Does bitcoin price increase after halving?

[GeorgeJohn]

Halving events have frequently been associated with increase in price of bitcoin with significant upward momentum both before and after halving. Bitcoin halving often generate increased market attention and hype. Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.

Bitcoin halving has fail for now, but I'm seeing in bitcoin is we can't measure or determine it's rate of bullrun through halving, because a small information can make bitcoin price to skyrocket to another value that is more than our expectation in price, whenever we see bitcoin increasing we accept it in that form because the price of bitcoin is not stagnant and its rotational base on the information we acquired from the market or the miners can triggers the development of bitcoin

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[2double0]

We need a solid event like Blackrock ETF getting approved and some adoptions with news like crypto taxes have been lowered, to give boost to its usage. These events will add up as a fuel to take the price higher before halving and then, once the halving is done, everything will be highly optimistic which will be another reason for btc to keep rallying up and create a new ath after a long wait.
There had been some methods to measure the possible gains btc can make during the bull run, those methods can also help us know where we can sell before it gets crashed again.

[AmoreJaz]

We need a solid event like Blackrock ETF getting approved and some adoptions with news like crypto taxes have been lowered, to give boost to its usage. These events will add up as a fuel to take the price higher before halving and then, once the halving is done, everything will be highly optimistic which will be another reason for btc to keep rallying up and create a new ath after a long wait.
There had been some methods to measure the possible gains btc can make during the bull run, those methods can also help us know where we can sell before it gets crashed again.

i can very well agree here. halving alone without much progress won't give the increase in price that we want. yes, halving may have influence in the price but we need to see tangible developments in order to push thru its demand in the global market.

and as we see here - more stakeholders like big companies are coming in in this market. or even regular users are trying to get a hold of this currency. so in my opinion, we have very good chance that we will be in the positive direction in the next coming years.

[JeffBrad12]

We need a solid event like Blackrock ETF getting approved and some adoptions with news like crypto taxes have been lowered, to give boost to its usage. These events will add up as a fuel to take the price higher before halving and then, once the halving is done, everything will be highly optimistic which will be another reason for btc to keep rallying up and create a new ath after a long wait.
There had been some methods to measure the possible gains btc can make during the bull run, those methods can also help us know where we can sell before it gets crashed again.

i can very well agree here. halving alone without much progress won't give the increase in price that we want. yes, halving may have influence in the price but we need to see tangible developments in order to push thru its demand in the global market.

reminds me of the previous bullrun that was highly motivated by the fact that there's massive adoption by the big institutional investors that drive further the bullrun that it helps bitcoin reaching about $100k value which is its most recent all time high.
I do agree that halving alone will more likely not gonna make bullrun appear, its those thing that supported adoption of bitcoin that usually helps a lot in getting the bullrun coming.
i also remembered the fact that the previous halving wasn't as massive when the event occurred, even the price only moving a little bit, but this time around we'll see.

[arwin100]

We need a solid event like Blackrock ETF getting approved and some adoptions with news like crypto taxes have been lowered, to give boost to its usage. These events will add up as a fuel to take the price higher before halving and then, once the halving is done, everything will be highly optimistic which will be another reason for btc to keep rallying up and create a new ath after a long wait.
There had been some methods to measure the possible gains btc can make during the bull run, those methods can also help us know where we can sell before it gets crashed again.

i can very well agree here. halving alone without much progress won't give the increase in price that we want. yes, halving may have influence in the price but we need to see tangible developments in order to push thru its demand in the global market.

reminds me of the previous bullrun that was highly motivated by the fact that there's massive adoption by the big institutional investors that drive further the bullrun that it helps bitcoin reaching about $100k value which is its most recent all time high.
I do agree that halving alone will more likely not gonna make bullrun appear, its those thing that supported adoption of bitcoin that usually helps a lot in getting the bullrun coming.
i also remembered the fact that the previous halving wasn't as massive when the event occurred, even the price only moving a little bit, but this time around we'll see.

