Sportsbet.io UEFA Nations League Prediction Pool Discussion Thread

[casperBGD]

~snip

We've barely witness goals for majority of this nations league, but today goals seems to flying all over, I feel bad enough for Hungary, I really wish they'd secure that top spot, kudos to Italy.

same feeling about Hungary, but hedged it with bet on Italy, so both outcomes make me happy
Hungary had good run, won some remarkable matches, but it was clear that they are not going to make it today, they are simply low quality team, and this was like final for them (and they even not needed to win the match, just to pick the draw)

England and Germany provided goals in the end, Kane converted one more penalty, would be interesting to see penalty percentage for his goals

[ILuckyGuyI]

Such an insane game by England and Germany tonight!

They made us experience every kind of emotion tonight.    England's comeback was unbelievably awesome! While you are 2-0 behind and defensively weak it isn't easy for you to pull yourself together and fight for the win still. But England did it in a very short time period. But this was still not enough to cover their weaknesses in defense. This time because of Nick Pope's mistake Germany found the equalizer and didn't let them win 3-2.

Maybe Maguire and Pope didn't deserve the win but the rest of the team deserved this after turning the game around superbly. But they had to make do with a 3-3 draw I'm afraid.

[tomahawk9]

well, it was really fascinating to see the live reactions of England fans on social media tonight... everyone went from "this team is a disgrace" after the 0-2, to "It's coming home, lads!!1" after the big comeback,, and then again "absolute disgrace!" with the 3-3. What a roallercoaster 

So I really have nothing to say, Faroe Islands are 2-0 up and I'm really wondering if I should just stop betting? 

it was a fluke. 1.3 odds not hitting, meh it is what it is, happens to best of us. No reason to stop tbh, as long as it is money you can afford to lose, keep going and you'll hit the next one 

EDIT: I guess I was rather too hasty with my post, it's 3-3 now!

hell of a game! Not the best result but at least it'll boost the morale of England NT and the fans,, Sure the team failed to put an end to the winless streak, but at least they were able to find the net, they showed some good bits of exciting football and there's some hope that this team can improve.

[LTU_btc]

Today I made short break from betting after bad run. And seems that it wasn't bad decision. It already looked that England will have another disgraceful performance, but they managed to make comeback from 0:2 to 2:2 and even took a lead. Not for long, Pope made big mistake and let Havertz to score easy goal. Any way, today's game showed that England is capable to play.
I put draw on Hungary - Italy game, but somehow I didn't realized that Italy still have chance to take 1st place in group and win for them would be important today. And they did it.

I also had 4 bets and lost 3. Only one I won was Faroe Islands. There was obviously something hugely wrong with Turkish National team. I even heard they might lost on purpose so the Turkish football federation people would resign, nevertheless this is an extreme thought.

Interesting, inside drama in Turkish team isn't something new. But this time I guess they simply didn't looked into game seriously, after they alread had guaranted 1st place in group.

well, it was really fascinating to see the live reactions of England fans on social media tonight... everyone went from "this team is a disgrace" after the 0-2, to "It's coming home, lads!!1" after the big comeback,, and then again "absolute disgrace!" with the 3-3. What a roallercoaster  

LOL . Typical England fans.

[CLS63]

...

We Turks really love chaos. People were talking about sacking the coach even before the Luxembourg match. They didn't even concede any goal in the group then. After these results this kind of talks have increased in number. In my opinion, there will be a change of coach for Turkey national team in the near future. The biggest reason for it is that the media want to see a local and more prominent name to work with the team rather than a failure of the current coach.

I believe everybody is aware that France national team is worth more then teams of Croatia, Denmark and Austria combined but to put things into even better perspective France has 2M registered football players just on men's side. That is half of the whole Croatian population so it is probably fair to say that they have same amount of footballers like we have men in our country.

Yesterday Trofo made a calculation here. If I make a similar calculation there are 13985 men who are aged between 15 and 54 living in Faroe Islands which Turkey lost to. The level of the shock has been big in the country as we lost to a country that is having a difficulty in even finding people for a match on astro pitch.

Anyway, I have positive news for me. I'm not at the last position in the pool anymore. 😂

[slaman29]

Today I am putting extra big bet on England - Germany both to score. This game means nothing to either of them, England is relegated and Germany can't win the group. But England must show something to improve the mood before World Cup while Germany would be happy to add few more nails to their coffin.

