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Author Topic: ⚽ Football Friendly Match is Hard to Predict  (Read 1505 times)
nurilham
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June 19, 2023, 03:35:14 PM
 #81

I just lost 3 Friendly Match last week ago, and all match results draw Grin,

  • Morocco - Cape Verde,
  • Germany - Ukraine,
  • and Indonesia vs Palestine
You were just unlucky, not every friendly match ended up with a draw result. In most friendly matches, a stronger team should win as expected although they didn't score many goals. Just look at the current match (Argentina vs Indonesia), Argentina won the match as expected but they only scored 2 goals.

I don't know why a strong team like German and Morocco didn't play seriously when meet in a friendly match.
It is because they have no motivation to win the match. It is only a friendly match, winning won't bring a big advantage. As far as I know, the main purpose of a friendly match is for entertainment. Commonly, a big team will play seriously if they are competing for a prestigious title. Since the purpose is only for entertainment, the players don't really care about the result of the match.

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June 19, 2023, 03:46:08 PM
 #82



We'll see ddds for Argentina, only @1.03, it's even very small and won't make a lot of money, on the other hand, the odds for Indonesia to get @25.00 and that's very big, there are so many draws with odds @15.00, but anyway, it's impossible Indonesia will win or draw. So I think for sure taking over 4 goals will make more decent money at odds @1.55 because either way both teams or even with the depth of the Argentinian squad themselves can do more than 4 goals.
I'm sure all gamblers will be tempted to seek their luck by participating in this sports bet. High odds can sometimes make a lot of money faster to get. I watched the match until it was finished and the end result was that Argentina won with 2 goals without reply. Messi came on in the match it was clear it would be more than 2 goals. unfortunately Messi was on vacation so he didn't come to the match against Indonesia.

Bets on today's friendly matches, to be honest, are very difficult to predict, I often lose every bet on sports betting, it seems that people also know that Argentina will come out victorious in that match because they can't possibly draw against Indonesia later. Argentina certainly keeps their score points so they don't lack against Indonesia because Argentina is ranked first in FIFA.

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June 19, 2023, 04:18:45 PM
 #83

A very entertaining friendly match for me as an Indonesian fan.
From the start of this match plan we felt that the strength would not be comparable, but the balls were round.
Positive things emerged from the Argentina coach's answers when answering questions from the media crew that Argentina was serious in the friendly match against Indonesia even though some of the main players like Messi did not join the group.

Indonesia's target is to hold it to a draw, but Indonesia's current position is losing 0-1 in the 38th minute through Paredes' goal.
Argentina scored one more goal and it was 0-2 to Argentina and Cristian Romero's second goal in the 55th minute, it was a huge class difference game. Indonesia is ranked 149th in the world against Argentina which is ranked 1st in the world.
Naturally, the chances of winning for Argentina are far greater than for Indonesia.
The odds given by the dealer for those who choose Indonesia to win are quite large. Likewise the odds that choose a draw.

but at least Indonesia can face Argentina, the 2022 world cup champion and also ranked 1st in the world, and I was quite entertained watching this match and Indonesia's counterattack was also good but it's a shame the ball was so easily snatched by the Argentine players.
the match was at the end of time, and it was impossible for Indonesia to equalize the score.
After the results of this friendly match, Shin Tae-yong was able to find new things that needed to be done in order to improve the Indonesian national team players.
When compared to the FIFA rankings of the two teams, Argentina should be able to win more than 2 goals, in fact 0-2 is the score that lasts until full time.

This shows that Indonesia's defense line looks good.
Granacho was not free to play his trademark fast game as usual.

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June 20, 2023, 01:06:04 AM
 #84

That's the thing about friendly matches, people will goof off and will not be at their competitive level since there's no need to anyway. I think that's pretty much established right from the get-go already so I don't see the reason why you'd play on friendly matches in the first place lmao, but let's just suppose this is your first time and you're not aware how things go in these types of games. Moving on, I'd rather bet on games that I know are played competitively and are made with the intention of actually winning it, not to practice/waste people's time watching how the goof off on the field. It's funny watching them without betting though as it removes the tension we've been so accustomed with football matches, but that's the end of it mostly.
Actually, betting in friendly matches is playing real gambling, we don't know how to calculate exactly even if it's a strong team though. It's the same as playing dice or slot, you just push the button, and the result will be different than you expected.

