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Author Topic: Have You Experienced Winning Bets By Upsets  (Read 811 times)
swogerino
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May 06, 2023, 06:41:35 AM
 #41

Upsets are rare and profitable and not everyone has the courage to take a risk and bet on the underdogs, but those who do are rewarded with huge profits.

So I'd like to ask

Have you bet on the underdogs and won?

How many times you did this?

And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?







I have bet a couple of times and I have won them,lately I got a win which I have posted in some thread here with over 22 odds that I won it and in there were two upsets.I will only stop at one which was Clermont from Ligue 1 playing against a team in a much better position and the odd of Clermont was near 4 (not a big one but a good one for me) and the reason I choose it was not because of an inside tip,it was because of me watching the stats and Clermont had 5 consecutive wins and this win was the 6th,I know many people would have refrained to bet on them but sometimes you just have to read the data to be a great bettor.

I rarely do this as rarely I see data wrong from the bookies,most of the time they have better insights than me.

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May 06, 2023, 09:43:42 AM
 #42

I place small bets on underdogs occasionally, but tend to lose them. The most recent successful underdog bet I remember winning was almost a year ago, when I bet on Ukraine in a football match of Scotland vs Ukraine (FIFA play-off semi-final). Scotland was expected to win, then a draw was the second option, and the odds for Ukraine were 3.45. So it's nothing huge, but still an underdog. I won that bet and was really happy, but that was neither based on insider tips nor on personal analysis. I just wanted to bet on my country as a way of supporting it, so to speak. And it paid off.
But most of the time I just bet on the likeliest winner with the odds around 1.5, so I don't have enough experience with underdog bets and how successful they are or aren't for me.

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May 06, 2023, 11:40:33 AM
Last edit: July 14, 2023, 05:38:24 AM by slapper
 #43

Is it possible to profit by backing long shots? Absolutely my vibe! I am the master of betting on the underdog, so have faith in me. You name it, and I've probably wagered on it, from flag football on playgrounds to the Super Bowl on the biggest of stages. You may be wondering, "How often have I rolled the dice?" Let's pretend the figure has disappeared into thin air. However, the thrill and the willingness to take risks are what really matter, right? Gambling on underdogs is a great way to keep yourself alert.

You may wonder, "Why do I do it?" I'm just a wild card who enjoys the unexpected and shuns convention. Professional insight and evaluation? Who cares about them anyway? I put complete faith in my gut.

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May 06, 2023, 01:31:55 PM
 #44

Have you bet on the underdogs and won?
I've placed countless underdog bets and probably won only 1/10 of all the bets or even less because I frequently switch to different sports and it shifts the way I view underdogs.

My reason for betting on the underdogs can differ, there are times when i'd rely on my gut feeling or just bet on it because they have the better odds. And sometimes i'll be sold on the reasoning of others if i'm not that updated on a certain sport or league.

I'd always put small bets on underdogs since I rarely see the need to increase the risk as i'm already getting good odds on them.

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May 06, 2023, 01:42:26 PM
 #45


Have you bet on the underdogs and won?

How many times you did this?

And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?


I always place bet on underdog but not that underdog with astronomical odds on their side. Underdog as in 2.1 to. 2.5 range which makes me win regularly.

And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

I only bet on underdog that I know that have a real potential of winning despite the stats is against them. Bookmaker sometimes didn’t consider the return of injured star player or the recent trade effectivity because they based their bets on the team stats.

Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?

I rarely bet on underdog with odds above 3.0 because that’s high level risk. 2.0 to 2.5% is the only risk I can tolerate when betting.

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May 06, 2023, 04:53:26 PM
 #46

Really interesting thread mate, and yes I have bet on underdog before if it also implies to virtual soccer games and yes again I bet on them when am feeling that I have lost everything and I decide to flip in my whole remaining cash so I just relief myself of the pains of take more time to lose and it eventually works well for but not all the time though but I can remember one or more times that I have done this and it worked out.
I placed a bet on an odd of 21.00 against a 1.11 odd and they won for me but I guess it was my lucky try because most times trying i also get bad results.
LoL yeah. At first, I thought he was talking about winning when we are in a bad mood or upset but the upset that he was talking about here is different. It was betting in underdog. Didn't knew that yet but thanks for the info @OP. It still implies in virtual soccer or any game as long as there are two teams or players that are fighting against each other.

