Are you confident betting on handicap for heavy favorites or heavy underdog?

[Japinat]

Let's say the handicap is -6.5 or more, which do you prefer to bet on, the favorites, or the underdog?

As we know, every gambler have different strategies in sports betting, they woudl stick to what they are comfortable with and that they think would give them a success in the long run, so this thread is some sort of a survey, maybe newbies or those who have been struggling to find the right strategy might benefit from this.

What can you share based on your experience as well, between the two, which one you have more wins and you find an effective method in your sports betting venture?

[Questat]

When I was new in sports betting I was so confident with betting on low spreads. IIRC, my limit that time was -3.5 and I love to take on the moneyline because I thought it could give a high percentage of winning, unfortunately it didn't work well as my bet usually wins but the odds I'm getting on favorites are very low, so in the long run I still lose money.

now, I feel like i have matured, I now see a high handicap like a trap, so I choose the favorites with high spread most of the time. Based on my observation (not really taking record) I am a bit ahead. 

[alastantiger]

I'll tell you . Whenever I look at my game and see that I have more bet on the favorites than the underdog, I know immediately that if I don't have a rethink I am going to lose. Over time betting on the underdogs is a crucial ingredient to winning. There was a club recently that beat Barcelona even though they ended up crashing out of the league. They were the underdogs and many people including myself would have bet on the favorites to win but they didn't. It happens in all sports and I learned the hard way to not underestimate the underdogs and over estimate the favorites.

[btc_angela]

Let's say the handicap is -6.5 or more, which do you prefer to bet on, the favorites, or the underdog?

As we know, every gambler have different strategies in sports betting, they woudl stick to what they are comfortable with and that they think would give them a success in the long run, so this thread is some sort of a survey, maybe newbies or those who have been struggling to find the right strategy might benefit from this.

What can you share based on your experience as well, between the two, which one you have more wins and you find an effective method in your sports betting venture?

It's really hard though, and you really need to take into account the underdog in this game and while the game has that kind of spread. So for me that's the first thing that I look and based on my analysis, if the favorite can cover that then I will go and bet on it.

For example today's game the Bucks vs Pistons. Pistons has been in the losing streak and if I'm not mistaken the handicap started at -10.5 or even higher. So you think why the spread is that big, and can the Bucks covered it? But if you carefully look at it, yes, there is a high chance that the Bucks can win in double figures and that's what they did today, as it was a complete massacre, 145-114. Same with the case of Sixers, who in the 3 to 4 games have had double handicap in the beginning, but they keep on covering it. Today they beat the Hornets, 135-82.

[stadus]

Let's say the handicap is -6.5 or more, which do you prefer to bet on, the favorites, or the underdog?

As we know, every gambler have different strategies in sports betting, they woudl stick to what they are comfortable with and that they think would give them a success in the long run, so this thread is some sort of a survey, maybe newbies or those who have been struggling to find the right strategy might benefit from this.

What can you share based on your experience as well, between the two, which one you have more wins and you find an effective method in your sports betting venture?

It's really hard though, and you really need to take into account the underdog in this game and while the game has that kind of spread. So for me that's the first thing that I look and based on my analysis, if the favorite can cover that then I will go and bet on it.

You need to have a confident with your bet as high spread can be seen is a "hard to cover" bet.
When a team is so good and usually win by a huge margin, bookies would also consider that in making the line, so everything is fair on both sides, it's now up to us if we still believe and would be hopefully they'll conver.

The point here is not whether they'll win or lose, it's if they could cover the spread.

For example today's game the Bucks vs Pistons. Pistons has been in the losing streak and if I'm not mistaken the handicap started at -10.5 or even higher. So you think why the spread is that big, and can the Bucks covered it? But if you carefully look at it, yes, there is a high chance that the Bucks can win in double figures and that's what they did today, as it was a complete massacre, 145-114. Same with the case of Sixers, who in the 3 to 4 games have had double handicap in the beginning, but they keep on covering it. Today they beat the Hornets, 135-82.

Both teams with high spread were able to cover the spread today.

Bucks was -16.5 against Pistons, and Sixers was -12 against Hornets, they (the favorites) covered it easily.