Really need one win in this competition to offset all the loses   stll can't belive Belgium or France didn't score yesterday.

You must have felt so happy when England finally scored. After not getting a single field goal from the entire tournament they managed to get 3, but also, they let in 3. Both teams probably spoke to each other and agreed they should score many goals to make sure their bosses stayed in their jobs lol.

BTTS dangerous in Nations League.

[Trofo]

Today I am putting extra big bet on England - Germany both to score. This game means nothing to either of them, England is relegated and Germany can't win the group. But England must show something to improve the mood before World Cup while Germany would be happy to add few more nails to their coffin.

Really need one win in this competition to offset all the loses   stll can't belive Belgium or France didn't score yesterday.

You must have felt so happy when England finally scored. After not getting a single field goal from the entire tournament they managed to get 3, but also, they let in 3. Both teams probably spoke to each other and agreed they should score many goals to make sure their bosses stayed in their jobs lol.

BTTS dangerous in Nations League.

It is very dangerous in national football to play both to score but that is why we have better odds. For instance I was quite sure this game will have at least 4 goals, even went for 2:2 in the pool and odds were 1.88. Great value and finally it passed. I was also sure France would not lose day before and I expected more goals from some other teams.

That is why I ended up so deep in red. This bet is enough to bring me close to zero, so skipping betting on this competition and waiting for club football to resume.

[swogerino]

Today I am putting extra big bet on England - Germany both to score. This game means nothing to either of them, England is relegated and Germany can't win the group. But England must show something to improve the mood before World Cup while Germany would be happy to add few more nails to their coffin.

Really need one win in this competition to offset all the loses   stll can't belive Belgium or France didn't score yesterday.

You must have felt so happy when England finally scored. After not getting a single field goal from the entire tournament they managed to get 3, but also, they let in 3. Both teams probably spoke to each other and agreed they should score many goals to make sure their bosses stayed in their jobs lol.

BTTS dangerous in Nations League.

It is very dangerous in national football to play both to score but that is why we have better odds. For instance I was quite sure this game will have at least 4 goals, even went for 2:2 in the pool and odds were 1.88. Great value and finally it passed. I was also sure France would not lose day before and I expected more goals from some other teams.

That is why I ended up so deep in red. This bet is enough to bring me close to zero, so skipping betting on this competition and waiting for club football to resume.

You can most likely rest assured that Portugal vs Spain will be a both teams to score yes as both teams will play normally and will not underestimate this game,against Switzerland Spain completely underestimated the game and they played extremely poorly,they just kept ball possession but every other dangerous stat was in favor of Switzerland which won the game.

Also I expect a both teams to score yes in Switzerland vs Czech Republic game and of course a Switzerland win after seeing their great game play against Spain.

[casperBGD]

-snip

Also I expect a both teams to score yes in Switzerland vs Czech Republic game and of course a Switzerland win after seeing their great game play against Spain.

Swiss has goal in first 15' minutes in five of last six matches home in Nations league, so should happen again

nevertheless, I have some bets on Czech to win and Spain to win, and this time I also have these in Superbru (it is last round, so nothing to lose)

Portugal is good team, but they also needed home draw to qualify to WC against Serbia, and lost, and Spain is way better than Serbia (although I would like it differently)

[swogerino]

-snip

Also I expect a both teams to score yes in Switzerland vs Czech Republic game and of course a Switzerland win after seeing their great game play against Spain.

Swiss has goal in first 15' minutes in five of last six matches home in Nations league, so should happen again

nevertheless, I have some bets on Czech to win and Spain to win, and this time I also have these in Superbru (it is last round, so nothing to lose)

Portugal is good team, but they also needed home draw to qualify to WC against Serbia, and lost, and Spain is way better than Serbia (although I would like it differently)

I agree to your comparison as Spain is better than Serbia but the problem is that Spain had a lot of difficulties in the game against Switzerland at home so Portugal in the same context comparison like you did it is much stronger than Switzerland and the fact that they lost against Serbia means the tensions were much higher than they are in the Nations League.Portugal is also the team that won this league in the inaugural year of 2019 and why not them to qualify again for the play offs phase of this league in 2022.

[buwaytress]

Good to see it end up well for you Trofo. I hate doing that, to be honest, big final bet to wipe the slate clean, but I fully understand the feeling my man, do it way too often since last season haha.

