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Author Topic: Bet on live game or while game hasn't started yet?  (Read 900 times)
Negotiation
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July 04, 2023, 01:29:03 PM
 #141

It is boring betting on a football match after it has started. The possibility of a wrong prediction is very high.

That statement reflects your personal perception, but in reality, there are many bettors who enjoy placing bets on games that are already in progress. While there may be larger betting volumes on pregame bets, live betting exists for a reason. It can be likened to trading, where you observe stocks that are experiencing a drop in value and take it as an opportunity to buy. Similarly, bettors seize opportunities when they arise without hesitation. However, it's worth noting that sometimes emotions can get out of control in these situations, which is not ideal.
The main problem with live betting is that if you place a bet before an event starts you cannot adjust your bet to the changing odds. This is a major problem because sports betting odds often change with the state of a match. If emotions get out of hand and place a bet a few days before the game, you risk your bet because there could be a change in the team or an injury could have a negative effect on the team you have chosen as your favorite team.

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July 04, 2023, 09:07:10 PM
 #142

The main problem with live betting is that if you place a bet before an event starts you cannot adjust your bet to the changing odds. This is a major problem because sports betting odds often change with the state of a match. If emotions get out of hand and place a bet a few days before the game, you risk your bet because there could be a change in the team or an injury could have a negative effect on the team you have chosen as your favorite team.
This is not what live bets are. Live bets are in-play matches. They are matches that have already started but punters can still continue to bet and the odds will be changing as the match starts. What you are talking about are matches that have not yet started.

You are not wrong though because it is good to check all the players before you place bet on a team, you have to make sure that all the players that you want to be there are there and playing. I can not forget a match I took in the past which was Juventus versus Parma when Juventus was very good and winning Seria A. Three of Juventus players did not play because the manager rested them for Champions League that was coming and they lost the match, yet the margin Juventus had, compared to the second position was still far.

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July 04, 2023, 11:46:07 PM
 #143

The main problem with live betting is that if you place a bet before an event starts you cannot adjust your bet to the changing odds. This is a major problem because sports betting odds often change with the state of a match. If emotions get out of hand and place a bet a few days before the game, you risk your bet because there could be a change in the team or an injury could have a negative effect on the team you have chosen as your favorite team.
This is not what live bets are. Live bets are in-play matches. They are matches that have already started but punters can still continue to bet and the odds will be changing as the match starts. What you are talking about are matches that have not yet started.

You are not wrong though because it is good to check all the players before you place bet on a team, you have to make sure that all the players that you want to be there are there and playing. I can not forget a match I took in the past which was Juventus versus Parma when Juventus was very good and winning Seria A. Three of Juventus players did not play because the manager rested them for Champions League that was coming and they lost the match, yet the margin Juventus had, compared to the second position was still far.
We know that there are sudden news or events which could really make out that huge impact on a certain team specially if the match hasnt started up yet but on the time that it do make out such event then you do find out that there's some missing or starting players cant be able to play initially or the entire game because of such possible accident or injury which you might have missed on your radar on reading it
which it would really be affecting your winning probability.

When it comes on betting whether on in live bets or earlier then it would really be according into situations because there are conditions on which i do see some sure win on a specific game then i would really be
preferring on having that fixed odds because i dont really like on seeing those changing odds as the game is progressing but well it would really be that depending
on you since not all bettors does have the same preferences when it comes to this manner.

R


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July 05, 2023, 07:44:10 PM
 #144

I think it's better to bet on games before they start than betting on life games. Before games kicks off, one can carefully analyse how what could be the outcome of the match by going back to the performance of the teams you want to place a bet on . While on live betting, the match can be favouring a particular team and which will make someone to think that the better team in performance will win thereby betting on that team only to see a player from the better performing team pick up a red card which totally changes the atmosphere of the match.
Going by your analysis, have you not seen where teams performed very well in the previous game and fumble in the next game? The antecedent does not determine the out of the game. The team playing which team and the squad in a particular is the key factor that sometimes determines the outcome of the game. Live bet is way better than betting before kick off since you are watching and analyzing at the same time. You can easily predict the outcome.
Well, you are right that sometimes it works that when you are watching the game live, you can analyze the players and the teams and understand which team is performing better and has got more chances of winning the game, but, it sometimes backfires, and the team that seems to be in lead during the initial phase of the match, tends to fumble later on and the team which might be weaker manages to win against the side which is the favorite.

