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Author Topic: How do we spot the crypto bottom?  (Read 667 times)
Mpamaegbu
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June 27, 2022, 11:40:22 PM
 #21

Personally, because of the state of the financial system, I cannot see how crypto can become bullish as long as the world economy doesn't show signs of a recovery . I could be wrong though ?
In the midst of the coronavirus epidemic in 2020 when world financial sectors were in shambles, crippled by the lockdown, Bitcoin showed strength. So, to that effect, your assertion isn't right. We often see the stocks market crash but Bitcoin remains resolute.

About knowing when the market has bottomed out, that will be a hard thing to accurately get. This is a speculative market. Even with compasses in the form of indicators, we still can't get it absolutely right. However, I try to look at weekly and monthly close of candlesticks to gauge where the market direction could be on the long term. If a dip has lingered for a while, I begin to expect that a reversal is imminent and I start looking for a possible candle formation to support my suspicion. Otherwise, it's better to do a DCA on a crypto you know will do well and not totally wait for a bottom. There is nothing like a bottom while the market is still in progress. We only get to know that after it has passed that phase.

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June 28, 2022, 04:21:43 AM
 #22

There's no accurate way of predicting the bottom. In fact, even among experienced traders and analysts there are those who think that Bitcoin has already bottomed but there are also those who think that there could still be more of Bitcoin's dip. This is anybody's guess now. What is sure is that we are already down low. So to those who wish to do the buying at the bottom, it is best to start doing your DCA right now. The price could still continue to fall down but it could also rebound.
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June 28, 2022, 05:51:56 AM
 #23

There's no accurate way of predicting the bottom.

Correct. If someone had a system to determine that they could make a lot of money.

What we all do have an idea of when we are in the bull market and when we are in the bear market. Some technical indicators help, such as the weekly moving average or the fear and greed index. But come on, as determining the exact point of the button is mission impossible and if someone gets it right it is by chance, it is not going to be done consistently.


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June 28, 2022, 05:59:17 AM
 #24

Hi

Been wondering how to tell we have reached the crypto bottom? have we already bottomed out(I personally don't think so im not sure). If we look at the current world financial system - it looks dire. surely this will all have a impact on people investing in crypto and when funds are short, may even withdraw their investment.

Personally, because of the state of the financial system, I cannot see how crypto can become bullish as long as the world economy doesn't show signs of a recovery . I could be wrong though ?

what are your thoughts on this? Is a further crash on the horizon?
you have just changed some terms but same posts had been asked for years now and that is How to find or understand the bottom but how can we ?

this is  something we cannot find because if does? then we are already a millionaire now , imagine if we find when is the bottom? we can simply sell everything we have in life then invest all in such crypto then wait for the pump.

But it is not that easy lol.









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June 28, 2022, 06:29:19 AM
 #25

We simply don't. The best people can do is assume and honestly, most assumptions are simply that, assumptions or at most an educated guess. There's no guarantee whatsoever that said assumptions will actually become reality. If one had a way to actually predict it then I don't think trading would even exist, or they'd even bother sharing it since, well, that would just seem dumb now, wouldn't it? We have the current community now because a lot of people can speculate but can't exactly identify what will actually become reality.

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June 28, 2022, 11:40:23 AM
 #26

The answer is we can not know how to do that.
I've been discussing this with some of my friends, but there are no answers and we all simply say that it is very difficult to know the bottom.
The price could move to any price without us knowing, even if we can draw the chart and pattern based on the bitcoin's previous history.
But that is just a prediction that we will never know.
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June 28, 2022, 03:22:51 PM
 #27

It is hard to spot the bottom price of the Bitcoin market especially when the market is in high bearish stage but history shows that the Bitcoin market always downtrends at least 70% to 90% of its ATH price and the last bottom price of Bitcoin is always known during the Q4 of the bearish season year.

from my observation, cryptocurrency is unpredictable
Cryptocurrency is predictable and it's being volatile in nature making it a subject to prediction but getting the right market price through prediction is impossible at a ratio of 100

Truee.