So it'll be Croatia, Italy, Netherlands and... I would say, Portugal? (I think Trofo's right, they'll play for a pragmatic draw but might even win it).

Speaking of Trofo's calculations, of course, we can't compare directly because different countries have different developmental attributes but to make it worse, France's 2 M footballers probably have even more value because of the development facilities the nation has. So we can revel in their shame!

The last time I came up with something similar was 2 Olympics ago. A kid from my village (my people's population is about 180,000 people, though we represent a much bigger country) won silver at diving... we aren't known swimmers, never mind medallists, certainly not divers, don't even have a pool to practise in, but apparently she used a deep end of a river and somehow outperformed in the finals.

Anyway I recall reading also that Chinese divers across the whole academy were over 1 million. 5 times more than my entire population. Not the type to feel proud about something I got nothing to do with but felt pretty chuffed about the kid too!

Whoops, veering off.

Lovren is starting for Croatia - which probably means that Dalić is still on the fence and unsure whether it will be him or Šutalo alongside Gvardiol in Qatar.

I don't like how our team is set up for the game - but it is still a team that should dominate against Austria. We have lost the first game against them in a disappointing way, I think we won't underestimate them again. After all, a win takes us to the semifinals.

Welcome to the semifinals... all the bloody way in June! Missed this thread by a brainfart and wrote somewhere else initially heh. I still like seeing Lovren play, but was sweet that he got the goal too!

[Trofo]

Lovren is starting for Croatia - which probably means that Dalić is still on the fence and unsure whether it will be him or Šutalo alongside Gvardiol in Qatar.

I don't like how our team is set up for the game - but it is still a team that should dominate against Austria. We have lost the first game against them in a disappointing way, I think we won't underestimate them again. After all, a win takes us to the semifinals.

Welcome to the semifinals... all the bloody way in June! Missed this thread by a brainfart and wrote somewhere else initially heh. I still like seeing Lovren play, but was sweet that he got the goal too!

Did not see this post from crypofrka before. I think Lovren is 4th in the line at the moment. Both of you are forgetting Erlic who was excellent in tandem with Šutalo. Best performance from Croatia defense in a very long time for those two games against France and Denmark.

Guardiol is probably secure because of the hype and playmaking skills, while second CB will be chosen between Šutalo and Erlic with Lovren maybe in rotation for last 20 minutes when result is in our favour and we want a bit more experience on the pitch.

[Harkorede]

EDIT: I guess I was rather too hasty with my post, it's 3-3 now!

hell of a game! Not the best result but at least it'll boost the morale of England NT and the fans,, Sure the team failed to put an end to the winless streak, but at least they were able to find the net, they showed some good bits of exciting football and there's some hope that this team can improve.

Another point from the game for me was the fact that Maguire managed to get into the headlines as well as almost every other goal scorer or those that impacted the game, positively. There were so many talks about him and several post advising him to try out other sport, perhaps golfing or UFC 

Today I am putting extra big bet on England - Germany both to score. This game means nothing to either of them, England is relegated and Germany can't win the group. But England must show something to improve the mood before World Cup while Germany would be happy to add few more nails to their coffin.

Really need one win in this competition to offset all the loses    stll can't belive Belgium or France didn't score yesterday.

You must have felt so happy when England finally scored. After not getting a single field goal from the entire tournament they managed to get 3, but also, they let in 3. Both teams probably spoke to each other and agreed they should score many goals to make sure their bosses stayed in their jobs lol.

BTTS dangerous in Nations League.

It is very dangerous in national football to play both to score but that is why we have better odds. For instance I was quite sure this game will have at least 4 goals, even went for 2:2 in the pool and odds were 1.88. Great value and finally it passed. I was also sure France would not lose day before and I expected more goals from some other teams.

That is why I ended up so deep in red. This bet is enough to bring me close to zero, so skipping betting on this competition and waiting for club football to resume.

You can most likely rest assured that Portugal vs Spain will be a both teams to score yes as both teams will play normally and will not underestimate this game,against Switzerland Spain completely underestimated the game and they played extremely poorly,they just kept ball possession but every other dangerous stat was in favor of Switzerland which won the game.

Also I expect a both teams to score yes in Switzerland vs Czech Republic game and of course a Switzerland win after seeing their great game play against Spain.

It's looking likely to be goalless between Spain, with barely 8 minutes left to play, Spain have been better side 2nd half, despite Portugal's commendable performance in the first 45 minutes.