That happens, maybe not very often but it does and I say that because it has happened to me on a couple of occasions, I didn't bet when the match was starting even when I knew which team is better, and when the match started, I saw that the favorite is having a big lead, so I went ahead and placed my bet, and surprisingly, the opponent won the match.

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July 07, 2023, 09:51:40 AM
 #145

Well, you are right that sometimes it works that when you are watching the game live, you can analyze the players and the teams and understand which team is performing better and has got more chances of winning the game, but, it sometimes backfires, and the team that seems to be in lead during the initial phase of the match, tends to fumble later on and the team which might be weaker manages to win against the side which is the favorite.
Even with checking the match statistics, you can know where the march might end to. Most people that are gambling on live matches depend more on checking the statistics as the match continues because they can not be watching all the matches at once and there are many live matches that you will not be able to watch. But there are some online betting sites that you can also watch the match directly but it will consume data. Watching the match can be good though, but checking the statistics as the match' goes on has been what I use most of the time.

It is true that a match can change. This has happened to me before. Not once or two times but plenty times. You can even see the match change around 80 to 90 minutes. Some matches may even not change but the opponent may just have a tiny opportunity which they do not misuse and just score. The score can even happened at the 3, 4, 5 to 10 minutes extra time give after 90 minutes to conclude the match as 90 minutes.

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July 07, 2023, 12:50:42 PM
 #146

The main problem with live betting is that if you place a bet before an event starts you cannot adjust your bet to the changing odds. This is a major problem because sports betting odds often change with the state of a match. If emotions get out of hand and place a bet a few days before the game, you risk your bet because there could be a change in the team or an injury could have a negative effect on the team you have chosen as your favorite team.
We gamble with high stakes since it is the only way we may generate enormous returns from the system. For me, the English Premier League is my favorite league to bet on; I've already chosen a number of teams whose performance I'm acquainted with, both mediocre and outstanding clubs. Manchester City remains first on my ranking of elite clubs, followed by Liverpool and Chelsea, and then Brentford, Newcastle, and Aston Villa for common clubs. Making precise predictions and strategizing on these clubs will always result in enormous earnings. To me, a live bet means smaller money; I prefer betting before the game since it keeps the odds high and the profits big.

R


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July 07, 2023, 02:23:55 PM
Merited by tiCeR (1)
 #147

Well, you are right that sometimes it works that when you are watching the game live, you can analyze the players and the teams and understand which team is performing better and has got more chances of winning the game, but, it sometimes backfires, and the team that seems to be in lead during the initial phase of the match, tends to fumble later on and the team which might be weaker manages to win against the side which is the favorite.
Even with checking the match statistics, you can know where the march might end to. Most people that are gambling on live matches depend more on checking the statistics as the match continues because they can not be watching all the matches at once and there are many live matches that you will not be able to watch. But there are some online betting sites that you can also watch the match directly but it will consume data. Watching the match can be good though, but checking the statistics as the match' goes on has been what I use most of the time.