What you did there is right. We should not prioritize betting on under dogs because most of the times they are losing. The only time that they can win is when they get lucky that their opponent got bad luck and lose the game unexpectedly. The feeling is great once we know that our bets won in under dog but again, we must not get carried away.
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May 06, 2023, 05:33:12 PM
 #47

Upsets are rare and profitable and not everyone has the courage to take a risk and bet on the underdogs, but those who do are rewarded with huge profits.
So I'd like to ask
Have you bet on the underdogs and won?
How many times you did this?

I seldom do sports betting, if ever I do, it is when my extra fund align with a sports I wanted to watch such as boxing.  I often bet to my fellow countryman no matter he is a heavy underdog or not.  With such an attitude I experience winning a bet on the underdogs. 

Quote
How many times you did this?

It is a seldom thing to happen.  Only a few, I can't remember the right numbers but I am sure it is way less than my losses.

Quote
And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

I bet for him because he is my fellow countryman.

Quote
Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?

Sky is the limit, lol.  You see I am betting not because of inside tips or any analysis.  I bet to show support my fellow countryment so the level of risk there is surely high but I don't mind since I only bet what I can afford to lose anyway.
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May 06, 2023, 06:56:56 PM
 #48

I see placing bets on underdogs as a recovering route when it seems hope's are lost for me and on most cases, it thus seems to be effective for me.
I love this your thread and I can't even remember  placing bets on underdogs in a normal srate of mind and it seems the option  of placing bets on them comes after the losses have already been incurred.

Underdogs  are most times very risk and I barely place bets above 2.5 and most times this strategy  helps and I also don't consider statistics while placing bets on underdogs but rather my instincts.

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May 06, 2023, 07:58:20 PM
 #49

Upsets are rare and profitable and not everyone has the courage to take a risk and bet on the underdogs, but those who do are rewarded with huge profits.

So I'd like to ask

Have you bet on the underdogs and won?

How many times you did this?

And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?

1. Based up on my experience then i had made up some bet on underdogs but one thing is that notable on which it is really on esports betting on Dota 2.
2. Cant remember the exact numbers but this one would be more than 10 bets on choosing up underdogs.
3. Some gut feeling, intuition and of course there's some analysis but most of the time this would be pertaining about guts.
4. Not putting up that much unless if i did have that confidence that there's some upset, if i do see that there's a huge chance then bet amount would really be depending
    on that particular moment.

When it comes to upsets then im not really that expecting that much because there's always a chance that i could really see that it might happen but most of them do flop out but well
i did expect about on the risks because going against the favorites or moneyline is really just that not ideal, this is why its your take about on
betting with those underdogs.

R


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May 06, 2023, 08:03:16 PM
 #50

Really interesting thread mate, and yes I have bet on underdog before if it also implies to virtual soccer games and yes again I bet on them when am feeling that I have lost everything and I decide to flip in my whole remaining cash so I just relief myself of the pains of take more time to lose and it eventually works well for but not all the time though but I can remember one or more times that I have done this and it worked out.
I placed a bet on an odd of 21.00 against a 1.11 odd and they won for me but I guess it was my lucky try because most times trying i also get bad results.
LoL yeah. At first, I thought he was talking about winning when we are in a bad mood or upset but the upset that he was talking about here is different. It was betting in underdog. Didn't knew that yet but thanks for the info @OP. It still implies in virtual soccer or any game as long as there are two teams or players that are fighting against each other.

What you did there is right. We should not prioritize betting on under dogs because most of the times they are losing. The only time that they can win is when they get lucky that their opponent got bad luck and lose the game unexpectedly. The feeling is great once we know that our bets won in under dog but again, we must not get carried away.

It seems worth placing your bet in underdog if you are really rooting for the athlete or team.
Just like for example in boxing, if you are very familiar with the boxer and your instincts is saying he will win, you will bet on him even if he is the underdog.
And upsets do happen also in boxing. The performance depends on the preparation of the boxer himself, not only his experience.
This is why for me, a lot of times upset do happen in boxing. And I've won several times on this sports.
The good thing about placing your bets in underdog is that the odds are high, so once you hit it, your money just got doubled, tripled or more.
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May 06, 2023, 08:05:03 PM
 #51

Upsets are rare and profitable and not everyone has the courage to take a risk and bet on the underdogs, but those who do are rewarded with huge profits.

