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Author Topic: Market is seasonal  (Read 745 times)
Bushdark
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April 14, 2023, 05:26:18 PM
Merited by fillippone (1)
 #41

"Seasonal" is probably a decent term to describe it, but it's simply the fact that certain/individual strategies won't work consistently forever/all the time. It's the same both with technical analysis and fundamental analysis. Adaptation and reflexivity is the key.
When the market is seasonal, not everytime strategies are going to work out. There are some time when we will need to try to adjust our strategy so that it can conform to the current market situation.
Trading is not for everyone that is why we need to be trying our best to make sure that our strategies are working fine to the current market seasonal pattern.

I know some of the strategies I have used I'm the past that are not working again because of the market change of market structure which I will need to adjust the strategy for it to work clearly fine.

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April 15, 2023, 12:12:29 PM
 #42

When the market is seasonal, not everytime strategies are going to work out. There are some time when we will need to try to adjust our strategy so that it can conform to the current market situation.
Trading is not for everyone that is why we need to be trying our best to make sure that our strategies are working fine to the current market seasonal pattern.

I know some of the strategies I have used I'm the past that are not working again because of the market change of market structure which I will need to adjust the strategy for it to work clearly fine.
Trading is not required of everyone, and it is also not suitable for everyone; only the determined and intelligent may succeed in it. The only time a trader is anticipated to generate greater profits from the current losses is when they have figured out the best season that will work for them. We're not holding back, and I'm absolutely going to grow better at my daily analysis. Learning new market structures is my ultimate goal as it relates to profit earnings. Seasonal fluctuations have an impact on the market, and we learn new things every day to adapt our strategies to these changes.

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April 15, 2023, 12:17:22 PM
 #43

Last month my trade was great, I make some dooh but this month is cashloss experiment. I don't really understand the mystical magic behind the technological process of this trading as if someone or something is regulating the system. The system dash you small cash this week and collect big cash from you next week. Is not sweet to bear big loss than gain,  and this things happens anytime the market looks like bitcoin wants to boom.

I see that there is no complete expert trader, at a point everyone experience loss both robots. That's means the market is kind of seasonal, it can favor you today and hit you tomorrow.

but the bottom line is, after those series of trades, after weeks of trading, after months of trading, after quarters and years of data, the method you are using must have a positive result. That is your edge. Doesn't matter if you're winning or losing near term but knowing that in a series of trades you have a positive net result will give you a greater sense of confidence trading and through that you will trust your system more.

With those data over your personal seasonal tendency, simply optimize your trading. Less trades or derisk on months that you are not trading exceptionally and risk more and add more position on time that the market favors your strategy or system.

If you expect the market to behave exactly the way you want it, sorry but you will never be able to get that. There are multiple reasons why a market behaves in a certain way, and behaviours tend to change over time, just like how a human cannot always stay happy or sad, the market cannot always keep going up or constantly go down.

That is the reason why it is called unpredictable. And of course, everyone has to suffer from losses, no trader can claim that they have never had to face a loss in cryptocurrency trading, especially if they were not experts as every expert was once a beginner.

Because losing is a normal part of the game trading. It is a flat tire on your road trip. Only a stumbling block. But as long as you have your account trading, you can get that back. You can earn it again if you simply follow your plan and not be reactive to your emotions. When the marketplace is in the right conditions, not consolidating sideways but true movement higher or lower, a true excitement and volatility.  If you have discipline and a rigid plan, you will have the opportunity of reaping the rewards of being a patient risk management and a trader.

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April 15, 2023, 08:48:26 PM
 #44

I see that there is no complete expert trader, at a point everyone experience loss both robots. That's means the market is kind of seasonal, it can favor you today and hit you tomorrow.
The market is traded by both human and bots. The bots have an advantage over human when it comes to working non-stop and finding good trade entry points. So in order to counter that, many people changes their strategy, thus changing the flow of constant strategy use. And also the thing you mentioned, the market taking away your profits on your next trades. It's not the market, it's the fault that lies into your analysis. The market is constantly changing and with every change, we have to use different strategy in order to hold your ground.