They see a lot of changes happen on bitcoin when bull run came that's why it caught up their interest to try bitcoin for theirselves to see the result. And it result good to them that's why we see to many institutional investors keep pouring some huge money to the market. If we look at the history yeah halving could really bring some good changes on bitcoin price but we also need to consider if in next halving can it replicate the same demand it gotten. Since if we can see more people preparing for accumulation stage while halving nearly comes then we can assume that there's another round of bitcoin price rally that will happen and those who believe to accumulate will be lucky at that time.

[OgNasty]

I think the price will increase after the halving. It sort of has to. If it doesn’t then billions of dollars in Bitcoin mining investments will become worthless and it could even cause a selling feedback loop that destroys Bitcoin. On the plus side, there is still plenty of money to prop up Bitcoin and keep investments profitable, as I believe wie will see.

[CageMabok]

Halving events have frequently been associated with increase in price of bitcoin with significant upward momentum both before and after halving. Bitcoin halving often generate increased market attention and hype. Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.

People who make the connection between the halving and the increase in the price of Bitcoin have also seen how the price of Bitcoin was before or after the previous halving, so people who reflect on this are starting to make the connection with the increase in the price of Bitcoin before and after the upcoming halving. But in general it is always very difficult to measure what percentage price increase will occur in Bitcoin after or before the halving occurs, because currently the price of Bitcoin still tends not to experience significant changes.

[irhact]

Halving events have frequently been associated with increase in price of bitcoin with significant upward momentum both before and after halving. Bitcoin halving often generate increased market attention and hype. Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.

Yes it does and like you said that's what happens to the market. Before the halving date, Bitcoin increase in value because many individuals will be buying Bitcoin to keep in their wallets for future profits and those who missed the pump before the halving won't want to miss the pump that happens to the price of Bitcoin after the halving and as they're buying so will the piece of Bitcoin keep increasing until it passed the previous bull market peak and reach a new one.

The increase after the halving has more profits to be made because the price of Bitcoin will keep increasing until a year after that halving and that's when the peaks of the bull market ends. The halving events always comes with a bullish trend as many individual knows the market will rise.

[albon]

Halving events have frequently been associated with increase in price of bitcoin with significant upward momentum both before and after halving. Bitcoin halving often generate increased market attention and hype. Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.

It is possible that there will be a change in the price of Bitcoin after the halving, but no one can accurately predict the extent of the change that will result from the Bitcoin halving process. We have witnessed many adverse events since the previous year, such as the wars of regulatory authorities on the crypto market and many bankruptcies and massive thefts/hacks of exchange platforms in the crypto market, but in the history cycles prior to the Bitcoin halving, we witnessed significant positive increases in the price of Bitcoin from 2012 cycle until the 2020 cycle, and also determining the specific date for the Bitcoin halving is difficult because the generation of new blocks depends on many factors because the process may accelerate or there may be a slowdown, but that usually happens every four years, it is expected to be in 2024.

What I see is that the halving process leads to reducing the supply of Bitcoin by half and then increasing the demand for buying. Then, the price of Bitcoin rises to unprecedented levels, but we must take into account the conditions of the market and the controlling events that could change scales.

[eightdots]

Halving events have frequently been associated with increase in price of bitcoin with significant upward momentum both before and after halving. Bitcoin halving often generate increased market attention and hype. Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.

It is possible that there will be a change in the price of Bitcoin after the halving, but no one can accurately predict the extent of the change that will result from the Bitcoin halving process. We have witnessed many adverse events since the previous year, such as the wars of regulatory authorities on the crypto market and many bankruptcies and massive thefts/hacks of exchange platforms in the crypto market, but in the history cycles prior to the Bitcoin halving, we witnessed significant positive increases in the price of Bitcoin from 2012 cycle until the 2020 cycle, and also determining the specific date for the Bitcoin halving is difficult because the generation of new blocks depends on many factors because the process may accelerate or there may be a slowdown, but that usually happens every four years, it is expected to be in 2024.

