Does bitcoin price increase after halving?

[Tellek Garing]

Halving events have frequently been associated with increase in price of bitcoin with significant upward momentum both before and after halving. Bitcoin halving often generate increased market attention and hype. Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.

[Aikidoka]

No one knows if Bitcoin will immediately increase after the halving or not but imho I think it won't experience a huge increase. Instead, it's likely to remain stable for about a year after the halving, after which we may see a new peak in the Bitcoin price.

I've observed this pattern in Bitcoin's historical movements following the 2020 and 2018 halvings. Bitcoin typically takes its time to experience a huge price increases after each halving, so it's unlikely to have a major impact on the price on the actual halving date.

[The Cryptovator]

Halving is just an HYPE and FOMO. Technically, miners will get fewer rewards after halving, so probably miners aren't happy. Due to hype and FOMO, we might see a pump in the Bitcoin price, but it won't last for long without real adaptation. We need something that will keep pushing up the Bitcoin price, just not for a temporary pump. A lot of holders are expecting a Bitcoin pump due to halving, and most probably that's the reason for the upcoming halving pump.

[Agbe]

The halving is the time bitcoin is reduce in price and supply. And after the halving bitcoin price will go up so if anyone is ready to invest in bitcoin, this is the best time to do that so that after the halving and when it enter the bull period, then person will also enjoy on bull time. Though nobody knows the exact price of the bull price after the halving so we all are on the speculation. Many people in the forum still do not understand the concept of bitcoin halving and that is why I made small explanation in the first sentence and also The Cryptovator also made a little explanation on it. And those who have been in the bitcoin industry understand having great expectation from the next bull which will be All Time High.

[Abu-Naim]

Halving events have frequently been associated with increase in price of bitcoin with significant upward momentum both before and after halving. Bitcoin halving often generate increased market attention and hype. Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.

Bitcoin halving will always have an impact on the increase in bitcoin price since the amount of freshly generated bitcoin mined by miners will be divided by half, resulting in an increase in bitcoin price. Some months before the halving period, as well as now, there is FOMO throughout the entire crypto ecosystem, with the mentality of purchasing now and selling at halving or after halving due to the probability of an increase in bitcoin price due to the reduction in miners' reward.

[kawetsriyanto]

Does bitcoin price increase after halving?

In theory, the Bitcoin price has a big chance to increase significantly due to the lower supply and the hype. But we don't know if it really happens as expected if there is too much FUDs (bad news) during the halving period. I only think the same scenario like previous halving can repeat if we have many positive news during the halving. Positive news should increase the demands among investors, then the hype will be easy to happen as expected. But if the bad issue like SEC accusation to crypto projects continues, I am a bit doubtful about what's happening after halving. The bullrun season may still happen, but it may not be as huge as expected.

[arabspaceship123]

Miners won't be happy even if they end getting more share of the mined bitcoin. They're always wanting or wishing more that's why halving won't make them happy but it's true about hype and FOMO. After it's pumped because of hype it's a race to see who's going dump the fastest.  

Halving is just an HYPE and FOMO. Technically, miners will get fewer rewards after halving, so probably miners aren't happy. Due to hype and FOMO, we might see a pump in the Bitcoin price, but it won't last for long without real adaptation. We need something that will keep pushing up the Bitcoin price, just not for a temporary pump. A lot of holders are expecting a Bitcoin pump due to halving, and most probably that's the reason for the upcoming halving pump.

[jossiel]

Halving events have frequently been associated with increase in price of bitcoin with significant upward momentum both before and after halving. Bitcoin halving often generate increased market attention and hype. Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.

You've just said what actually happens during and after the halving. We've got proof already that it's happening every cycle that the block reward cutting in half really impacts the price of Bitcoin.

That makes the cost of mining more expensive with lesser rewards which also makes the supply being produced to the circulation lesser.

Everyone who had experienced halvings will approve and say that it really does increase the price every time when it's done.

[taufik123]

Seeing how in the past halving has always given an increase in the price of Bitcoin, it is likely that the next Halving will give the same increase but currently the price position is different.

Seeing how the condition of Bitcoin and some news and adoptions made will certainly affect the increase in Bitcoin later.
Bitcoin fell quite deeply from the last ATH price and this could be the best opportunity to buy before Halving occurs.

As some members here said, the Halving is Hype and FOMO that will emphasize the market with many new investors and old investors starting to enter.
We will see how this 4th Halving works out and of course, hope the market reaches a new ATH.

[hatshepsut93]

It did in the past, but we can already say that the rate of price increase due to halvening is decreasing. Previously it was like x100 gains or x20 gains, now it will probably be x5 or x3. Eventually it will stop having any effect at all because going from an already a tiny reward to a half of a tiny reward is not changing much.

[Yatsan]

Halving events have frequently been associated with increase in price of bitcoin with significant upward momentum both before and after halving. Bitcoin halving often generate increased market attention and hype. Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.

