In my opinion, the 4-year cycle problem should not be used as a guideline, because it is possible that bitcoin with a time of 2 or 3 days can bull run and it may also experience a deep decline. so I think the cycle case is most likely not predictable.
not as a guideline but as a feedback on the value of bitcoin itself, because basically bitcoin is now difficult to guess, when it will bullrun or bear,
but it is undeniable that we are all used to the 4 year cycle so let's see what happens in 2024 later if it is true that the 4 year cycle means that this cycle is true can be said as a guide
you could say it's just a coincidence I think btc has increased at that time, (shallow thinking) but history will not repeat itself all out of control
we will wait for 2024 to see if there will be a new history with the value of btc