⚽ Football Friendly Match is Hard to Predict

[Die_empty]

Friendly matches are not very serious. Especially for the bigger teams. They use their reserve players most of them time so there will be no injury and fatigue on their squad. Friendly is an opportunity for coaches to try news things and experiment with their team. Odds doesn't really matter when it comes to friendly matches. But the bigger teams win more times than they draw or lose. Concluding that 70% of friendly matches end in a draw is not true. I agree that it can be disappointing at times though.

Since friendly games are not important in FIFA ranking the players must play the game with caution. It will be needless for players to pick injuries because of an unimportant game. But some players take this game seriously because it contributes to players’ goals and caps. So a player that wants to break a record or wants more caps will play his best in the game just to achieve his aim.

Some teams are natural rivals which makes them take friendly games between them seriously. There has been an old rivalry between Brazil and Argentina, Nigeria and Cameroon, and some other examples. In such friendly games, national interest is of great importance. So the player will give thier best because of pride and records.,

[1714632594]

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[Doell]

I don't know why a strong team like German and Morocco didn't play seriously when meet in a friendly match. this will be noted and experienced in the future, So if you are bet in a friendly match, be careful to bet, don't look at how strong that team and squad, just look and be brave to bet in a draw. This is just my opinion, not always all friendly matches result for draw, but with my 3 last bets, I have a thing to bet 70% in the draw  ,

how about you?

To be honest, I have never won multibet or single bet on friendly match so far, anything, including big clubs in Europa. Indeed, it is difficult to predict because the match is not as important as chasing a trophy, so both clubs or countries are not playing too seriously. The results are unexpected, even we often see draws results like your bet. Right now it's better for me, not bet on matches which I don't understand, or matches that aren't too certain like friendly matches because the results are often disappointing.

[FatFork]

I don't know why a strong team like German and Morocco didn't play seriously when meet in a friendly match. this will be noted and experienced in the future, So if you are bet in a friendly match, be careful to bet, don't look at how strong that team and squad, just look and be brave to bet in a draw. This is just my opinion, not always all friendly matches result for draw, but with my 3 last bets, I have a thing to bet 70% in the draw  ,

how about you?

To be honest, I have never won multibet or single bet on friendly match so far, anything, including big clubs in Europa. Indeed, it is difficult to predict because the match is not as important as chasing a trophy, so both clubs or countries are not playing too seriously. The results are unexpected, even we often see draws results like your bet. Right now it's better for me, not bet on matches which I don't understand, or matches that aren't too certain like friendly matches because the results are often disappointing.

I can totally relate to your experience with betting on friendly matches. Personally, I've never had any luck with bets on friendly matches either, so I now avoid them completely. The thing about friendly matches is that they lack the motivation that you typically see in competitive matches where teams are fighting for a trophy or a title. Since these matches are more like practice sessions, the teams involved don't always give their 100%.

One example that comes to mind is a friendly match I once bet on between two top-tier European clubs. On paper, one team seemed to have a clear advantage, but the match ended in a surprising draw. Of course, everyone's experiences may vary, and some people may have had success with friendly match betting. But for me personally, I now focus my betting efforts on matches that have higher stakes and where the teams are more motivated to win.

[Nheer]

Friendly matches are difficult to predict and its not advisable to bet on them because since its just a friendly game the teams will not put enough effort as they should, the players also will not give their best because they wouldn’t want to risk being injured in a friendly match. And the coach we want all the players to play so after some time the Coach will bring in as many substitutes player as he can. That way the outcome of the game will change and it will affect the results. I don’t Take friendly matches seriously and that’s why I don’t even bother to bet on them because I know the results will not be as it should be so why waste time on them.

[Fatunad]

I just lost 3 Friendly Match last week ago, and all match results draw ,

• Morocco - Cape Verde,
• Germany - Ukraine,
• and Indonesia vs Palestine

I don't know why a strong team like German and Morocco didn't play seriously when meet in a friendly match. this will be noted and experienced in the future, So if you are bet in a friendly match, be careful to bet, don't look at how strong that team and squad, just look and be brave to bet in a draw. This is just my opinion, not always all friendly matches result for draw, but with my 3 last bets, I have a thing to bet 70% in the draw  ,

how about you?

This is why i dont really have that interest on betting up a on a friendly match because of performance issue on which they wouldnt really be playing at their best on which there's no way that you could determine
on which one is good and which one is underdog with these type of match up and since from the word its a friendly match then it wouldnt really be shocking at all that their plays wont really be that serious.
Never ever in my gambling experience and moments on having that kind of betting on these type of matches unless if you are a die hard fan then you might be considering on throwing some bucks
but sensibly speaking about odds and chances on winning would really be hard. Getting some "draw" results? Its not that shocking and could really happen on which at least
this do give out that real experience on how betting on these matches would be ending up.

