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Author Topic: Evaluating Tokenomics  (Read 163 times)
wtsimis (OP)
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April 26, 2022, 08:43:12 AM
Last edit: April 26, 2022, 09:09:21 AM by wtsimis
 #1

Have you ever wondered why some of the coins you hold perform worse than others? One of the main reasons that are often overlooked is tokenomics. Even if a project has a good team or a significant investment, it can perform poorly if its tokenomics plan is not executed correctly.

What is Tokenomics?
Tokenomics is ​​an acronym for Token + Economics. Thus, it is an economic concept of a token or coin. You can think of Tokenomics as the economic environment surrounding the tokens of each project. But this idea works against society's regular economy, which the government or bankers usually control. The crypto economy is entirely controlled by code. So, this means some conditions like, "What is the token used for? What is the underline protocol? Who receives the token as a reward? All the terms are based on the project code. Tokenomics is ​​very important for any crypto project.

Matrix 1: Market Cap
Most of us in the crypto market are familiar with this term.
     Token value * Circulating supply = market cap
  
Looking at the market cap of any crypto token, rather than looking at the market price, is considered a good focusing point. For example:
Both Loopering and Cardano cost about $ 1, but on the one hand, the LRP market cap is about $ 1.13 billion, and on the other hand, the ADA market cap is about $ 30 billion. Marketcap is an indicator of how easily a token price can be manipulated. Since the market cap of LRP is less than that of ADA, then the market of LRP can be easily pumped and dumped as compared to ADA.
 
 
Matrix 2: Max supply
Many tokens do not have a complete supply at the time of project launching. Projects lock up some for future distribution so that the initial investors cannot dump at once or keep the market environment stable for a long time.
Basically, this matrix gives investors an idea of ​​how many tokens are yet to come in the future market or how many tokens currently exist. Note that some projects do not have maximum supply (i.e. unlimited supply).
 
Matrix 3: Token Distribution
Token distribution is how tokens are distributed in its ecosystem. Anyone can imagine delivering every token on a pie chart.
 


Each segment represents a token for a team, investor or stakes. The matrix helped us to understand how tokens were split at launch (initial token distribution). If a small number of insiders hold a lot of tokens, the price is much higher at the risk of sudden manipulation like dumps and pumps. Ideally, each project will be an entirely fair launch which means everyone will have the opportunity to buy tokens from the actual price. In this case, the tokens are widely distributed from the beginning.

Matrix 4: Private Sale
Each project raises funds in various ways before launching its token, which is done in a few steps. They often do the Rising Rounds more than once with different rules. Early rounds are usually reserved for private investors, and they can collect per token at the lowest price. This matrix shows us what value these private investors invest and how many tokens they receive in return; We can use this information to estimate how much profit they are willing to sell at any price level. For example, we are in the middle of the beer market, and we all have portfolios tied. But private investors can still make huge profits. They have entered at such a low price; They are also profitable in the deep beer market.

Matrix 6: Token Utility
There are generally six common things used for any token project. Such as:
Payment
Basically, the purpose of such a token is a coin that can be used to pay for goods and services. (Bitcoin, Litecoin)

Transaction costs
In such projects, project team users are charged some tokens for performing on the network. Ethereum, the Binance chain, would be a good example of this.

Access to services
Many projects take payment on their tokens to use their services. Example: Paying for project tokens to save and retrieve data. Such as Filecoin and Storj.

Discount or cashback
We usually see this type of scheme with Exchange, where if you hold or use their tokens, you will get some discount on a trading fee or get cash back on their tokens. For example, Binance offers you a fee to hold BNB, and Crypto.com's debit card gives its users cashback on CRO tokens.

Stacking
In a proof-of-stack blockchain, you can use their tokens and be a validator, which helps increase network security and decentralization. Stakers and validators are usually rewarded in the form of more tickets.

Governance
These are projects where token holders collectively manage the network by the protocol submission to vote on different proposals. Nowadays, we often see these DeFi projects where token holders can control stacking rewards or decide which assets to add or remove. Generally speaking, the more tokens you keep, the heavier your vote will be.

These are the general token utility of the crypto industry, but nowadays, many other utilities like Metaverse, NFT etc., have boomed in the industry.

