Bitcoin and it's 4 Year-Cycle

[ImThour]

BTC and It's Cycles

This is an amazing chart I have saved for more than a year now, it predicted the 2022 Cycle Low correctly. It's made by someone else, I do not remember the user however I have it saved.
I just wanted to share this as many people here do not believe in the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle. Here's a live proof of that being executed every cycle.

The next possible Cycle High is in August, 2025-November, 2025.

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[doyouthinkitisOK]

I just want to know if you're a god or a ghost.

If You're God, I'd buy a lot of bitcoins right now and wait for money to fall from the sky.
If you're a ghost, I'll sell bitcoins now and wait for a cheap bitcoin (say, $2,000) to buy.

But who can tell me, are you God or ghost.

[Z_MBFM]

BTC and It's Cycles

This is an amazing chart I have saved for more than a year now, it predicted the 2022 Cycle Low correctly. It's made by someone else, I do not remember the user however I have it saved.
I just wanted to share this as many people here do not believe in the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle. Here's a live proof of that being executed every cycle.

The next possible Cycle High is in August, 2025-November, 2025.

Bitcoin price once made an ATH at 20K in 2017 and then again in November 2021 Bitcoin made a new ATH again according to the circle indicating the possibility of Bitcoin's next ATH exactly four years later in 2025.  But it is not granted.  Bitcoin price has already pumped a lot so it is highly expected that Bitcoin will make ATH again very soon but how long it will take is not sure.  But everyone would be better off if someone made a long term Bitcoin haul.  At present it appears that the amount of holdings has increased significantly from Bitcoin trading.  According to data from CoinMarketCap, the number of Bitcoin holders is 69.24%.


https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/

[Latviand]

The 4 year cycle isn't exact though be last halving cycle, we have waited for about a year to see the price from skyrocketing and during the halving there wasn't a lot of movement in the market. It was during Tesla's bitcoin purchase and their acceptance of bitcoin as a payment for their cars that affected the prices.

I just want to know if you're a god or a ghost.

If You're God, I'd buy a lot of bitcoins right now and wait for money to fall from the sky.
If you're a ghost, I'll sell bitcoins now and wait for a cheap bitcoin (say, $2,000) to buy.

But who can tell me, are you God or ghost.

What are you smoking bro? Can you give me some?

[tbct_mt2]

4-year cycle is a rough saying because two bull runs can be shorter or longer than 4 years but I see no big difference for true holders.

I say this point to help people who still think a next cycle will be exactly like pwst seasons, they might miss the bull run with very good entry. If history repeats, a new bull run will come like 6 months after halving but if history won't repeat itself this time.

Like the bull run will start a few months sooner even before the halving. It only causes difference if people hesitate to buy and wait for halving to start buying.

[slaman29]

I like this nice chart, very familiar seeing it of course but as with all charts, 100 ways to view and read

I'm less interested in the high of November 2025 as you predict (I think 2025 is realistic unlike loads of others). I'm more interested in your low prediction, since you got 2022 right. Where do you think the low is? And how much?

Or are you saying the low you predicted was the bottom of this cycle? Because 4-year cycles usually have the bottom >1 year after ATH right?

[franky1]

The 4 year cycle isn't exact though be last halving cycle, we have waited for about a year to see the price from skyrocketing and during the halving there wasn't a lot of movement in the market. It was during Tesla's bitcoin purchase and their acceptance of bitcoin as a payment for their cars that affected the prices.

no it was not
tesla bought btc in december2020, thus tesla did not affect the market in feb/march2021
however MEDIA talked about tesla in spring2021
the speculation was not due to tesla itself not elon..  but due to media speculation

however, speculation drama aside. what actually mostly occured to cause the main ATH event, is that most mining farms dont audit their mining costs vs coins created daily/monthly. instead they buy mining hardware pre-halving(preparing) where hardware has a 2 year life cycle. and they buy electric not monthly but in 24 month contracts.
they simply mine no matter what the market is doing.. if a asic uses 3kw per hour (52,560kw/2year) they will mine non stop all 2 years, as thats what they already paid for.. there is no benefit stopping if markets change because they have a set unit of kw to use in a set time. or they lose it.

and when the contracts/hardware lifecycle are nearing their end. then they audit their earnings of coin vs the upfront cost.. and decide on resisting to sell at X amount or not.

so its linked with the hashrate vs reward. which helps support a minimum "bottom" no one wants to sell below. which then aids speculation above it. when some countries with expensive mining realise they are mining at xmultiple of market. they then happily just buy coin if they cant continue mining in the next mining cycle(2 years)

the best example is the 2013 event. when asics started. those old GPU miners realised they were dying in the competition where the sats per kw became low sats for high kw. so they just bought btc on the market. those preparing asics done their end of life costs of GPU mining. and realised now needing to buy ASICS would be an extra cost so they refused to sell coin below X. meaning it caused the market surge

these financial auditing practices of deciding to not sell below X and those now prefering buying is usually a year after the halving

[DapanasFruit]

Good to know of this 4-year cycle which can confirm of how history's going to be repeating itself. However, aside from the halving happening in April 2024 we are also expecting of another new thing to come to the market which is the approval of ETF and this factor might slightly alter the cycle maybe that can shorten the new ATH. Anyway, the big lesson here is for anyone interested with Bitcoin to increase what they are holding as avalanche of blessings can be coming to those with diamond hands.

[pooya87]

All these "random lines" on the charts are working in predicting the price until they don't! We saw this in the last one that used to work fine up until this cycle we are currently in. And that one was a very popular chart.

The thing about 4-year cycles is that it is a real thing but also there are a lot of other things affecting the market. Each 4 years we have the rate of supply creation (hence the inflation rate) decrease significantly and that affects the price specially since adoption (ie. demand) is increasing.
But we could never predict the COVID recession of 2020 and the subsequent global economic crash. And these things also affect the market creating an unpredictable low that only the broken clocks could have predicted not any logical speculation.

[logfiles]

OP, I am trying to understand what exactly the volumes on the graph represent?

As for the cycles, I think they have more to do with the halving, and then we have a new flow of money as people anticipate the next bull run. Just like most of us here are waiting for the "cycle", so are other people out there. But we must also be ready if things don't go as planned or if the cycle takes longer than expected.

[Yamane_Keto]

It is true that the price witnesses changes every four years, such as reaching a new price that it had not reached before or returning to the highest old price, but this does not mean that the cycles are similar in the same pattern of charts. During the four years, specifically when the price approaches ATH, some economic variables may appear, which It makes extinguishing the cycle possible as global regulation, the bankruptcy of Binance, or USDT value being less than $1, or positive events such as more adoption, more companies or countries buying, all of which are news that push the price in one direction, but the certain fact is that we will be above $69,000 by the end of next year.

[Jon_Hodl]

This reminds me of the 210,000 block hodl theory (https://redoules.github.io/210000blocktheory) . Basically if you just buy and hodl for 210,000 blocks, your purchasing power increases.

It blows my mind how people don't understand how beautifully simple bitcoin is. It's literally the best way to save money long into the future. Dollar Cost Average and chill for 4+ years.

[Odohu]

BTC and It's Cycles

This is an amazing chart I have saved for more than a year now, it predicted the 2022 Cycle Low correctly. It's made by someone else, I do not remember the user however I have it saved.
I just wanted to share this as many people here do not believe in the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle. Here's a live proof of that being executed every cycle.

The next possible Cycle High is in August, 2025-November, 2025.

This is a good and detailed analysis I must admit. However, I am suspecting major adjustments in this, considering a lot of factors that will come into play in this market cycle. Next years halving might likely happen the same time that Bitcoin ETF will be approved with the later a powerful fundamental to cause Bitcoin achieve a new ATH. So, this combination might be a powerful combination to initiate an astronomical bull run before 2025.


I will not be surprised if the bull run actually starts before 2025, when the whole world least expected. It will be a way of maintaining the dynamic nature of the market. Indeed, next year will truly be interesting year for Bitcoin as it will clear some myth about Bitcoin.

[Russlenat]

The chart explains everything, thank you for simplifying it.

I believe that Bitcoin will surge after the halving. It aligns with the cycle, indicating the next bull run should occur by 2025 or next year. We shouldn't go against this trend. The best strategy to make decent profits is to keep accumulating and hold onto the asset until that time arrives.

If we decide to cash in on the profits after reaching a new ATH we should not hesitate, as eventually the market will likely start to correct, so we might need to wait another four years for the next high.

[arabspaceship123]

I can't advise ppl to take bitcoin price projections seriously because we don't know the future. We can't be sure about what's going to happen to bitcoin's price months after halving. Charts give false hope to investors when they're convinced to buy Bitcoin but they aren't prepared for what's going to happen if it loses value.

All these "random lines" on the charts are working in predicting the price until they don't! We saw this in the last one that used to work fine up until this cycle we are currently in. And that one was a very popular chart.

[Don Pedro Dinero]

All these "random lines" on the charts are working in predicting the price until they don't! We saw this in the last one that used to work fine up until this cycle we are currently in. And that one was a very popular chart.

The thing about 4-year cycles is that it is a real thing but also there are a lot of other things affecting the market. Each 4 years we have the rate of supply creation (hence the inflation rate) decrease significantly and that affects the price specially since adoption (ie. demand) is increasing.
But we could never predict the COVID recession of 2020 and the subsequent global economic crash. And these things also affect the market creating an unpredictable low that only the broken clocks could have predicted not any logical speculation.

