Airdrops speculations thread

[$crypto$]

Looks like the guys at Monad should have made it really clear that the testnet is not incentivized.  Lots of people are hating on Monad not after being so loved up until a lot of people found out that they're not eligible. 

As for me, I hope this airdrop cooks!  I need me another stimmy.  Lolol.

Actually, if I'm not mistaken, at the beginning, Monad said that there were no incentives for the testnet, but the community still expected more because the rewards were unclear and the criteria were not specified.

Now that there is an announcement on the claim portal that does not explain that there are no incentives for the testnet, the community will hate this project.

Will Binance Alpha get a share of the airdrop?

[tokeweed]

^  Be careful if you think the people on Twitter who are hating on the project are really 'the community'.  All I'm seeing is sybils, farmers and other kinds of people who will dump their airdrop the moment they receive it.  They don't care about Monad or crypto.  They're here to make money, that's it.  And a lot of those guys don't even know a thing or two about Bitcoin, Monero and their history.  They never bothered to learn and they know mostly nothing.

I don't care on what they have to say.  So fck them.

[asriloni]

Too much spammers on tesnet with the hope to get airdrop for free. Meanwhile, in fact, airdrop meta is changing a lot. The dev valued more who contributed with the real money, and not only doing thousands of tx with the bots.

That's may be the reason my walletthat often interacted in euler became eligible. I have also aligible wallet that came from participated in Echo sale as well.

It seems this is the end of tesnet.

Anyway, do you participate in the latest campaign conducted by Ink?

Looks like the guys at Monad should have made it really clear that the testnet is not incentivized.  Lots of people are hating on Monad not after being so loved up until a lot of people found out that they're not eligible. 

As for me, I hope this airdrop cooks!  I need me another stimmy.  Lolol.

I saw that a monad moderator confirmed tesnet was in incentivized a few months ago. However, airdroppers logic are so weird. They think when admin or team confirmed if it's not incentivized = incentivized. So they're speculating it with their expectation and their own expectation are killing them.

[tokeweed]

^  Lmao...  They thought the team was bluffing and trying to stop them from participating in the testnet?    I mean I had hopes that it would incentivized but I wouldn't be disappointed and hate on the team if it really wasn't.

And you guys know which L1 had an incentivized testnet?  Berachain...  Go look at the BERA chart.  That's mostly all sybils pushing the price down from top to bottom.

Anyway, feel free to discuss about Monad's price in here...  I heard that their top tier airdrop could be worth at least 100k USD.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5562954.0

[$crypto$]

There have been rumors that Polymarket will launch the $POLY token and Polymarket's CMO has confirmed it in several X videos. 

Are you sure about this? Or will you bet on it to get as many points or volume as possible to get the allocation later?
I still don't have clear information --- but it looks like it could be valid.

[Volgastallion]

There have been rumors that Polymarket will launch the $POLY token and Polymarket's CMO has confirmed it in several X videos. 

Are you sure about this? Or will you bet on it to get as many points or volume as possible to get the allocation later?
I still don't have clear information --- but it looks like it could be valid.

Thanks for bringing it here, if i dont remember bad i ask this in the past.

It can be a good chance for people like us involved on betting, but i dont see so much people from crypto(big ones) supporting the rumours so i dont know.

[$crypto$]

It can be a good chance for people like us involved on betting, but i dont see so much people from crypto(big ones) supporting the rumours so i dont know.

But betting at Polymarket is different from betting at casinos in general, so I myself am not familiar with Polymarket but hearing this rumor there is a possibility of trying to bet there.

This is just a rumor while some of the other articles have not yet revealed it, so just wait for other news.

[asriloni]

There have been rumors that Polymarket will launch the $POLY token and Polymarket's CMO has confirmed it in several X videos. 

Are you sure about this? Or will you bet on it to get as many points or volume as possible to get the allocation later?
I still don't have clear information --- but it looks like it could be valid.

The calculation most probably will be based on TVL x PNL. As far as i know the more volume and positive PNL you get, the more score you deserve. It's pretty similar to the Limitless airdrop, which was putting TVL and PNL as the main benchmark to determine how much airdrop you will receive.