[Oshosondy]

I have not seen Handicap to be this high before, probably because I go for big leagues and the handicap that I have seen are not more than two goals down or two goals more. I do not like to go for handicap in football betting which is the sport betting that I gamble with most. I prefer to go for other ones like straight win or sometime I can go for first half win.

[cryptomaniac_xxx]

Let's say the handicap is -6.5 or more, which do you prefer to bet on, the favorites, or the underdog?

As we know, every gambler have different strategies in sports betting, they woudl stick to what they are comfortable with and that they think would give them a success in the long run, so this thread is some sort of a survey, maybe newbies or those who have been struggling to find the right strategy might benefit from this.

What can you share based on your experience as well, between the two, which one you have more wins and you find an effective method in your sports betting venture?

You need to have that confident to bet on that high spread in my opinion. And for sure for those handicappers, I will say that they know what they are doing, and most likely this is the spread that might end up winning 80% of the time.

Just like what someone shares about the NBA games that most of us are betting. Teams that are on top, usually get -6.5 as initial listing and this could go as high as -9.5 depending on the teams that they are going to face. So it's up to you whether you go with the initial line that this handicappers are going to put in the beginning. If you are not that confident then go on the other line, uses the +6.5 or even ML for the underdog.

[Viscore]

I have not seen Handicap to be this high before, probably because I go for big leagues and the handicap that I have seen are not more than two goals down or two goals more. I do not like to go for handicap in football betting which is the sport betting that I gamble with most. I prefer to go for other ones like straight win or sometime I can go for first half win.

OP hasn't mentioned the game he's referring to, however, I'm assuming he's betting unto basketball since he is very active in local and NBA threads. For football that's really high since even one goal it's hard to score, however, in basketball, that's easy since it's agame of run and players score 2 points for a single shot that is not beyond the arc.

Well... I guess I'm fine with high handicap, I mean on the favorite site because I think they are a heavy favorite for a reason, my only problem only is when I'm watching the game as if the game is close, the high handicap would unlikely to cover, and sometimes even if my team is ahead by many points, there's this big run that could happen anytime which would end up failing the favorite to cover despite the win.

[mirakal]

Not all the time though, most of the time maybe, because when it's a high spread on the favorites, it normally tells that they will likely win in the game. If we can get some statistics on that, we can see the real picture if it would work backing a high spread favorite all the time is effective.

Everyone of us here have different ways in analyzing a game, we may use the same tool or information but the outcome or interpretation could be different, so it's still up to a gambler's perspective.

Anyway, I suggest that you add a poll, maybe it's clearer if we could also vote just to see the percentages.

[Solosanz]

Nah, I'm avoid to bet on heavy favorite or heavy underdog because the heavy favorite doesn't give a worth return, while the heavy underdog seems not convincing to win.

I usually bet on lines where the odds is around @2.00 since it has more chance to win and the return is quite good. If I want to get huge odds, then I will bet on parlay for many matches hoping my 0.1% of luck will comes.

[AmoreJaz]

I have not seen Handicap to be this high before, probably because I go for big leagues and the handicap that I have seen are not more than two goals down or two goals more. I do not like to go for handicap in football betting which is the sport betting that I gamble with most. I prefer to go for other ones like straight win or sometime I can go for first half win.

OP hasn't mentioned the game he's referring to, however, I'm assuming he's betting unto basketball since he is very active in local and NBA threads. For football that's really high since even one goal it's hard to score, however, in basketball, that's easy since it's agame of run and players score 2 points for a single shot that is not beyond the arc.

Well... I guess I'm fine with high handicap, I mean on the favorite site because I think they are a heavy favorite for a reason, my only problem only is when I'm watching the game as if the game is close, the high handicap would unlikely to cover, and sometimes even if my team is ahead by many points, there's this big run that could happen anytime which would end up failing the favorite to cover despite the win.

i believe it is not football because that is indeed high. basketball is quite easy for such handicap number. in this case, you can't really have a concrete answer as there are several factors that i think you need to consider if you are betting on the underdog or the favourite ---
- the teams involved (how strong they are, you will have the gut feel about this if you are a long time follower of the sports)
- their current coach, venue, conditions of the main players
- their current performance

but if they are heavy favourite, for sure, there's a very good reason and so being the heavy underdog. very few can make an upset on this match. but anything is possible when it comes to the actual game, as there are other factors we are blind at

i guess, i can only answer this type of question in the actual game as i need to weigh my chances given the actual circumstances surrounding the game itself.