Bets on today's friendly matches, to be honest, are very difficult to predict, I often lose every bet on sports betting, it seems that people also know that Argentina will come out victorious in that match because they can't possibly draw against Indonesia later. Argentina certainly keeps their score points so they don't lack against Indonesia because Argentina is ranked first in FIFA.
If bet like this, we have to get rid of the national pride. it seems impossible to bet Indonesia wins even play at home though. Play in guess score is better than bet who the winning. I almost won, if no goal on 2nd half. so far, the Indonesian defense is good, they can hold until minute 20. So with this result, there are many records that can fix by the team and coach for the future.
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June 20, 2023, 03:05:25 AM
 #85

This is normal, after all friendlies are not things that you are suppose to bet on, it is a thing where teams just test out tactics and players get in shape and learn to play with each other because not everyone played for the national team all the time, so some players are new, and they need to learn to play together. I personally believe that any friendly is not good to play, club ones are not that good to bet on neither, because teams do not care if they win or lose, that's not the point of a friendly.

There are some of them like friendly cups, in which case that could be important because they may care about it, but even in those cases it is not really that much of a big deal and teams rarely play to win those games at all.

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June 20, 2023, 03:43:59 AM
 #86


It is certain that Argentina will not be too serious in a match like this but Indonesia will definitely be very serious to face Argentina. Maybe the problem is that Indonesia is able to score goals or not and if a goal is scored from the Argentinian side it is likely that my target of over 4 goals will not be achieved. But I found the latest news saying that the chairman of the Indonesian football association will give bonuses to his players if Indonesia can later draw against Argentina. I think these words will motivate Indonesian players to be able to score goals against Emi Martinez.

So I think the result of over 4 goals is not bad and for sure both countries will attack each other to score a lot of goals. But since this is a friendly match I don't want to take it too seriously to live up to my expectations and I consider this as an entertainment bet for small money. Grin
It's a shame that the match ended with Indonesia's defeat, which could have been predicted beforehand, but the bookies don't seem to want to take the risk by giving better odds to Argentina than the odds @ 1.02, if the odds for Argentina in this friendly match reach @ 1.20 then more people will immediately choose bets on money. line because of course even though this is a friendly match they will not let their name be tarnished because only getting a draw or even losing is even more impossible to happen.
But with only two goals scored in this match you are right in saying that the home team is more serious so those who bet on under get the win, but the result would be very different if a player like Angel Di Maria played.

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rendravolt
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June 20, 2023, 06:20:09 AM
 #87


It is certain that Argentina will not be too serious in a match like this but Indonesia will definitely be very serious to face Argentina. Maybe the problem is that Indonesia is able to score goals or not and if a goal is scored from the Argentinian side it is likely that my target of over 4 goals will not be achieved. But I found the latest news saying that the chairman of the Indonesian football association will give bonuses to his players if Indonesia can later draw against Argentina. I think these words will motivate Indonesian players to be able to score goals against Emi Martinez.

So I think the result of over 4 goals is not bad and for sure both countries will attack each other to score a lot of goals. But since this is a friendly match I don't want to take it too seriously to live up to my expectations and I consider this as an entertainment bet for small money. Grin
It's a shame that the match ended with Indonesia's defeat, which could have been predicted beforehand, but the bookies don't seem to want to take the risk by giving better odds to Argentina than the odds @ 1.02, if the odds for Argentina in this friendly match reach @ 1.20 then more people will immediately choose bets on money. line because of course even though this is a friendly match they will not let their name be tarnished because only getting a draw or even losing is even more impossible to happen.
But with only two goals scored in this match you are right in saying that the home team is more serious so those who bet on under get the win, but the result would be very different if a player like Angel Di Maria played.
Actually last night Argentina could have scored more than 4 goals but we have to appreciate the Indonesian defense which is so strong and very difficult to concede more goals. On the other hand, Indonesia also often threatens the Argentine defense by throwing the ball which makes goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez panic a little with the chaos in the goal box. Cheesy

Apart from all that, we can see how Argentina really dominated the game and this was a pretty good defeat for Indonesia because they didn't lose badly with more than 2 goals. Indonesia will definitely learn a lot from Argentina through this match and of course it can be a good experience for Indonesian players in the future. I think if Mac Allister and De Paul had also started last night maybe we would have seen more goals, but for sure Argentina didn't want to take the risk of bringing on their main players. After all this is one of the best friendly matches between the two countries.
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June 20, 2023, 07:45:29 AM
 #88

This is normal, after all friendlies are not things that you are suppose to bet on, it is a thing where teams just test out tactics and players get in shape and learn to play with each other because not everyone played for the national team all the time, so some players are new, and they need to learn to play together. I personally believe that any friendly is not good to play, club ones are not that good to bet on neither, because teams do not care if they win or lose, that's not the point of a friendly.