I think the same. These analyses are probabilistic and serve to give us an idea of what might come, but there are some things that cannot be foreseen, such as the COVID example you gave. Inflation and the war in Ukraine also had a negative effect on the markets and it seems that this also affected the price of bitcoin, as it led to higher interest rates, and people had less money to invest.

[kryptqnick]

It's an interesting image, but I wouldn't trust it when it comes to predicting the future. Maybe it sort of predicted the cycle low once, but that doesn't mean it can predict the next high point accurately. I, for one, think we'll see a cycle high earlier than August 2025, but it's also merely based on the way I see the price chart and movements, which I realize is not scientific and cannot count for more as a mere prediction. But technical analysis isn't scientific either, it's just fancy-looking, which might buy some people's trust.

[SamReomo]

~Snip~

That's a very good and accurate chart and truly I feel that the one who made the chart was someone very knowledgeable about Bitcoin and the market. I don't know about others but I do believe in that 4-year Bitcoin cycle and I'm pretty sure that history will repeat itself once again in coming years.

I expect that we will see Bitcoin's next ATH during October to December 2025. I still think that August 2025 is too early for the next ATH because previous ATH's took place in November or December but this time I can feel possibility of a new ATH even in October.

[AHOYBRAUSE]

The chart explains everything, thank you for simplifying it.

I believe that Bitcoin will surge after the halving. It aligns with the cycle, indicating the next bull run should occur by 2025 or next year. We shouldn't go against this trend. The best strategy to make decent profits is to keep accumulating and hold onto the asset until that time arrives.

If we decide to cash in on the profits after reaching a new ATH we should not hesitate, as eventually the market will likely start to correct, so we might need to wait another four years for the next high.

That would be a treat.
Since this is happening quite soon there is still time to make things happen for us and invest.

But, are there also possible negative outcomes that the halving might bring? I always read that the price will surge after it, but what if it will fall? I'm talking without any outside influences like war, another virus or whatever that will make people want to liquidate their digital assets. What are the chance of that happening?

[electronicash]

I just want to know if you're a god or a ghost.

If You're God, I'd buy a lot of bitcoins right now and wait for money to fall from the sky.
If you're a ghost, I'll sell bitcoins now and wait for a cheap bitcoin (say, $2,000) to buy.

But who can tell me, are you God or ghost.

it's the cycle caused by halving. believe that!  but buying at $2000, good luck with that.

with that image, it seems like the supercycle they are saying is just not true. all the while some of us have been chasing that cycle without selling a single satoshi because of the hope it will be an astronomical price. it turns out you will need more than 1 cycle to make you see the astronomical price. if you have held your coins since 2017 and will sell them in the next bull run i guess you achieved what you want once the price hits more than $100k.

[arabspaceship123]

I'd say if something's happened 4 years ago it doesn't mean history's going to repeat itself. It doesn't matter if it's happened at least once before. There isn't a guarantee it's going to occur again so ppl shouldn't put their finances in bitcoin because of charts.

It's an interesting image, but I wouldn't trust it when it comes to predicting the future. Maybe it sort of predicted the cycle low once, but that doesn't mean it can predict the next high point accurately. I, for one, think we'll see a cycle high earlier than August 2025, but it's also merely based on the way I see the price chart and movements, which I realize is not scientific and cannot count for more as a mere prediction. But technical analysis isn't scientific either, it's just fancy-looking, which might buy some people's trust.

[Hamza2424]

Thanks for this decent informative and minimalist compilation dear, OP but I'm a little bit confused as we all know that the having cycle ends around 4 years. Still, the Bitcoin market cycle doesn't follow the same timeframe path. We can expect the cycle duration to be between 2.5 years to 4 years.

So we can expect multiple cycles between the halving to halving timeframe, which will excite the market with all of the cycle fundermenatals Bull, Bear, Accumulation, COnsodilation, and Distribution.

I'd say if something's happened 4 years ago it doesn't mean history's going to repeat itself. It doesn't matter if it's happened at least once before. There isn't a guarantee it's going to occur again so ppl shouldn't put their finances in bitcoin because of charts.

Charts are not big the value is for the realization of the potential, that's it.

[HideYourKeys]

will the price repeat the same pattern? we cannot know for sure, but I trust in Bitcoin mainly because the tradfi system is doing way worse, that contributes a lot as well

[coolcoinz]

The next possible Cycle High is in August, 2025-November, 2025.

So you think that there's no change in human psychology over the years? They've seen a post-halving bull market in 2013, again another one in 2017, another one in 2021, and they see a halving in 2024 and not try to be sneaky about it and buy earlier this time?
We can already see the price pushing upwards to 50% of the last ATH 7 months before the halving. THings were a bit different in September and October 2015, when people didn't understand cycles yet and price was at only 30% of the ATH. This changed later and in 2018 we already had a strong pre-halving rally to 70% of ATH and this is probably starting to happen this year.
You shouldn't look at these cycles as the same thing repeating over and over. The market changes because people gain experience.

[franky1]

The next possible Cycle High is in August, 2025-November, 2025.

So you think that there's no change in human psychology over the years? They've seen a post-halving bull market in 2013, again another one in 2017, another one in 2021, and they see a halving in 2024 and not try to be sneaky about it and buy earlier this time?
We can already see the price pushing upwards to 50% of the last ATH 7 months before the halving. THings were a bit different in September and October 2015, when people didn't understand cycles yet and price was at only 30% of the ATH.

january 2023 was only 30% of last ATH too.. but funny how you choose "now pushing upwards to 50%" to try to pretend that this year is different.. yet in actual fact we too experienced a LESS THAN 50% of previous ATH event in the year before next halving's year

ofcouse a specific "7th month before halving" wont match history.. bitcoin is speculative on the day-to-day, month-to-month. but taking the broader view of events per year.. you see the cycle patterns

[arabspaceship123]

That's what I've been saying all along. We can't predict the future so we don't what's going to happen after halving. Some users are saying $100k but that's unrealistic. I'm advising ppl not buy because they believe they'll make double or triple profits after halving because it's a risk. They shouldn't invest in the wild or else they'll face losing their investment.

will the price repeat the same pattern? we cannot know for sure, but I trust in Bitcoin mainly because the tradfi system is doing way worse, that contributes a lot as well

[Smartprofit]

Halving reduces the supply of coins from miners.  However, how much could this affect the price of Bitcoin?  

Almost all people are now aware of the Bitcoin halving.  Therefore, we can assume that information about the upcoming halving is already included in the real price of Bitcoin.  At the same time, the price of Bitcoin is currently rising.  There's no denying it.  However, what exactly is this growth associated with?  

One forum participant I know suggested that what is important for Bitcoin is not the halving, but the US presidential election.  This is also a four year cycle.  T

he price of Bitcoin is expressed in US dollars.... 

However, presidential elections are usually associated with uncertainty because the outcome is unknown.  It is unknown who will be the next US president and what economic policy he will pursue.  This causes temporary distrust in the US dollar.  As a result, investors are looking for alternative financial instruments, one of which is Bitcoin.

[franky1]

Halving reduces the supply of coins from miners.  However, how much could this affect the price of Bitcoin?  

Almost all people are now aware of the Bitcoin halving.  Therefore, we can assume that information about the upcoming halving is already included in the real price of Bitcoin.  At the same time, the price of Bitcoin is currently rising.  There's no denying it.  However, what exactly is this growth associated with?  

bitcoin mining farms hardware lifecycle is 2 years.
bitcoin miners farms electric contracts is 2 years

the amount of coin mining farms accumulate 2022-23 it accounted in that 2 year mining cycle to set the price per coin for their 2022-23 cycle

the amount of coin mining farms accumulate 2024-25 it accounted in that 2 year mining cycle to set the price per coin for their 2024-25 cycle which will be half as many coins meaning 2x+ of cost
(there are other nuances such as hashrate competition, but im simplifying things)


mining farms do not start and stop randomly(unlike hobby mining) dependant on market. mining farm have 2 years of hardware and 2 years of electric for that hardware so they mine no matter what. and they then compare rewards to that 2 year cost

others(hobby miners) who have higher costs wil see times the market is lower than their individual costs so they will at times buy on the market.
so when the halving happens it affects hobby miners the most to become market buyers instead of miners.
the mining farms wont sell unless the price is above X so that creates an economy where the price goes up

[arabspaceship123]

It's going to vary how much halving's going to affect the price of Bitcoin because there isn't a reason to rely on past trending so we don't know. If we know what's going to happen to the price we'd already have made investment plans in prep for the profits.

What's going to happen if the halving this time makes the market turn bad. Miners with equipment lose out so will ppl who've jumped in because of FOMO.

Halving reduces the supply of coins from miners.  However, how much could this affect the price of Bitcoin?  

[Bitcoin_people]

As Bitcoin's four-year cycle looks really pretty, this prediction is actually quite accurate. We know Bitcoin price starts a bull market every 4 years cycle and that's when Bitcoin price is at its highest ATH. We believe this prediction that we have another bull market ahead that will drastically change the price of Bitcoin. Perhaps we can expect this to begin in 2025, when the market value of Bitcoin will enter the ATH peak. If we look at the chart in 2021 that was the peak Bitcoin ATH, so our next Bitcoin ATH will be in 2025. We can see the price of Bitcoin has already increased quite a bit, almost double what it was before. That's why we should hold for a long time when the market goes to the highest level then surely we can make a lot of profit that's why it is best to hold.

[OcTradism]

Halving reduces the supply of coins from miners.  However, how much could this affect the price of Bitcoin?  

Bitcoin has its total supply, 21 million of bitcoins and new circulating supply will be created with each new Bitcoin block until 2140.