So if you are using only one strategy, and it has flaws, you are most likely going to lose that trade. Try to collect more knowledge on the market, learn new strategy, keep eye on the chart and see how it is behaving in order to create a new trade.
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April 15, 2023, 09:17:07 PM
 #45

Last month my trade was great, I make some dooh but this month is cashloss experiment. I don't really understand the mystical magic behind the technological process of this trading as if someone or something is regulating the system. The system dash you small cash this week and collect big cash from you next week. Is not sweet to bear big loss than gain,  and this things happens anytime the market looks like bitcoin wants to boom.

I see that there is no complete expert trader, at a point everyone experience loss both robots. That's means the market is kind of seasonal, it can favor you today and hit you tomorrow.
There's no perfect trading, you should expect to lose money and be ready for that once you become a trader.
You can call the market seasonal since it will not stay on the same trend, either we go up or we go down this is the major two trend that traders have to observe all the time. Right now maybe we are on a bullish season where many cryptos are rising again from its bottom, a good trend to those who invest during the red market.
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April 15, 2023, 09:27:14 PM
 #46

Last month my trade was great, I make some dooh but this month is cashloss experiment. I don't really understand the mystical magic behind the technological process of this trading as if someone or something is regulating the system. The system dash you small cash this week and collect big cash from you next week. Is not sweet to bear big loss than gain,  and this things happens anytime the market looks like bitcoin wants to boom.

I see that there is no complete expert trader, at a point everyone experience loss both robots. That's means the market is kind of seasonal, it can favor you today and hit you tomorrow.
There's no perfect trading, you should expect to lose money and be ready for that once you become a trader.
You can call the market seasonal since it will not stay on the same trend, either we go up or we go down this is the major two trend that traders have to observe all the time. Right now maybe we are on a bullish season where many cryptos are rising again from its bottom, a good trend to those who invest during the red market.
^Definitely right and this was what I always thought to my classmate in college before.
Trading sometimes we think it is based on luck and it is only a small portion of the chances of winning. But every time that he loses the market trading,  it is always for him to charge as an experience and never even have a regret. Because he told me that he know his mistake and that in the next session, it will never happen again.
Let us accept the fact that trading is not for everyone, it is only for those who are it requires a certain level of determination, intelligence, and adaptability to succeed in it. I
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April 15, 2023, 09:56:48 PM
 #47

Last month my trade was great, I make some dooh but this month is cashloss experiment. I don't really understand the mystical magic behind the technological process of this trading as if someone or something is regulating the system. The system dash you small cash this week and collect big cash from you next week. Is not sweet to bear big loss than gain,  and this things happens anytime the market looks like bitcoin wants to boom.

Cryptocurrency market is volatile due to certain factors.  Being labeled as highly volatile, it is obvious that the market will have series of ups and downs where traders take advantage off.  This is also one good reason why many speculative investors hop into Bitcoin investment and Bitcoin trading. Bitcoin market is more likely cyclical where the cycle involved the bull and bear season.  This season is catalyzed by Bitcoin halving and Bitcoin ATH breaking where the prior hints the sign of the bull market and the latter the transitioning to bear market.

I see that there is no complete expert trader, at a point everyone experience loss both robots. That's means the market is kind of seasonal, it can favor you today and hit you tomorrow.

No one can predict the precise price of the market.  they may given hints of the possible uptrend but there are always variable factor that can change the sentiment of the market.  So it is always best to be updated and informed of the current events of the market we are invested.
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April 15, 2023, 10:13:34 PM
 #48

"Seasonal" is probably a decent term to describe it, but it's simply the fact that certain/individual strategies won't work consistently forever/all the time. It's the same both with technical analysis and fundamental analysis. Adaptation and reflexivity is the key.
When the market is seasonal, not everytime strategies are going to work out. There are some time when we will need to try to adjust our strategy so that it can conform to the current market situation.
Trading is not for everyone that is why we need to be trying our best to make sure that our strategies are working fine to the current market seasonal pattern.

I know some of the strategies I have used I'm the past that are not working again because of the market change of market structure which I will need to adjust the strategy for it to work clearly fine.
That's why we should always learn to make strategies to anticipate market changes that are often uncertain. If the market changes, we can adapt using a different strategy that may work well. Even though trading is not for everyone, as long as we can learn more about trading, we can survive in all situations and conditions in the market. And that also can improve our ability to analyze market conditions before we trade.