There are some of them like friendly cups, in which case that could be important because they may care about it, but even in those cases it is not really that much of a big deal and teams rarely play to win those games at all.
Betting extends beyond outcomes, encapsulating team dynamics and players' performances. New recruits introduce unpredictability, creating a platform to evaluate their potential. Your claim that outcomes dont concern teams holds some truth, yet misses the mark. Winning, while not the sole aim, provides players an avenue to establish their value, lending relevance to matches. Friendly cups, though seeming less significant, hold prestige and boost team morale. They may lack the cut-throat competitiveness of championships, but labeling them as trivial play is a gross simplification.

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June 20, 2023, 07:51:51 AM
 #89



We'll see ddds for Argentina, only @1.03, it's even very small and won't make a lot of money, on the other hand, the odds for Indonesia to get @25.00 and that's very big, there are so many draws with odds @15.00, but anyway, it's impossible Indonesia will win or draw. So I think for sure taking over 4 goals will make more decent money at odds @1.55 because either way both teams or even with the depth of the Argentinian squad themselves can do more than 4 goals.
I'm sure all gamblers will be tempted to seek their luck by participating in this sports bet. High odds can sometimes make a lot of money faster to get. I watched the match until it was finished and the end result was that Argentina won with 2 goals without reply. Messi came on in the match it was clear it would be more than 2 goals. unfortunately Messi was on vacation so he didn't come to the match against Indonesia.

Bets on today's friendly matches, to be honest, are very difficult to predict, I often lose every bet on sports betting, it seems that people also know that Argentina will come out victorious in that match because they can't possibly draw against Indonesia later. Argentina certainly keeps their score points so they don't lack against Indonesia because Argentina is ranked first in FIFA.
I have long stopped betting on pity odds like the one bookmakers assigned to Argentina. I hate those kinds of odds lone 1.03 and I do not include them in my selections anymore. Any odd that is not upto 1.20 does not appear on my bet. Even if they are multipliers, but they have weak strength of multiplication and yet they are not guaranteed
Friendly matches of nations often go with draws but the world champions will have to convincingly win Indonesia

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Davidvictorson
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June 20, 2023, 07:59:03 AM
 #90

I just lost 3 Friendly Match last week ago, and all match results draw Grin,

  • Morocco - Cape Verde,
  • Germany - Ukraine,
  • and Indonesia vs Palestine

I don't know why a strong team like German and Morocco didn't play seriously when meet in a friendly match. this will be noted and experienced in the future, So if you are bet in a friendly match, be careful to bet, don't look at how strong that team and squad, just look and be brave to bet in a draw. This is just my opinion, not always all friendly matches result for draw, but with my 3 last bets, I have a thing to bet 70% in the draw  Grin,

how about you?
I may be wrong but nobody puts their best into a friendly match where they have nothing to lose if they lose. Some famous players are even careful not to get injured because they know how much it would cost them in their clubs. Some other players know that if they get injured, their home country may not make the effort to take care of them and give them the best medical attention like their clubs will, so why sweat it? The smaller countries that always win know that they are at the bottle of the ranking and would want to make a name for themselves and be recognized so the play very well. This is my own hypothesis though.

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darewaller
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June 20, 2023, 02:11:00 PM
 #91

Well, they understood that this was a friendly match so they did their best to restrain their skills and make the game as enjoyable as possible. Even though they had a chance to win, they didn't want their opponent to be embarrassed and create an unfriendly aura. Therefore, from the beginning I did not want to bet on friendly matches because it was not worth it to participate.
It's in the name "friendly" this might be the reason why players are not aggressively playing with all of their skills but it's also more exciting to watch if the players play the normal way. In the end, win or lose, it wouldn't really matter because this was only a friendly match anyway.

Before we place a bet on a friendly match, we must be sure to check their previous video, only to have an idea if how it works and which team mostly wins so that we won't be disappointed of the result that we will get on our early tries. Maybe some like to participate on it more than the normal matches because it seems special and events like this can rarely happen.
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June 20, 2023, 02:41:42 PM
 #92

This is normal, after all friendlies are not things that you are suppose to bet on, it is a thing where teams just test out tactics and players get in shape and learn to play with each other because not everyone played for the national team all the time, so some players are new, and they need to learn to play together. I personally believe that any friendly is not good to play, club ones are not that good to bet on neither, because teams do not care if they win or lose, that's not the point of a friendly.

