happen but what if this scenerio will not came? maybe we need to take action towards on how the market moves since if we just hope while the market is declining then provably we will miss some good movements which can generate us an income. So for me its good to do short term trades while waiting for the market to do something great on following months.

Yeah, and that is what I'm trying to say as way since December.
The price is already on a decline after hitting a ATH last November, and for sure the bear market might take over this 2022. I know the feeling though, it's really hard to see the price going down but we can't do anything but to prepare for the worst.
Maybe this first quarter alone might be a good gauge and know if we are really in a bear market or not or if there could be some surprise and we might bounce back. So we will have to see but expect the worst.

Bearish season might give us the worst prices and eventually, worst results too if we can't manage our investments well. But if we can make this a better opportunity to invest in the market, i guess that will be an advantage from having this bearish season. Because its not forever that we will experience all this bear season, sooner we will witness a bullish season that will pays off all our sacrifices and preparations we have at the moment.

[sunsilk]

In my opinion, in 2022 the bitcoin bear market will continue at least until March, because bitcoin price movements will still experience a correction.

That's the charts pattern and I guess you're basing it from last year. March is always the month that doesn't look good and are we really calling this time that we're in a bear market? It's not feeling like a bear market to me but I understand the others are calling it a bear market because they're likely bought higher than the support.

If you look at the indicators or price movement charts, there is a possibility that Bitcoin will experience a price decline in the $40k-$42K support area.

In a 3-weeks chart, bitcoin was almost closing in under $40k as it reached the support. But it didn't go below that, it had actually hit the $40k support and it's staying long from $41k-$42k point. Now, here goes the worry if it will eventually fall under $40k surprising or going to break the next price walls next to $42k.

[Ozero]

Indeed the history showing bitcoin have similar pattern since 2013 that the next year after reach new peak bitcoin price always be entering bear market and it happend too this year that the price dropped more than 39% compare to the highest price which happened on last year and this might be bitter for bitcoin users that if bitcoin following same pattern such as previous price then probably we will see new peak happend at 2025 but i wish this wrong because I want to see bitcoin price high again

The cryptocurrency market will not always work with the same cycle between rise and fall. It develops very quickly and also changes very quickly. More people and organizations are joining this market. Therefore, it seems to me that it will work more dynamically and there will be no big bearish periods. However, all this will be learned in practice. But I don't expect the current bear period to last too long. This year we will again see a good growth of our cryptocurrencies.

[STT]

I wouldn't call it out as a bear market, most likely we skip and repeat similar action to 2021.   More optimistically this can be labelled as revision and consolidation, much like when you learn something to train better in that subject sometimes the market requires to know better its users, its customers and even speculators.   Revising prior price action in this way helps to build volume and its actually a bullish formation longer term.
  BTC is a longer term product more then we realize, its easily appearing something else due to often sharp rises and general volatility.  I think we require this year of steady price introspection, dont assume negative conclusions just because its not immediately positive.

[jaberwock]

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

The market might even go as low as 21k (which was once an all time high at a particular time), it shouldn't be a reason to panic because after the bearish season we will have a bullish season too. But, at the same time we all should be ready for the worst case scenario.

Right now, market is doing good and it may get into bullish trend from this point as well, we cannot be sure about  what is going to happen here after. So, getting ready to anything will help any bitcoin investor.

[RealMalatesta]

I wouldn't call it out as a bear market, most likely we skip and repeat similar action to 2021.   More optimistically this can be labelled as revision and consolidation, much like when you learn something to train better in that subject sometimes the market requires to know better its users, its customers and even speculators.   Revising prior price action in this way helps to build volume and its actually a bullish formation longer term.
  BTC is a longer term product more then we realize, its easily appearing something else due to often sharp rises and general volatility.  I think we require this year of steady price introspection, dont assume negative conclusions just because its not immediately positive.

Accumulation as well. We could call this one accumulation and that is a very real thing in the crypto world. Sometimes prices go down, it stays there for a while, whales end up buying small by small without hyping the market, then they buy a ton and pay millions to news agencies to promote crypto again and suddenly you see bitcoin news everywhere and price skyrockets and gets to a new ATH and suddenly they get out.

They don't even do it right after ATH neither, they do it a bit afterwards, like maybe 10-20% higher. That's how you make a profit, that's how whales do it. This could be very well an accumulation phase for crypto right now and in the future we could see it go higher. Let's assume for a second that you are a very wealthy person, you have houses and all other things, so you do not worry about money, wouldn't you risk it like this as well?

[usekevin]

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

Your thoughts?

Since the corona Sustain this year also, we don't have any option. People need of money for their all expenses. So they will sell their valuable coin, even though it was a mistake. We don't have a chance. For the livelihood, we need to sell all the holding. People with good assests as their holding will not sell and it's reason for some how little reduction in the price of the coin. It also the reason for the small pump in the bear market.