So I'd like to ask

Have you bet on the underdogs and won?

How many times you did this?

And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?
^Did you remember the one notable fight where an underdog opponent defeated Manny Pacquiao was his match against Juan Manuel Marquez on December 8, 2012? As I remember that time I lose but my brother win because he places a bet on the underdog.
In their fourth encounter, Marquez was considered the underdog with the odds stacked against him. However, Marquez surprised everyone by knocking out Pacquiao in the sixth round, thereby winning the fight and shocking the boxing world who watched that match. This victory by Marquez is considered one of the biggest upsets in boxing history, and it highlights the unpredictability of the sport and the potential for underdogs to come out on top.
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May 06, 2023, 09:18:10 PM
 #52

Never have I ever won a bet, weather being upset or in any other state of mind. Betting is not for me  Cry
You have to try again and don't give up just because you can't get a win. Let's say you're betting for a win, so losing won't feel like it will hit you.
Start with small things to have more experience so you can make predictions or play well, then luck can come easily when you risk money to play or bet.
At first we were all like you where it was difficult to get a win but from time to time we can learn and take advantage of the opportunities that you can bet and win.

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May 08, 2023, 05:20:56 PM
 #53

Upsets are rare and profitable and not everyone has the courage to take a risk and bet on the underdogs, but those who do are rewarded with huge profits.

So I'd like to ask

Have you bet on the underdogs and won?

How many times you did this?

And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?

I've experienced such winning one time since I started gambling, that is betting for the team majority of other bettors believe will lost the match only for that team to end up winning.
My bet on this was on last year's world cup tournament ..
The first was that I lost my bet on Argentina vs Saudi Arabia which was one of the biggest upset all through out the 2022 world cup, as no one believed that Saudi Arabia could beat Argentina.

Another upset which I won was Morocco vs Portugal(if I still remember correctly), according to the odds, majority thought Morocco would loose the match, but surprisingly, they end up winning and luckily for me, my bet was on Morocco, I won a significant amount of money with a very little Bet, since the odds was high.

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May 08, 2023, 05:38:33 PM
 #54

This is not the kind of method I would prefer. I would rather not bet than make such a choice. However, I once bet on the wrong team and won money. I don't remember the teams as it was an event that happened a long time ago, but instead of my favorite team, I accidentally bet on the team I thought would lose the match. I regretted my mistake for a few days, but luck smiled on me and I made money thanks to my mistake. Still, I wouldn't try something like this. I don't think it's rational.

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May 08, 2023, 06:16:46 PM
 #55

if we all thought the same way, there would be no horse racing Smiley

the best way to monetize these bets... is to use the betting exchange and follow the live matches. maybe you don't take home the maximum jackpot but you still manage to achieve an excellent result every time.

E.G with a practical example
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KteAuuGtI3k
some years ago I placed a bet on new zealand to win against italy. They scored 1 goal. At this point I have just "sold" the odds after their goal. Final result 1-1 but I still had a very good profit.

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May 08, 2023, 06:50:52 PM
 #56

I think almost all gamblers should have at least win once time by betting an underdog team or player.

I think the combination of insider tips and my own analysis is the reason why I get convinced to bet on an underdog team. But I never win a heavy underdog player or team because I not really comfortable to bet. It's like Nottingham Forrest vs Manchester City and the match played in Stadion Etihad, which is looks very impossible for Notthingham Forrest to win.
Betting in an underdog is more risky since there are more winning expectations from betting into favorite. That’s why it’s seldom to see bettors favoring the underdog. However, there are also instances where underdog becomes the favorite in the end, which means the least expected to win had won the hearts of the audience because of his skills in the game. But to be honest, I never won mostly from betting in an underdog, I only gained losses most of the time. And maybe insider tips have also influenced me on my decision on where to bet.

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May 08, 2023, 06:56:10 PM
 #57

I think almost all gamblers should have at least win once time by betting an underdog team or player.