[swogerino]

Congratulations to all winners,the big prize got home to Ulven,it is strange when you think that he was not between the favorites at all when the last games of this week started,this shows that playing in such pools is always full of emotions.It was for me as I was fighting for that fifth place until tonight where the scoring goal of Czech ruined my 3 points in that game and Spain winning was totally unexpected for me especially after they horrible performance against Switzerland,yet they managed to qualify for the play offs.

I enjoyed this pool and look forward to other ones,good luck everybody.

[tomahawk9]

Congrats to all the winners!



and a a big congratulations to @Ulven, managed to win the last two yellow caps of the pool    totally deserves that first place

looking forward to the next pool

[LTU_btc]

Congrats to @Ulven for winning Nations League pool - well deserved. As I understand @Leea-1334 managed to get into rewarded position just in last round by going up by 5 places - very well done
And congrats to myself for staying 3rd, despite that last few matchdays weren't good for me . Now I think I have to put money that I won asside and reserve it for upcoming World Cup pool. We will have it, right?

Welcome to the semifinals... all the bloody way in June! Missed this thread by a brainfart and wrote somewhere else initially heh. I still like seeing Lovren play, but was sweet that he got the goal too!

Congrats for our Croatian folks for reaching semifinals. 1st place in such group is great achievement. As I understand, now draw for semifinals will be made? I'm still not full familiar with tournament format

[Harkorede]

Congrats to all the winners!



and a a big congratulations to @Ulven, managed to win the last two yellow caps of the pool    totally deserves that first place

looking forward to the next pool

That was pretty stunning and duly well deserved too, I never even really check my picks for the remainder of the games, now I understand how people when you drop all the momentum very early in the pool, and it's practically impossible to play catch up except you're going literally against every expected pick with the hope it hits.

At least the bore-fest is finally and in 3 days, we'll be talking about club side football yet again 😊 and my heart goes out to the teams with a couple of players picking a knock or an injury over the period.

[cryptofrka]

Did not see this post from crypofrka before. I think Lovren is 4th in the line at the moment. Both of you are forgetting Erlic who was excellent in tandem with Šutalo. Best performance from Croatia defense in a very long time for those two games against France and Denmark.

Guardiol is probably secure because of the hype and playmaking skills, while second CB will be chosen between Šutalo and Erlic with Lovren maybe in rotation for last 20 minutes when result is in our favour and we want a bit more experience on the pitch.

Nope, did not forget Erlić - I wrote about him a few posts before the one you quoted (or possibly in another thread, not sure).
They were good, I agree. I still feel that with Erlić we've seen too little to be sure and there's not much time left for further testing.

Therefore I feel that Lovren will take that 3rd spot, I just hope he won't take the 2nd.

[Trofo]

Did not see this post from crypofrka before. I think Lovren is 4th in the line at the moment. Both of you are forgetting Erlic who was excellent in tandem with Šutalo. Best performance from Croatia defense in a very long time for those two games against France and Denmark.

Guardiol is probably secure because of the hype and playmaking skills, while second CB will be chosen between Šutalo and Erlic with Lovren maybe in rotation for last 20 minutes when result is in our favour and we want a bit more experience on the pitch.

Nope, did not forget Erlić - I wrote about him a few posts before the one you quoted (or possibly in another thread, not sure).
They were good, I agree. I still feel that with Erlić we've seen too little to be sure and there's not much time left for further testing.

Therefore I feel that Lovren will take that 3rd spot, I just hope he won't take the 2nd.

There isn't any more time for testing but I think he already did enough. We shall see, also hope Lovren will be our option from the bench and not starter.


Congrats to the winners, feel free to post your BTC address here. We have rewards for first 5 places and you know who you are, everything as per Superbru official ranking. I will write them officially later today when I get home, but if I already have all your addresses I can immediately send out the money as well

[slaman29]

Happy for Spain, but not sure I should be, because they will then have to play all the way at the end of next season instead of taking a break. Maybe worth it for them though especially young guys.

We were super lucky I guess.

Oh and I am in 6th position, so close and nothing. But congrats to Ulven and everyone who won prizes here!

It is very dangerous in national football to play both to score but that is why we have better odds.

I didn't realize this actually that BTTS is higher for national football, it's not a market I usually look at but I have to admit since discussing in the forum and seeing a lot of things from you, buwaytress, especially I find myself betting on things I never looked at before.