FYI, Limitless is also a prediction market similar as Polymarket, but it's on Base L2. So i think the similarity of the requirements to be eligilbe for the Poly airdrop.

[Volgastallion]

It can be a good chance for people like us involved on betting, but i dont see so much people from crypto(big ones) supporting the rumours so i dont know.

But betting at Polymarket is different from betting at casinos in general, so I myself am not familiar with Polymarket but hearing this rumor there is a possibility of trying to bet there.

This is just a rumor while some of the other articles have not yet revealed it, so just wait for other news.

Well that is one of my biggest doubt, i dont get how the polymarket really works, i mean you always need a counterpart to put your "bet" right?

And the deep of the market can be super thin right?

[$crypto$]

The calculation most probably will be based on TVL x PNL. As far as i know the more volume and positive PNL you get, the more score you deserve. It's pretty similar to the Limitless airdrop, which was putting TVL and PNL as the main benchmark to determine how much airdrop you will receive.

FYI, Limitless is also a prediction market similar as Polymarket, but it's on Base L2. So i think the similarity of the requirements to be eligilbe for the Poly airdrop.

It is likely that it will not be much different as PnL x TVL is the benchmark and it seems that this will be a new hype with the prediction betting market --- not only Polymarket and Limitless but there is another OPINION with Backed by
@yzilabs who has CZ also developed a betting market project.
https://x.com/opinionlabsxyz
But OPINION to enter you have to enter the invite CODE first.

Well that is one of my biggest doubt, i dont get how the polymarket really works, i mean you always need a counterpart to put your "bet" right?

Never tried the betting market, and don't know how to choose the odds.
I have to try it.

[MArsland]

But betting at Polymarket is different from betting at casinos in general, so I myself am not familiar with Polymarket but hearing this rumor there is a possibility of trying to bet there.

This is just a rumor while some of the other articles have not yet revealed it, so just wait for other news.

Well that is one of my biggest doubt, i dont get how the polymarket really works, i mean you always need a counterpart to put your "bet" right?

And the deep of the market can be super thin right?

As far as I know, Polymarket is more of a prediction market. Try to visit their site whether when betting there are only 2 choices only? for example Yes or No. Because if it is true only 2 choices the chances are quite reasonable 50:50 right?
Imao the way Polymarket works is quite easy to understand compared to other types of bets such as sports which have many options such as 1×2, handicap, over/under, score, parlay, etc.

[$crypto$]

As far as I know, Polymarket is more of a prediction market. Try to visit their site whether when betting there are only 2 choices only? for example Yes or No. Because if it is true only 2 choices the chances are quite reasonable 50:50 right?
Imao the way Polymarket works is quite easy to understand compared to other types of bets such as sports which have many options such as 1×2, handicap, over/under, score, parlay, etc.

Yep it's just a YES or NO choice still it's a less interesting prediction market but it's a hype betting market because they are free to bet whatever they want.

I see in some X narratives about Polymarket, Kalshi and other prediction markets there might be tokens that will be launched this is just speculation becoming a strong narrative now.

[asriloni]

The calculation most probably will be based on TVL x PNL. As far as i know the more volume and positive PNL you get, the more score you deserve. It's pretty similar to the Limitless airdrop, which was putting TVL and PNL as the main benchmark to determine how much airdrop you will receive.

FYI, Limitless is also a prediction market similar as Polymarket, but it's on Base L2. So i think the similarity of the requirements to be eligilbe for the Poly airdrop.

It is likely that it will not be much different as PnL x TVL is the benchmark and it seems that this will be a new hype with the prediction betting market --- not only Polymarket and Limitless but there is another OPINION with Backed by
@yzilabs who has CZ also developed a betting market project.
https://x.com/opinionlabsxyz
But OPINION to enter you have to enter the invite CODE first.

I know that Opinion is still in the beta, which only available for the people who have the code. However, it's only matter of time until they will launch their public access. This is same as lighter when it was in the mainnet BETA, the only people with the code who could enter it, but it's now open for public.

There are still enough time to get good vol and pnl. don't rush it.

[MArsland]

I see in some X narratives about Polymarket, Kalshi and other prediction markets there might be tokens that will be launched this is just speculation becoming a strong narrative now.

