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Author Topic: What are we expecting between now and Bitcoin halving?  (Read 611 times)
lizarder
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December 29, 2023, 02:19:57 PM
 #81

I am just wondering what we are all expecting between now and the Bitcoin halving in April next year. Is it going to be a steady climb till then or is there usually a crash of some kind?
I have never seen stability in the price of bitcoin because of the price fluctuation process and we can never guarantee the rise and fall of the price of bitcoin. I still see a correction or recovery process before it reaches the halving and maybe that's how Bitcoin performs at any time in the market.

Up until now I have just been buying throughout the bear market and not sold anything , my portfolio is currently 26% in profit which I am happy with but wondering if I should keep holding till past the bull run or take some profits now.  
If you intend to achieve maximum profits then holding in the long term until the next ATH is the most appropriate way. But if the concept is to make a profit, then when the buying price is above the selling price, there is no harm in letting go. It depends on your investment concept and how you try to use Bitcoin to generate maximum profits. For me, holding in the long term while accumulating other amounts is an option because when there are more bitcoins it will be quite profitable to sell at the next ATH.

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December 29, 2023, 03:07:00 PM
 #82

No one can tell you exactly what will happen between now till halving by next year. But with all indications, there’s going to be a major change in the market that will either make people excited for a while or for a whole. With that in mind, just expect anything to happen and be ready to face the market changes.
Everyone will probably always be ready for a big change in the market if it is a change that is good enough for everyone, but if the change could be worse, I don't think everyone will be ready to face it. Just because the indications are getting clearer that there is a Bitcoin halving moment that will occur next year, of course the changes will be more for the good so I am starting to have confidence that everyone can be prepared enough to see that big change.

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Waiting till after halving before you sell your hodling is better but waiting till after bull run is the best. You just need to make up your mind as you’ve been doing till date that you won’t touch your funds for any reason and will accumulate more until the bull run so that you can benefit and gain plenty profit at bull run.
I also think that waiting for the bullrun would be much better than waiting for the Bitcoin halving moment, because the bullrun could happen after the Bitcoin halving moment. So the market bullrun is an important point to wait for apart from the impacts that can cause the bullrun to occur, although in general everyone needs to wait for anything so that they have sufficient readiness to wait for the point that is considered more important.
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December 29, 2023, 03:40:11 PM
 #83

I don’t think we can base our predictions on past cycles because just before previous halvings, we did not have a potential Bitcoin Spot ETF approval. This time we have a high potential to see a bunch of Bitcoin Spot ETF’s approved by the SEC. That would be huge for Bitcoin & I would assume we would pump hard on the news. To summarise:

ETF approval - pump hard
ETF rejection - dump

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December 29, 2023, 09:24:09 PM
 #84

I don’t think we can base our predictions on past cycles because just before previous halvings, we did not have a potential Bitcoin Spot ETF approval. This time we have a high potential to see a bunch of Bitcoin Spot ETF’s approved by the SEC. That would be huge for Bitcoin & I would assume we would pump hard on the news. To summarise:

ETF approval - pump hard
ETF rejection - dump
ETF situation can have an impact on the selling and buying momentum but I couldn't expect people to be reliant on this because what I think is that they after the halving event which drags them to invest. In fact, there is no clear update about ETF's approval and I know that many are aware of the situation but as we look at the price trend, it keeps moving high which means that the demand increasing. Well, we can't stop people from making predictions based on the previous halving because the current situation is even close to it where the price is pumping and that is what also happened in the past.



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December 29, 2023, 09:46:43 PM
 #85

To be honest, I except that Bitcoin will reach net ATH and will probably go up to 100K USD per coin before Bitcoin halving because this is such a massive rise in such a short time once people heard about Bitcoin ETFs and Blackrocks interest into it that once ETFs get green light in two weeks, Bitcoin will crash the 100K price within some days. But it's interesting to think what will happen after Bitcoin halving because if the price is so high that miners profit with block rewards + fees, then there simply will not be a need of further increase and if anything, price will completely be driven by the hype instead of halving.