What I see is that the halving process leads to reducing the supply of Bitcoin by half and then increasing the demand for buying. Then, the price of Bitcoin rises to unprecedented levels, but we must take into account the conditions of the market and the controlling events that could change scales.

It is difficult to estimate the magnitude of the halving process. Because we are talking about a 4-year cycle and the world changes in these cycles. So far, Bitcoin has not misled its investors with price increases in these cycles. I don't think Bitcoin will mislead its investors or Bitcoin lovers this time either.

As you mentioned in your article, there are many factors that will affect the price. Because sometimes the market is not as expected. I believe that Bitcoin will rise to the targeted levels, but I have no idea about the timing.

[bitterguy28]

Halving events have frequently been associated with increase in price of bitcoin with significant upward momentum both before and after halving. Bitcoin halving often generate increased market attention and hype. Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.

you have already explained it mate , so I think this is not really a question but a topic in which to show what is our views about Bitcoin and what about the Halving.
yes they are associated to each others as I believe the increase truly coming right when the halving is on the way.
also generating profit when the growth happens in this halving ?is one of the greatest thing that we are all experience over the years.

Yes just because it increased in the past doesn’t mean it’s going to increase again. This is similar to Nov 2018 when everybody assumed Bitcoin would rally because usually November at the time was a bullish month but instead the complete opposite happened.

So with the halving it can be the same situation. It should rally but it doesn’t mean it always will.

but 2018 is actually altcoin season mate? because the halving happens early 2017 and the effect really happens then , so in 2018 what we have are already done and yes there is a wrong expectation in 2018.

[bayu7adi]

I think the price will increase after the halving. It sort of has to. If it doesn’t then billions of dollars in Bitcoin mining investments will become worthless and it could even cause a selling feedback loop that destroys Bitcoin. On the plus side, there is still plenty of money to prop up Bitcoin and keep investments profitable, as I believe wie will see.

Does this mean that the ATH (All-Time High) that occurs after each halving is intended to allow miners to sell their coins at a reasonable price? Does this imply it's a market manipulation specifically for miners to keep running nodes, rather than purely due to high demand and supply?

Looking at previous cycles, when ATH is reached, volatility becomes exceptionally high, making the price unstable.

[armanda90]

Usually Bitcoin price will increase up after halving due last several halving edition success made Bitcoin reach to higher price, but can't guarantee with upcoming halving Bitcoin will up to higher price or make new ATH depend with supply and demand. Current Bitcoin transaction volume right now not really huge like last several years when Bitcoin success raise to higher price, but if possibility upcoming close with halving make many investor want to hold and buy Bitcoin actually has potential will increase to higher price.
Actually, halving is excited moment waiting by investor and they want to earn much profit with bitcoin price will increase, they have hold and invest in bitcoin but will keep hold until close with halving or before halving time arrive they have sold all bitcoin assets and difficult to get increase to higher price.

[taufik123]

Does this mean that the ATH (All-Time High) that occurs after each halving is intended to allow miners to sell their coins at a reasonable price? Does this imply it's a market manipulation specifically for miners to keep running nodes, rather than purely due to high demand and supply?

Looking at previous cycles, when ATH is reached, volatility becomes exceptionally high, making the price unstable.

Not directly aimed at miners selling Bitcoin at a fair price.
The price of Bitcoin is influenced by a variety of factors and each miner's decision to sell their coins also depends on the cost and risk of mining.

People generally believe that after the Halving occurs the price of Bitcoin will continue to rise and reach ATH, causing high volatility and instability.

It is important to remember that Bitcoin price is also affected by various factors, such as market demand, institutional adoption, investor sentiment, global events, and other factors that can affect financial markets in general.
The ATH that occurs after the halving cannot be guaranteed, and the price of Bitcoin remains influenced by complex and often unpredictable market forces.

[xLays]

This topic has been discussed many times here on Bitcointalk but since it is near to happen, I think it's okay to. Based on https://academy.binance.com/en/halving (Bitcoin Halving Countdown: only 197 days left and counting).

