📯2026/27 Champions League Pool | ⚽️ Discussion

[arallmuus]

I don’t know how no one spotted the LASK + BTTS bet at odds of 17 - that was clear value; this devilish team loves scoring lots of goals and knows exactly how to do it.

Spotted it but I was like no way this gonna hit so I pretend that odds never exist. Probably we are still pretty early as well, once this goes halfway then some of the bottom ranker would try to rack up 3 stake on that kind of odds. Speaking of the bottom ranker, Im on the bottom half as well lol

I totally understand on some of these except for Manchester United's game. I mean why?  Even I wouldnt dream that we could win against Como in an away game. I even put 2 stake on Como to win. Considering how clueless we were on the weekend game, I knew we would lose but 4-1 was still shocking for me

[KTChampions]

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5 BTTS selections zero point, 5% penalties, Bayern were the last ones and could have saved the day, but no, they didn't!

There are the kind of rounds that throws you off balance and you go like fuck it imma just go all crazy from here one, I was doing fairly okay before this round.

Uh, I understand you perfectly, normal picks, and it seems that 5 outcomes should at least protect against penalty, but randomness is cruel. Bayern let me down too, such a good bet, completely ruined.

I don’t know how no one spotted the LASK + BTTS bet at odds of 17 - that was clear value; this devilish team loves scoring lots of goals and knows exactly how to do it.

Spotted it but I was like no way this gonna hit so I pretend that odds never exist. Probably we are still pretty early as well, once this goes halfway then some of the bottom ranker would try to rack up 3 stake on that kind of odds.

The problem with value is that it takes a lot of attempts to extract it, this reduces the appetite for risk very much, yes. That is precisely why I spent only one stake on this outcome, rather than two or three. For now, I’m in a decent position and have no penalties, so I won’t take any excessive risks. 1-2 points for an interesting pick are worth it, the rest is better spent on reliable outcomes.

[igebotz]

I scored 27 points without a PEN this round I don't know if that's enough to brag and also was able to saved 2 stakes from the last two rounds; that means I'm getting 8 in the next round - sounds cool

The day, I crack this format, it's over for everyone..
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Why are we having too many goals in the champions league these days ? Qualifying for the champions league means you're a top team why do they go their and spread their legs everytime against another top clubs.

Our lives never remained the same since Liverpool won Ebola Pandemic league title...

[swogerino]

I thought I am 5th but I see I am 4th and I did relatively well in this round too. If someone had told me after three match days you would be 4th I would have signed for this as I doubted things would be like this. I am still thinking that going for the obvious choices in the staked bets is giving me 0 penalties so far and I am being loyal to this trend until the very end as I hope to be in top 10 or better in the end. I believe going for over 2.5 goals is the most obvious choice for this season.

[yenerbatmaz]

I scored 27 points without a PEN this round I don't know if that's enough to brag and also was able to saved 2 stakes from the last two rounds; that means I'm getting 8 in the next round - sounds cool

The day, I crack this format, it's over for everyone..
________

Why are we having too many goals in the champions league these days ? Qualifying for the champions league means you're a top team why do they go their and spread their legs everytime against another top clubs.

Our lives never remained the same since Liverpool won Ebola Pandemic league title...

When the group stage was in place, draws were very significant; however, now, victories are what matter most. In the past, teams could sometimes advance to the next round with four or five draws, but that is no longer possible.
As a result, many teams now play for the win in most matches, leading to high-scoring games. I hope this format remains in place for a long time.

[igebotz]

When the group stage was in place, draws were very significant; however, now, victories are what matter most. In the past, teams could sometimes advance to the next round with four or five draws, but that is no longer possible.
As a result, many teams now play for the win in most matches, leading to high-scoring games. I hope this format remains in place for a long time.

Okay the great Octopus, but I didn't understand nothing from what you wrote. Lol

Plot twist - your post changed my life. Thanks 

[slaman29]

Well done, me myself saved again from a possible penalty by finding 3 type of stakes correctly as I did put each of the 6 stakes on goals for the games and goals yesterday there were a lot. There were also surprise results like Porto not even scoring a goal at their home and also a great performance by Liverpool which I was watching the game and enjoyed it a lot. I doubt though Bayern Munchen can dominate Arsenal in tonight game but let'see.

Thanks mate, yeah, now seems to be the time to go for goals, but then again, maybe with 3 games gone teams will change the way they play. Maybe Porto start playing for goals, Italian teams start winning, English start losing, who knows.

@yenerbatmaz never thought of draws that way, but you never know, new format. I predict a team with 5 draws will one day progress

[KTChampions]

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@yenerbatmaz never thought of draws that way, but you never know, new format. I predict a team with 5 draws will one day progress

With 5 points, it’s mathematically impossible as far as I can see - unless someone gets disqualified or some other external factors come into play.
However, 8 points earned from 8 draws will almost certainly be enough to secure a spot in the top 24 at some point, last season, there were 5 teams with 9 points, 2 of which made it to the playoffs - I see no reason why the distribution couldn't play out slightly differently, allowing a team with 8 points to advance. If this happens, it will be on par with how Cape Verde reached the World Cup knockout stage with three draws.

[swogerino]

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@yenerbatmaz never thought of draws that way, but you never know, new format. I predict a team with 5 draws will one day progress

With 5 points, it’s mathematically impossible as far as I can see - unless someone gets disqualified or some other external factors come into play.
However, 8 points earned from 8 draws will almost certainly be enough to secure a spot in the top 24 at some point, last season, there were 5 teams with 9 points, 2 of which made it to the playoffs - I see no reason why the distribution couldn't play out slightly differently, allowing a team with 8 points to advance. If this happens, it will be on par with how Cape Verde reached the World Cup knockout stage with three draws.

