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Author Topic: What if there is no crypto bull run for next 10 years ?  (Read 1055 times)
uswa56
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September 20, 2023, 09:28:30 AM
 #141

If you are positive about Bitcoin's future, then you should be optimistic about the BTC bull run, this is how you will be earning some profits. As far as the bull run in the coming years is concerned, there will be a bull run in the coming year or two because the stock/ crypto market will not survive without it. If there is no bull run in the stock/ crypto market, the market will stand still and not grow. To make people interested, these fluctuations in the market are bound to happen.
Price increases will always exist in the market as long as there is demand and supply which in general has not stopped until now, so this certainly needs to be believed by everyone who believes in Bitcoin and other shares in the market. Although on the other hand, everyone must also understand that declines can always occur in the market so that we can all always be ready to face all conditions that often arise in the market, such as falling and rising prices.
So far Bitcoin price movements continue to occur and are even very fast so it sounds strange if someone says there won't be another price increase in the next 10 years, in my opinion that won't be possible unless what is meant is a significant increase, well if that's up to people's predictions each because no one knows the future.
In fact, we all have our own views and beliefs, so when we believe, we do what we believe and vice versa.
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September 20, 2023, 02:59:53 PM
 #142

Also, the more people we have, the harder it will get to get new customers as well. I mean if you have everyone involved already, it would be hard to convince the last people, they waited that long, they may have a solid reason that we can't change. So, the long time we spend with this adoption rate, the harder it gets to convince others and we should be careful about it.

I personally do agree that it is going to have some trouble here and there, but we could definitely have some changes. I believe that we are going to have some issues on the long run, and for that we need to figure out a way other than "if you buy bitcoin, it will go up in the future" type of convincing, we need something bigger than that to grow.
The only thing other than the growing price of Bitcoin is the use cases it provides to its users that can be used to convince people but that is not going to be as effective as the price because most people are adopting Bitcoin not for its use cases but because they see it going up and they believe they will get good returns if they buy Bitcoin right now. If they see that there is absolutely no growth, or even if there is, it isn't significant enough to provide them any profit, they will barely be interested.

So, if there is no growth and no bull run for 10 years, the pace at which the adoption is going right now will decrease greatly, and we can barely have any way to convince people to still buy Bitcoin if they don't see any incentive connected to it and that will surely affect the adoption rate that we have.

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September 21, 2023, 10:18:29 AM
 #143

If you are positive about Bitcoin's future, then you should be optimistic about the BTC bull run, this is how you will be earning some profits. As far as the bull run in the coming years is concerned, there will be a bull run in the coming year or two because the stock/ crypto market will not survive without it. If there is no bull run in the stock/ crypto market, the market will stand still and not grow. To make people interested, these fluctuations in the market are bound to happen.
Price increases will always exist in the market as long as there is demand and supply which in general has not stopped until now, so this certainly needs to be believed by everyone who believes in Bitcoin and other shares in the market. Although on the other hand, everyone must also understand that declines can always occur in the market so that we can all always be ready to face all conditions that often arise in the market, such as falling and rising prices.
So far Bitcoin price movements continue to occur and are even very fast so it sounds strange if someone says there won't be another price increase in the next 10 years, in my opinion that won't be possible unless what is meant is a significant increase, well if that's up to people's predictions each because no one knows the future.
In fact, we all have our own views and beliefs, so when we believe, we do what we believe and vice versa.

I think simply, cryptocurrency is a financial market and as jasonjm said, the market would not be able to exist without volatility. Furthermore, to maintain existence and develop further, it is necessary to attract more participants, the more people there are, the more the market will develop. Therefore, market makers will always make the market fluctuate and create outstanding events to attract attention and attract investors.

I never thought that the market would stop being volatile for even a day, let alone that volatility would disappear. That is not possible in financial markets because volatility is the main factor to maintain the existence of the market.

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September 21, 2023, 12:34:45 PM
 #144

What if there is no crypto bull run for next 10 years ? Will you give up all your investments and get out of crypto because of this ? Or do you you have even more broader horizon and can wait longer to see the next bull run ?

Purely depends on the market sentiments. As of now, there's no way a bullrun will not happen in the next 10 years, judging alone how hype the people are in crypto on the upcoming bitcoin halving. We've seen a lot of companies and small merchants and service providers who gradually accepts bitcoin, so it is already expected that bitcoin will continue to gain more and more popularity as well as the adoption.
Therefore, we should not be worried about this hypothetical question as it's still far from happening.
We can't say it was impossible because it is already happened several times. Yes, it depends on the market sentiment but what will happen in the future lies in the hands of the investors as well. If we all have the same mindset of growing our investment, I was certain that always have room in the crypto market.
I admit this is purely a prediction and can be possibly wrong. However, given the fact that there is a growing trend of crypto investors, why not believe that it will come?