There are some of them like friendly cups, in which case that could be important because they may care about it, but even in those cases it is not really that much of a big deal and teams rarely play to win those games at all.
Yes, moreover friendly matches don't field the main squad team, usually only squad teams are in the second tier so playing won't be too serious, as you said winning and losing is commonplace but it can also affect the world ranking, we also can't blame the platform gambling because they added that match in their platform for gamblers can have fun betting on that friendly match, although in the end it is hard to guess.

I think not many people will bet there unless you want to throw money away to bet on a friendly match, personally I will definitely stay away from that let alone betting on a friendly match, apart from being difficult to predict it is also difficult to get a win let alone profit in betting. My advice is never to try betting on friendly matches between leagues or country teams.  Grin

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June 20, 2023, 03:44:46 PM
 #93

It is difficult to say which team will win the Brazil vs Senegal friendly match. However, today's match will have enough hard attacks between the two teams. We know that Brazil is a much stronger team than Senegal, they have many good stars. If Brazil can perform well in the match then surely they can win against Senegal. In today's match, Brazil has a high probability of winner, which is why Brazil's odds is the lowest on various betting platforms. Whereas Brazil ×1.63 and match draw ×3.95 and Senegal ×6.50 betting rate. According to this, it can be understood that there is not much chance of Senegal winning in this match today, it can be said that Brazil can win. Brazil showed great performance in the last match and they won the friendly match with Guinea. So if today's match can perform as well as the last match then there is a possibility that Senegal will lose to Brazil.


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June 20, 2023, 04:02:42 PM
 #94

Yes, it's true, friendly matches will always be difficult to predict, because usually they also don't have big ambitions to win. After all, because the title of the match is only a friendly match, it is very likely that they will also only play with strategies and tactics that are only limited to trials and or the team will only play players who are usually only on the bench. Therefore, friendly matches are always more difficult to predict if we compare them to the main match.

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June 20, 2023, 07:18:24 PM
 #95

Yup, the result may not have favored Indonesia, the match served as a valuable learning experience for the team. Going up against such strong opposition provides an opportunity for growth and improvement. The Indonesian players can take this experience and use it as motivation to further develop their skills and strategies for future encounters. I really appreciate Indonesian team today, even they are face the no.1 in the world, they are able to keep 2 - 0 till ends. This is an expensive experience for Indonesia, because so far Indonesia has had difficulty bringing in a strong national team in friendly matches. The change of PSSI leadership to former Inter Milan owner Erick Tohir seems to give hope to Indonesia.
The progress is quite good for Indonesia, the results are quite satisfactory for me. 37 minutes of no goals was good enough. In addition, the Indonesian coach applies 5 defenders and relies on counterattacks. Indonesia also dared to build up attacks from below, although many failed. I think Indonesia will not be able to make shots on goal, but at least Indonesia is able to make 2 shots on goal that can make Martinez difficult. In addition, I am also happy to see the No. 7 from Indonesia, he is very confident and it seems that only he dares to hold the ball longer. Indeed, if you look at some of Argentina's mainstay players not entering, but Indonesia's progress is already on the right path. I think Sin Tae Yong deserves another long-term contract.
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June 20, 2023, 08:19:35 PM
 #96

Yes, it's true, friendly matches will always be difficult to predict, because usually they also don't have big ambitions to win. After all, because the title of the match is only a friendly match, it is very likely that they will also only play with strategies and tactics that are only limited to trials and or the team will only play players who are usually only on the bench. Therefore, friendly matches are always more difficult to predict if we compare them to the main match.

But there is also no reason to underestimate every opponent in a friendly match. Every match is important and will be a moment to remember. Big clubs usually only play substitute players during friendly matches because they think it's quite worth it, even though some fans are waiting for the main players to play.
Whether it's difficult to predict or not depends on which club is playing. If Argentina's class competes against Indonesia, surely all predictions will point to Argentina as the winner of the 2022 World Cup.
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June 20, 2023, 08:37:03 PM
 #97

But there is also no reason to underestimate every opponent in a friendly match. Every match is important and will be a moment to remember. Big clubs usually only play substitute players during friendly matches because they think it's quite worth it, even though some fans are waiting for the main players to play.
Whether it's difficult to predict or not depends on which club is playing. If Argentina's class competes against Indonesia, surely all predictions will point to Argentina as the winner of the 2022 World Cup.
Friendly games are both easy and difficult to forecast; winning bets on friendly games require simply smart strategy and luck. The unbelievable happens in a friendly game, I'm not sure about activating my wager against top games, because it's unpredictable, experienced a scenario when an average club defeated outstanding clubs. Friendly games are not considered competitive for great personalities on the pitch; they simply use that medium to showcase their skills against their opponents with no regard for the outcome.