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December 30, 2023, 03:45:53 AM
 #86

I don’t think we can base our predictions on past cycles because just before previous halvings, we did not have a potential Bitcoin Spot ETF approval. This time we have a high potential to see a bunch of Bitcoin Spot ETF’s approved by the SEC. That would be huge for Bitcoin & I would assume we would pump hard on the news. To summarise:

ETF approval - pump hard
ETF rejection - dump
Though predictions shouldn't be solely based on past cycles, they do have a lot of influence on price movements. Current or upcoming news and events can surely have either a negative or a positive impact on the market but I believe that the market has become a bit mature now and bad news doesn't affect the prices that much anymore when compared to times in the past when people or retail investors used to panic a lot after hearing a piece of bad news.

So, I think the market will pump hard if the ETFs get approved, however, there won't be a very big pump if they get rejected because the market is optimistic about the upcoming bull run and people will be busy filling their bags and portfolios with their favourite cryptocurrencies so that they are all packed when the bull run arrives.

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December 30, 2023, 04:14:16 AM
 #87

Am expecting the good, the bad and the ugly but however ETF approval will be a very big milestone achievement towards the enhancement of Bitcoin price pump, so I'm optimistic that the ETF will get real and I'll take a new dimension in Bitcoin because we all know how the bull market will look like.

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December 30, 2023, 08:56:33 AM
 #88

I'm waiting for the ETF. I believe that BTC will pump there a lot, not sure about hitting a new ATH. But I'm not planning to sell it yet anyway.
I advice you take some profit after the ETF approval, it's possible that Bitcoin will rise up to 60k after the ETF approval but a correction is sure to happen after, there isn't anything wrong taking profit and after a correction you can buy back some Bitcoin.

Like I have said few times already, if Black Rock plan to crash the market it could be that they have a plan after the ETF approval, but even if the ETF isn't expected Bitcoin will still correct itself before the Halving, so this is unavoidable.

Have your profit taking strategy in place, you can't lose out if you take profit.
I can see them as a save point, just like when we play a video game. It would have been better if they have precise dates but it seems not possible for the both of them (ETF and halving). ETF is a long-awaited event so I think $60k is small for it and I'm sure many people are going to continue hodling because $60k is still our previous ATH. You know, they aren't really surprised with it anymore.

Correction is already expected but it's not alarming as the price will just recover easily after it, especially since there is also a halving. But that is if ETF will be approved first. Black Rock is like any other institution and their main reason for crashing the market is to cause a panic and once the price dips more, they will start buying in larger quantities.

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December 30, 2023, 01:21:19 PM
 #89

Up until now I have just been buying throughout the bear market and not sold anything , my portfolio is currently 26% in profit which I am happy with but wondering if I should keep holding till past the bull run or take some profits now.
We all know there are interesting things when ATH happens to Bitcoin, maybe we can see that currently various speculations have been predicted by many experts, of course this can happen or not, speculation does not guarantee that something will happen.

But even though there is various speculation, of course we can see from the experience that has occurred with Bitcoin from time to time, it has been proven that developments and changes in terms of prices have increased, maybe I will do the same thing, I will maintain as much as I can waiting for the new ATH against Bitcoin to occur.

Even though currently the price of Bitcoin is not showing seriousness, I still stick to my principles for Bitcoin in the future, hoping that there will be changes from what happened several years ago.

R


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December 30, 2023, 01:51:09 PM
 #90

I don’t think we can base our predictions on past cycles because just before previous halvings, we did not have a potential Bitcoin Spot ETF approval. This time we have a high potential to see a bunch of Bitcoin Spot ETF’s approved by the SEC. That would be huge for Bitcoin & I would assume we would pump hard on the news. To summarise:

ETF approval - pump hard
ETF rejection - dump

True, ETF approval = Billions of $ will pump the BTC price really high.
But, ETF rejection = we might see the price below $30k again and another delayed = BTC price might hang around between $35k to $43K for while.