                                                                        Last word
Many may have a better idea of ​​what to look for when evaluating project tokenomics. In fact, not in all sections can be perfect for any project. Tokenomics is very important because not all super tokenomics guarantee the success of a project. The success of any project depends on many other factors. If we look at the market, many projects work well with terrible tokenomics because they are protected from other factors. (But I'm not talking about Dogecoin here).
Tokenomics provides real utility within a standard token ecosystem. When a user does some research on the tokenomics of a project, they can use many websites like Coinmarketcap, Coingecko, ICOdrop and Messari to find the information they need. If some information about a particular project doesn't come out, ask the project team, but if they refuse to share it, it could be a red signal.

The article translated from: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=631891.msg59968267#msg59968267
The article is inspired by Coinsider youtube channel
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April 26, 2022, 05:16:26 PM
 #2

Well tokenomics is basically based on concepts which can be applied very easily to the basic investments as well therefore I do think that is wise to be able to actually applying different laws for sure. One needs to understand that it's not about overlooking but it's more about being too focused on the investment price and the price of certain asset.

For me I do have certain things I follow up when I think about following a token :
1. Bitcoin above all << that's literally what I follow >> 
2. Things like shiba and doge are all going well, with them having more than 25% of increase people can definately start investing during the lows
But ! These coins are very manipulated by the things like Twitter.

Manipulation of the market is a big probelm therefore I do think we should have some form of buffer system that can protect that.
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April 27, 2022, 11:58:19 PM
Last edit: April 30, 2022, 11:25:25 PM by coupable
 #3

What is Tokenomics?
Tokenomics is ​​an acronym for Token + Economics. Thus, it is an economic concept of a token or coin. You can think of Tokenomics as the economic environment surrounding the tokens of each project. But this idea works against society's regular economy, which the government or bankers usually control. The crypto economy is entirely controlled by code. So, this means some conditions like, "What is the token used for? What is the underline protocol? Who receives the token as a reward? All the terms are based on the project code. Tokenomics is ​​very important for any crypto project.
It can be simply resumed in two major concepts for all the projects in its field :
- The way the creation of tokens will be managed for the proper functioning of the project.
- The participation in the governance {This concept applies for certain Defi projects} which makes it possible to create communities of users monitoring the evolution of the project over time.

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April 28, 2022, 11:45:32 PM
 #4

I think tokenomics valuation is all about basic fundamentals.

While marketing and hype train elements of tokenomics seek to make everything about gimmicks.

Tokens need a solid foundation to thrive: good team, good concept, good implemention, good market niche, good community. That can help to guarantee long term growth. Long term growth and stability which could be boring for most who seek short term gratification. And therein lies the difficulty many will face with token eval.

The most valuable and best performing tokens are ones that helped to solve basic problems or provide people with greater tools and opportunities. There is a certain honesty and dignity in these types of projects which seek to provide legitimate value to their user base. They don't need excitement or hype.
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April 30, 2022, 11:41:44 AM
 #5

but the most important of all is how the platform can realize their plans and can attract users in the crypto market to use their platform ... because without a clear realization and design, the economy of a token tends to be unstable and prone to being abandoned by its users
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April 30, 2022, 12:02:41 PM
 #6

but the most important of all is how the platform can realize their plans and can attract users in the crypto market to use their platform ... because without a clear realization and design, the economy of a token tends to be unstable and prone to being abandoned by its users

Attracting users to the platform is the second important aspect i would say, the most important of all is the tokenomic just as the list above outlined, without a good tokenomics which is a big part of the plan how do you expect them to attract users?
People get attracted immediately with what the project is about or what they tend to bring to blockchain, the supply, the benefit investors will gain for holding and so on. No project will attract investors (the right ones anyways) without having clear laid own agenda.
Am not sure you understand what you are saying with "economy tends to be unstable" if there is no economy there is no project, that will mean the project has nothing to offer.

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April 30, 2022, 04:41:50 PM
Last edit: April 30, 2022, 05:02:07 PM by hugeblack
 #7

You must not forget two important rules:

 - Learn how to look for loopholes that might make you suspect a scam site.
 - Being able to verify all the information: All platforms can lie about the information above, so unless you can verify the information, it is useless.

Therefore, even if you verify all these points, the project may turn into scam, and if it does not turn into scam, it may not be a good investment.

In short, Dont invest in any altcoin or any project if you didn't really know what to do or you studied the site from all sides.