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September 21, 2023, 01:34:10 PM
 #145

-snip-
So far Bitcoin price movements continue to occur and are even very fast so it sounds strange if someone says there won't be another price increase in the next 10 years, in my opinion that won't be possible unless what is meant is a significant increase, well if that's up to people's predictions each because no one knows the future.
In fact, we all have our own views and beliefs, so when we believe, we do what we believe and vice versa.
There is only one scenario where the price of bitcoin is likely to fall very deeply and not recover quickly, namely if there is a major crash in the crypto industry. So far I can't expect such a breakdown and I tend to think the crypto industry will develop even more rapidly in the next 10 years. Price increases can be expected, but volatility (fluctuation) will always accompany the passage of time.

If in the next 10 years the price of the crypto you are referring to does not move, then I think you should leave the crypto outside your portfolio. But I don't expect that to happen to bitcoin, but it could probably happen to most altcoins.

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September 21, 2023, 02:03:43 PM
 #146

I think if there wasn’t a bull run every four years then Bitcoin would struggle. Now that it’s taken the stance of being digital gold, its main selling point is that it goes up in price against the dollar. As soon as a 4-year cycle passes without a new high, I think a lot of speculators would abandon the market causing a falling feedback loop. As digital gold isn’t useful if it doesn’t hold value.

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September 21, 2023, 04:02:28 PM
 #147

I think if there wasn’t a bull run every four years then Bitcoin would struggle. Now that it’s taken the stance of being digital gold, its main selling point is that it goes up in price against the dollar. As soon as a 4-year cycle passes without a new high, I think a lot of speculators would abandon the market causing a falling feedback loop. As digital gold isn’t useful if it doesn’t hold value.

I'm worried of that too, but it's not like 4-year cycles are the only thing that could drive the price up. Since these cycles are based on halvings, it's inevitable and expected that they won't last forever (due to diminishing block rewards).
Eventually BTC will have to start acting like all other investments with price action being news-driven. Some demand from speculators wanting to capitalise on bull-run predictivity could get replaced i.e. by demand from spot ETFs (if approved). In the long run it all could work well for Bitcoin.

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September 21, 2023, 04:36:13 PM
 #148

TBH Bitcoin is much more than just having a price tag attached to it, however keeping it on topic, I'll tell you something. In a matter of a decade and 3 years more, BTC that was not worth even a cent is currently about $26.5k and had an ATH of nearly $69k. Now, just think that if you've got the appetite to hold BTC for that long for straight 13 years ahead (as you said you believe in BTC's future), then not giving a shit to BTC's price till then should be your motive. It only bothers to spot traders because futures and margin traders know they can make great profits even when BTC falls down.

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October 08, 2023, 03:45:52 PM
 #149

What if there is no crypto bull run for next 10 years ? Will you give up all your investments and get out of crypto because of this ? Or do you you have even more broader horizon and can wait longer to see the next bull run ?
For crypto in general, it is possible that in the next ten years there will be no fundamental increase. But when it comes to bitcoin, this is impossible because its journey has a cyclical process that repeats itself every four years. Waiting for a long time is quite a tedious decision and that's why I prefer investing in bitcoin because we can see ATH after the four-year process takes place.

Personally, I am very much positive with bitcoin future but we should also be prepared for all situations. Nothing can be guarantee in present times and we must also be prepared for worst situations.  
Don't worry and if you think bitcoin is one of the targets you want to achieve then just focus on how to collect it. Learn about the previous Bitcoin journey process so that you will have complete and complete knowledge of Bitcoin. Bitcoin is indeed one of the best investments in the long term and that strength is what drives many people to want to invest.

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October 11, 2023, 07:48:40 AM
 #150

If you are positive about Bitcoin's future, then you should be optimistic about the BTC bull run, this is how you will be earning some profits. As far as the bull run in the coming years is concerned, there will be a bull run in the coming year or two because the stock/ crypto market will not survive without it. If there is no bull run in the stock/ crypto market, the market will stand still and not grow. To make people interested, these fluctuations in the market are bound to happen.
Price increases will always exist in the market as long as there is demand and supply which in general has not stopped until now, so this certainly needs to be believed by everyone who believes in Bitcoin and other shares in the market. Although on the other hand, everyone must also understand that declines can always occur in the market so that we can all always be ready to face all conditions that often arise in the market, such as falling and rising prices.
So far Bitcoin price movements continue to occur and are even very fast so it sounds strange if someone says there won't be another price increase in the next 10 years, in my opinion that won't be possible unless what is meant is a significant increase, well if that's up to people's predictions each because no one knows the future.
In fact, we all have our own views and beliefs, so when we believe, we do what we believe and vice versa.
not sure about that movement continue to occur because upon checking the market , bitcoin stays stagnant at 26-27k.

https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/

but in the net 10 years? there are lot to come for bitcoin and if that happens to what you said? then maybe it is the time to leave crypto and go in physical business.
but Bitcoin will stay strong and that is for what I do believe.

