⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2023/24 | Prelim Qualifiers

[morvillz7z]

I'm taking Molde ML @1.72. Also, over 2.5 in Servette - Genk game. <...>

Unlucky with the Over on Servette - Genk game, as it was fairly open from the start, should've been more goals.

With my live bets from both the Champions League and the Conference League, i ended up on 5 wins, 2 losses, and 1 push. Pleased with the results, which were significantly better than the previous round. A bit time-consuming but it's worth it, was able to catch Zalgiris and Dnipro's BTTS with very good odds.

Dinamo's first to five corners was probably my best take, the way Astana took the game deep into their own half early on, nothing good was coming out of it. Lol, 9 FH corners.

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[Volgastallion]

Dinamo Zagreb its like always a sure or a must on phase group of Champions League, but i didnt expect such a good performance by them in first half, or maybe i have to say, i dont expect such a bad performance by Astana.

With this im saying clearly we expect a win from Dinamo Zagreb, but not this overwhelming.

In other game i want to notice, how hard its for Slovan Bratislava play in europe, man they have a really good team in names, but they allways fight so much against really poor teams.

[Pierre 2]

Galatasaray was terrible last night against Zalgiris. I think Zalgiris was physically much better than Galatasaray. Probably Galatasaray players are still living in holiday mentally. Galatasaray is just lucky that they could get draw so I am sure they will beat Zalgiris next match. Especially with Bakambu. But for next elimination matches we may see Galatasaray going back home much earlier than expected.

[Hvdv]

Galatasaray was terrible last night against Zalgiris. I think Zalgiris was physically much better than Galatasaray. Probably Galatasaray players are still living in holiday mentally. Galatasaray is just lucky that they could get draw so I am sure they will beat Zalgiris next match. Especially with Bakambu. But for next elimination matches we may see Galatasaray going back home much earlier than expected.

We saw that Zalgiris showed much more than expected in the match. Galatasaray fans are very worried about the victory that did not come despite the big transfers. The advantages of the other match being in Istanbul. I also think that important names who did not appear on the field in this match may be on the field. In the second match, Galatasaray will pass the tour.

[CLS63]

Galatasaray was terrible last night against Zalgiris. I think Zalgiris was physically much better than Galatasaray. Probably Galatasaray players are still living in holiday mentally. Galatasaray is just lucky that they could get draw so I am sure they will beat Zalgiris next match. Especially with Bakambu. But for next elimination matches we may see Galatasaray going back home much earlier than expected.

I totally agree with you on that. I don't know why Galatasaray had so much difficulty there. Maybe they couldn't get used to playing in that stadium or it is just about warming up for the new season just yet. Zalgiris found really important chances with through and long balls. If it wasn't for Muslera who knows how this match could have finished. Zalgiris defense was quite weak in fact. Galatasaray attackers were so comfortable at getting past defenders on one-on-ones.

But the problem was with finishing skills. Zaniolo wasted some chances as well. However the rematch should be different than this. Galatasaray have a huge advantage in home stadium. I expect a comfortable win there.

[LTU_btc]

My few bets for today's games is Aris ML against Bate, in Klaksvik - Hacken game I go with under 2.5 goals as we rarely get high scoring games in Faroe Islands, I expect something similar like we saw in 1st leg game against Ferencvaros. And in Sheriff - Maccabi Haifa I go against odds and pick over 2.5 goals.

Zalgiris found really important chances with through and long balls. If it wasn't for Muslera who knows how this match could have finished. Zalgiris defense was quite weak in fact. Galatasaray attackers were so comfortable at getting past defenders on one-on-ones.

But the problem was with finishing skills. Zaniolo wasted some chances as well. However the rematch should be different than this. Galatasaray have a huge advantage in home stadium. I expect a comfortable win there.