It is true that a match can change. This has happened to me before. Not once or two times but plenty times. You can even see the match change around 80 to 90 minutes. Some matches may even not change but the opponent may just have a tiny opportunity which they do not misuse and just score. The score can even happened at the 3, 4, 5 to 10 minutes extra time give after 90 minutes to conclude the match as 90 minutes.
Stats save time, attention, and data. A worthy approach. How accurate and reliable are these statistics? Isn't "sampling bias" a risk here? Academia recognises that data may not accurately depict the situation. Do match statistics account for unanticipated events like weather changes, injuries, and disputed referee decisions? These elements can greatly impact matches

You mentioned last-minute, heart-stopping incidents. Last-minute goals or extra-time miracles? Don't they disregard all statistics? Statistics are useful, but unpredictable variables limit their applicability

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July 07, 2023, 06:25:44 PM
 #148

The main problem with live betting is that if you place a bet before an event starts you cannot adjust your bet to the changing odds. This is a major problem because sports betting odds often change with the state of a match. If emotions get out of hand and place a bet a few days before the game, you risk your bet because there could be a change in the team or an injury could have a negative effect on the team you have chosen as your favorite team.
We gamble with high stakes since it is the only way we may generate enormous returns from the system. For me, the English Premier League is my favorite league to bet on; I've already chosen a number of teams whose performance I'm acquainted with, both mediocre and outstanding clubs. Manchester City remains first on my ranking of elite clubs, followed by Liverpool and Chelsea, and then Brentford, Newcastle, and Aston Villa for common clubs. Making precise predictions and strategizing on these clubs will always result in enormous earnings. To me, a live bet means smaller money; I prefer betting before the game since it keeps the odds high and the profits big.
As long as we can predict well and find a team with more potential to win than the opposing team, we can place bets before the match. But if not, we can place bets while the match progresses. Everything has advantages and disadvantages for gamblers, so they must know when to place their bets. And gamblers who are used to analyzing many matches will know what they will do and will not force themselves to keep placing bets if they are in doubt. But they can still place bets just for fun rather than considering the result.

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July 07, 2023, 09:58:19 PM
 #149

Well, you are right that sometimes it works that when you are watching the game live, you can analyze the players and the teams and understand which team is performing better and has got more chances of winning the game, but, it sometimes backfires, and the team that seems to be in lead during the initial phase of the match, tends to fumble later on and the team which might be weaker manages to win against the side which is the favorite.
Even with checking the match statistics, you can know where the march might end to. Most people that are gambling on live matches depend more on checking the statistics as the match continues because they can not be watching all the matches at once and there are many live matches that you will not be able to watch. But there are some online betting sites that you can also watch the match directly but it will consume data. Watching the match can be good though, but checking the statistics as the match' goes on has been what I use most of the time.

It is true that a match can change. This has happened to me before. Not once or two times but plenty times. You can even see the match change around 80 to 90 minutes. Some matches may even not change but the opponent may just have a tiny opportunity which they do not misuse and just score. The score can even happened at the 3, 4, 5 to 10 minutes extra time give after 90 minutes to conclude the match as 90 minutes.
Stats save time, attention, and data. A worthy approach. How accurate and reliable are these statistics? Isn't "sampling bias" a risk here? Academia recognises that data may not accurately depict the situation. Do match statistics account for unanticipated events like weather changes, injuries, and disputed referee decisions? These elements can greatly impact matches

You mentioned last-minute, heart-stopping incidents. Last-minute goals or extra-time miracles? Don't they disregard all statistics? Statistics are useful, but unpredictable variables limit their applicability


You know how statistics work Smiley

But interestingly I think some of the variables like you mentioned (weather changes, injuries etc.) will be considered with new AI based models in the future. We are not there now (I think), but AI could scrape the data from the Internet and then adjust odds before the game starts based on any new information gathered and the calculated impact it may have on the game.

But placing bets during the game can also be fun. I guess most here know what kind of situations in a game can be an indicator for a turn around of one team or other important events. That's why I usually try to have some funds on the platform to make a quick adjustment bet if it seems to be appropriate to me. But there will remain a factor of coincidence that not even improved AI models will ever be able to predict.

