Prediction contest: when will bitcoin break $4? or will it never break $4?

[molecular]

A friend who's in liquor production
Owns a still of astounding construction.
The alcohol boils
Through old magnet coils;
She says that it's "proof by induction."

hahaa!

[1715050817]

1715050817

[1715050817]

1715050817

[1715050817]

1715050817

[dancupid]

I predict this will happen on May 10th 2011

Edit - please send my prize winnings to 1BTC1oo1J3MEt5SFj74ZBcF2Mk97Aah4ac

[old_engineer]

I predict this will happen on May 10th 2011

Edit - please send my prize winnings to 1BTC1oo1J3MEt5SFj74ZBcF2Mk97Aah4ac

I see what you did there.

[molecular]

What really matters for the price is whether Keiser is successful in his 1 million bitcoin users campaign (and I suspect he will be).

Expect another bubble, everyone!  This time, you're the early adopters.   

Hehe. Well said. Keiser campaign will probably pick up in Jan, dunno exactly when

I never heard about this? Link or anything? Google does not help much. Thanks.

I probably used too big a word here: "campaign".

But he (and stacy) are "definitely going try to leverage [their] media space to try to get that number achieved.". That number being the 1 Million new bitcoin users in 2012. (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sFSbj-MidPw)

[amencon]

Feb 2nd 2012

 Bonus prediction of daily high of 4.14760
in case you put a second reward for guessing what it breaks 4.00 at. ;p

not fair, we're not supposed to compete with time-travelers... 

  Is it you that answered my ad next year? 

Haha I love that ad.  I actually grew up in Oakview CA and I really wish the area was as cool as you'd think it is.

[Cluster2k]

What really matters for the price is whether Keiser is successful in his 1 million bitcoin users campaign (and I suspect he will be).

Expect another bubble, everyone!  This time, you're the early adopters.   

Hehe. Well said. Keiser campaign will probably pick up in Jan, dunno exactly when

Max's campaign to crash Goldman Sach's through purchasing silver to make the price skyrocket was a bit of a fizzler.  The price did rise in a bubble earlier this year, but just as quickly popped.  Goldman is still here.  I sold my stash of silver at a very handy profit.  I doubt I should be thanking Max for that.

Max's bitcoin campaign may be a little more successful, but hopefully it won't come across as a 'buy my bitcoins' campaign.

[bittenbob]

Looks like Goat won again. U are one lucky guessing SOB.

[the joint]

Dec. 19

Um, and what about me?

I think you can send MY prize winnings to the address in my Sig.

[paraipan]

yep, we have the winner...

edit: we're at Dec 20th by GMT (price chart)

Dec 12th   Crypt_Current
Dec 13th   adamstgBit (depending on the time zone)
Dec 14th   adamstgBit ...
Dec 15th   kinghajj
Dec 16th   antoineph
Dec 19th   the joint
Dec 20th   Goat           <Winner>
Dec 21th   BTCurious
Dec 25th   tulkos
Dec 28th   marhjan

Jan 1st      RaggedMonk
Jan 2nd      Scott J
Jan 5.1      Cluster2k
Jan 13th   paraipan
Jan 14th   bittenbob
Jan 15th   Peter Lambert
Jan 16th   pent (mid Jan)
Jan 21th   payb.tc
Jan 29th   old_engineer
Jan 23th   ineededausername
Jan 24th   molecular

Feb 2nd      sadpandatech (prediction of daily high of 4.14760)

Apr 1st      Dansker

Jun 27th   trogdorjw73

latter half of 2012   BadBear

[bittenbob]

Dec. 19

Um, and what about me?

I think you can send MY prize winnings to the address in my Sig.

Was December 20 according to GMT. I think this is what was meant by the bet but you would have to wait for engineer to decide that for you.

[cypherdoc]

Goat won my contest too.  Way to go!

[the joint]

Um, GMT should NOT be the standard.  Why would I, someone who uses US central time, make a guess based upon GMT?

There is no statement in the OP clarifying that it is according to GMT.  If that chart link was based on Central time, then it would be unfair for the guy guessing on GMT time.

I commented first, I won, please pay.

[paraipan]

Um, GMT should NOT be the standard.  Why would I, someone who uses US central time, make a guess based upon GMT?

true 

[bittenbob]

For a start the market opens and closes at 12GMT

[the joint]

For a start the market opens and closes at 12GMT

Show me where that is implied in the OP and I will agree with you.

The bet was to make a guess what day the price would break $4, NOT what day according to GMT.

[bittenbob]

They asked why, I gave the reason. The other reason is you end up with 2 or more winners with different dates like we had happen. Let Old Engineer decide... not my battle.

[the joint]

They asked why, I gave the reason. The other reason is you end up with 2 or more winners with different dates like we had happen. Let Old Engineer decide... not my battle.

I was about to ask why you were fighting it.

And, the "other reason" u mention doesn't exist because it states in the event of a tie-break it goes to the first guesser...which was me.

[cypherdoc]

Goat won my contest too.  Way to go!

I was using Thai time as I am in Thailand. Its 11am here. Yeah I have been damned lucky hitting this. I'm massively up on bitconica:)

Where oh where are all the bears who have been bragging about being massively up on Bitcoinica?

[ineededausername]

Goat won my contest too.  Way to go!

I was using Thai time as I am in Thailand. Its 11am here. Yeah I have been damned lucky hitting this. I'm massively up on bitconica:)

Where oh where are all the bears who have been bragging about being massively up on Bitcoinica?

Jumping out the 11th floor window, that's where.

[finway]

That's quick.