I tend to predict the possibility bitcoin price fall to $6k is there in very near future , actually could be around $10k -$15k ... just like the other day where bitcoin price fall down to $3k from the $20k all time high.
Where the world economic system shaking ... cryptocurrency could always become a safe haven! We'll see this time.
Anything is possible in the crypto market but I want you to understand that if Bitcoin is going to downtrend to the 6K price you mentioned there will be a strong issue in the market that will influence it and the only thing I could think about is the current state of the Bitcoin mining which seems not to be profitable, a lot of miners are already in debt and they could decide to shut down.

Having said that, there's high hope for the last bottom price of Bitcoin to be within the $10K - 15K as you stated but it's not happening now and I will advise people to be prepared for the event now.

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June 29, 2022, 10:30:50 AM
 #28

No offense but this sounds like a rookie question. If you are into trading longer you will see that nobody can predict anything. It's mostly idiots calling huge numbers (up or down) who sometimes are right, but most of the time are wrong. Just look at Plan B prediction...
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June 29, 2022, 04:44:20 PM
 #29

It is really difficult to spot the bottom. As per my understanding it is possible to understand whether the market has turned bearish or bullish with continued price movement happening for certain time period. When the market is on the bearish trend we need to just focus on the price move and set a bottom target according to our mind and go for a buying. This is how I fix the bottom, sometimes it coincides with the perfect bottom with little variation over/under.
Yes, I believe no people can spot it correctly but if ever there are then I don't think they will share their predictions publicly because many are going to rely on it making the market imbalance but it would be more fun or has a thrill if the people have no idea if whats going to happen next.

The only sure thing here that we can identify is the bears and bulls as you said. Right now we are on a bear market because most coins value are declining and it stayed there for a long period of time. I like your strategy there by the way of detecting the possible bottom. It was like you are playing a gambling because you are using that over and under words.

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June 29, 2022, 09:12:35 PM
 #30

Hi

Been wondering how to tell we have reached the crypto bottom? have we already bottomed out(I personally don't think so im not sure). If we look at the current world financial system - it looks dire. surely this will all have a impact on people investing in crypto and when funds are short, may even withdraw their investment.

Personally, because of the state of the financial system, I cannot see how crypto can become bullish as long as the world economy doesn't show signs of a recovery . I could be wrong though ?

what are your thoughts on this? Is a further crash on the horizon?
No one can tell if we have reached the bottom or not yet, but we can always start to build our wealth with this consistent price decline. Don't wait for the bottom price, as through DCA we can still maximize our purchase and just buy every time the price drops. Although there will be more profits to gain in the future if we can buy at its bottom, but sadly none of us assures as to what could be its bottom price this year.

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June 29, 2022, 10:15:12 PM
 #31

Actually we willnot know the bottom rate, we will know about it exactly if wehave passed it and the prie continue increasing, there will be the bottom rate exactly after it.\So far, every bottom reached will create a new prediction again about the next bottom or probability to rise up. However, because this is still a bearish market, I don't think that this is the last bottom. We will probably have more bottoms later. That is why why dn't we prepare ourselves with more stablecoins to purchase more Bitcoin by average? 

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June 29, 2022, 10:59:55 PM
 #32

Actually we willnot know the bottom rate, we will know about it exactly if wehave passed it and the prie continue increasing, there will be the bottom rate exactly after it.\So far, every bottom reached will create a new prediction again about the next bottom or probability to rise up. However, because this is still a bearish market, I don't think that this is the last bottom. We will probably have more bottoms later. That is why why dn't we prepare ourselves with more stablecoins to purchase more Bitcoin by average?  
No one knows either the peak or the bottom which is something the main question that we do have into this market.! If this market was predictable on the first place then we all to be rich by now
because we know on when to get in and on when to get out which is really that impossible for any investment thats why we do keep on making speculation on whats the botoom.
Spotting it would be impossible but we do have different tools and analysis that we do have so that you do have at least the idea on how to deal with unpredictable
market then this would really be a great help.
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June 29, 2022, 11:21:17 PM
 #33

No one could ever answer that question because you will only know it when it was the lowest cheapest price after it pump back again. It's better to do some TA and analyze the whole price market in the chart you will know where it would possibly drop as a bottom or as ATH. We are all purely speculating here since the market is always unpredictable that's why you got to do what you want to do.