[Distraction]

I have tried to bet on friendly matches for a while to give it a chance. But the ending of it is really not well at all. Because in friendly matches you never know how the favourite side would play. Especially when they don't play with their best players your bet gets closer to a loss already. I have experienced this many times.

Even in times that friendly matches are organized close to the beginning of a new season, I bet on favourites by thinking they would have many main players on the field. But even in those times I come across by big surprises. Therefore I have just decided to bet on only official matches as technically my chance to win is bigger in most cases.

[Raflesia]

I don't know why a strong team like German and Morocco didn't play seriously when meet in a friendly match. this will be noted and experienced in the future, So if you are bet in a friendly match, be careful to bet, don't look at how strong that team and squad, just look and be brave to bet in a draw. This is just my opinion, not always all friendly matches result for draw, but with my 3 last bets, I have a thing to bet 70% in the draw  ,

how about you?

To be honest, I have never won multibet or single bet on friendly match so far, anything, including big clubs in Europa. Indeed, it is difficult to predict because the match is not as important as chasing a trophy, so both clubs or countries are not playing too seriously. The results are unexpected, even we often see draws results like your bet. Right now it's better for me, not bet on matches which I don't understand, or matches that aren't too certain like friendly matches because the results are often disappointing.

Because from the name alone this is a friendly match so there is no target they are looking for to win and seem to want other results such as how to see the schemes that are carried out or the players that are played and of course see whether the formation is suitable or not because in short this is just trying to make national team to be better and ready when there is competition.
To be honest, in this case, I have never done this for a gamble because indeed this is also an experiment for several big clubs so it is definitely difficult to predict how victory can be obtained because the focus of several clubs in this case is actually not on winning.

[shogun47]

I don't know why a strong team like German and Morocco didn't play seriously when meet in a friendly match. this will be noted and experienced in the future, So if you are bet in a friendly match, be careful to bet, don't look at how strong that team and squad, just look and be brave to bet in a draw. This is just my opinion, not always all friendly matches result for draw, but with my 3 last bets, I have a thing to bet 70% in the draw  ,

how about you?

To be honest, I have never won multibet or single bet on friendly match so far, anything, including big clubs in Europa. Indeed, it is difficult to predict because the match is not as important as chasing a trophy, so both clubs or countries are not playing too seriously. The results are unexpected, even we often see draws results like your bet. Right now it's better for me, not bet on matches which I don't understand, or matches that aren't too certain like friendly matches because the results are often disappointing.

Because from the name alone this is a friendly match so there is no target they are looking for to win and seem to want other results such as how to see the schemes that are carried out or the players that are played and of course see whether the formation is suitable or not because in short this is just trying to make national team to be better and ready when there is competition.
To be honest, in this case, I have never done this for a gamble because indeed this is also an experiment for several big clubs so it is definitely difficult to predict how victory can be obtained because the focus of several clubs in this case is actually not on winning.

I would say it depends on which players get a chance during friendly games. If there are a lot of routined players then it usually doesn't have the pace as the real games have when something is at stake. But there might be some action when younger players get one of their first or few chances to show what they are able to do, but that can also lead to less predictability as they are emotionally kind of overwhelmed and don't play as well as they would usually do. I would rather go with teams who usually don't have a chance but can win a friendly game because anything else is often not worth the risk that a team out of a sudden literally forgot how to play the game.

[Joca97]

I have tried to bet on friendly matches for a while to give it a chance. But the ending of it is really not well at all. Because in friendly matches you never know how the favourite side would play. Especially when they don't play with their best players your bet gets closer to a loss already. I have experienced this many times.

Even in times that friendly matches are organized close to the beginning of a new season, I bet on favourites by thinking they would have many main players on the field. But even in those times I come across by big surprises. Therefore I have just decided to bet on only official matches as technically my chance to win is bigger in most cases.

Well most of this teams play first half with first team and second half with a reserve squad or players that or on trial. This is where we can see more goals. This games are just screaming goals and odds are pretty okay for this kind of matches. Moneylines should be avoided when playing friendly matches.

[alegotardo]

You have to understand that the dynamics of a friendly game will never be the same as a championship game. I don't like to bet on friendlies, but for those who want to risk it, I advise you to follow this important tip:

The result is the least important thing to bet on friendlies.

Obviously everyone wants to win, but the final score is what matters least to coaches in this type of game. Generally, a friendly is for players to assimilate the tactical concepts that must be developed in the season or championship to come, it serves to test new signings, test younger players and risk new game arrangements against a completely different team, something that goes beyond training between the teams.
So, in friendlies you should wait for the game to start and place more immediate bets.

Also consider that an inferior team may be more motivated to face a top team, for them a draw against a great team ends up becoming a great victory. We can't say the opposite, an "elite" team that is used to playing against others at a higher level will not have the same motivation.