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October 11, 2023, 08:40:01 AM
 #151

I think if there wasn’t a bull run every four years then Bitcoin would struggle. Now that it’s taken the stance of being digital gold, its main selling point is that it goes up in price against the dollar. As soon as a 4-year cycle passes without a new high, I think a lot of speculators would abandon the market causing a falling feedback loop. As digital gold isn’t useful if it doesn’t hold value.

If you see 10 years history of Bitcoin then its very much clear that Bitcoin has shown enormous improvement in its value. Starting its journey from 0$ back in 2009, Bitcoin manage to touch 69k$ in ten years. Although volatility is attached with Bitcoin but still we see that Bitcoin is maintaining its value.
Year 2023 is different in a sense that we see somewhat stability in price of Bitcoin. If Bitcoin can maintain stability in its price then its value will also go up with time because of demand and supply.   
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October 11, 2023, 07:59:14 PM
 #152

If you are positive about Bitcoin's future, then you should be optimistic about the BTC bull run, this is how you will be earning some profits. As far as the bull run in the coming years is concerned, there will be a bull run in the coming year or two because the stock/ crypto market will not survive without it. If there is no bull run in the stock/ crypto market, the market will stand still and not grow. To make people interested, these fluctuations in the market are bound to happen.
Price increases will always exist in the market as long as there is demand and supply which in general has not stopped until now, so this certainly needs to be believed by everyone who believes in Bitcoin and other shares in the market. Although on the other hand, everyone must also understand that declines can always occur in the market so that we can all always be ready to face all conditions that often arise in the market, such as falling and rising prices.
So far Bitcoin price movements continue to occur and are even very fast so it sounds strange if someone says there won't be another price increase in the next 10 years, in my opinion that won't be possible unless what is meant is a significant increase, well if that's up to people's predictions each because no one knows the future.
In fact, we all have our own views and beliefs, so when we believe, we do what we believe and vice versa.
not sure about that movement continue to occur because upon checking the market , bitcoin stays stagnant at 26-27k.

https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/

but in the net 10 years? there are lot to come for bitcoin and if that happens to what you said? then maybe it is the time to leave crypto and go in physical business.
but Bitcoin will stay strong and that is for what I do believe.
Even trying out to project on 5 years time then it would really be that long enough for us to tell that there's no way on knowing on what would the future holds because in overall it would really be always that pertaining about on the demand and recognition plus with those possible sentiments that would really be that affecting in overall movement which we know that its always been that an integral part of any market which it isnt really just that limited to crypto but also in other markets as well.If we do speak about bull run cycle then we dont know if it would be changing up from 4year to 6years or 10 year cycle and there's no way on knowing that considering that there are different driving force on which it would really be making out that significant movement of price in the market. If there would really be no bull run on next 10 years then most probably on which investors and supporters of this market isnt really that seeing that too good within this space yet having no movement over the course of 10 years does signifies that interest and demand
is really that slowly fading and for sure there would really be other markets on which investors are really that focusing into. Well thats always an assumption on things.

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October 11, 2023, 09:06:42 PM
 #153

It is difficult for us to predict what would have happened. I expect the price growth would have been slow and stable. This tech would have been full of tech savy people within a small group. New ideas like AI, Web3 would have been developed though big tech companies which eventually led to a loss of interest over previous technologies. The whole altcoin industry wouldn't exist.









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October 13, 2023, 06:46:48 PM
 #154

I'm not being hypocritical when I admit that I'm also seeking to profit from the accumulation of my Bitcoin purchases. While I do frequently use Bitcoin for transactions, there's nothing wrong with aiming to benefit from it as well. We can generate extra income from these profits, so if, for instance, over ten years, there's no significant price movement, the BTC in my wallet might diminish primarily for transactional purposes.

As for the portion of Bitcoin that I hope will yield returns, I plan to employ it in real-world businesses to support my livelihood. All of this I undertake without diminishing my respect for the existence of Bitcoin.