Galatasaray had more moments, but they didn't had that many very dangerous moments where it must be goal. Substitutions, especially Mertens improved their game a lot. While Zalgiris had unbeleavable moment wasted in 1st half when Oyewusi went alone aggainst Muslera and missed. In the end, Antal had another great moment, but he was too slow.
I would like to be wrong, but I'm sceptical about Zalgiris chances in 2nd leg, especially with additions to Galatasaray squad. These wasted moments in 1st leg cost a lot against such team like Galatasaray.

[Volgastallion]

BATE borisov its being pounded very bad by ARIS Limassol, 3-0 in the first half, very bad performance for the Bielorrusian club, they need to recover a little in the second half becase they can be out of competition in this night.

Rakow  - Qarabag can be a really good game to see.

[sana54210]

Galatasaray was terrible last night against Zalgiris. I think Zalgiris was physically much better than Galatasaray. Probably Galatasaray players are still living in holiday mentally. Galatasaray is just lucky that they could get draw so I am sure they will beat Zalgiris next match. Especially with Bakambu. But for next elimination matches we may see Galatasaray going back home much earlier than expected.

I totally agree with you on that. I don't know why Galatasaray had so much difficulty there. Maybe they couldn't get used to playing in that stadium or it is just about warming up for the new season just yet. Zalgiris found really important chances with through and long balls. If it wasn't for Muslera who knows how this match could have finished. Zalgiris defense was quite weak in fact. Galatasaray attackers were so comfortable at getting past defenders on one-on-ones.

But the problem was with finishing skills. Zaniolo wasted some chances as well. However the rematch should be different than this. Galatasaray have a huge advantage in home stadium. I expect a comfortable win there.

No matter how great a team looks, when they are not ready or prepared then they are going to have hard time. Between thinking they are way too good for that game and didn't care that much and also not being ready, they ended up with this result. Of course there is no excuse, they had such great odds to win it and I bet on them to easily win it (I actually did 2.5 over galatasaray win, so I was very very wrong) and they didn't so they should feel shame about not winning this.

But if you were to give excuse, not being in match shape, not caring about opponent and think they are beneath them, terrible conditions and pitch to play, all those played a major role in this result and it happens. Remember, Sherrif managed to beat Real Madrid as well.

[Volgastallion]

BATE borisov its being pounded very bad by ARIS Limassol, 3-0 in the first half, very bad performance for the Bielorrusian club, they need to recover a little in the second half becase they can be out of competition in this night.

Rakow  - Qarabag can be a really good game to see.

Well, i have to quoted myself, BATE Borisov its out of the competition 6-2 its a big lose, and a lose that can make you lose your coach.

About the game i said it was good to see, i was correct, a very fun to see 3-2 between Rakow and Qarabag, the second game its gonna be interesting to see and to bet also.

[DaNNy001]

BATE borisov its being pounded very bad by ARIS Limassol, 3-0 in the first half, very bad performance for the Bielorrusian club, they need to recover a little in the second half becase they can be out of competition in this night.

Rakow  - Qarabag can be a really good game to see.

I was shocked by the results at half time because I actually play bate borisov handicap option in my payley selection and never intended them to have concede so many goals at the end of the final whistle (6-2).
This sheriff tripasol team never fails to disappoint as they pull out another wonderful victory over the Israeli team and despite them having the bigger odds according to ratings from bookmakers.

[LTU_btc]

Well, i have to quoted myself, BATE Borisov its out of the competition 6-2 its a big lose, and a lose that can make you lose your coach.

About the game i said it was good to see, i was correct, a very fun to see 3-2 between Rakow and Qarabag, the second game its gonna be interesting to see and to bet also.

Conceding 6 goals is really shameful, after all Aris isn't powerhouse, it's just 2nd time when they play in UEFA qualification.
Rakow - Qarabag was roller coaster. Rakow already had 2:0 lead, but Qarabag made comeback and made score 2:2. It already looked that Qarabag will bring positive result, but Rakow scored on additional time and won game.
Klaksvik - Hacken was exactly like I expected. Hacken scored 2 goals, but both were from offside, but in general, it was dull game.