Because the cost of mining is unchanged with same network total hash rate and same network difficulty. If network hash rate and difficulty increase with time, cost of mining to have 1 bitcoin will increase consequently with time. Hence price of 1 bitcoin will increase in long run and by this, people believe that a Bitcoin halving will help Bitcoin to double its price.

It can be true in long term but in short term, price might be stable and not double like people expectation. It can take a few months for people, investors to realize the impact of Bitcoin halving, then it will be reflected on Bitcoin price.

[Fundamentals Of]

The four-year cycle has proven that it has some worth, at least until now. Of course it doesn't mean that it will forever be applicable because of many factors. One of which is the rising price of Bitcoin. The bigger the price of Bitcoin is, the harder it goes up further and multiply. But while it still can, we should try to make the most of it.

If this will once again happen after the halving in April next year, $100,000 could be a very easy target. It's funny but it's already exciting just to wait.

[Fuso.hp]

I really like the chart you have made, most of the time your predictions are correct. Now only waiting for August 2025. The Bitcoin market is very positive by the end of 2023 and it is predicted that the Bitcoin market will remain positive in 2024. If 2023 ends well and if the Bitcoin market is in a good position from mid to late 2024 then the Bitcoin market could reach such a point around August 2025. This is very good news for Bitcoin, it would not be surprising if the market changes so much in August 2025 as all predictions say 2024 to 2025 will be a good time for Bitcoin.

[bluebit25]

In the immediate future, we can completely trust the speculation about this cycle until it breaks. Although I also agree with this speculation, I do not believe that this can remain like this forever because it will become easy to predict and those who know about it will take full advantage of this opportunity.
Because I'm becoming more and more friendly with bitcoin, I think I will always accumulate more bitcoin because after the next 10 years, or even the next 20 years, what I have will simply be bitcoin with no tie to fiat.

[famososMuertos]

First of all, you don't have to buy ideas, you have to see projections, and for that, any graph works, the data is the same and the point here is that some colors make you see emotions and not TA, that's what you have to do and then proceed in the purchase and sale action, as appropriate.

Currently we have a cycle of more than a year for the value of $37k, we are just in recovery for many and profits at the lowest price in that period.

With the above, the point is that the reference works in the interest of each person, but you cannot sell a graph with colors with the certainty that it will happen again.

[Iranus]

It's going to vary how much halving's going to affect the price of Bitcoin because there isn't a reason to rely on past trending so we don't know. If we know what's going to happen to the price we'd already have made investment plans in prep for the profits.

What's going to happen if the halving this time makes the market turn bad. Miners with equipment lose out so will ppl who've jumped in because of FOMO.

Halving reduces the supply of coins from miners.  However, how much could this affect the price of Bitcoin?  

Not only do people seem optimistic, but I also get the feeling people are becoming more subjective than optimistic. Everyone is thinking about a dreamlike scenario where the past will repeat everything exactly and will make us rich easily. Everyone was caught off guard and no one seemed to think about the bad situation that could happen.

For me, when it comes to money and profits, it's a game and the game is never easy. Therefore, it is necessary to have backup plans for bad situations that occur, do not be too subjective because the future is unpredictable.

[Yaunfitda]

In the immediate future, we can completely trust the speculation about this cycle until it breaks. Although I also agree with this speculation, I do not believe that this can remain like this forever because it will become easy to predict and those who know about it will take full advantage of this opportunity.
Because I'm becoming more and more friendly with bitcoin, I think I will always accumulate more bitcoin because after the next 10 years, or even the next 20 years, what I have will simply be bitcoin with no tie to fiat.

And that's what make this market very attractive to speculators, and so far the 4 year cycle hasn't been broken yet. After the block halving, give it a year or two we will see that it will have a big growth, which we call bull run and then we will reach ATH.

So yeah, those smart investors are taking full advantage of that cycle and I haven't heard investors questioning the 4 year cycle as well.

I guess it will have to continue, or it will continue unless the cycle broken. And I doubt that it will be broken though as the halving is scheduled every 4 years and making the supply more scarce and this where the brilliance of the design of Satoshi is revealed and that's why many investors are into bitcoin ecosystem.

[AprilioMP]

In terms of experience, I am not an expert in viewing and analyzing charts to create speculation on Bitcoin. Circumstances that make changes due to the desire to try to learn something from not knowing to knowing.

This graph is good which makes it easier for me to get the meaning of what happened during a certain period each year. There was a tremendous spike during the year after being in a very difficult situation.
Over the past year, when the Bitcoin price level reached $37k from $15k, it surged by around 120+%.

The next possible Cycle High is in August, 2025-November, 2025.

Maybe the next cycle High is close to that year based on this chart.

[thecodebear]

BTC and It's Cycles

I just wanted to share this as many people here do not believe in the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle.

Are there really people who don't believe in the four year cycle?? lol. Cuz like, that's the most obvious thing that everyone knows about.

I understand that people brand new to Bitcoin may not know about it, and there'll always be some people who just like to be contrarian and act like everyone is wrong and the four year cycles are actually part of some longer different cycle but that's silly. I would hope that like 99% of people who actually pay attention to Bitcoin and aren't complete newcomers understand the four year market cycle, otherwise they are gonna be much worse off in getting good deals in this space.

Anytime someone asks me about buying Bitcoin the very first thing I tell them is about the four year cycle, cuz if you don't even know about that you don't have a clue what you're doing. That's THE single most important thing to know about the bitcoin market.

[TravelMug]

BTC and It's Cycles

I just wanted to share this as many people here do not believe in the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle.

Are there really people who don't believe in the four year cycle?? lol. Cuz like, that's the most obvious thing that everyone knows about.

I understand that people brand new to Bitcoin may not know about it, and there'll always be some people who just like to be contrarian and act like everyone is wrong and the four year cycles are actually part of some longer different cycle but that's silly. I would hope that like 99% of people who actually pay attention to Bitcoin and aren't complete newcomers understand the four year market cycle, otherwise they are gonna be much worse off in getting good deals in this space.

Perhaps there could still be non bitcoiners questioning the 4 year cycle. But for those who have seen it, at least in my case, I have witnessed it already, it's like a clockwork. Block halving -> next couple of months the price goes up -> bull run in the next 2 years - > new ATH.

Anytime someone asks me about buying Bitcoin the very first thing I tell them is about the four year cycle, cuz if you don't even know about that you don't have a clue what you're doing. That's THE single most important thing to know about the bitcoin market.

I think that's the most important thing, if I'm not mistaken, I have spoke to someone way before the pandemic and the halving. I still remember it was 2019, and he was asking me all about Bitcoin. And I say to him that he should just continue to buy and don't sell for small profits. But as things turn out, there is the pandemic, lost touch of him because of the lockdown as he did go back to his province. But the last thing I heard about him is that he is doing good because he just hold on his Bitcoin and wait till the halving in 2020.

[legendbtc]

BTC and It's Cycles

I just wanted to share this as many people here do not believe in the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle.

Are there really people who don't believe in the four year cycle?? lol. Cuz like, that's the most obvious thing that everyone knows about.

I understand that people brand new to Bitcoin may not know about it, and there'll always be some people who just like to be contrarian and act like everyone is wrong and the four year cycles are actually part of some longer different cycle but that's silly. I would hope that like 99% of people who actually pay attention to Bitcoin and aren't complete newcomers understand the four year market cycle, otherwise they are gonna be much worse off in getting good deals in this space.

Perhaps there could still be non bitcoiners questioning the 4 year cycle. But for those who have seen it, at least in my case, I have witnessed it already, it's like a clockwork. Block halving -> next couple of months the price goes up -> bull run in the next 2 years - > new ATH.

We won't mention the newbies and we can't blame them as they haven't gone through any bull cycles before. But for the rest of us, I don't think they don't believe in the 4-year cycle but they are presenting a scenario that maybe history will not repeat itself and this is entirely possible. What we can do is hope that history will repeat itself, we have no solid evidence that history will repeat itself.

Anytime someone asks me about buying Bitcoin the very first thing I tell them is about the four year cycle, cuz if you don't even know about that you don't have a clue what you're doing. That's THE single most important thing to know about the bitcoin market.

I think that's the most important thing, if I'm not mistaken, I have spoke to someone way before the pandemic and the halving. I still remember it was 2019, and he was asking me all about Bitcoin. And I say to him that he should just continue to buy and don't sell for small profits. But as things turn out, there is the pandemic, lost touch of him because of the lockdown as he did go back to his province. But the last thing I heard about him is that he is doing good because he just hold on his Bitcoin and wait till the halving in 2020.

The 4-year cycle is something we need to mention when giving bitcoin investment advice to someone, but let's not focus too much on that because what if there is no bull season after the halving?

[michellee]

Anytime someone asks me about buying Bitcoin the very first thing I tell them is about the four year cycle, cuz if you don't even know about that you don't have a clue what you're doing. That's THE single most important thing to know about the bitcoin market.

I think that's the most important thing, if I'm not mistaken, I have spoke to someone way before the pandemic and the halving. I still remember it was 2019, and he was asking me all about Bitcoin. And I say to him that he should just continue to buy and don't sell for small profits. But as things turn out, there is the pandemic, lost touch of him because of the lockdown as he did go back to his province. But the last thing I heard about him is that he is doing good because he just hold on his Bitcoin and wait till the halving in 2020.

And it looks like he benefited from the rise in Bitcoin prices after 2020. We still hope to witness a high rise after this four-year cycle. Moreover, next year, there will be a halving moment and that could be an impetus for prices to increase again.