You should also add Myriad Markets to your list of prediction markets as they are also quite good and part of the Abstract ecosystem which will also be releasing its token soon. It is possible that active users on Myriad Markets will be eligible for allocations.

[$crypto$]

I see in some X narratives about Polymarket, Kalshi and other prediction markets there might be tokens that will be launched this is just speculation becoming a strong narrative now.

You should also add Myriad Markets to your list of prediction markets as they are also quite good and part of the Abstract ecosystem which will also be releasing its token soon. It is possible that active users on Myriad Markets will be eligible for allocations.

Noted

It will be put on the waiting list to see and do your own research on the prediction market “Myriad Markets” because there are many prediction markets that will give free tokens.

There are still enough time to get good vol and pnl. don't rush it.

I will not play much on the platform because I have limited money. Lol
Will choose which one I think has diamonds in it. haha

[tokeweed]

How's your Monad airdrop guys?  For what it is and for the effort and how anticipated it was, I'd say that it wasn't bad but it wasn't good either.  It was kinda disappointing tbh.  Lol.  But all in all what could we do.  They gave those influential guys on Twitter way too much compared to the guys who tried to he a part of their community.

I think it's gonna work against them as the disgruntled folks in their community will sell their airdrop as they're not satisfied and the guys who got a big airdrop just for being influencers will prolly take it for granted and sell most of their airdrop.

[$crypto$]

How's your Monad airdrop guys?  For what it is and for the effort and how anticipated it was, I'd say that it wasn't bad but it wasn't good either.  It was kinda disappointing tbh.  Lol.  But all in all what could we do.  They gave those influential guys on Twitter way too much compared to the guys who tried to he a part of their community.

I think it's gonna work against them as the disgruntled folks in their community will sell their airdrop as they're not satisfied and the guys who got a big airdrop just for being influencers will prolly take it for granted and sell most of their airdrop.

Damn I didn't meet the eligibility. 

I see a lot of Twitter influencers get allocated a lot and that's a golden ticket right? Hmm apparently just this kind of capital they get more and keep raving on twitter about monads.

Now we realize we have to pivot to become famous on twitter to become a prioritized community.

[tokeweed]

^  It looks like the guys at Monad may have made a mistake giving the influencers and KOLs at CT millions of MON tokens each instead of giving them to their loyal community who were active in their Discord server.

Now that these guys got their huge airdrop, they've started to tweet stuff like this...

https://x.com/cbb0fe/status/1984234267187257710

https://x.com/kookcapitalllc/status/1984294046295077289

What a fcked up way to to react after being given a possible 6 figure airdrop.  And I'm here who risk real money staking tokens of some of the supposed to be Monad aligned protocols and got nothing for staking them.  Lmao.  Instead I got some tokens for using HL and for holding Hypurr NFT.

And pretty sure HL users will dump their airdrop too as they hate Monad from what I noticed in Discord.

[Odusko]

^  Be careful if you think the people on Twitter who are hating on the project are really 'the community'.  All I'm seeing is sybils, farmers and other kinds of people who will dump their airdrop the moment they receive it.  They don't care about Monad or crypto.  They're here to make money, that's it.  And a lot of those guys don't even know a thing or two about Bitcoin, Monero and their history.  They never bothered to learn and they know mostly nothing.

I don't care on what they have to say.  So fck them.

In fact have zero trust for what anyone say regardless of their position innthe project, everyone is holding and waiting for the tokens to get to exchange and their get it dump on the market for cheap price, no airdrops hunters is actually a true long term holders of such coins, most are just in for a short term gains from those projects, this is why we need to put in efforts to discover what the stands of people are in projects they are promoting.

[tokeweed]

^  It depends on the project.  I think Hyperliquid and Monad are keepers.  But would I hold them all throughout downtrends?  No, I sell some and buy the token back at a lower price.  I've been here long enough to know not to get married to your bags. 

But both Monad and Hyperliquid are good projects.  Another one that prolly deserves some attention is Pump Fun as it accrues revenue used to buy back the token like Hyperliquid.  They prolly should automate it tho.