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June 20, 2023, 08:45:15 PM
 #98

I just lost 3 Friendly Match last week ago, and all match results draw Grin,

  • Morocco - Cape Verde,
  • Germany - Ukraine,
  • and Indonesia vs Palestine

I don't know why a strong team like German and Morocco didn't play seriously when meet in a friendly match. this will be noted and experienced in the future, So if you are bet in a friendly match, be careful to bet, don't look at how strong that team and squad, just look and be brave to bet in a draw. This is just my opinion, not always all friendly matches result for draw, but with my 3 last bets, I have a thing to bet 70% in the draw  Grin,

how about you?
If you pick either sides to win you might likely not win the bet because in most of the friendly games they coaches don't use to take them seriously. In most cases they use unknown players or players from the adecamy to play the games, they see friendlies as an opportunity to spot out young talents or give young players some minutes. When placing bets on friendlies, the most favourable market are the goal market. Over 2.5, 3.5 or 3.5 are my desired picks and it hardly disappoints.
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June 20, 2023, 09:11:18 PM
 #99

...
how about you?

That's why these matches are called friendly matches. Winning these matches is not the top priority of the teams. In these matches, different tactics are tried and it is aimed to give the match tempo to the players who are usually substitutes. I always stay away from these matches when I bet. If there are no good alternatives in the match schedule and therefore I have to bet on one of these matches, I prefer double chance or goal predictions. However, it is always my first choice to stay away from these matches. I think you should try to control yourself and stay away from these matches or use very small amounts of money when you bet on these matches. I wish you good luck...

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June 20, 2023, 10:17:01 PM
 #100

Yup, the result may not have favored Indonesia, the match served as a valuable learning experience for the team. Going up against such strong opposition provides an opportunity for growth and improvement. The Indonesian players can take this experience and use it as motivation to further develop their skills and strategies for future encounters. I really appreciate Indonesian team today, even they are face the no.1 in the world, they are able to keep 2 - 0 till ends. This is an expensive experience for Indonesia, because so far Indonesia has had difficulty bringing in a strong national team in friendly matches. The change of PSSI leadership to former Inter Milan owner Erick Tohir seems to give hope to Indonesia.
The progress is quite good for Indonesia, the results are quite satisfactory for me. 37 minutes of no goals was good enough. In addition, the Indonesian coach applies 5 defenders and relies on counterattacks. Indonesia also dared to build up attacks from below, although many failed. I think Indonesia will not be able to make shots on goal, but at least Indonesia is able to make 2 shots on goal that can make Martinez difficult. In addition, I am also happy to see the No. 7 from Indonesia, he is very confident and it seems that only he dares to hold the ball longer. Indeed, if you look at some of Argentina's mainstay players not entering, but Indonesia's progress is already on the right path. I think Sin Tae Yong deserves another long-term contract.

Actually this is a bit off topic, but I just wanted to review it. I thought Sin Tae Yong would apply the 3-5-2 pattern like when I saw Indonesia's predicted line-up. for Argentina, Scaloni remained as predicted line-up with 4-3-3. to be honest, this annoyed me a little. because, I want to see Sin Tae Yong use the 3-5-2 pattern. this formation too, in the end when defending changed patterns with 5-3-2. that's why, I want to see Sin Tae Yong adopt a new pattern. the point is, how the Indonesian players will fight in the midfield. if, they get the ball to counterattack, the 5 midfielder system up front can do a good build up starting from the defender. if they can do well, Argentina will not have too much possession of the ball in the midfield area.

But apparently, Sin Tae Yong didn't want to take the risk if the system failed and in the end Indonesia conceded a lot of goals. well, if Argentina fielded its full squad it looks to be a lot of goals going on. but at least, our players are pretty good in defense. naturally, they were a little pressured because they were up against a FIFA rank 1 squad. as a result, for those who bet on a draw, they lose, for those who bet on Argentina the handicap option -3.75 still loses, so do those who bet on Over. so, I'm sure there will be many losers at this bet. because if betting 1×2 chooses Argentina, the odds are not ideal @10.3.

For Indonesia, hopefully they will get the momentum to compete in the 2023 Asian Cup later.

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