And if that high increase will occur in 2025, that's okay because we can still buy Bitcoin and store it. And for now, we can accumulate more Bitcoins before the price really increases and reaches its final ATH. That would be a high price to buy Bitcoin. And if there are still people trying to accumulate Bitcoin at that price, that's okay because they definitely have considerations.

This four-year cycle can be a sign for us to know when the Bitcoin price is expected to increase. Although it cannot be a definite sign, at least we can hope to see Bitcoin prices increase again. And at that moment, we can sell the Bitcoin that we have collected at the new ATH.

[348Judah]

Good to know of this 4-year cycle which can confirm of how history's going to be repeating itself. However, aside from the halving happening in April 2024 we are also expecting of another new thing to come to the market which is the approval of ETF and this factor might slightly alter the cycle maybe that can shorten the new ATH. Anyway, the big lesson here is for anyone interested with Bitcoin to increase what they are holding as avalanche of blessings can be coming to those with diamond hands.

The market circle is one of the reasons why we choose a specific target on when the market pumps or dumps for the investors to know when to enter the market base on its seasonal period otherwise known as circle, this is also part of what constitute the even of Halving after which the market rises base on the release of new coins mined and influx changes in demand and supply causing the market to be highly volatile, i don't think the ETF approval could go to this extent in taking the market on a bullrun as expected with halving event, though it may cause a pump in price but not on a long run or as expected with bullrun.

[arabspaceship123]

That's the scene ppl don't understand the dangers of. It doesn't take a long time for dreams to slip in to nightmares. There isn't a thing called guaranteed profit because of halving because it's based on how long you're going to hold on to with patience. If halving gave ATH in the past it doesn't mean history's going to repeat.

Not only do people seem optimistic, but I also get the feeling people are becoming more subjective than optimistic. Everyone is thinking about a dreamlike scenario where the past will repeat everything exactly and will make us rich easily. Everyone was caught off guard and no one seemed to think about the bad situation that could happen.

For me, when it comes to money and profits, it's a game and the game is never easy. Therefore, it is necessary to have backup plans for bad situations that occur, do not be too subjective because the future is unpredictable.

[Solokan]

The graph you display is very good, and by displaying the graph we can see the history of BTC which is very good, and always creates new ATH but there is always a phase of price decline before creating a new ATH. but of course we won't know what will happen 2025, whether BTC will create a new ath or not, because as we know the world of crypto is always full of drama and in this case of course only time will provide the answer. but technical analysis is of course very good and of course always plays an important role in the world of crypto and always has the potential to create fundamentals.

This 4 year cycle is of course always eagerly awaited and is always a sign for us to know when the price of BTC will be expected to rise.
But I think BTC in 2025 has the potential to rise high because it's time for bull run after the halving in 2024.

[taufik123]

That's the scene ppl don't understand the dangers of. It doesn't take a long time for dreams to slip in to nightmares. There isn't a thing called guaranteed profit because of halving because it's based on how long you're going to hold on to with patience. If halving gave ATH in the past it doesn't mean history's going to repeat.

Only those who do not understand how the crypto market works expect a guarantee that the Halving to happen.
Investors who have been in the crypto market for a long time know how cycles work.
Each cycle will be different but the signs will probably be the same.

Although Halving made new history with ATH in the past, it is not a guarantee that Halving will deliver the same cycle.
It may take longer or faster to reach ATH.

There are all sorts of factors that can affect the upcoming ATH cycle.
Past history may play a role, but it does not necessarily mean that the cycle will be the same.
There will be differences, of course.
Seeing how regulations, economic conditions, market sentiment, and other factors are enough to make the cycle change.

[Out of mind]

It is true that the value of Bitcoin halves every four years and the price increases during that time. We have seen how the Bitcoin chart has grown since the past and how Bitcoin has come up to date according to its halving is really interesting.

As we have seen in past charts, Bitcoin had its first halving in 2012, the very next year in 2013 when the Bitcoin market peaked in ATH.
Then the bear market began in 2016 when Bitcoin halved for the second time, and the bull market began the following year in 2017 when ATH peaked.
A bull market followed by a bear market followed by a third halving in 2020, followed by Bitcoin's all-time high in 2021 and a bull market that saw the highest ATH.
According to the past, the predictions we have seen now are Bitcoin halving in 2024 and a Bitcoin bull market in 2025.  And we are looking forward to that. We believe that the future will happen in the Bitcoin market as it has in the past, so we believe that Bitcoin will be the highest ATH in 2025.

[arabspaceship123]

I don't want new bitcoin investors to fall for the FOMO. If they're accepting halving won't guarantee profits they'll invest carefully or else they'll be vulnerable if they sell at low prices. I don't know why ppl can't see FOMO's being presented to them by other investors who'd like to see bitcoin price rise so they're able to dump first.

Although Halving made new history with ATH in the past, it is not a guarantee that Halving will deliver the same cycle.
It may take longer or faster to reach ATH.

There are all sorts of factors that can affect the upcoming ATH cycle.
Past history may play a role, but it does not necessarily mean that the cycle will be the same.
There will be differences, of course.
Seeing how regulations, economic conditions, market sentiment, and other factors are enough to make the cycle change.

[taufik123]

I don't want new bitcoin investors to fall for the FOMO. If they're accepting halving won't guarantee profits they'll invest carefully or else they'll be vulnerable if they sell at low prices. I don't know why ppl can't see FOMO's being presented to them by other investors who'd like to see bitcoin price rise so they're able to dump first.

Seeing how FOMO has always happened in the past, it has become a part of the crypto market and those who enter at FOMO prices never learn how the right time to start entering and selling.

When prices tend to be cheap they are reluctant to even enter for fear that the price will continue to fall, but when it goes higher they will buy it.
Actually, this happens because of the influence of unstable psychology, not knowing whether they entered at the best price or at a price that is too high.

Those who still survive from the last ATH purchase, of course they still hope that Bitcoin will be able to reach the new ATH.
But most of them have sold their holdings at a lower price.

[danadc]

I could not establish the bitcoin cycle, because it is something unpredictable, the volatility is what makes the asset different and differentiates it from all the markets that have stocks, and I don't know but 2021 was when bitcoin had that great price of almost 70 thousand USD, and that makes it the year 2026 when the price will rise again? based on what? Here I have told you that there are many patterns in trading, and they can be what makes the difference but I don't think that is the case, I think that Bitcoin goes up or down because investors know when they should not make it go up, because In a pandemic or in wars it will not rise, it will rise in the best time that is for the investors, and they push it to a much higher level.

[Texac]

I could not establish the bitcoin cycle, because it is something unpredictable, the volatility is what makes the asset different and differentiates it from all the markets that have stocks, and I don't know but 2021 was when bitcoin had that great price of almost 70 thousand USD, and that makes it the year 2026 when the price will rise again? based on what? Here I have told you that there are many patterns in trading, and they can be what makes the difference but I don't think that is the case, I think that Bitcoin goes up or down because investors know when they should not make it go up, because In a pandemic or in wars it will not rise, it will rise in the best time that is for the investors, and they push it to a much higher level.

No one can confirm or have the crystal ball to tell you that for sure.  but if you look back at bitcoin's growth history, you will see that the cycle the OP is talking about has repeated 3 times.  so, there is nothing wrong with people continuing to believe and expect history to repeat itself again. 

Sometimes things are very simple but many people deliberately make things complicated.  they give thousands of reasons and scenarios for their thoughts while it is very possible that everything will not change and history will repeat itself. 

[so98nn]

I am not technical analysis expert but what happened to the Bitcoin price of 55-60k USD ? Why I am not able to see it in the chart if we had touch down to that price range couple of years back. The graph should have been little curvy like going up for bit and then again falling back sharply to the 25k price range. I am totally confused about the cycles given in that chart.

Or, is it just formal prediction that was plotted earlier and we are just discussing about it. Because even if I Check the “All time graph” of Bitcoin then it looks like what I imagined whole typing the post.

Just have a look at this:




I am just trying to understand whether there is another way to look at the graph here?

[arabspaceship123]

That's the way cryptocurrency trading works for most ppl they try to buy cheap & sell high that's the aim to make profit. FOMO doesn't help investors. Investors will always buy bitcoin when the price's cheap but ppl who've missed out in low prices take a leap of faith because of FOMO but are left with losses.

When prices tend to be cheap they are reluctant to even enter for fear that the price will continue to fall, but when it goes higher they will buy it.
Actually, this happens because of the influence of unstable psychology, not knowing whether they entered at the best price or at a price that is too high.

[MinoRaiola]

Looking at this chart, it is +500 days after the halving and I havent seen it from that perspective. So the whole year 2024 would not be an extreme run, that would be strange but okay. There could be Bitcoin ETF's coming in 2024 and then it should go up. The year 2020 and Corona can be seen in the chart, if that hadnt been, the price maybe been higher than the last ATH. Ok, all speculation, but still interesting.

[BitDane]

I could not establish the bitcoin cycle, because it is something unpredictable, the volatility is what makes the asset different and differentiates it from all the markets that have stocks, and I don't know but 2021 was when bitcoin had that great price of almost 70 thousand USD, and that makes it the year 2026 when the price will rise again? based on what? Here I have told you that there are many patterns in trading, and they can be what makes the difference but I don't think that is the case, I think that Bitcoin goes up or down because investors know when they should not make it go up, because In a pandemic or in wars it will not rise, it will rise in the best time that is for the investors, and they push it to a much higher level.

I think we need to look at the history of Bitcoin price.  From there we can mark the ATH before the bear enters the market.  We  can see from the history that there is 4 year apart from each cycle before the previous ATH is surpassed thus, the name Bitcoin 4-year cycle is created.