[len01]

-snip

I saw a part of the game and seriously how did you think that both teams were a bit playing to tie the game? Argentina was massively superior and there was one shot and one corner after another. It was nonstop pressure and ball possession by Argentina and Indonesia got lucky half a dozen times in the first half alone. If you thought that Argentina will be without luck until the end of the game and therefore bet on a draw, ok that is understandable, but they didn't both play to tie the game.

as I said before, I made a decision too quickly to place a bet without looking at the details of the match because I watched the broadcast of the match outside the house, so I couldn't focus on my predictions, so I was too careless myself, I placed the wrong bet.
but that's okay, this will be my additional experience for not being too careless when placing bets. 

[shogun47]

-snip

I saw a part of the game and seriously how did you think that both teams were a bit playing to tie the game? Argentina was massively superior and there was one shot and one corner after another. It was nonstop pressure and ball possession by Argentina and Indonesia got lucky half a dozen times in the first half alone. If you thought that Argentina will be without luck until the end of the game and therefore bet on a draw, ok that is understandable, but they didn't both play to tie the game.

as I said before, I made a decision too quickly to place a bet without looking at the details of the match because I watched the broadcast of the match outside the house, so I couldn't focus on my predictions, so I was too careless myself, I placed the wrong bet.
but that's okay, this will be my additional experience for not being too careless when placing bets. 

Sure it can happen and often it helps to really watch the game for a while to see how it is going.

I had a look at the friendly games in the last couple of days and Brazil lost their game against Senegal, but I can't remember what the odds were. But that was probably one of those games where a bet on Senegal would have paid off quite well.

Do you remember the odds?

[rdluffy]

I remembered this thread now that I'm reviewing some results of the friendlies

From the 15th of June until the 20th there were the official FIFA dates and with it several friendlies
I will list here the unlikely and difficult to predict results. It is a great example to illustrate the context of being difficult to bet on these matches

Costa Rica 0 x 1 Guatemala
Poland 1 x 0 Germany
South Korea 1 x 1 El Salvador
Germany 0 x 2 Colombia
Brazil 2 x 4 Senegal

Emphasis on the last two results that surprised me a lot, in "normal" situations Brazil and Germany would not lose
South Korea draw with El Salvador also, because Korea has a very good team and played very well in the world cup
Poland also beat Germany, despite Poland having a reasonable team, in a championship it would be very difficult for Germany to lose
Costa Rica also has a better team than Guatemala, including Costa Rica has participated in the World Cup

[Jody.Drummer]

You have to understand that the dynamics of a friendly game will never be the same as a championship game. I don't like to bet on friendlies, but for those who want to risk it, I advise you to follow this important tip:

The result is the least important thing to bet on friendlies.

Obviously everyone wants to win, but the final score is what matters least to coaches in this type of game. Generally, a friendly is for players to assimilate the tactical concepts that must be developed in the season or championship to come, it serves to test new signings, test younger players and risk new game arrangements against a completely different team, something that goes beyond training between the teams.
So, in friendlies you should wait for the game to start and place more immediate bets.

Also consider that an inferior team may be more motivated to face a top team, for them a draw against a great team ends up becoming a great victory. We can't say the opposite, an "elite" team that is used to playing against others at a higher level will not have the same motivation.

I agree with you, however we do not equate friendly matches with championship matches. In terms of quality, maybe we will assume that a team that has better quality than its opponent will be able to win the match. But what happens in the field is not like that, instead they focus on strategy and the end result will not be one of their goals. Their final goal is to evaluate what are their weaknesses and shortcomings in that competition.
And also you are right, that maybe lesser team will be much motivated and a draw can be a big achievement for them.

[Oneandpure]

I remembered this thread now that I'm reviewing some results of the friendlies

From the 15th of June until the 20th there were the official FIFA dates and with it several friendlies
I will list here the unlikely and difficult to predict results. It is a great example to illustrate the context of being difficult to bet on these matches

Costa Rica 0 x 1 Guatemala
Poland 1 x 0 Germany
South Korea 1 x 1 El Salvador
Germany 0 x 2 Colombia
Brazil 2 x 4 Senegal

Emphasis on the last two results that surprised me a lot, in "normal" situations Brazil and Germany would not lose
South Korea draw with El Salvador also, because Korea has a very good team and played very well in the world cup
Poland also beat Germany, despite Poland having a reasonable team, in a championship it would be very difficult for Germany to lose
Costa Rica also has a better team than Guatemala, including Costa Rica has participated in the World Cup

Its difficult predicting with football friendly match after looking Germany national team loss against Poland and Colombia indeed has Senegal success defeat Brazil. I can't believe how Germany loss actually last friendly match against Colombia although first starting line up filled by regular player but they can't win against Colombia. I am not really interested for watching football friendly match although have super big match because many national teams not serious and head coach try with new tactic for giving young player more minutes.