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July 08, 2023, 08:01:24 AM
 #150

Stats save time, attention, and data. A worthy approach. How accurate and reliable are these statistics? Isn't "sampling bias" a risk here? Academia recognises that data may not accurately depict the situation. Do match statistics account for unanticipated events like weather changes, injuries, and disputed referee decisions? These elements can greatly impact matches

You mentioned last-minute, heart-stopping incidents. Last-minute goals or extra-time miracles? Don't they disregard all statistics? Statistics are useful, but unpredictable variables limit their applicability
I am only talking about how I am gambling with live matches. Assuming I take 5 live matches a day (but some people gamble on more than 5 matches), do you think these people or I will watch all the match. They can not watch all the matches. The have to depend on the matches statistics which is easily to know what could be the outcome if a match.

But I still finally said that a match can change at anytime. I do not even like to watch the live match that I have staked on because it makes someone's mind to remain unrest until the match has finished. People that are gambling with live matches will understand this mind unrest that I am talking about.

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July 08, 2023, 08:22:39 AM
 #151

Sometimes I do prefer to bet on live matches because I could get better odds payout rate when a favorite team falls behind 1 goal against their opponent in a soccer match, even though the favorite team might need to score more goals in order to win the match but the live betting odds payout rate will become higher than the initial odds payout rate before the match starts.

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July 08, 2023, 08:56:41 PM
 #152

The main problem with live betting is that if you place a bet before an event starts you cannot adjust your bet to the changing odds. This is a major problem because sports betting odds often change with the state of a match. If emotions get out of hand and place a bet a few days before the game, you risk your bet because there could be a change in the team or an injury could have a negative effect on the team you have chosen as your favorite team.
We gamble with high stakes since it is the only way we may generate enormous returns from the system. For me, the English Premier League is my favorite league to bet on; I've already chosen a number of teams whose performance I'm acquainted with, both mediocre and outstanding clubs. Manchester City remains first on my ranking of elite clubs, followed by Liverpool and Chelsea, and then Brentford, Newcastle, and Aston Villa for common clubs. Making precise predictions and strategizing on these clubs will always result in enormous earnings. To me, a live bet means smaller money; I prefer betting before the game since it keeps the odds high and the profits big.
As long as we can predict well and find a team with more potential to win than the opposing team, we can place bets before the match. But if not, we can place bets while the match progresses. Everything has advantages and disadvantages for gamblers, so they must know when to place their bets. And gamblers who are used to analyzing many matches will know what they will do and will not force themselves to keep placing bets if they are in doubt. But they can still place bets just for fun rather than considering the result.
The area of your expertise should let you pick which one is the best for you, if you are more comfortable taking your time to do an analysis of which team can come up on top during their next math then making a bet before the match takes place makes more sense, however if you are quick on your feet and you can find some good odds in a split of a second then making live bets could be a better option for you, as the odds given for those bets by the casinos are not as accurate.

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July 08, 2023, 09:05:05 PM
 #153

Sometimes I do prefer to bet on live matches because I could get better odds payout rate when a favorite team falls behind 1 goal against their opponent in a soccer match, even though the favorite team might need to score more goals in order to win the match but the live betting odds payout rate will become higher than the initial odds payout rate before the match starts.
That scenario favors the gambler, but I don't think it will impact the odds in a significant way. I also tend to agree that betting during a game can be a good option to get better odds and be profitable, but sportsbooks sometimes don't always adjust the odds in their favour.

I prefer to bet on the favorite team regardless if the odds are very favorable or maybe it's only worth calling it an entertainment bet. Yes of course it is because the odds are not that great for such a high value bet, although I would consider it a low risk bet.

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July 08, 2023, 09:12:01 PM
 #154

Sometimes I do prefer to bet on live matches because I could get better odds payout rate when a favorite team falls behind 1 goal against their opponent in a soccer match, even though the favorite team might need to score more goals in order to win the match but the live betting odds payout rate will become higher than the initial odds payout rate before the match starts.
That scenario favors the gambler, but I don't think it will impact the odds in a significant way. I also tend to agree that betting during a game can be a good option to get better odds and be profitable, but sportsbooks sometimes don't always adjust the odds in their favour.