This cycles as stated in the earlier reply is highly influenced by the Bitcoin halving. Regardless of the news that happens each year , the Bitcoin having is major catalyst before the Bitcoin market starts to rally to record another ATH.  We had not experienced news that break an all time high in a span of time after the new ATH is recorded and before the halving event happen, it has been always after the halving event that makes the Bitcoin price to reach a new height.

I don't know but 2021 was when bitcoin had that great price of almost 70 thousand USD, and that makes it the year 2026 when the price will rise again? based on what?

It is always observed that bull market starts within a few months before or after the Bitcoin halving event, the price will possibly starts to rise again in the last quarter of 2023 or 1st quarter of the year 2024 and will record a new ATH a year after the halving, possibly in 2025.  That is based on the 4 year cycle that is discussed in this thread.

[JoyMarsha]

I can't advise ppl to take bitcoin price projections seriously because we don't know the future. We can't be sure about what's going to happen to bitcoin's price months after halving. Charts give false hope to investors when they're convinced to buy Bitcoin but they aren't prepared for what's going to happen if it loses value.

What would make bitcoin lose value? Even if the price is reduced than expected, as long as you continue to hodl it without selling, you will surely end up being at a profit someday. That's what people don't tend to know about the uniqueness of hodling bitcoin for long-term purposes. They thought that when the price reduces drastically, like those who bought Bitcoin during its ATH in 2021, it won't skyrocket back in price which puts them at a loss with today's price of $35k.

Forget the fact that bitcoin won't repeat its 4 years circle of price increase because for sure it will. It has done that in the three-halving, and hopefully, it will do that next year halving by increasing the price of Bitcoin months later.

These are my beliefs for bitcoin to do well in price, as I look forward to it in 2024 and 2025

[arabspaceship123]

I don't know what's going to make bitcoin lose value except dumping by whales or FUD. If one group's going to dump their bitcoins it's setting a pattern for other ppl to sell so it's going make bitcoin lose value. Some investors who can't hodl they're trying to make profts by short sales. Halving doesn't guarantee ATH price so what's the option for investors who don't want to hodl but see bitcoin lose value.

Every investment's a risk that's what ppl have to remember before they buy because of FOMO.

What would make bitcoin lose value? Even if the price is reduced than expected, as long as you continue to hodl it without selling, you will surely end up being at a profit someday. That's what people don't tend to know about the uniqueness of hodling bitcoin for long-term purposes. They thought that when the price reduces drastically, like those who bought Bitcoin during its ATH in 2021, it won't skyrocket back in price which puts them at a loss with today's price of $35k.

Forget the fact that bitcoin won't repeat its 4 years circle of price increase because for sure it will. It has done that in the three-halving, and hopefully, it will do that next year halving by increasing the price of Bitcoin months later.

[willi9974]

very nice and informative picture from you. I hope it happens exactly like this, or even a few days earlier. my estimate for the ATH is more likely the end of 2024, but we'll see.

I will keep an eye on this post. Fingers crosses !!!

Best regards
Willi

[OcTradism]

Every investment's a risk that's what ppl have to remember before they buy because of FOMO.

They must be in the market a long time to understand its mechanism, cycles and it will be their own experience that is different than what they can learn from textbook or psychological chart of market cycles.

The psychology of market cycles is most important and it is true not only in cryptocurrency market but for all market types. Because basically people don't change themselves and human instinct is generally the same if you count how the majority of market participants behave in one market.

Market makers therefore, take advantage of it to manipulate the crowd with their fake technical indicator movements and direct market to a direction they want. When a market participant understands psychological cycle, it's better to have good control against FOMO and panic, then more easily gain success in either investment or trading. Trading is more risky than investment and it's harder to gain profit in a long run as well.

[philipma1957]

BTC and It's Cycles

This is an amazing chart I have saved for more than a year now, it predicted the 2022 Cycle Low correctly. It's made by someone else, I do not remember the user however I have it saved.
I just wanted to share this as many people here do not believe in the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle. Here's a live proof of that being executed every cycle.

The next possible Cycle High is in August, 2025-November, 2025.

I think that the four year cycle effect will be ending ,but that it did and still does exist.

The rewards half every four years. Thus the so called four year cycle.

But the % of fees increase every four years and this is not looked at as much as we should.

what were average fees per block when rewards were 50 coins. well under 1 coin per a btc
what were average fees per block when rewards were 25 coins. some what under a btc
what were average fees per block when rewards were 12.5 coins some times over a btc
what were average fees per block when rewards are 6.25 coins some times  over 3 btc

what will average fees per block be when rewards are 3.125 coins if it is sometime over three we are 1-1

or 50-50 percent

and we were 2-1 or 66.6-33.3 percent

and back in the day we were once 50-1 or 98-2 percent

so the cycle from 2024-2028 may be the last of the four year cycles.

in which actual reward- fees is 50-50

I am thinking in 2028-2032 it will be 1.5625 reward and some times 3 or 4 coins fees.

[arabspaceship123]

It's going to be a sweet time if we're going to see ATH after halving. There isn't enough confidence in the market or else it's value would've increased more but if ppl buy bitcoin because of FOMO they're risking their money. There isn't a guarantee we're going to see ATH soon.

very nice and informative picture from you. I hope it happens exactly like this, or even a few days earlier. my estimate for the ATH is more likely the end of 2024, but we'll see.

I will keep an eye on this post. Fingers crosses !!!

Best regards
Willi

[glendall]

It's going to be a sweet time if we're going to see ATH after halving. There isn't enough confidence in the market or else it's value would've increased more but if ppl buy bitcoin because of FOMO they're risking their money. There isn't a guarantee we're going to see ATH soon.

Ah, that's right, even people who bought BTC in 2021 where Bitcoin was priced at just 50K to this day have not been able to recover their finances, just words and need extra patience to reach that new ATH.

The 4 year cycle is eagerly awaited by investors and even everyone who owns Bitcoin itself,
but people who don't understand how the crypto market works won't believe this cycle,
by looking at the current market conditions the new ATH will not exceed 60k for my personal prediction (only my prediction)

[Razmirraz]

I just want to know if you're a god or a ghost.

If You're God, I'd buy a lot of bitcoins right now and wait for money to fall from the sky.
If you're a ghost, I'll sell bitcoins now and wait for a cheap bitcoin (say, $2,000) to buy.

But who can tell me, are you God or ghost.

Op is just an ordinary person like you and most other users on the forum. Op tried to share a chart or the four-year cycle experienced by Bitcoin, no one can determine where Bitcoin will go next because the price is very volatile. Price changes are very fast because they are triggered by market sentiment, so at any given time the market price may be much higher and fall to its lowest point. So, if you still doubt the Bitcoin price movement cycle that occurs every four years like the chart in Op, you can ignore it and wait until the ship leaves while you don't load anything on it.

[pawanjain]

If it would have been this easy then everyone would be rich by now. Many people know about the 4 year cycle but fail to buy and sell at the right time.
The 4 year cycle would have worked in the past but it does not guarantee that the same would happen in the future.
Although I beleive that bitcoin will break it's ATH again but I don't know if it's gonna happen in 2025 or earlier/later.
I just beleive it will happen and keep happening but the timelines cannot be predicted accurately.

[leonair]

If it would have been this easy then everyone would be rich by now. Many people know about the 4 year cycle but fail to buy and sell at the right time.
The 4 year cycle would have worked in the past but it does not guarantee that the same would happen in the future.
Although I beleive that bitcoin will break it's ATH again but I don't know if it's gonna happen in 2025 or earlier/later.
I just beleive it will happen and keep happening but the timelines cannot be predicted accurately.

Bitcoin's 4 year cycle is very true and has happened a few times before but no one knows when it will happen.  Of course Bitcoin can help people get rich in the long run. Many people know and believe in the 4 year cycle of Bitcoin but fail to hold long term because they panic too much. And they don't have huge money that they can talk about their investments. But those who have a lot of money invest in Bitcoin for long term and they get a lot of profit.  This is why the saying goes that the rich get richer and the poor stay poorer

[arimamib]

Every investment's a risk that's what ppl have to remember before they buy because of FOMO.

They must be in the market a long time to understand its mechanism, cycles and it will be their own experience that is different than what they can learn from textbook or psychological chart of market cycles.

The psychology of market cycles is most important and it is true not only in cryptocurrency market but for all market types. Because basically people don't change themselves and human instinct is generally the same if you count how the majority of market participants behave in one market.

Market makers therefore, take advantage of it to manipulate the crowd with their fake technical indicator movements and direct market to a direction they want. When a market participant understands psychological cycle, it's better to have good control against FOMO and panic, then more easily gain success in either investment or trading. Trading is more risky than investment and it's harder to gain profit in a long run as well.

The psychology of market cycles plays a crucial role in all markets, including the cryptocurrency market. Human behavior and emotions significantly influence market movements, creating recurring patterns of booms and busts. Understanding these psychological factors is a big help for investors to make informed decisions and navigate the unpredictable nature of markets.

There are two primary emotions that drive market cycles; Fear and greed. Investors are driven by greed, when positive sentiment prevails, leading to rising prices. Conversely, when fear takes hold, investors panic and sell, causing prices to plummet and a bear market to emerge. These emotional swings are often exaggerated in the cryptocurrencies market due to its relatively young age and lack of regulation. The absence of intrinsic value for many cryptocurrencies makes them more susceptible to speculation and hype, further amplifying the impact of psychological factors. Understanding these psychological biases and their influence on market cycles is essential for investors to make rational decisions. By acknowledging their own emotional tendencies and recognizing the broader psychological forces at play, investors can better position themselves to navigate the ups and downs of the market.