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April 30, 2022, 05:37:43 PM
 #8

but the most important of all is how the platform can realize their plans and can attract users in the crypto market to use their platform ... because without a clear realization and design, the economy of a token tends to be unstable and prone to being abandoned by its users
Attracting users to a project involves lots of conviction especially when the white paper isn't clear enough to state the exact motive of the token. But the challenge with token economics is that most investors fails in making concrete research all the wait for is signals and influencers to give them which token to invest in. And the reason good projects suffer and scam projects succeeds

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May 07, 2022, 04:52:46 PM
 #9

How a token is launched and distributed is a very important part of a good project and a bad distribution can also fail good project ideas.
A lack of scarcity is a big red flag for any token.
We have seen it very often already.

While is good token distribution is important, we know much more points a good project needs to deliever:

A good team

a good project needs a good and experienced team. Crypto is a fast-changing industrie and projects need to keep up developing new features for advanced projects. For building a good project, it requires A LOT of knowledge, experience and how to proceed in a constantly evolving market.
Of course, a good, hardworking team is not a guarantee for a good project.


A good idea

A project, where no good idea is built, will quickly become useless.
Because who will be using it if it's not gonna be needed? We have already enough coins and tokens.
Only few projects are useful and unique. 


So far, many coins have arrived but only few could establish a good project. Remember 4 years ago, maybe people still remember EOS, it was praised as a good project but it never gained traction because it was a centralized project depending on dPoS (delegated PoS, which is very centralized).
And so are many new projects today, doomed to fail because of a lack of decentralization because of greedy devs or just because it's an inflationary shitcoin. Some coins have very little legitimacy to exist and still people are falling for it because of hype.
Some coins are doing a good marketing to cover up a very bad product.
It's important to know how some projects are doing a fraudulent marketing to deceive inexperienced people.

For projects build on top of coins, it's very similar. Only very few were delievering a good project and 99% are meaningless very quicky. For each Uniswap, we can be sure are 99 failed swap platforms.

A very safe bet it to alocate a high percentage of risk calculating by only HODLing BTC and some ETH but be very careful for smaller coins / tokens.

= Smaller coins / tokens have a very high possibility to fail.

⁓ chenille! ⁓
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May 07, 2022, 10:17:15 PM
 #10

You must not forget two important rules:

 - Learn how to look for loopholes that might make you suspect a scam site.
 - Being able to verify all the information: All platforms can lie about the information above, so unless you can verify the information, it is useless.

Therefore, even if you verify all these points, the project may turn into scam, and if it does not turn into scam, it may not be a good investment.

In short, Dont invest in any altcoin or any project if you didn't really know what to do or you studied the site from all sides.

Yes, they can very well present a nice tokenomics for the project but all they want is to pocket money once they collected the funds from their investors. Countless times that we have seen a well-written whitepaper, well-explained roadmap or well-thought tokenomics, but where will they end up? So whatever they will do to present their tokenomics, it is still relies on the real motivation of the dev team. Are they here for long-term and suffice their goals? Or just another get-rich-quick project?
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May 07, 2022, 10:24:18 PM
 #11

Payment
Basically, the purpose of such a token is a coin that can be used to pay for goods and services. (Bitcoin, Litecoin)

There are thousands of tokens and altcoins and most of them promise that they will be used as money, and none of them actually gets used. Same goes for smart-cotracts - they only find use inside the crypto sphere and not in mainstream economy. So the "objective" value of almost any token is zero.
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May 07, 2022, 10:57:40 PM
 #12

The project must meet the expectations of investors. But sometimes the team offers everything promised to investors and the bad market situation makes investors sell their tokens for others that offer better benefits momentarily.
There is also a movement that is causing investors to turn their attention away from the top ten of the market to buy NFTs.
It is being seen that there are investors keeping their NFTs as a reserve instead of their coins.

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May 08, 2022, 03:00:19 PM
 #13

It is being seen that there are investors keeping their NFTs as a reserve instead of their coins.
Yes, it is very sad and risky.
Because you need to know about NFT: NFT's are completely illiquid. Each NFT needs a single buyer who decides to buy it and it will be really, really hard for you, to find someone willing to buy your NFT.
Someone needs to see your NFT on Open Sea and pay your price.

A NFT is not like a coin or a token, where much liquidity is around because a coin or a token has many units to be requested by buyers. So many people are willing to buy BTC or a different coin, but how about YOUR single NFT?

It is very unlikely to get a buyer because wise people will know how hard it will be to sell it again. So almost nobody wants to buy a NFT.

Some NFT are already dyed out and a statistic recently has shown a 90% loss of price for a wide range of NFT.

NFT is quite useless.
It's illiquid and prone for a big loss.

⁓ chenille! ⁓
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