France was the favorite in the match against Spain, but Spain defied the bookmakers predictions. Meanwhile, in the England - Argentina match, England is the favorite, but I think it's possible that we might ultimately see Argentina win the match.
As for the penalty awarded to Spain, I think they truly deserved it, regardless of whether Digne acted intentionally or not, it was still a foul. Some people also say that the ball touched Yamal's hand first. Yes, that is true. However, his hand was not in an active position, so it can't be classified as a foul.