[Raflesia]

Overnight bitcoin fell from its initial pump to $42k and dropped back to $38k of course this will be a panic that happens is bearish not a real rally will the bear market continue to rule the current market? I think a lot of people think a bear market is coming and in 2022 we can't expect much more for the first quarter, but we'll try in the next quarter how to see how the other big investors react.

I will remain vigilant for me this is still unstable from the current situation.

[jamkesmas]

looking at last year's phenomenon I'm sure btc will not touch 20k, according to my analysis by referring to 2021 I'm sure bitcoin will be fine, meaning bitcoin will experience a positive trend although sometimes it has a negative trend.

I agree with you. Looking at the phenomenon last year btc will not touch 20k, but in my opinion btc this year will be bearish with reference to a 4 year cycle. But even though btc is experiencing a downward trend but I don't think it will reach 20k.

[Mamun74]

Previous year at the similar time bitcoin price was Under $30k.Now bitcoin price around $35k+.I Think bitcoin still movement price correction. Decentralization will be never stable it will pump and dump.I hope bitcoin price will be recover soon and i hope bitcoin price wil be more increase like 2021.

[elisabetheva]

Previous year at the similar time bitcoin price was Under $30k.Now bitcoin price around $35k+.I Think bitcoin still movement price correction. Decentralization will be never stable it will pump and dump.I hope bitcoin price will be recover soon and i hope bitcoin price wil be more increase like 2021.

all hope that there will indeed be changes soon and it could be that what you want that will increase like 2021 could happen again. which will start at the beginning of February of course and we will see at the end of this month whether there are signs that lead to an increase again.

if indeed there is a change that leads to improvement it is not impossible that an analysis of the price of $100K will be realized this year, where last year all analyzes were not proven and could only reach ATH $69,044.77 - Nov 10, 2021.
we will wait for this good news because we hope that the new growing project will be even more exciting.

[cryptomaniac_xxx]

Overnight bitcoin fell from its initial pump to $42k and dropped back to $38k of course this will be a panic that happens is bearish not a real rally will the bear market continue to rule the current market? I think a lot of people think a bear market is coming and in 2022 we can't expect much more for the first quarter, but we'll try in the next quarter how to see how the other big investors react.

I will remain vigilant for me this is still unstable from the current situation.

It's trying to reclaim the $38k price after a huge fall to $32k. So now we are in a pump, not sure how sustainable it is, but at least we are in the green in the last 2 days or so. A good indication that after so much FUD and the Omicron effect, the price is way above as what we are expected. And we are not even at the end of first quarter, maybe we can still maintain this growth to at least $50k.

[Yaunfitda]

The price is already on a decline after hitting a ATH last November, and for sure the bear market might take over this 2022. I know the feeling though, it's really hard to see the price going down but we can't do anything but to prepare for the worst.
Maybe this first quarter alone might be a good gauge and know if we are really in a bear market or not or if there could be some surprise and we might bounce back. So we will have to see but expect the worst.

Has there been a change in the fundamentals of the crypto world? Is bitcoin not what it is a few months ago? Is there any big bad code faulting going around? No? Then we should not be worried about anything at all right now.

Even at bear market, the fundamentals are not going to change, it is the sentiments that affects the price.

We had China attacking bitcoin, we had Elon pump and dumping, we had second largest mining nation having a civil war going on, we had so many bad things in the news regarding crypto, the fact that inflation is now high in most major nations and people can find other means for investment also didn't help neither. So, crypto is still great, and it will still break the ATH price eventually, we just had a bad stretch, that's it.

Yeah, but you can't deny that these factors have really affected the price negatively right? From all time high of $69k so now at $37k. So price perspective is bad and admit it or not, the market is really on a bad shape and we are in a bear market.

[coolcoinz]

It's true that if we follow the 4-year cycle, it should start the bear market by now. But before the bull run has started by 2021 and halving of 2020. The bull run has already started by the end of 2020 which shouldn't happen if we're following the cycle.

In that case, there's already the change from that pattern and cycle that we used to follow.

It's not the only pattern that changed. Before 2021 the bull runs took us at least 10x up, ended with an overheated top and were followed by a huge correction (50% in a few days) and a dead cat bounce.
This time there was just a 3x increase in price, a slow correction to 50%, another top, followed up by another 50% correction, but both times no dead cat bounce. IMO we can't rely on the previous bull markets anymore because each of them were different and each consecutive one had more institutional investors compared to the retail.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

16k? how did you come up with this number? It makes no sense because the bull run did not start at 16 and this level was never an important resistance. 16k was never a top nor a bottom of any correction. Also, there's bitcoin's 200 week MA, which has served as the indicator of the lowest point in bear markets for the last 10 years and it's currently at 19k. On top of that there's mining profitability
level that currently at 30k, which is why this level is holding as a resistance. Miner capitulation is possible of course, but I don't think it's possible to go 50% below the profitability level. For this reason I feel like you took a random number without too much thinking.