[salad daging]

If it would have been this easy then everyone would be rich by now. Many people know about the 4 year cycle but fail to buy and sell at the right time.
The 4 year cycle would have worked in the past but it does not guarantee that the same would happen in the future.
Although I beleive that bitcoin will break it's ATH again but I don't know if it's gonna happen in 2025 or earlier/later.
I just beleive it will happen and keep happening but the timelines cannot be predicted accurately.

Even though they already know that bitcoin always has a 4-year cycle, those who fail are unable to hold their patience for 4 years or they may be consumed by negative issues that result in selling halfway through and as a result do not benefit more.

If you think you don't guarantee something similar in the future then don't say bitcoin ATH again, it's the same as you don't believe in the future and doubt it even though there is no guarantee whatsoever but we believe that it will happen again in the future.

About the right time we never know for sure whether it's the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025 we can't guess from now on, now we just need to hold on until that time.

[Razmirraz]

If it would have been this easy then everyone would be rich by now. Many people know about the 4 year cycle but fail to buy and sell at the right time.
The 4 year cycle would have worked in the past but it does not guarantee that the same would happen in the future.
Although I beleive that bitcoin will break it's ATH again but I don't know if it's gonna happen in 2025 or earlier/later.
I just beleive it will happen and keep happening but the timelines cannot be predicted accurately.

Based on past history, the four year cycle has always provided excitement for investors who are able to hold Bitcoin or who buy when prices are cheap. It should be emphasized that there is no right time to buy Bitcoin because the price continues to fluctuate. Indeed, there is no guarantee that this will happen in the future, because something that has not happened is very difficult to predict with certainty.
The increasingly widespread adoption of Bitcoin means that demand in the market will continue to increase, even though there are negative issues deliberately created by parties who are not happy with the presence of Bitcoin, but it will not make Bitcoin collapse because the level of public interest in Bitcoin is increasing.
Many people assume this, but every time the four-year cycle occurs, some people feel regret because they didn't have time to buy when the price was cheap.

[thecodebear]

I find it funny that some people on here still don't think the 4 year cycle is real haha. To anyone unsure, yes we are heading into a bull market. Bitcoin will pass its $69k ATH, probably towards the end of 2024 or early 2025, and then it will go much higher from there, peaking at some point in 2025, probably the second half of the year, before starting the next big crash.

Sure eventually the cycle will diminish and go away, but I think we're still a few cycles away from that happening. As long as there are tons of people and the mainstream media who write Bitcoin off every bear market as the bubble having finally popped and its only going to go down for now on, there are going to be tons of people suddenly shocked that bitcoin is still alive each post-halving once they hear about it going back to and passing the old ATH. And that shocking realization will always bring in lots of new money.

Only way these cycles stop is once bitcoin is mature, which is going to take people actually being educated on Bitcoin enough to not FOMO in post-halving, and not FUD out post-post-halving haha. Until the masses get educated enough to view Bitcoin as simply a great long term investment that is going to be the future of money, they are going to keep falling for the boom bust cycle and therefore perpetuating it. My guess is by the late 2030s the 4 year cycle will disintegrate so no more giant bull runs nor giant crashes. And it'll get their gradually, but it'll probably take that long before we stop seeing these large post-halving bull markets. Bitcoin will settle into a mostly upwards continual chop instead of the massive bull/bear 4 year cycle. But no reason to worry about anything right now except enjoying the 4 year cycle and getting rich off it.

[pawanjain]

If it would have been this easy then everyone would be rich by now. Many people know about the 4 year cycle but fail to buy and sell at the right time.
The 4 year cycle would have worked in the past but it does not guarantee that the same would happen in the future.
Although I beleive that bitcoin will break it's ATH again but I don't know if it's gonna happen in 2025 or earlier/later.
I just beleive it will happen and keep happening but the timelines cannot be predicted accurately.

Even though they already know that bitcoin always has a 4-year cycle, those who fail are unable to hold their patience for 4 years or they may be consumed by negative issues that result in selling halfway through and as a result do not benefit more.

If you think you don't guarantee something similar in the future then don't say bitcoin ATH again, it's the same as you don't believe in the future and doubt it even though there is no guarantee whatsoever but we believe that it will happen again in the future.

About the right time we never know for sure whether it's the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025 we can't guess from now on, now we just need to hold on until that time.

I think you have misunderstood my post because I am saying the same thing as you.
All I said was that bitcoin will surely cross the ATH again and set a new ATH but we cannot guarantee the timing.
I mean the next ATH might cross the 4 year cycle and so the 4 year cycle is not necessarily accurate.
The ATH will be crossed but nobody can accurately predict the price of bitcoin.

[leonair]

If it would have been this easy then everyone would be rich by now. Many people know about the 4 year cycle but fail to buy and sell at the right time.
The 4 year cycle would have worked in the past but it does not guarantee that the same would happen in the future.
Although I beleive that bitcoin will break it's ATH again but I don't know if it's gonna happen in 2025 or earlier/later.
I just beleive it will happen and keep happening but the timelines cannot be predicted accurately.

Even though they already know that bitcoin always has a 4-year cycle, those who fail are unable to hold their patience for 4 years or they may be consumed by negative issues that result in selling halfway through and as a result do not benefit more.

If you think you don't guarantee something similar in the future then don't say bitcoin ATH again, it's the same as you don't believe in the future and doubt it even though there is no guarantee whatsoever but we believe that it will happen again in the future.

About the right time we never know for sure whether it's the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025 we can't guess from now on, now we just need to hold on until that time.

I think you have misunderstood my post because I am saying the same thing as you.
All I said was that bitcoin will surely cross the ATH again and set a new ATH but we cannot guarantee the timing.
I mean the next ATH might cross the 4 year cycle and so the 4 year cycle is not necessarily accurate.
The ATH will be crossed but nobody can accurately predict the price of bitcoin.

Bitcoin completed last ATHs according to four year cycle but fear to invest as we think next four year cycle may not complete. Because Bitcoin never guarantees anything. How much you can achieve from Bitcoin depends on your analysis skills. That's why everyone knows about Bitcoin's 4 year circle but can't take it seriously. There is not much time left before the next cycle takes place but we can see Bitcoin starting to pump up a bit.  So we can hope that maybe this time also such four years cycle can be successfully conducted

[Jegileman]

I haven’t come across a post or chart that have explained bitcoin cycle so simple like this, with this I have gotten to see in this post, I will be rest assured that the next bitcoin all time high will be in the next two years and not the year of halving. This will give me a lower expectation value for what I’m anticipating for the next bull run reaching a new all time high.

[Kelward]

If it would have been this easy then everyone would be rich by now. Many people know about the 4 year cycle but fail to buy and sell at the right time.
The 4 year cycle would have worked in the past but it does not guarantee that the same would happen in the future.
Although I beleive that bitcoin will break it's ATH again but I don't know if it's gonna happen in 2025 or earlier/later.
I just beleive it will happen and keep happening but the timelines cannot be predicted accurately.

What worked in the past halving might not be realistic today, because I believe that the adoption of bitcoin has increased significantly, compered to the previous halvings and ATH. So the chart might calculate a new direction this time around by charting a new unpredictable angle from the previous ones.

I however see the optimism everywhere that next year's halving will happen, it doesn't matter the month. The chart is helpful to pinpoint a particular time of halving, but my point is that even if it's prediction is not accurate this time, we're still pretty sure of an ATH, and for me that's the beauty, after all the predictions from different perspectives, we're going to have a bull run.

[arabspaceship123]

It's depressing when ppl who've unfortunately paid $50k or $60k for a single bitcoin in 2021 saw the value of their investment fall so much it's still catching up. They can't sell or else they'll incur losses which nobody deserves. They'll need patience but some ppl must've sold their bitcoin to cut losses that's the part which makes me feel sorry for them.

It's going to be a sweet time if we're going to see ATH after halving. There isn't enough confidence in the market or else it's value would've increased more but if ppl buy bitcoin because of FOMO they're risking their money. There isn't a guarantee we're going to see ATH soon.

Ah, that's right, even people who bought BTC in 2021 where Bitcoin was priced at just 50K to this day have not been able to recover their finances, just words and need extra patience to reach that new ATH.

[D ltr]

If it would have been this easy then everyone would be rich by now. Many people know about the 4 year cycle but fail to buy and sell at the right time.
The 4 year cycle would have worked in the past but it does not guarantee that the same would happen in the future.
Although I beleive that bitcoin will break it's ATH again but I don't know if it's gonna happen in 2025 or earlier/later.
I just beleive it will happen and keep happening but the timelines cannot be predicted accurately.

it's true there will be a lot of rich people for this,
There will be a 4 year cycle, but reaching a new ath will be very difficult in the next cycle because economic conditions can also affect the exchange rate and Bitcoin itself.

[fuguebtc]

If it would have been this easy then everyone would be rich by now. Many people know about the 4 year cycle but fail to buy and sell at the right time.
The 4 year cycle would have worked in the past but it does not guarantee that the same would happen in the future.
Although I beleive that bitcoin will break it's ATH again but I don't know if it's gonna happen in 2025 or earlier/later.
I just beleive it will happen and keep happening but the timelines cannot be predicted accurately.