I dont want to ruin the party but they might postponed the decision again because of the same reasons: market manipulation concerns, investor protection, and market stability.

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December 30, 2023, 02:16:11 PM
 #91

I don’t think we can base our predictions on past cycles because just before previous halvings, we did not have a potential Bitcoin Spot ETF approval. This time we have a high potential to see a bunch of Bitcoin Spot ETF’s approved by the SEC. That would be huge for Bitcoin & I would assume we would pump hard on the news. To summarise:

ETF approval - pump hard
ETF rejection - dump
I think you have the wrong expectations. It seems to me that once the ETF is approved, it's going to be a dump. The market remembers a similar situation in 2017, when everyone was waiting for the futures ETFs to be approved. There was also a pump up before the event, after which there was a bearish season for a few years. It seems to me that something similar may happen now.

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December 30, 2023, 06:36:51 PM
 #92

I don’t think we can base our predictions on past cycles because just before previous halvings, we did not have a potential Bitcoin Spot ETF approval. This time we have a high potential to see a bunch of Bitcoin Spot ETF’s approved by the SEC. That would be huge for Bitcoin & I would assume we would pump hard on the news. To summarise:

ETF approval - pump hard
ETF rejection - dump
I think you have the wrong expectations. It seems to me that once the ETF is approved, it's going to be a dump. The market remembers a similar situation in 2017, when everyone was waiting for the futures ETFs to be approved. There was also a pump up before the event, after which there was a bearish season for a few years. It seems to me that something similar may happen now.
Buy the rumor, Sell the news? This had been always the main line for those people who are having already the experience when it comes to fundamentals on which people would really be sticking into this sentiment
and this is why its not really that shocking that they will really be presuming that this might likely the thing that could happen on this upcoming ETF approval. We dont really even know that it would be approved nor would really be rejected once again on which we know that this market could really be having those unexpected u-turn of events on which not everyone is really that expecting or anticipating for it to happen.
Now that we are really that fast approaching in the halving event of Bitcoin, i do really expect that there would really be that last dump before we do shoot up.

ETF news then this is where most eyes is really that focusing on. For approval i would definitely say that there would really be that shooting up its price into the roof or might trigger those pumps but i would
say that it could really be just that temporal on which everything before halving event can be considered pre-pumps? No one really knows. This is why its really that hard
on making yourself taking up decisions specially on an unpredictable space where everything could possibly turn upside down.

R


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December 30, 2023, 07:26:22 PM
 #93

Quote from: Richbased
Am expecting the good, the bad and the ugly but however ETF approval will be a very big milestone achievement towards the enhancement of Bitcoin price pump, so I'm optimistic that the ETF will get real and I'll take a new dimension in Bitcoin because we all know how the bull market will look like.
The bear run has helped many to plan well by using the opportunity to buy some potential coins that will make them to forget some of the stress they went through over some years. Now that it remain few days to the end of 2023, I don't think the price will still reach $50 because is taking a long time to increase above $42k and, is making some investors to feel bad based on some of the things they wish to establish in this month of december when the BTC price increase.

No doubt that next year will be more beautiful than this year which many BTC experts has confirmed it to investors that the price will reach $80k before the end of next year and it will make long team and short term hodlers to make more money.


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January 01, 2024, 04:59:06 AM
 #94

First bull run coming up for me and after seeing the price of Bitcoin rally in the last few months particularly it is getting me somewhat excited for what is to come over the next few years.
congrats for your first Bull run mate hope this will not be your only bullrun
because we will be having more in the coming years.
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I am just wondering what we are all expecting between now and the Bitcoin halving in April next year. Is it going to be a steady climb till then or is there usually a crash of some kind?
normally there is a dumping when halving is coming and until it comes ,
mostly the bull happens after couple of months or at least before the year ends.
Quote
Up until now I have just been buying throughout the bear market and not sold anything , my portfolio is currently 26% in profit which I am happy with but wondering if I should keep holding till past the bull run or take some profits now.
good strategy, continue buying and never sell anything until next year at least December.

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