Do some DCA if you see the price is getting cheaper and don't mind if it's bottom already because you will miss your chances to buy cheaper price if you keep waiting the impossible to happen. Take your chances or suffer from missing out.

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June 30, 2022, 03:18:31 AM
 #34

Splitting your buy orders or doing Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) during these dumps is the best way to spot the bottom for. I will not aim for the perfect bottom, just in case you will miss it and you will leave behind. The more you spot the bottom, the more chance you will left behind for sure.
Just think, you spot the bottom, but not the perfect bottom.

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June 30, 2022, 05:14:49 PM
 #35

Even the most expert traders can't answer that question. We will only know once we got there or become a whale and you can control the price the way you wanted, be it pump or dump.

One thing you should look for to have an idea is news about economy or event that you think could trigger the bearish market further.
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June 30, 2022, 08:08:04 PM
 #36

Hi

Been wondering how to tell we have reached the crypto bottom? have we already bottomed out(I personally don't think so im not sure). If we look at the current world financial system - it looks dire. surely this will all have a impact on people investing in crypto and when funds are short, may even withdraw their investment.

Personally, because of the state of the financial system, I cannot see how crypto can become bullish as long as the world economy doesn't show signs of a recovery . I could be wrong though ?

what are your thoughts on this? Is a further crash on the horizon?
You cannot tell where the bottom is and anyone that tells you they can is lying to you, there are some people which are fortunate enough to catch the bottom but they were lucky and nothing more.

So what to do? Buy bitcoin whenever you feel comfortable doing so, anyone that buys bitcoin right now will obtain huge profits down the line, however it is not going to be easy if you are not completely sure that you can hold your coins during the time it will take bitcoin to enter a new bull market, which is why most people are looking for the bottom as they want to buy just at the lowest price bitcoin will each and then never having to worry about their investment being underwater, but this is simply an unrealistic goal that most traders will never achieve.

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Wilhelm
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June 30, 2022, 08:13:55 PM
 #37

You will never buy the bottom but chances are you will be very happy you bought at this price within 12 months

Bitcoin is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're gonna get !!
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June 30, 2022, 09:35:28 PM
 #38

Honestly, if the only thing that you are worried about is bottom, then it is going to be tough for you. If anyone wants to find a bottom, then get a bottle. Crypto is weird and you will never find the bottom, it will either be reached and you wouldn't realize it, or it will get even further down and none of that would be known beforehand. This is why just focus on what you can do best, and just invest. If you keep on investing no matter whats going on around you then you will be doing quite well, there is nothing wrong with ignoring all the noises. Just keep on buying more and more.
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June 30, 2022, 09:50:30 PM
 #39

Even the most expert traders can't answer that question. We will only know once we got there or become a whale and you can control the price the way you wanted, be it pump or dump.

One thing you should look for to have an idea is news about economy or event that you think could trigger the bearish market further.
Yes, the market volatility makes it difficult for anyone to tell when we will reach the bottom price but in this current market, the only whales that can control or manipulate the market price are the Humpback whales, not just ordinary whales.

You will never buy the bottom but chances are you will be very happy you bought at this price within 12 months
Perhaps but if the market persists in 4years cycles according to market research, it will be altcoin season, and this time most attention is always on altcoin, not BTC.
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June 30, 2022, 11:06:43 PM
 #40

Honestly, if the only thing that you are worried about is bottom, then it is going to be tough for you. If anyone wants to find a bottom, then get a bottle. Crypto is weird and you will never find the bottom, it will either be reached and you wouldn't realize it, or it will get even further down and none of that would be known beforehand. This is why just focus on what you can do best, and just invest. If you keep on investing no matter whats going on around you then you will be doing quite well, there is nothing wrong with ignoring all the noises. Just keep on buying more and more.
it isn't that you are missed contradicting everything. When they use the language bottom it means the ending off my cryptocurrency we stop or reach before it will enter bullish. Normal bitcoin don't have direct point I'm falling so since I know cryptocurrency that is no particular falling is called the bottom so using the bottom is exclamation of qualifying a language or statement because because we all know that Bitcoin is bottomless and the value don't have any ending point so it's a Continue to rise out of all
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