The Birth of a Cycle (Current Bitcoin 4 year cycle is about to end)

[landheer]

I think maybe the cycle of once every 4 years will disappear and maybe a new cycle will also be born. because if you look at the condition of the world economy which is down. Certainly a 4 year cycle will be difficult to predict due to difficult economic conditions. but of course the bull run market will still exist. but since the price of bitcoin experienced a bull run in 2021 and until now it certainly hasn't been 4 years. so in my opinion the decline in the price of bitcoin now is a natural thing, and has often happened, in the past.

[lionheart78]

If we ever listen to the first minutes of the video Bob Loukas stated:

"it's always the darkest near the end of the cycle
  the end of the cycle signals the death of a period
     and the birth of a period and right now I believe
      that we are transitioning from the end of one cycle
           and the beginning of the next cycle"

Take note the video was created when Bitcoin is rallying toward $21k when some traders thinks that it is the start of the Bull Market, Bob Loukas have an insight that the price of BTC might plummet really hard, and days later, today we saw Bitcoin had its bottom at $15k+.  Bob Loukas never failed to surprise me with how his prediction is often spot on.   And btw, I believe a cycle transition never ends at its peak and never started at its peak.  It always starts at its bottom moving towards its peak and from there on going back to bottom until a new cycle is born and repeats the movement.  There are lots of cycles happening in the Bitcoin market but the most notable is the 4-year cycle where the new bottom and new ATH are recorded.

[tygeade]

If we ever listen to the first minutes of the video Bob Loukas stated:

"it's always the darkest near the end of the cycle
  the end of the cycle signals the death of a period
     and the birth of a period and right now I believe
      that we are transitioning from the end of one cycle
           and the beginning of the next cycle"

Take note the video was created when Bitcoin is rallying toward $21k when some traders thinks that it is the start of the Bull Market, Bob Loukas have an insight that the price of BTC might plummet really hard, and days later, today we saw Bitcoin had its bottom at $15k+.  Bob Loukas never failed to surprise me with how his prediction is often spot on.   And btw, I believe a cycle transition never ends at its peak and never started at its peak.  It always starts at its bottom moving towards its peak and from there on going back to bottom until a new cycle is born and repeats the movement.  There are lots of cycles happening in the Bitcoin market but the most notable is the 4-year cycle where the new bottom and new ATH are recorded.

It is not a secret that when the price went up, it was because there was a hope for a good thing, Binance and FTX mending their issues and making sure that they grow together was a possibility and that is why it went up. Then it turned out that the trouble continued and they didn't mend anything and Binance basically attacked FTX by selling their tokens and that was a problem.

All in all I have to say that it is going to be something much bigger and better when it comes down to something like this in the future and we just wait a bit longer. If you rush into buying then I will not say it is a wrong move but you must need a back up plan to DCA, so he was right to just wait and see if there would be a drop.

[glendall]

In my opinion, the 4-year cycle problem should not be used as a guideline, because it is possible that bitcoin with a time of 2 or 3 days can bull run and it may also experience a deep decline. so I think the cycle case is most likely not predictable.

not as a guideline but as a feedback on the value of bitcoin itself, because basically bitcoin is now difficult to guess, when it will bullrun or bear,
but it is undeniable that we are all used to the 4 year cycle so let's see what happens in 2024 later if it is true that the 4 year cycle means that this cycle is true can be said as a guide
you could say it's just a coincidence I think btc has increased at that time, (shallow thinking) but history will not repeat itself all out of control
we will wait for 2024 to see if there will be a new history with the value of btc

[uneng]

In my opinion, the 4-year cycle problem should not be used as a guideline, because it is possible that bitcoin with a time of 2 or 3 days can bull run and it may also experience a deep decline. so I think the cycle case is most likely not predictable.

not as a guideline but as a feedback on the value of bitcoin itself, because basically bitcoin is now difficult to guess, when it will bullrun or bear,
but it is undeniable that we are all used to the 4 year cycle so let's see what happens in 2024 later if it is true that the 4 year cycle means that this cycle is true can be said as a guide
you could say it's just a coincidence I think btc has increased at that time, (shallow thinking) but history will not repeat itself all out of control
we will wait for 2024 to see if there will be a new history with the value of btc

The cycles aren't coincidence, they match halving years. If we look bitcoin's history we will see that always after a new halving, bitcoin's price skyrocketed considerably. From all the events in crypto market and despite its volatile, unpredictable nature, halving's impact on bitcoin is one, if not the only immutable rule so far. Thankfully it works as a powerful fuel for bitcoin's price and as boost to increase investors' morale and confidence in bitcoin on long term. Doesn't matter how bad the scenario looks on the present moment, when we think about cycles (that are determined by halvings) we calm down and renew our expectations for the future.