When it comes to the future , no one has a crystal ball to know what will happen. I also thought about that scenario, when everyone knows about the cycle, things have become easily predictable and are more likely to change . But that's just our suspicion and we have evidence for that too. So I think, let's keep things simple instead of making things more complicated , and to make things simpler, we should continue to believe in history repeating but don't forget to prepare yourself worst case scenario plan. Always having a backup plan is something everyone should have.

[salad daging]

I think you have misunderstood my post because I am saying the same thing as you.
All I said was that bitcoin will surely cross the ATH again and set a new ATH but we cannot guarantee the timing.
I mean the next ATH might cross the 4 year cycle and so the 4 year cycle is not necessarily accurate.
The ATH will be crossed but nobody can accurately predict the price of bitcoin.

Yes, that's probably why I said otherwise, but now I understand what has been explained now.

I believe it is certain that ATH will pass after the 4-year cycle, because what I have seen the previous bitcoin price history is that after halving it is said to be a cycle, there is also an exact time we never know, it's just that many estimates are at the end of 2024/25 that I often see from bitcoin analysis experts.

[Doan9269]

it's true there will be a lot of rich people for this,
There will be a 4 year cycle, but reaching a new ath will be very difficult in the next cycle because economic conditions can also affect the exchange rate and Bitcoin itself.

What are you saying here, what difficulty will bitcoin encounters at the fourth circle, what will be that thing that may stand as hindrance against having a new all time high next year or further subsequent years coming, bitcoin network is not depending on the economic conditions of the fiat world and how should exchange rate or inflation cause it not to get to where it should be, moreover bitcoin itself cannot antagonize itself, it's value remain ever increasing.

[BITCOIN4X]

~Snip

Yes, that's probably why I said otherwise, but now I understand what has been explained now.

I believe it is certain that ATH will pass after the 4-year cycle, because what I have seen the previous bitcoin price history is that after halving it is said to be a cycle, there is also an exact time we never know, it's just that many estimates are at the end of 2024/25 that I often see from bitcoin analysis experts.

I don't dispute that the vast majority of bitcoin investors now are those trying to take advantage of the cycle to get huge returns after the halving. Bitcoin is definitely a good idea as an alternative currency to pay for things, but its price volatility tends to be the target of investors rather than its use case.

Halving is the best fundamental to expect an increase in bitcoin prices and this increase is indeed very expected considering that halving will make miners get lower rewards. Without an increase in prices, bitcoin miners will go bankrupt because they are unable to cover mining costs or operational costs, so they also hope to profit from the halving.

[Blitzboy]

I find it funny that some people on here still don't think the 4 year cycle is real haha. To anyone unsure, yes we are heading into a bull market. Bitcoin will pass its $69k ATH, probably towards the end of 2024 or early 2025, and then it will go much higher from there, peaking at some point in 2025, probably the second half of the year, before starting the next big crash.

Sure eventually the cycle will diminish and go away, but I think we're still a few cycles away from that happening. As long as there are tons of people and the mainstream media who write Bitcoin off every bear market as the bubble having finally popped and its only going to go down for now on, there are going to be tons of people suddenly shocked that bitcoin is still alive each post-halving once they hear about it going back to and passing the old ATH. And that shocking realization will always bring in lots of new money.

Only way these cycles stop is once bitcoin is mature, which is going to take people actually being educated on Bitcoin enough to not FOMO in post-halving, and not FUD out post-post-halving haha. Until the masses get educated enough to view Bitcoin as simply a great long term investment that is going to be the future of money, they are going to keep falling for the boom bust cycle and therefore perpetuating it. My guess is by the late 2030s the 4 year cycle will disintegrate so no more giant bull runs nor giant crashes. And it'll get their gradually, but it'll probably take that long before we stop seeing these large post-halving bull markets. Bitcoin will settle into a mostly upwards continual chop instead of the massive bull/bear 4 year cycle. But no reason to worry about anything right now except enjoying the 4 year cycle and getting rich off it.

Its sort of like a self-fulfilling prophecy. Because people want it to happen, they do things that make it happen. For years, Bitcoin enthusiasts have caught in the loop of bull and bear markets. But lets do it the other way around. Everyone in the community should change how they felt about Bitcoin. What if many people learned about Bitcoin's real value and its promise as a future currency? That change in how people think could end the loop.

I agree with the trend, at least for now. But I have another plan. What if we work toward a more stable and long-term way of investing in Bitcoin? Imagine a world where Bitcoin isnt just a way to "get rich quick" during bull runs, but also a way to learn about the currency's long-term potential. Thats where things will really change. By the late 2030s? Could be. But how did they get there? Educating, changing mindsets, and breaking FOMO and FUD cycles are key.

[Minecache]

it's true there will be a lot of rich people for this,
There will be a 4 year cycle, but reaching a new ath will be very difficult in the next cycle because economic conditions can also affect the exchange rate and Bitcoin itself.

What are you saying here, what difficulty will bitcoin encounters at the fourth circle, what will be that thing that may stand as hindrance against having a new all time high next year or further subsequent years coming, bitcoin network is not depending on the economic conditions of the fiat world and how should exchange rate or inflation cause it not to get to where it should be, moreover bitcoin itself cannot antagonize itself, it's value remain ever increasing.

Bitcoin is also part of the world economy so it will also be affected if the economy has problems. If what you say is true, bitcoin does not depend and is not affected by the world economy, then why does every time the Fed raises interest rates or increases inflation, have a negative impact on bitcoin price in 2022? Why is bitcoin also dumped on news of war if it has no effect on the world economy? Bitcoin is a financial market, a currency, and what value would it have if it were not in circulation or had nothing to do with the world economy?

[Z_MBFM]

it's true there will be a lot of rich people for this,
There will be a 4 year cycle, but reaching a new ath will be very difficult in the next cycle because economic conditions can also affect the exchange rate and Bitcoin itself.

What are you saying here, what difficulty will bitcoin encounters at the fourth circle, what will be that thing that may stand as hindrance against having a new all time high next year or further subsequent years coming, bitcoin network is not depending on the economic conditions of the fiat world and how should exchange rate or inflation cause it not to get to where it should be, moreover bitcoin itself cannot antagonize itself, it's value remain ever increasing.

Bitcoin is also part of the world economy so it will also be affected if the economy has problems. If what you say is true, bitcoin does not depend and is not affected by the world economy, then why does every time the Fed raises interest rates or increases inflation, have a negative impact on bitcoin price in 2022? Why is bitcoin also dumped on news of war if it has no effect on the world economy? Bitcoin is a financial market, a currency, and what value would it have if it were not in circulation or had nothing to do with the world economy?

Bitcoin is a private asset for everyone because it has no controller, its creator is completely anonymous and it is designed to be.  Bitcoin creator also has no power to take away Bitcoin from anyone. Because of this everyone considers Bitcoin as a strong secure asset and undoubtedly invests in Bitcoin.  So the infection of the country will always have a positive effect instead of having a negative effect on Bitcoin. But yes the world economic recession will affect Bitcoin. Because of the infection in every country, slowly people started trusting Bitcoin a lot and started keeping money in it. One obvious reason for this is that Bitcoin recovers very quickly from a fall in value, but does not easily cover a fall in the value of fiat currencies. Bitcoin's 4 year circle is true but it happens because people think that Bitcoin has been in a lot of dumps for a long time so maybe now it will be a lot of pump.  Thus when many people start investing together bitcoins automatically pump.  And once it starts to pump, it creates a height on it and the investment amount starts to increase.  That's how the price of Bitcoin goes up a lot

[Minecache]

it's true there will be a lot of rich people for this,
There will be a 4 year cycle, but reaching a new ath will be very difficult in the next cycle because economic conditions can also affect the exchange rate and Bitcoin itself.

What are you saying here, what difficulty will bitcoin encounters at the fourth circle, what will be that thing that may stand as hindrance against having a new all time high next year or further subsequent years coming, bitcoin network is not depending on the economic conditions of the fiat world and how should exchange rate or inflation cause it not to get to where it should be, moreover bitcoin itself cannot antagonize itself, it's value remain ever increasing.

Bitcoin is also part of the world economy so it will also be affected if the economy has problems. If what you say is true, bitcoin does not depend and is not affected by the world economy, then why does every time the Fed raises interest rates or increases inflation, have a negative impact on bitcoin price in 2022? Why is bitcoin also dumped on news of war if it has no effect on the world economy? Bitcoin is a financial market, a currency, and what value would it have if it were not in circulation or had nothing to do with the world economy?

Bitcoin is a private asset for everyone because it has no controller, its creator is completely anonymous and it is designed to be.  Bitcoin creator also has no power to take away Bitcoin from anyone. Because of this everyone considers Bitcoin as a strong secure asset and undoubtedly invests in Bitcoin.  So the infection of the country will always have a positive effect instead of having a negative effect on Bitcoin. But yes the world economic recession will affect Bitcoin. Because of the infection in every country, slowly people started trusting Bitcoin a lot and started keeping money in it. One obvious reason for this is that Bitcoin recovers very quickly from a fall in value, but does not easily cover a fall in the value of fiat currencies. Bitcoin's 4 year circle is true but it happens because people think that Bitcoin has been in a lot of dumps for a long time so maybe now it will be a lot of pump.  Thus when many people start investing together bitcoins automatically pump.  And once it starts to pump, it creates a height on it and the investment amount starts to increase.  That's how the price of Bitcoin goes up a lot

To be more precise, the value of bitcoin depends on supply and demand like all other assets, and the fluctuation of supply and demand depends entirely on the investor. Once the world economy has problems, it will directly affect investors, which will also affect the demand for bitcoin. So it's funny that someone would think that decentralized bitcoin means it's completely separate from the world.