[Marvelman]

There's really no black and white answer for whether you oughta go with favorites or underdogs when you place a bet.  I mean sure, it's riskier to put your money on some huge underdog.  But hey, with bigger risk can come bigger rewards if you guess right. 

As for me, I don't have any set way I always bet.  Each game is different. So I gotta look into the teams playin', see how they been doin' lately.  Sometimes I'll throw a few bucks on an underdog, specially if it's my home team or something.  but usually I lean towards safer bets rather than some crazy longshot.

[Wexnident]

Let's say the handicap is -6.5 or more, which do you prefer to bet on, the favorites, or the underdog?

As we know, every gambler have different strategies in sports betting, they woudl stick to what they are comfortable with and that they think would give them a success in the long run, so this thread is some sort of a survey, maybe newbies or those who have been struggling to find the right strategy might benefit from this.

What can you share based on your experience as well, between the two, which one you have more wins and you find an effective method in your sports betting venture?

Depends I guess? I can favor the underdog if I actually know the team and their history but if not? Then the favorites 100%. That's just simple math imo. You can't exactly know what happens till it happens anyway, so you can only refer to known data and, well, in essence, the odds already are that data manifested in a summarized form so naturally you'd know or at least have some semblance of the difference between the two teams.


And from my experience, favorites naturally have a higher percentage of winning compared to underdogs. Based on profit though, I did win big twice on underdog bets but they're not as big compared to the over all total of my wins with favorites winning. If it was standalone then naturally underdogs win. Greater the risks greater the profit after all.

[TimeTeller]

Since this is more like a survey I can give my little experiences. I'm a newbie in sport betting I don't go to the underdogs, I only bet on my favorites, and the odds are not usually high so basically go to top leagues and place my bet.

I don't even know what the handicap and underdogs mean because I'm never interested on such I just focus on the tops leagues especially basketball and football hence I bet on straight winning or any side can win that where usually win. so since I'm always winning with that any side can strategy I just stick to it and keep it going.

The OP can create a poll if this is a survey so we can easily get a glance about the users' sentiments here.
But in any case, there's a reason why a certain team is a heavy favorite/underdog. And that is for you to gauge on.
I won't give my exact answer on this, because it depends on athletes involved and what sports we are talking about.
But if I am very familiar with the players involved and know about their capabilities, I think I will bet even if they are underdog.
I will just follow my instincts on this one depending on the given situation. So no ultimate answer here I believe.

[danherbias07]

Let's say the handicap is -6.5 or more, which do you prefer to bet on, the favorites, or the underdog?

As we know, every gambler have different strategies in sports betting, they woudl stick to what they are comfortable with and that they think would give them a success in the long run, so this thread is some sort of a survey, maybe newbies or those who have been struggling to find the right strategy might benefit from this.

What can you share based on your experience as well, between the two, which one you have more wins and you find an effective method in your sports betting venture?

It depends.
Most of the time I will take the favorite at -6.5 but first I would take a bit of effort to look at the history of the opponent if they have games where they upset favorites or they can fight a close game. I mean, I know teams who can really cover those kinds of spreads but when both teams that will play are average teams that can swing the pace and make some good runs then I'd rather pick the +6.5.
This is actually the amount where I doubt myself and my instincts also tell me that I should just take a pass. I'd take a -10.5 for a popular strong team, I'd also take a -3.5 for a close battle but when it comes to -6.5 it's in that section of a trap-looking bet or a chance it won't cover by a point.
Well, it's a good thing that there are many options in sports bookies. You could just try to adjust it if you want or if you are certain they will win in a blowout then take the higher spreads for better profits.