I think the combination of insider tips and my own analysis is the reason why I get convinced to bet on an underdog team. But I never win a heavy underdog player or team because I not really comfortable to bet. It's like Nottingham Forrest vs Manchester City and the match played in Stadion Etihad, which is looks very impossible for Notthingham Forrest to win.
Betting in an underdog is more risky since there are more winning expectations from betting into favorite. That’s why it’s seldom to see bettors favoring the underdog. However, there are also instances where underdog becomes the favorite in the end, which means the least expected to win had won the hearts of the audience because of his skills in the game. But to be honest, I never won mostly from betting in an underdog, I only gained losses most of the time. And maybe insider tips have also influenced me on my decision on where to bet.

it is more risky but if you think it is worth placing a bet on underdog, esp if you know the player involved, you will not be too worried about the outcome of  your bet. it is like your fighting for some team or player to win on their game. he or they maybe expected not to win, hence, the underdog odds, but you may be seeing a lil advantage from his or their side that can possibly give them a heads up. who knows a lot of athletes can pull off from underdog status? so for me, betting in the underdog status is no surprise for some bettors here.

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May 08, 2023, 07:23:56 PM
 #58

I think almost all gamblers should have at least win once time by betting an underdog team or player.

I think the combination of insider tips and my own analysis is the reason why I get convinced to bet on an underdog team. But I never win a heavy underdog player or team because I not really comfortable to bet. It's like Nottingham Forrest vs Manchester City and the match played in Stadion Etihad, which is looks very impossible for Notthingham Forrest to win.
Betting in an underdog is more risky since there are more winning expectations from betting into favorite. That’s why it’s seldom to see bettors favoring the underdog. However, there are also instances where underdog becomes the favorite in the end, which means the least expected to win had won the hearts of the audience because of his skills in the game. But to be honest, I never won mostly from betting in an underdog, I only gained losses most of the time. And maybe insider tips have also influenced me on my decision on where to bet.

it is more risky but if you think it is worth placing a bet on underdog, esp if you know the player involved, you will not be too worried about the outcome of  your bet. it is like your fighting for some team or player to win on their game. he or they maybe expected not to win, hence, the underdog odds, but you may be seeing a lil advantage from his or their side that can possibly give them a heads up. who knows a lot of athletes can pull off from underdog status? so for me, betting in the underdog status is no surprise for some bettors here.
Once you do apply some analysis and having some intuition or have that kind of impulsive feeling then it would really be leading for you to bet on underdogs which it would really be giving off that uneasy feeling
or having always that second thoughts which it would really be a common approach if ever you do consider out on betting on underdog.Based up on my own experience then i have several make out some bets
on betting on underdogs on which it did end up on a loss but only a small margin when it comes to scores which you would be having that in mind that you do almost hit that good win but of course
there's comes next that frustration and regret but well it does give out that kind of contentment that you are almost that right when it comes to your guess or prediction.
This what makes betting more interesting and enjoyable on which you do really make use of your brain and emotion or both when you do make out some choices.

R


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May 08, 2023, 11:23:10 PM
 #59

The last and only time I won by Upset was the last Marquez - Pacquiao fight it was not even in a casino but from a co-worker friend who dare me to bet on Marquez my one-month salary to his three-month salary, I really don't like to bet against Pacquiao because he is my all-time favorite but it's just too tempting.
We all know that Pacquiao until Marquez caught him with a vicious right hand that made Manny fall flat face in the canvass.
So I won the bet but instead of getting his three-month salary I go for two months only a guy can't live without three months of salary, but I stopped betting against my favorites it's like wishing that your favorite fighter or team will lose the game or the fight.
 

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May 08, 2023, 11:48:22 PM
 #60

Upsets are rare and profitable and not everyone has the courage to take a risk and bet on the underdogs, but those who do are rewarded with huge profits.

So I'd like to ask

Have you bet on the underdogs and won?

How many times you did this?

And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?





lol I wish that I had insider information to be able to make those sorts of bets (kidding, of course, that would be both morally and ethically wrong).  I bet on the underdog any time I get the opportunity.  What I mean by that is any time that I believe the underdog is the better of the two teams, I'm all over those bets.  I'd much rather bet the odds receiving "+" points versus "-" points. 

My best wins are when I bet on underdogs..they definitely hit more than the other way around..for me, that is.

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