The halving will cause the supply of bitcoin on the market to decrease, so as long as demand remains the same, it could push up the price of bitcoin. But bitcoin prices will increase sharply if supply is limited and demand also increases.

[Casdinyard]

I just want to know if you're a god or a ghost.

If You're God, I'd buy a lot of bitcoins right now and wait for money to fall from the sky.
If you're a ghost, I'll sell bitcoins now and wait for a cheap bitcoin (say, $2,000) to buy.

But who can tell me, are you God or ghost.

It's not being a god or a ghost, it's literally just creating predictions as to when and what would the market look like during bitcoin's highest moments next bull season. And with bitcoin's 4 year cycle, along with the common patterns that the regular investor falls under during these stress periods, you get a pretty convincing chart like what OP made that gives you a little heads-up of what could be waiting for you at the other end of the spectrum. I should know, I've been in the industry for a little less over a decade, and have been in the halvings of both the 2016, and the 2020, arguably the most tumultuous times in the crypto world as of yet. Perhaps, don't go about thinking whether someone's a god or a ghost, and just go read a damn article or a book lol.

[Sarah Azhari]

Bitcoin halving always occur in every 4 year cycle that makes the cryptocurrency market Bull Run session, which many alt-coins increased in price as Bitcoin been on uptrend in the trading platform. Therefore, now is the best time to invest Bitcoin before Bull Run market start, which is going to occur in 2024.

It should be, and I hope it happens as predicted. But, we know crypto, especially bitcoin is not as easy as we think and predict because of decentralization and no one control like you predict. Bitcoin and some decentralization of altcoin is pure supply and demand on the market, therefore your predictions could be wrong. I often follow the pattern on chart above by PlanB on social media, almost the same as chart above, all predictions on halving periods are correct with only a few percent of error. but all the calculations could be wrong on this period, and maybe it will form a new pattern because something like war or emergency situation which make the bitcoin price deviate 100% from prediction.

[KFC786]

BTC and It's Cycles

This is an amazing chart I have saved for more than a year now, it predicted the 2022 Cycle Low correctly. It's made by someone else, I do not remember the user however I have it saved.
I just wanted to share this as many people here do not believe in the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle. Here's a live proof of that being executed every cycle.

The next possible Cycle High is in August, 2025-November, 2025.

According to me Bitcoin will crash eventually and than it will pump and we will be able to see good growth in coming years and it will be insane pumps and green days?

[Aria61]

BTC and It's Cycles

This is an amazing chart I have saved for more than a year now, it predicted the 2022 Cycle Low correctly. It's made by someone else, I do not remember the user however I have it saved.
I just wanted to share this as many people here do not believe in the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle. Here's a live proof of that being executed every cycle.

The next possible Cycle High is in August, 2025-November, 2025.


According to me Bitcoin will crash eventually and than it will pump and we will be able to see good growth in coming years and it will be insane pumps and green days?

[Aria61]

Accounts Connected: (Note: Banned shown in red / Inactive in Blue / Active profile (in ordinary link colour))

1. Moita22
2. Price0077
3. Amar jaan


Proof:

All these accounts use same Twitter Account to do bounty tasks.

Quote from: Price0077 on November 24, 2023, 09:55:45 AM
PROOF OF REGISTRATION
Forum Username: Price0077
Forum Profile Link: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=3580006
Telegram Username: @Price0077
Participated Campaigns: twitter Facebook telegram discord tik tok
BSC Wallet Address: 0xb38c5537ac4543aa51ab68986cdac72ca711a767

The account Amar jaan didn't even bothered to write Proof of Authentication for the bounty he enrolled. But he did use this same wallet address in other bounty.

Proof that he used in another bounty
The link to the spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iQ5Jr8HGaPluzpst-MZwiai34zAer_gIfFwt4C73GMk/edit#gid=882104557

Telegram Spreadsheet number: 658 as Amar jaan

Now this another account Moita22, he has been maintaining the account using another wallet address quite well. But he does bounty through the same twitter account.
Quote from: Moita22 on October 13, 2023, 07:43:23 AM
#PROOF OF REGISTRATION
Forum Username: Moita22
Forum Profile Link : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=3536285
Telegram Username: @moita4792
Participated Campaigns:Twitter,  Facebook. and telegram.
BEP-20 Wallet Addres:
0xc59eaC8ACF09c1F6C1e83F50356Dbd641a8bda17

Unfortunately he has already deleted his past tweets of working but I have link to spreadsheets which has same twitter account used.
1. Bethel: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14ZMc_M_D4GTxWVoq4lDEeO4QORfbGF15bnOJJbDW1Ew/edit#gid=858777928
Twitter Spreadsheet Number: 599 as Moita22
2. Ozone Chain: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iQ5Jr8HGaPluzpst-MZwiai34zAer_gIfFwt4C73GMk/edit#gid=969140224
Twitter Spreadsheet Number: 653 as Amar jaan


Reporting:

These alts have not been reported  by me because I donot have merit so it won't be showing any negative trust. Please higher rank senior report this.

Related Addresses:

Twitter Account: https://twitter.com/afruja317

Code:
0xb38c5537ac4543aa51ab68986cdac72ca711a767

Code:
0xc59eaC8ACF09c1F6C1e83F50356Dbd641a8bda17


Miscellaneous:
Bounty Registered
1. Bethel he has used Moita22 account
2. Ozone Chain he has used both Moita22 and Amar jaan account
3. Cogwise 2.0 he has used Price007 account

[arabspaceship123]

When I read posts like yours I'm disappointed. Possible bull season or FOMO isn't the reason ppl should invest in bitcoin. Just because halving's going to occur in 2024 doesn't mean now's the best time to invest in bitcoin. Investors shouldn't invest unless they've decided it's best for them so they should FOMO.

Bitcoin halving always occur in every 4 year cycle that makes the cryptocurrency market Bull Run session, which many alt-coins increased in price as Bitcoin been on uptrend in the trading platform. Therefore, now is the best time to invest Bitcoin before Bull Run market start, which is going to occur in 2024.

[Natasa77]

Accounts Connected: (Note: Banned shown in red / Inactive in Blue / Active profile (in ordinary link colour))

1. Kholol7
2. kukra2



Proof:

All these accounts use same wallet  Account to do bounty tasks.

PROOF OF REGISTRATION
Forum Username: kukra2
Forum Profile Link: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=3559795
Telegram Username: @kukra2
Twitter, Telegram, Discord, Tiktok
BSC Wallet : 0x8C98A41Aa5F117e9454E63dcf383deE7c688686C


The account kukra2 didn't even bothered to write Proof of Authentication for the bounty he enrolled. But he did use this same wallet address in other bounty.


Now this another account Kholol7, he has been maintaining the account using another wallet address quite well. But he does bounty through the same twitter account.
Quote from: Kholol7 on October 13, 2023, 07
PROOF OF REGISTRATION
Forum Username: Kholol7
Forum Profile Link: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=3533116
Telegram Username: @Jananatul44
BSC Wallet : 0x8C98A41Aa5F117e9454E63dcf383deE7c688686C




Reporting:

These alts have not been reported  by me because I donot have merit so it won't be showing any negative trust. Please higher rank senior report this.

Related Addresses:

Wallet  Account: connect

Code:
0x8C98A41Aa5F117e9454E63dcf383deE7c688686C

Code:
0x8C98A41Aa5F117e9454E63dcf383deE7c688686C


Miscellaneous:
Bounty Registered
1. Bethel he has used kukra2 account
2. Ozone Chain he has used both Kholol7 and kukra2 account connect

[boyptc]

I am believing that cycle and looking at the potential of how high Bitcoins price might be is exciting.

You see that curve for the fourth year where the bull run is going to happen? That is 6 digits that we are seeing that could potentially be reached.

Well, we also said the same words on 2021 but even with that, 2024 and 2025 could be the best years this cycle. I'd give it on 2025 but if bull run ticks in as early as 2024, why not?

[arabspaceship123]

I'll be happy if your $100k ATH happens in 2025. I've posted today in a different topic saying there isn't a guarantee halving's going to make ATH. We don't know if it's going to happen. FOMO's reaching boiling point in the forum. We're expecting bulls but it's like we're in a bullish period for weeks which didn't get going.

I am believing that cycle and looking at the potential of how high Bitcoins price might be is exciting.

You see that curve for the fourth year where the bull run is going to happen? That is 6 digits that we are seeing that could potentially be reached.

Well, we also said the same words on 2021 but even with that, 2024 and 2025 could be the best years this cycle. I'd give it on 2025 but if bull run ticks in as early as 2024, why not?

[boyptc]

I'll be happy if your $100k ATH happens in 2025. I've posted today in a different topic saying there isn't a guarantee halving's going to make ATH. We don't know if it's going to happen.

I am believing that cycle and looking at the potential of how high Bitcoins price might be is exciting.

You see that curve for the fourth year where the bull run is going to happen? That is 6 digits that we are seeing that could potentially be reached.

Well, we also said the same words on 2021 but even with that, 2024 and 2025 could be the best years this cycle. I'd give it on 2025 but if bull run ticks in as early as 2024, why not?

There is no guarantee but it's just the same that we might see the cycle happens again for 2024-2025. If you don't think that $100k won't be reached after the halving, that's fine.

How long you've been in the market? The experience and stay of someone can easily make ourselves believe on what's possible to happen.

FOMO's reaching boiling point in the forum.

And the market doesn't only revolve on the forum.

We're expecting bulls but it's like we're in a bullish period for weeks which didn't get going.

Because it's still early.