[Yatsan]

I'll tell you . Whenever I look at my game and see that I have more bet on the favorites than the underdog, I know immediately that if I don't have a rethink I am going to lose. Over time betting on the underdogs is a crucial ingredient to winning. There was a club recently that beat Barcelona even though they ended up crashing out of the league. They were the underdogs and many people including myself would have bet on the favorites to win but they didn't. It happens in all sports and I learned the hard way to not underestimate the underdogs and over estimate the favorites.

Betting on the underdog will give you bigger profit but with bigger risk as well. On the other hand, crowd favorite does not guarantee winning so better manage your funds well and avoid going all out. Just make a bet; no one could tell other than the result. I say depend on your analysis and not with the pulse of majority in order to avoid regrets no matter the outcome is at the same time it is where we would be confident of.

Since this is more like a survey I can give my little experiences. I'm a newbie in sport betting I don't go to the underdogs, I only bet on my favorites, and the odds are not usually high so basically go to top leagues and place my bet.

I don't even know what the handicap and underdogs mean because I'm never interested on such I just focus on the tops leagues especially basketball and football hence I bet on straight winning or any side can win that where usually win. so since I'm always winning with that any side can strategy I just stick to it and keep it going.

For sure we all have that experience.Most of the time I am going with my favorite as well simply because I'm betting for excitement and no longer solely for profit. Quite silly to think that when you are having gut feelingof winning big, that is the time you are losing. So I'll say just enjoy it.

[slapper]

I've always liked backing the underdog. Yes, the underdog story attracts us, not simply the increased odds. My experience is that research (team chemistry, player situations, even weather) is significant. Underdog bets are riskier but may result in surprising financial and emotional gains! Value is found where others see risk. However, don't ignore the favorites. Consistency, strength, and possibly a good record make them favorites. Their odds, especially with a large handicap, may appear safe, but timing and context matter. Whatever the underdog's grit or the favorite's skills, enjoy the game responsibly. Sports betting's real winner knows when to play and when to stop. So, let's choose wisely and enjoy the bet

[Hirose UK]

Let's say the handicap is -6.5 or more, which do you prefer to bet on, the favorites, or the underdog?

If the handicap is -6.5 then it depends on how the opponents of the team with the handicap -6.5 develop, because in matches especially football, which is the most popular sport, it will be very risky with handicap of -6.5 and I would prefer another option.
But with this handicap, the Odds you get will also be large, but it will be worth the risk you can accept and of course the betting strategy between types of sports will also be different for each gambler.
It just that for my betting strategy, I rarely use handicaps and prefer more certain results.

What can you share based on your experience as well, between the two, which one you have more wins and you find an effective method in your sports betting venture?

Very rarely in my betting experience do I use handicaps and usually I tend to bet on favorite teams and bet on certain outcomes such as victory or predicted scores for the match.
Moreover, winning in betting if I choose more certain result has given me more wins even though it is only with fairly low odd.
If the favorite is much better in terms of quality and performance then handicap betting strategy for the favorite is the best choice rather than betting on the underdog.

[samcrypto]

This is a huge spread and it's hard to actually see this kind of odds. Well the heavy favorites can give you a profit but its not that much and of course the heavy underdog also have no guarantee to take the win and this is why I'm not dealing with such odds and I'd rather wait for a good match with a small spread. It is indeed that we all have different strategy and different approach in sports betting, I usually focus on my own and will adjust accordingly.

[pawanjain]

Let's say the handicap is -6.5 or more, which do you prefer to bet on, the favorites, or the underdog?

As we know, every gambler have different strategies in sports betting, they woudl stick to what they are comfortable with and that they think would give them a success in the long run, so this thread is some sort of a survey, maybe newbies or those who have been struggling to find the right strategy might benefit from this.

What can you share based on your experience as well, between the two, which one you have more wins and you find an effective method in your sports betting venture?

I mostly bet on my favorites because I feel confident that they will win the game. After all, it's the confidence that we need to strike a win.
Betting on underdogs has been a good strategy too especially what we saw in Fifa where few underdogs won against the odds.
In such scenarios, it feels really nice when we win the bets on underdogs but the other times it's just an obvious loss.
Also, when the favorites win it makes us overwhelmed and even if they lose then we think that at least they tried.
So from that perspective, it's better betting on favorites.