Not in a sudden. Actually both market crash and pump won’t happen in a single snap. There could be long candles but to continuously increase? Not possible. The market price of Bitcoin is expected to increase after the halving but the question to many is when will pumps take place? If we would look on the charts of previous halvings, it would seem that the increase takes place during the halving but if you would look further, a year after the halving is most of the time, days wherein huge price increase takes place. I’m not saying that this is absolute but this is just what we could infer from the previous charts. Given that there’s no assurance and no stability with things in this industry we should manage our expectations and actions as well to be safe from regrets.

[blue Snow]

Halving events have frequently been associated with increase in price of bitcoin with significant upward momentum both before and after halving. Bitcoin halving often generate increased market attention and hype. Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.

If based on calculating already 3 halving before, yes probably, but it can not be used as a measure if the price will be the same increase as halving before. Everything changes can happen in bitcoin, we don't know if something happen in the world tomorrow that makes the pattern change and the price reverse direction to be dumped. you have to be ready to other plans, and do not all in on the same time.

[bayu7adi]

This is merely speculation and has now become a recurring pattern during halving events. However, as of now, there is no assurance that it constitutes an established cycle or if it's merely a phenomenon that occurs during select halvings. As long as you maintain your belief that an All-Time High (ATH) will occur after the upcoming 2024 halving, you should also remain vigilant to the possibility that the bullish market could manifest at unexpected times.

Even if you are absolutely certain of an impending bullish market, it's wise to employ your mathematical acumen to navigate the post-halving scenario next year. Avoid going all-in, even if it promises substantial gains, as the volatility risk associated with Bitcoin remains exceedingly high. Placing all your bets on a single asset, especially one that many are anticipating, can be extremely perilous.

[ajiz138]

There is always a previous cycle where the price jumps significantly after halving a few months - there is no guarantee whatsoever we can only be optimistic that the price increase is due to the next halving memontum if the price does not go up then we have to be a little patient the opportunity to go up is still there whatever it is.

Many people have tried to accumulate bitcoin holdings including myself, but there is nothing wrong not because the potential of bitcoin is clearly still there, especially by associating with hype it is clear that this will soar.

But the event remains much awaited by bitcoin holders.

[digaran]

Of course it will increase, I see many people having doubts because they are either new or don't know anything about psychological mass manipulation, let me explain :
If I walk into a city and start telling people I have found a river which we can find gold by searching it and if a few people go there and actually find some gold, all I need is for them to come to the city and tell people about the gold they could find.

Now people would rush for gold and they even find gold mines because river surface has no gold anymore, they dig the ground.

I just successfully manipulated a whole city, while I didn't lie, but I didn't tell them that they have to dig through a mountain to get to the real gold mine either.😉 

[Strongkored]

At least that is what has happened in several halvings and the four-year cycle has become an event that many traders and investors have been waiting for because that is where they will start taking profits, and usually traders will be more active because that is what I experienced in the past several four-year cycles.
However, changes may occur because currently Bitcoin is more popular than it was a few years ago, and many big institutions and whale are involved so they have the ability to influence the market and retail is better prepared for all the possibilities of whether or not the four-year cycle will occur.

[adaseb]

Yes just because it increased in the past doesn’t mean it’s going to increase again. This is similar to Nov 2018 when everybody assumed Bitcoin would rally because usually November at the time was a bullish month but instead the complete opposite happened.

So with the halving it can be the same situation. It should rally but it doesn’t mean it always will.

[jasonjm]

Looking at the past halving events, it is obvious that the BTC price increased after the halving. In 2024, it is expected that the BTC price will increase after the halving. At what pace the price will pump and to what extent, can not be predicted. 

In the past three BTC halving events, the price has significantly increased after the halving. After 1st halving in 2012, the price rose from $12 to nearly $1000 after a year. The second BTC halving in 2016 increased the price from $670 to the previous ATH of $19,700 in December 2017 (1.5 years after halving). The third and most recent halving occurred in 2020 when the BTC price was nearly $8800. BTC reached the new ATH of $69,000 after 1.5 years in November 2021. 

Although the price increase was not sudden and took around 12 to 18 months to reach the ATH, one thing is clear, the price increases after halving.

[pooya87]

Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.

Bitcoin supply is constantly increasing. The thing that decreases is the rate of it. Meaning after the halving the rate at which new coins are added to the total supply is decreased by 50%. That can also mean less new coins being sold by the miners every day which means less sells pressure on the market. And we all know that less sell pressure means easier rise as there would be "less resistance".

So it is not just "positive feelings" that leads to rise after the halving.

[xSkylarx]

We can't predict that it will happen again. Most of us are really expecting this kind of increase after the halving but still there are times that we think that it may not do a bull run but we still have hope because mining bitcoin is getting harder and harder.

Whether the price of bitcoin goes up or not after halving I still hold my bitcoin until the price goes up because it is my investment and nothing will happen to me if the price doesn't reach it. That is why you should always invest what you can afford to lose so that you won't be expecting much.