South Korea is the best national teams in Asian but how come they can't win against not popular national team El Savador, seems some national teams tactician not focus the result have to win and many of them try with new scheme and many young player get chance for playing on the first minutes.

[hahay]

-snip

I saw a part of the game and seriously how did you think that both teams were a bit playing to tie the game? Argentina was massively superior and there was one shot and one corner after another. It was nonstop pressure and ball possession by Argentina and Indonesia got lucky half a dozen times in the first half alone. If you thought that Argentina will be without luck until the end of the game and therefore bet on a draw, ok that is understandable, but they didn't both play to tie the game.

as I said before, I made a decision too quickly to place a bet without looking at the details of the match because I watched the broadcast of the match outside the house, so I couldn't focus on my predictions, so I was too careless myself, I placed the wrong bet.
but that's okay, this will be my additional experience for not being too careless when placing bets. 

Sure it can happen and often it helps to really watch the game for a while to see how it is going.

I had a look at the friendly games in the last couple of days and Brazil lost their game against Senegal, but I can't remember what the odds were. But that was probably one of those games where a bet on Senegal would have paid off quite well.

Do you remember the odds?

The odds in the match between Brazil v Senegal yesterday were Brazil @ 1.44 and Senegaal @ 7.50, clearly in the odds Brazil is the favorite but because this is a friendly match, of course the results will not always be as expected. I'm sure, if this was an official match then of course Brazil would maximize the quality of the players it has, because of course it has a different tension. Therefore, friendly matches cannot be used as a benchmark for mediocre teams, because when it comes to official matches, of course, the top teams will have very different playing styles.

[Litzki1990]

Friendly matches are difficult to predict and its not advisable to bet on them because since its just a friendly game the teams will not put enough effort as they should, the players also will not give their best because they wouldn’t want to risk being injured in a friendly match. And the coach we want all the players to play so after some time the Coach will bring in as many substitutes player as he can. That way the outcome of the game will change and it will affect the results. I don’t Take friendly matches seriously and that’s why I don’t even bother to bet on them because I know the results will not be as it should be so why waste time on them.

If we bet here just to enjoy the friendly match, the results may not come as expected. Because in these friendly matches, relatively strong teams do not enter the field with their full team. And the players who enter the field save themselves and then play the game because these friendly matches are not so important but if they take these friendly matches seriously, if they get a serious injury, it can threaten their career. Not an exciting match. In the friendly match between Brazil and Senegal, we saw Brazil lose to Senegal. It would have been very difficult for Senegal to win against Brazil if Brazil had not fielded their main team or those who had played seriously.

[alastantiger]

Betting on friendly matches  based on the most popular team is the best way to lose. However if it is a game Messi would play, my money is definitely goin to be on Argentina. That country never fails to deliver. For the others, I do not trust them. Another red flag is that in some of the friendly matches the team is mixed up between professional players and those who play in the local league. Prior to that time they would not have spent time playing together to understand themselves, so we see a lot of silly mistakes in the field of play that leads to them losing. These are the best explanations that I can come up with. 

[klidex]

Betting on friendly matches  based on the most popular team is the best way to lose. However if it is a game Messi would play, my money is definitely goin to be on Argentina. That country never fails to deliver. For the others, I do not trust them. Another red flag is that in some of the friendly matches the team is mixed up between professional players and those who play in the local league. Prior to that time they would not have spent time playing together to understand themselves, so we see a lot of silly mistakes in the field of play that leads to them losing. These are the best explanations that I can come up with. 

There's no need to take betting on this friendly match seriously, even though Argentina is playing without Messi, but what's wrong with trying to bet on this friendly match to test your luck.
Because from the last few matches there have been many surprises and wouldn't it be very profitable if when we are lucky to get odds @10

[Bananington]

Betting on friendly matches  based on the most popular team is the best way to lose. However if it is a game Messi would play, my money is definitely goin to be on Argentina. That country never fails to deliver. For the others, I do not trust them. Another red flag is that in some of the friendly matches the team is mixed up between professional players and those who play in the local league. Prior to that time they would not have spent time playing together to understand themselves, so we see a lot of silly mistakes in the field of play that leads to them losing. These are the best explanations that I can come up with. 

Any match at all is hard to predict. A standard league has a style the players use that's why one can easily say which team would win because of the consistent display of performance on every match day till seasons end.

Whereas for friendly matches, the teams have different styles or non at all, different ideas from different teams they play for, and have to adapt and play with a different team from another land, zone entirely.
Only star players make betting easy because we can easily rate their individual performance as more than half of the entire team performance. When the star player fails to shine, most times it is disastrous.