Having a dual function is undoubtedly intriguing, but I observe that many individuals today prefer Bitcoin to remain volatile. This not only serves the purpose of seeking profits but also ensures that there remains a strong interest in it.
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October 13, 2023, 06:52:54 PM
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 #155

What if there is no crypto bull run for next 10 years ? Will you give up all your investments and get out of crypto because of this ? Or do you you have even more broader horizon and can wait longer to see the next bull run ?

Personally, I am very much positive with bitcoin future but we should also be prepared for all situations. Nothing can be guarantee in present times and we must also be prepared for worst situations.
The uncertainty of when the next bull run will come is what make bitcoin investment a volatile one,  and the main reasons why every bitcoin investors are advice to first build the knowledge needed first and knowing at the back of your mind that you should only hold an amount of bitcoin that you can afford to hold for long even though there is high tendency that Bitcoin will taste the bull market at most once every 5-year cycle in not more than once.

And there is some correction in the price in between that always gives investors the chance to take a position in the market and to come out with something useful in the form of using the DCA approach to shape up their investments.
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October 13, 2023, 07:21:21 PM
 #156

-
The uncertainty of when the next bull run will come is what make bitcoin investment a volatile one,  and the main reasons why every bitcoin investors are advice to first build the knowledge needed first and knowing at the back of your mind that you should only hold an amount of bitcoin that you can afford to hold for long even though there is high tendency that Bitcoin will taste the bull market at most once every 5-year cycle in not more than once.

And there is some correction in the price in between that always gives investors the chance to take a position in the market and to come out with something useful in the form of using the DCA approach to shape up their investments.

Worrying is necessary, but don't overdo it. I still remember how sad I was when I remembered my early days of knowing Bitcoin but I failed to own it in large quantities. Such an opportunity will never happen again, but one important lesson from it is to take advantage of the opportunity instead of ignoring it because of doubt.

No one knows about the future for any asset even though we can make predictions and analysis, but then again when we don't have anything then I'm not sure what we need to doubt. Buy now and hold, bitcoin will provide returns worth it with the risk.

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October 13, 2023, 08:52:06 PM
 #157

Worrying is necessary, but don't overdo it. I still remember how sad I was when I remembered my early days of knowing Bitcoin but I failed to own it in large quantities. Such an opportunity will never happen again, but one important lesson from it is to take advantage of the opportunity instead of ignoring it because of doubt.

I know that feeling very well, but taking emotions aside, beating yourself over not taking advantage of an opportunity is silly. First of all, it has already happened and you can't turn back time, so you can only use that as a lesson for the future. Second of all, it's impossible to know the future, it was very possible that Bitcoin could turn out to be a failure. Everyone is master in retrospective trading, looking at the past charts and saying 'I should've done this'/'I should've done that', but making decisions in the present time is a whole different story.
Also, if everyone was hoarding from the start, Bitcoin would've never taken off.

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October 13, 2023, 10:02:54 PM
 #158

I'm not being hypocritical when I admit that I'm also seeking to profit from the accumulation of my Bitcoin purchases. While I do frequently use Bitcoin for transactions, there's nothing wrong with aiming to benefit from it as well. We can generate extra income from these profits,

I believe that what the majority of Bitcoin investors seek is to make an extra income through Bitcoin, while some billionaire investors too (like whales) are seeking to make a significant profit from their investment. So, if in the next 10 years there's no bull, then it will be a very big disappointment to many investors, especially those that have made plans to sell their holdings in a specific bull season that have been taken note of. Although this is just some form of thought, which I think is not possible in the crypto space, I don't believe that 10 years will really pass without experiencing a bull market. I don't think any such thing can occur in the history of Bitcoin.

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Pierre 2
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October 15, 2023, 06:40:18 PM
 #159

I will always have B plan. In general people should always have B and even C plans. 10 year bear market would mean Bitcoin price going down so hard. I would still be trading Bitcoin in these 10 years trying to profit. I would even buy and hold and try my chances right before halving(s) in those 10 years. I think only short term traders would suffer in 10 year bear market because they would lose important amount of money. I will always believe in Bitcoin.
krishnaverma (OP)
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October 18, 2023, 05:54:53 PM
 #160

It is difficult for us to predict what would have happened. I expect the price growth would have been slow and stable. This tech would have been full of tech savy people within a small group. New ideas like AI, Web3 would have been developed though big tech companies which eventually led to a loss of interest over previous technologies. The whole altcoin industry wouldn't exist.

There was AI everywhere few months back and everyone was predicting that it will take over everything. But the impact has not been that huge till now. Like, the webmasters who used AI content on their blogs got punished by Google a d they are returning back to same old original content to survive. So, we still have to see the real impact of AI. It might not be as big as what some people assumed it to be.
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