I prefer to bet on the favorite team regardless if the odds are very favorable or maybe it's only worth calling it an entertainment bet. Yes of course it is because the odds are not that great for such a high value bet, although I would consider it a low risk bet.

What you said is right as the odds don't really change beyond what they were in a handicap bet for the favorite team. If we say that PSG falls behind an underdog team in a home game early on, the odds would be about the same as if you place a bet on a handicap with PSG being down one goal.

I think the real advantage is if people have a lot of experience and they quickly notice that this is not the day of the favorite because they play worse, ball control is not the same, motivation is somehow down and other things. That is something you can analyze during a game and then draw some conclusions for potential bets.

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July 09, 2023, 03:08:10 PM
 #155

The main problem with live betting is that if you place a bet before an event starts you cannot adjust your bet to the changing odds. This is a major problem because sports betting odds often change with the state of a match. If emotions get out of hand and place a bet a few days before the game, you risk your bet because there could be a change in the team or an injury could have a negative effect on the team you have chosen as your favorite team.
We gamble with high stakes since it is the only way we may generate enormous returns from the system. For me, the English Premier League is my favorite league to bet on; I've already chosen a number of teams whose performance I'm acquainted with, both mediocre and outstanding clubs. Manchester City remains first on my ranking of elite clubs, followed by Liverpool and Chelsea, and then Brentford, Newcastle, and Aston Villa for common clubs. Making precise predictions and strategizing on these clubs will always result in enormous earnings. To me, a live bet means smaller money; I prefer betting before the game since it keeps the odds high and the profits big.
The lower odds are one of the biggest reasons why most people avoid live betting even if it provides them with the advantage of seeing the performances of both teams and all the players before taking a final decision, people prefer choosing a side before the match starts so that they can get returns for the full odds which won't be the case once the match is underway, but some people still do it because it slightly reduces the risk when you bet when the match has already started.

I'm not a very big fan of betting live myself because I believe if I'm destined to lose, I will lose even if I evaluate the teams and then choose my side because it has happened to me in the past where the most favorite team lost against a mediocre team which was totally unexpected.

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July 09, 2023, 07:06:56 PM
 #156

So I tried to do live betting again today in the DOTA 2 Bali Major. I was waiting on my preferred team to somehow fell behind when the odds are high enough for them but once again it isn't very pleasant catching those ever-changing odds. Sometimes I am simply forced to just take a bet even if with undesired odds or lose the opportunity to bet on a specific game. Later on, I just went on to bet pre-game because I felt like I was not focused on the game anymore which I am supposed to enjoy especially because it is the finals already.

So as always, live betting can be profitable but it also annoys you at times. And it also takes away your focus on the game but maybe some of you will have the same level of fun even if you missed some seconds of the game.

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July 19, 2023, 08:58:34 PM
 #157

So I tried to do live betting again today in the DOTA 2 Bali Major. I was waiting on my preferred team to somehow fell behind when the odds are high enough for them but once again it isn't very pleasant catching those ever-changing odds. Sometimes I am simply forced to just take a bet even if with undesired odds or lose the opportunity to bet on a specific game. Later on, I just went on to bet pre-game because I felt like I was not focused on the game anymore which I am supposed to enjoy especially because it is the finals already.

So as always, live betting can be profitable but it also annoys you at times. And it also takes away your focus on the game but maybe some of you will have the same level of fun even if you missed some seconds of the game.
Live bets are similar to trading in the sense that you are waiting for the perfect moment to enter the market, the problem with this strategy is that you could wait for hours and not a single opportunity may materialize, however doing this while you gamble has the added problem that you are now not enjoying the sport or esport you wanted to watch, and this can be a very unsatisfying experience as the main reason we watch those competitions is to obtain some entertainment out of them and now you are failing on this task.