For me, I agree with those saying that no one knows what will happen after the Bitcoin halving but the idea of what will happen to the price is there. It's like if we apply the law of supply and demand, which means if the halving happens the Bitcoin price will increase. Correct me if I'm wrong but the halving will lower the reward for every block mined, which means the supply at the moment will also be lowered.

I've been in Bitcoin since 2015 and have experienced two Bitcoin halvings. My observation was that when it was neari to happen the price decreased possibly due to FOMO, but after the halving the price surged.

[Woodie]

Based on the history of Bitcoin halving the answer is Yes!

And unlike what everyone expects of halving to rise the second it's done...unfortunately the price increments do not have an immediate effect on the markets as history shows that it might take a year or two to see a significant jump in price.

It's like if we apply the law of supply and demand, which means if the halving happens the Bitcoin price will increase.

Great theory...

The halving is more of an artificial shortage in supply, and the rules of supply and demand say if supply is inefficient then price goes up and this is what's going to happen here.

[Davian144]

but 2018 is actually altcoin season mate? because the halving happens early 2017 and the effect really happens then , so in 2018 what we have are already done and yes there is a wrong expectation in 2018.

So what about 2021 mate? Is this year not included in the altcoin season? Because as far as I know, halving will also happen again before 2021, so the effect is much bigger than what you saw in 2018. And if you look at 2018 as a whole, I'm sure you also saw how the price decline of altcoins and Bitcoin occurred in 2018 and in my opinion it was also the worst price decline apart from what happened last year in all altcoins along with Bitcoin.

[posi]

I think the price will increase after the halving. It sort of has to. If it doesn’t then billions of dollars in Bitcoin mining investments will become worthless and it could even cause a selling feedback loop that destroys Bitcoin. On the plus side, there is still plenty of money to prop up Bitcoin and keep investments profitable, as I believe wie will see.

Does this mean that the ATH (All-Time High) that occurs after each halving is intended to allow miners to sell their coins at a reasonable price? Does this imply it's a market manipulation specifically for miners to keep running nodes, rather than purely due to high demand and supply?

Looking at previous cycles, when ATH is reached, volatility becomes exceptionally high, making the price unstable.

In theory, not only bitcoin but all other assets, their value is determined by supply and demand. But as a financial market, do you think everything will be determined entirely by supply and demand? Manipulation is inevitable. Even a market worth 10 trillion USD like gold, or with a capitalization of up to 80 trillion USD like stocks can still be manipulated, a small market like cryptocurrency with just over 1 trillion USD cannot be manipulated? Not only are miners manipulating the market, there are also many factions trying to manipulate it for their own profit.

[Plaguedeath]

Yes.

There are so many stupid people, the way how Elon Musk is buying Bitcoin news make Bitcoin price increase, Elon Musk is selling Bitcoin news make Bitcoin price decrease, China is ban Bitcoin make Bitcoin price decrease, or huge amount of Bitcoin moved impact the price.

Since people already aware Bitcoin price will increase after halving, so it will repeat.

[traderethereum]

Yes.

There are so many stupid people, the way how Elon Musk is buying Bitcoin news make Bitcoin price increase, Elon Musk is selling Bitcoin news make Bitcoin price decrease, China is ban Bitcoin make Bitcoin price decrease, or huge amount of Bitcoin moved impact the price.

Since people already aware Bitcoin price will increase after halving, so it will repeat.

And people who don't care about this condition will continue their preparations by buying more bitcoin than before, especially if they are people who have a lot of money.
They believe the price of bitcoin will increase again after the halving occurs or a few months after and they made preparations several months ago to have a lot of bitcoin before the halving occurs.
Thus, if the price really goes up after the halving occurs, they can start selling at a high price and make a profit.
And we who are also investors, must be able to use this moment to buy bitcoin like them so that we don't miss out on getting a profit from our investment.