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April 16, 2023, 01:34:18 PM
 #49

I don’t know this seems to be little off the track statement? Trading is never a seasonal game and it doesn’t do any favouring thing to anyone out there. The entire trading system works on skills and how you plot your strategies. If you are not doing very well in the trading then definitely something is not right with the strategies you have built. I think naming it seasonal failure looks weird.

In addition to all of the above, crypto market is most active market in entire economic circle. It’s running 24x7 and someone is always there to buy or sell. Definitely not seasonal.
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April 16, 2023, 01:49:53 PM
 #50


Trading is never a seasonal game and it doesn’t do any favouring thing to anyone out there.


The seasonal nature of trading could be in terms of bull or bear, also during trend. So if a trader is considering season on trade based on these waves, it might be understandable. If you are losing or profiting in any of the waves you can consider it as either bull or bear season.

In addition to all of the above, crypto market is most active market in entire economic circle. It’s running 24x7 and someone is always there to buy or sell. Definitely not seasonal.

Crypto market is not the only most active market and not only running 24x7. Derivative and binary is also open 24 hours all days with some volatile pairs that you can profit from or lose all your capital.
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April 16, 2023, 04:56:07 PM
 #51

Due to the fact that even experienced traders suffer losses, trading is not ideal for everyone. However, a sound plan that doesn't rely solely on one tactic can lessen these losses. The market fluctuates seasonally, with some purchasers looking for deals and others hoping to make a profit. Although technical and fundamental analyses are important, ultimately winning more often than losing is the secret to success. It's crucial to learn from the past and test out new tactics moving forward.



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April 16, 2023, 05:28:26 PM
 #52

Last month my trade was great, I make some dooh but this month is cashloss experiment. I don't really understand the mystical magic behind the technological process of this trading as if someone or something is regulating the system. The system dash you small cash this week and collect big cash from you next week. Is not sweet to bear big loss than gain,  and this things happens anytime the market looks like bitcoin wants to boom.

I see that there is no complete expert trader, at a point everyone experience loss both robots. That's means the market is kind of seasonal, it can favor you today and hit you tomorrow.
You should get used to it, here in crypto there's a lot of uncertainty some other days bitcoin will pump some days it will unpredictably dump. We should learn the basics first before putting larger amount of money. It is not low always a rainbows and butterflies, we need to adapt in order for us to underhand the volatility of market. Yes market is very seasonal, so we need to adjust depending on which season we are dealing with.
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April 16, 2023, 06:09:03 PM
 #53

Cryptocurrency is a seasonal market indeed but when the loss season comes it's better to make use of the risk management strategy because the market cant be bullish now and never welcomes the downtrend season at some point.


Is not sweet to bear big loss than gain,  and this things happens anytime the market looks like bitcoin wants to boom.
It is either you're impatient in making trading decisions or you choose hype base crypto without the right examination of the market because about 80% of every trader usually makes a profit when the market is in bullish season.

I see that there is no complete expert trader, at a point everyone experience loss both robots. That's means the market is kind of seasonal, it can favor you today and hit you tomorrow.
Yes, there's no complete expert trader at some point and that's why risk management is an important weapon every crypto trader must practice.

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April 16, 2023, 06:33:28 PM
 #54

Trading is the grand leveler. Whether flesh and blood or a digital whiz, we all confront the sporadic monetary misadventure. Though, there are tactics to bolster our stance. Firstly, let's acknowledge the market as a veritable rollercoaster. Exhilarating one moment, petrifying the next – that's the essence of it, no?

While eradicating risk is impossible, we can enforce boundaries and sharpen our analysis prowess to dodge utter devastation. So, when the market teeters on the brink of chaos, recall – you're not solo. We're all on this wild ride. With a pinch of luck (and heaps of expertise), we just might emerge victorious.
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April 16, 2023, 08:28:27 PM
 #55

Well, the word " seasonal “ is not an accurate description for the situation due to the market is developing in every period, same goes to technical analyses . The more you have solid strategies and ability to read every new condition, the more you are safe. In addition to that, gaining knowledge and experience are necessary in this field, they will definitely help you to improve your trading skills. And no offense OP but  it would be better if you stop complaining and looking for solutions.