[snipie]

Well, i have to quoted myself, BATE Borisov its out of the competition 6-2 its a big lose, and a lose that can make you lose your coach.

About the game i said it was good to see, i was correct, a very fun to see 3-2 between Rakow and Qarabag, the second game its gonna be interesting to see and to bet also.

Conceding 6 goals is really shameful, after all Aris isn't powerhouse, it's just 2nd time when they play in UEFA qualification.
Rakow - Qarabag was roller coaster. Rakow already had 2:0 lead, but Qarabag made comeback and made score 2:2. It already looked that Qarabag will bring positive result, but Rakow scored on additional time and won game.
Klaksvik - Hacken was exactly like I expected. Hacken scored 2 goals, but both were from offside, but in general, it was dull game.

Astana and Bate took a hard defeat with 4 goals difference making them almost eliminated since the first leg of this second qualifying round. It is impressive to see this team from Cyprus, Aris Limassol, winning that big but the third qualifying round will not be that easy for them once they pass there. Dinamo Zagreb is a classic team and could advance easier.
In the other matches, goals difference aren't that much and everything could happen in the second leg.

[morvillz7z]

Aris' team total O1.5 at 1.90 looks decent.

Having watched extended highlights from the first match, it's hard to overlook how well Aris played even though they are somewhat new to European competitions with very little experience. BATE, on the other hand, shouldn't have even made it this far, they got lucky vs. Partizani with two counterattacks being dominated the entire match (2nd leg).

Aris have not played over the weekend since their domestic league does not start until mid-late August, i see little reason to rotate the team even though 6:2 almost certainly guarantees them a spot in the next round.

But, since i'm only live betting, i'll wait to see the lineups. If Aris starts with the same (or similar) team from the 1st leg and they don't look flat-footed in the first 5-10 minutes, i'll take their TT O1.5...else, i'll probably switch to BTTS at 1.80, as i expect goals here.

edit; Lol that was rather quick

[LTU_btc]

Aris' team total O1.5 at 1.90 looks decent.

Having watched extended highlights from the first match, it's hard to overlook how well Aris played even though they are somewhat new to European competitions with very little experience. BATE, on the other hand, shouldn't have even made it this far, they got lucky vs. Partizani with two counterattacks being dominated the entire match (2nd leg).

There is just 4 games today, so less option to bet, but this one sounds good. I'm also going with over 2.5 goals in Panathinaikos - Dnipro-1 game @1.70 and Slovan ML @1.80. There is no favorite in Olimpija - Ludogorets game, but I take Ludogorets to qualify, in 1st round they were in much more difficult situation, but managed to make comeback.

[casperBGD]

~snip

There is no favorite in Olimpija - Ludogorets game, but I take Ludogorets to qualify, in 1st round they were in much more difficult situation, but managed to make comeback.

they were on my list too, but didn't manage to put a parlay
who would say that Aris will score 10 goals to Bate in two matches, I thought that will be under 3 goals total in both matches combined

Panathinaikos failed to win over Dnipro, but qualified for next round
Olimpija and Ludogorets are still in a 1:1 draw, same as first match

[LTU_btc]

Damn, what and ending in Olimpija - Ludogorets game. It already looked that Olimpija is in next round already they were leading 3:2 on aggregate, but on 90+12 minute referee decided to award penalty after VAR review. But then Olimpija goalkeeper saves penalty and become local hero. And also ruined my bet and BSFL prediction...
Zrinjski ruined my bet by scoring goal on 93rd minute and taking draw from this game. Didn't watched game, but wow, 9 yellow cards were showed.
Much moire interesting action tomorrow where from all teams only Dinamo Zagreb can be confident about reaching next round already.

[Volgastallion]

Strange games today.