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July 22, 2023, 04:23:29 PM
 #158

The main problem with live betting is that if you place a bet before an event starts you cannot adjust your bet to the changing odds. This is a major problem because sports betting odds often change with the state of a match. If emotions get out of hand and place a bet a few days before the game, you risk your bet because there could be a change in the team or an injury could have a negative effect on the team you have chosen as your favorite team.
We gamble with high stakes since it is the only way we may generate enormous returns from the system. For me, the English Premier League is my favorite league to bet on; I've already chosen a number of teams whose performance I'm acquainted with, both mediocre and outstanding clubs. Manchester City remains first on my ranking of elite clubs, followed by Liverpool and Chelsea, and then Brentford, Newcastle, and Aston Villa for common clubs. Making precise predictions and strategizing on these clubs will always result in enormous earnings. To me, a live bet means smaller money; I prefer betting before the game since it keeps the odds high and the profits big.
The lower odds are one of the biggest reasons why most people avoid live betting even if it provides them with the advantage of seeing the performances of both teams and all the players before taking a final decision, people prefer choosing a side before the match starts so that they can get returns for the full odds which won't be the case once the match is underway, but some people still do it because it slightly reduces the risk when you bet when the match has already started.

I'm not a very big fan of betting live myself because I believe if I'm destined to lose, I will lose even if I evaluate the teams and then choose my side because it has happened to me in the past where the most favorite team lost against a mediocre team which was totally unexpected.

If it's a live sport, and if there's a possibility to start changing the bets, I think that's going to cause me a lot of anxiety, that's why I'm not good at this type of bet, because one thing is that I bet before the game starts, after it starts, if my team loses, I accept it and I don't suffer anything, but if I'm live and I want to bet on a team, I do it, I change my bet, I get stressed because now I think the team I changed is going to lose, and if there's a chance to change the bet, so I do it, it's not the right thing, but maybe it's because of my nerves or who knows what, but I'm not good at that, maybe there are people who are good at it, but I really admire it.

I think this type of practice is very risky for me as a bettor, because it is not my style to change my decisions, I think it would cause a very insecure personality, of course it does not hurt to be able to risk making a type of bet like that, but I think I would not change my betting decision, I would rather lose than change the bets.

There are bettors who want this type of bet because they portray their decisions a lot, personally they have different personalities and they believe that changing the decisions of a bet is having a double chance, I don't see it as a bad thing, in terms of statistics it is like that, but I like traditional bets, in the forum many people who like this type of bet must be made, and the truth is I admire them.

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July 23, 2023, 03:40:44 PM
 #159

Sometimes I do prefer to bet on live matches because I could get better odds payout rate when a favorite team falls behind 1 goal against their opponent in a soccer match, even though the favorite team might need to score more goals in order to win the match but the live betting odds payout rate will become higher than the initial odds payout rate before the match starts.
That's a different way to see it and I'm pretty sure that it doesn't happen very often when a favorite stays behind at the beginning and then recovers back and wins the match if that happens, that's a great win for those who've chosen the favorite when betting live, but it's even better odds for those who might have chosen the opponent and they managed to win the game, I say that because it happens sometimes in any kind of sport, the favorite loses.

I had placed a live bet on a cricket match once where the favorite team was leading, if the opponent would have been leading, I could be more nervous, but since the favorite was leading, I was confident and thought it will be an easy win, but the opposite happened and the weaker side went ahead and won the match.

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July 23, 2023, 04:07:19 PM
 #160

I had placed a live bet on a cricket match once where the favorite team was leading, if the opponent would have been leading, I could be more nervous, but since the favorite was leading, I was confident and thought it will be an easy win, but the opposite happened and the weaker side went ahead and won the match.

That's also a good reason to bet while the game is live already. It's the kind of certainty that a gambler would look for. In crickets however the longer the game will last the more it looks like something will flip.

Just like the Tennis game, where the game will take hours and hours. My goal is to keep betting even on the games I am no fan but just seeing the leading team base on the score as its live, I can bet and win.


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