Moreover, the market is always dependent on Bitcoin’s development due to majority of cryptocurrencies are centralized, if Bitcoin goes down, the whole market will follow it and the opposite is true. In fact, daily trading is unfortunately unprofitable during this period, it would be better if you avoid it and focus on middle and long term trading.
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April 16, 2023, 09:27:29 PM
 #56

Last month my trade was great, I make some dooh but this month is cashloss experiment. I don't really understand the mystical magic behind the technological process of this trading as if someone or something is regulating the system. .....
There is no mystical magic behind the tech. Tjere is only how the market is going on. There will be always market correction after the rise up trend. It is normal. The volatility is very high in crypto market. That is whhy trading crypto may be very wlrthy but alsonrisky at once. For, if we are not able to manage our strategy tonfit the market situation and its anticipation, we may be cashloss easily, because we may not be ready with the sudden market changes.

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April 17, 2023, 02:37:52 PM
 #57

Due to the fact that even experienced traders suffer losses, trading is not ideal for everyone. However, a sound plan that doesn't rely solely on one tactic can lessen these losses. The market fluctuates seasonally, with some purchasers looking for deals and others hoping to make a profit. Although technical and fundamental analyses are important, ultimately winning more often than losing is the secret to success. It's crucial to learn from the past and test out new tactics moving forward.




Every trader's aim is to make profit,there is no trader who is contented with the way he is now,more especially those who are new in the trading system.Trading requires a systematic approach that deals with calculating how the market  operate seasonally.There are seasons when the market will not be favourable,and there are also seasons when the market will be very bad to the extend if you invest your capital,you will loose continuously,that is why it is very good to know the seasons you are in,so that when you know it doesn't always favour you at a particular season of the year, you can leave it for some other times that you can gain.Its not Everytime that one has to rush investing.
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April 17, 2023, 03:26:26 PM
 #58

Last month my trade was great, I make some dooh but this month is cashloss experiment. I don't really understand the mystical magic behind the technological process of this trading as if someone or something is regulating the system. The system dash you small cash this week and collect big cash from you next week. Is not sweet to bear big loss than gain,  and this things happens anytime the market looks like bitcoin wants to boom.

I see that there is no complete expert trader, at a point everyone experience loss both robots. That's means the market is kind of seasonal, it can favor you today and hit you tomorrow.
If you like, you can call it seasonality, different strategies can be applied for each period. Try to devote more time to technical analysis, follow the trends and do not rush to trade every day, because it is very difficult, in this mode, traders make the most mistakes. Do not focus on one thing, try to change something if there is no result. Remember that this is not an easy job and before you trade big money make sure you understand what you are doing.

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April 17, 2023, 04:16:43 PM
 #59

Last month my trade was great, I make some dooh but this month is cashloss experiment. I don't really understand the mystical magic behind the technological process of this trading as if someone or something is regulating the system. The system dash you small cash this week and collect big cash from you next week. Is not sweet to bear big loss than gain,  and this things happens anytime the market looks like bitcoin wants to boom.

I see that there is no complete expert trader, at a point everyone experience loss both robots. That's means the market is kind of seasonal, it can favor you today and hit you tomorrow.
If you like, you can call it seasonality, different strategies can be applied for each period. Try to devote more time to technical analysis, follow the trends and do not rush to trade every day, because it is very difficult, in this mode, traders make the most mistakes. Do not focus on one thing, try to change something if there is no result. Remember that this is not an easy job and before you trade big money make sure you understand what you are doing.
Trading in a hurry does not produce anything and will only make us lose,
so in conditions like this I think we need to be wise in making decisions which are not easy either,
it's better to keep learning to understand it.
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April 17, 2023, 09:18:27 PM
 #60

The market is rather situational and depends on many factors. It is difficult to say that there is a connection to the seasons. More importantly - to be able to analyze the market here and now.
seasonality in the world of cryptocurrencies is still very strong, especially if you look at the charts from history,
then you will be able to conclude that seasons are very important as a factor why the market is so volatile,
and currently the market is still in a bearish to bullish season, because 2024 is reportedly a halving bitcoins will happen.

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