This format needs a minimum of 8 points to qualify further in play offs, not qualifying directly as for directly you need like 12-15 points from 8 games. So 8 points needed to qualify in these play offs before fighting the big guys while to be qualifying directly a minimum of 12 points is needed. As for the 8 points also is not absolutely sure but the average we saw last time around so most teams maybe playing as what teams they will face next and do calculations, for example if some teams won 3 out of 3 games they can get only draws in the remaining five and still be able to qualify directly, in here a lot depends on what other teams do but yeah these are the spots, minimum 12 points for direct qualifying and 8 points for play off.

[slaman29]

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@yenerbatmaz never thought of draws that way, but you never know, new format. I predict a team with 5 draws will one day progress

With 5 points, it’s mathematically impossible as far as I can see - unless someone gets disqualified or some other external factors come into play.
However, 8 points earned from 8 draws will almost certainly be enough to secure a spot in the top 24 at some point, last season, there were 5 teams with 9 points, 2 of which made it to the playoffs - I see no reason why the distribution couldn't play out slightly differently, allowing a team with 8 points to advance. If this happens, it will be on par with how Cape Verde reached the World Cup knockout stage with three draws.

This format needs a minimum of 8 points to qualify further in play offs, not qualifying directly as for directly you need like 12-15 points from 8 games. So 8 points needed to qualify in these play offs before fighting the big guys while to be qualifying directly a minimum of 12 points is needed. As for the 8 points also is not absolutely sure but the average we saw last time around so most teams maybe playing as what teams they will face next and do calculations, for example if some teams won 3 out of 3 games they can get only draws in the remaining five and still be able to qualify directly, in here a lot depends on what other teams do but yeah these are the spots, minimum 12 points for direct qualifying and 8 points for play off.

Ah I made a small mistake with my calculations which leads to a big improbability

5 draws and 1 win, I guess if you're a small team or a young Mourinho with a small team this could be something to aim for, even if 9 didn't make it for some teams I think its reasonable for a small team to get 1 shock win and think, ok we can do this

Its been a while since this type of team in club football advanced.

[swogerino]

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@yenerbatmaz never thought of draws that way, but you never know, new format. I predict a team with 5 draws will one day progress

With 5 points, it’s mathematically impossible as far as I can see - unless someone gets disqualified or some other external factors come into play.
However, 8 points earned from 8 draws will almost certainly be enough to secure a spot in the top 24 at some point, last season, there were 5 teams with 9 points, 2 of which made it to the playoffs - I see no reason why the distribution couldn't play out slightly differently, allowing a team with 8 points to advance. If this happens, it will be on par with how Cape Verde reached the World Cup knockout stage with three draws.

This format needs a minimum of 8 points to qualify further in play offs, not qualifying directly as for directly you need like 12-15 points from 8 games. So 8 points needed to qualify in these play offs before fighting the big guys while to be qualifying directly a minimum of 12 points is needed. As for the 8 points also is not absolutely sure but the average we saw last time around so most teams maybe playing as what teams they will face next and do calculations, for example if some teams won 3 out of 3 games they can get only draws in the remaining five and still be able to qualify directly, in here a lot depends on what other teams do but yeah these are the spots, minimum 12 points for direct qualifying and 8 points for play off.

Ah I made a small mistake with my calculations which leads to a big improbability

5 draws and 1 win, I guess if you're a small team or a young Mourinho with a small team this could be something to aim for, even if 9 didn't make it for some teams I think its reasonable for a small team to get 1 shock win and think, ok we can do this

Its been a while since this type of team in club football advanced.

Now depending on the draw it should not be that impossible, I am making an example of Conference League where a team from my country plays the first time Egnatia, they got two draws against Denmark Superliga teams and have a difficult game in Romania next week while then they have two easy games at home on paper against Gibraltar team and Lithuania team, the last game to be against Braga, assuming they get 8 points they should go for play offs.

Same can happen to small teams in Champions although here in Champions is a whole lot more difficult.

[joker_josue]

Same can happen to small teams in Champions although here in Champions is a whole lot more difficult.

In recent seasons, we have seen teams with only 9 points making it to the playoffs.

So I really don't see that it's complicated for a team with 8 points to also be able to arrive, if there is a good combination of results.

[slaman29]

Now depending on the draw it should not be that impossible, I am making an example of Conference League where a team from my country plays the first time Egnatia, they got two draws against Denmark Superliga teams and have a difficult game in Romania next week while then they have two easy games at home on paper against Gibraltar team and Lithuania team, the last game to be against Braga, assuming they get 8 points they should go for play offs.

Same can happen to small teams in Champions although here in Champions is a whole lot more difficult.

Yes that's why I was using a rough mix of 'theory' and 'probability'. Obviously much more difficult in CL with teams 10x or more your budget, or in some cases one player costing 2x your whole team, but it just takes one Fleetwood Town to defeat an Arsenal and suddenly odds can improve drastically.

Same can happen to small teams in Champions although here in Champions is a whole lot more difficult.

In recent seasons, we have seen teams with only 9 points making it to the playoffs.

So I really don't see that it's complicated for a team with 8 points to also be able to arrive, if there is a good combination of results.

Just need good luck with pairing to beat a similar small team, if luck is good 2 teams for 2 wins is 6 points, I would be playing draws rest of the big teams, indeed!!