First Panathinaikos sweating so much to beat Dnipro in his home, but ended up passing to the next round.

Bate Borisov, i dont know what to think about them, two terrible games they played against a Omonia Nicossia who its at their same level, but well doesnt see like that. ELEVEN goals conceded in only two games, worst defense ever.

Slovan Bratislava being Slovan Bratislava, always a non sense and making their fans growing grey hair.

And for last the crazy Olimpija Ludogorets game, what a finish of the game we had. No words.

Damn, what and ending in Olimpija - Ludogorets game. It already looked that Olimpija is in next round already they were leading 3:2 on aggregate, but on 90+12 minute referee decided to award penalty after VAR review. But then Olimpija goalkeeper saves penalty and become local hero. And also ruined my bet and BSFL prediction...
Zrinjski ruined my bet by scoring goal on 93rd minute and taking draw from this game. Didn't watched game, but wow, 9 yellow cards were showed.
Much moire interesting action tomorrow where from all teams only Dinamo Zagreb can be confident about reaching next round already.

I feel sorry for you and i dont want to be in the shoes of any guy who bet on that game.

[buwaytress]

Damn, what and ending in Olimpija - Ludogorets game. It already looked that Olimpija is in next round already they were leading 3:2 on aggregate, but on 90+12 minute referee decided to award penalty after VAR review. But then Olimpija goalkeeper saves penalty and become local hero. And also ruined my bet and BSFL prediction...
Zrinjski ruined my bet by scoring goal on 93rd minute and taking draw from this game. Didn't watched game, but wow, 9 yellow cards were showed.
Much moire interesting action tomorrow where from all teams only Dinamo Zagreb can be confident about reaching next round already.

Same here, and same for the majority of us in BSFL. Local heroes, and a reminder that these mid-level quality teams like Ludogorets are way too overestimated by books and coefficients.

BATE won't be repeating past seasons' journey, good riddance. Anyone think Sheriff will be tonight's BATE?

[morvillz7z]

I'm looking at Qarabag/Rackow BTTS, Maccabi's TT O1.5, and two underdogs Zalgiris/Breidablik to not go down without a fight, BTTS in both matches comes at plus money.

Qarabag vs. Rackow was probably the most open match of the first leg, with plenty of chances for both teams. Qarabag deserved not to lose imo, but their goalie/captain had a terrible day, two of the Rackow's three goals were on him.

I don't see Maccabi failing to score again. I don't have the data, but they were probably scoreless on 5+ xG. All of the chances that were missed in the first leg will be converted at home, that's what i think.

If Galatasaray starts the same Danish center-back (Victor Nelsson) from the first game, they have little hope of keeping a clean sheet...bro was completely lost and had no idea what he was doing. I lost count of how many times they got past him, not to mention he was directly responsible for Zalgiris' first goal.

Breidablik are not as toothless as the bookies make them out to be, look for goals in this one.

[LTU_btc]

I knew that Zalgiris will be heavy underdog against Galatasaray, but 19.00 odds for their win is something what surprised me. I'm sceptical about their chances. Well, maybe if they won't concede in first 20 minutes, there is little hope. While on last league game Zalgiris conceded after first 18 seconds of game.
I'm taking Genk ML and over 2.5 in Molde - HJK game. Sheriff is team that tend to surprise, but I'm taking Maccabi Haifa to qualify @1.63. And BTTS in Qarabag - Rakow game.

BATE won't be repeating past seasons' journey, good riddance. Anyone think Sheriff will be tonight's BATE?

Today's BATE, you mean conceding 5 goals on 2nd leg . Now seriously, BATE glorious days are in past, club went down after death of owner. This year they weren't supposed to play in Champions league, but they got spot after champion and few other clubs got involved in match fixing scandal.

I feel sorry for you and i dont want to be in the shoes of any guy who bet on that game.

No need to feel sorry . Lost two bets, but won other two yesterday, so, everything is ok more or less.