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Author Topic: Betting on underdog by choosing a favorite spread to increase the odds.  (Read 313 times)
danherbias07
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January 04, 2024, 11:55:20 AM
 #21

I'll take the money line instead.
+2.5 is not that high although sometimes it can make the difference. But I will not put more risk in taking the -2.5. If there's a chance that the game will be close then I think I will be safer with just the money line.
But if they are offering +4.5 or +5.5 at a good price then I might pick those. Milwaukee Bucks is a tough team considering Giannis Antetokounmpo can score anytime he likes with those big muscles of him and his reach advantage. Then there's Damian Lillard who could become a big threat if he gets hot.
About the picks, I guess it depends on a gambler if he is more of a high-risk taker or one who loves to play it safe. Less profits but the chances to win are higher.

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January 04, 2024, 11:57:11 AM
 #22

I keep doing this all the time when I know the odds are really good we call this YOLO betting the meaning of it is you only live once, so you take a risk with the higher odds of course before doing this I know the potential of the team will play on this match, of course with the higher odds you can bet a small amount and being dependent on it, unlike with the potential winner of the game even you bet a large amount just a small percentage of return, sports game is one of the unpredictable game because of the will of the player or the team any thing can happen and make the table turns in just one mistake.

My definition of YOLO is different, it doesn't based on the odds but on the amount of money you bet. It's more like "all in" for me, and yes YOLO means "you only live once", so enjoy and problem go all in. Betting on original underdog team and make them a favorite, you'll getting more than 2.00 but less than 3.00, so not that much of a risk since underdogs though also win in games, just choose wisely.

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January 04, 2024, 12:03:52 PM
 #23

Does anyone here do the same?

For example, let's say there's a game tomorrow between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers. The original betting spread is Indiana +2.5 vs Milwaukee -2.5. Let's assume their respective spreads have odds of 1.90, and you believe the underdog will win. Are you willing to bet on Indiana as favorites?

By saying favorites, I mean would you choose Indiana -2.5 with 2.50 odds, a little higher than the moneyline odds which is 2.23.

Yes would choose to bet on underdog especially if I know that the team is really doing well so most provably I will go bet on them. And in case of Indiana Pacers they have great chance to win since this young guys lead by Haliburton is doing good this season and have a chance to defeat those top teams on the league. Also its not rare situation that underdog team beat those strong team and their bettors is lucky enough to get a huge win for trusting their bets.

Milwaukee Bucks is strong team but sometimes they are not prone to losing that's why its good to gamble with that since it adds the exciting while watching this type of game especially you know that your team is way behind.

R


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January 04, 2024, 12:15:09 PM
 #24

It turns out Pacers at -2.5 @2.50 was a good bet as they dominated the Bucks and winning by double digits but that's in hindsight now. I still would not pick that position if presented with the same scenario. To bet on the underdog while giving the opponent an additional advantage with minimal change in odds isn't worth it. Maybe I'll consider if the lines were like @2.23 for ML and the underdog -2.50 is @4.

R


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January 04, 2024, 12:22:36 PM
 #25

Do the odds really matter in betting? I may not and I don't weigh that much as a bettor, I'd choose the team that likely wins the game, it doesn't matter to me if the odds are high or low as I still vouch for the team I like the most. Or maybe I'm wrong but this is what I did for my best otherwise, I have to experiment with another strategy.

But yeah, doesn't all the time we win, losses still happen. However, I don't think it was regrettable in the sense that I enjoy watching the game and betting at the same time on my favorite team.

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January 04, 2024, 12:56:24 PM
 #26

It relies upon the matches bud. Yesterday I lost the -4.5 handicap with only 1.50x on the Milwaukee Bucks. Because the Bucks are playing in their stadium, I had no idea I would lose that wager.

The Bucks will want their vengeance, but if they can win, it will not be easy. In their return match at Indiana, I anticipate the Pacers to become even better with their fans cheering on them. The Milwaukee Bucks stay the favorite choice because they are consistently on top of the league but in this particular match, I am placing a bet on the -2.50 with a 2.50x odds on the Pacers.

Some of us foreseen this, the Pacers made a repeat in the match with the Milwaukee Bucks in their home arena in Indiana. Individuals who followed it made money. It is Tyrese Haliburton again, driving his team in a wild scoring third quarter and the Bucks could not overcome the lead.

Regardless, because I made the same wager, a -2.5 on the Oklahoma City Thunder in the match with the Atlanta Hawks, my profit became small. some of it is luck. Maybe it is luck. Anyhow, every time we go further with a deduction on the score of the team we are waging, there is a risk on it. Waging on modest odds is more secure but it depends on how we deal with our risk management.

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January 04, 2024, 01:26:31 PM
 #27

Does anyone here do the same?

For example, let's say there's a game tomorrow between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers. The original betting spread is Indiana +2.5 vs Milwaukee -2.5. Let's assume their respective spreads have odds of 1.90, and you believe the underdog will win. Are you willing to bet on Indiana as favorites?

By saying favorites, I mean would you choose Indiana -2.5 with 2.50 odds, a little higher than the moneyline odds which is 2.23.

Yes would choose to bet on underdog especially if I know that the team is really doing well so most provably I will go bet on them. And in case of Indiana Pacers they have great chance to win since this young guys lead by Haliburton is doing good this season and have a chance to defeat those top teams on the league. Also its not rare situation that underdog team beat those strong team and their bettors is lucky enough to get a huge win for trusting their bets.

Milwaukee Bucks is strong team but sometimes they are not prone to losing that's why its good to gamble with that since it adds the exciting while watching this type of game especially you know that your team is way behind.
Sometimes our guts and inner voices would really be telling deep inside that it is considerable to take some bets on the underdog but of course you cant really just that trust up that gut feeling on which the next thing you would do is to make up some research before you would really be able to finalize whether you should proceed on making some bet or would really be considering on betting on underdog. It would really be always that
depending into your own choice since not all would really be having on the same mindset when it comes to choices specially if their guts been telling them to do so.
We arent that dumb on not to see those odds differences on which it isnt really shocking that people would really be that always loving on sticking into the money line.
When it comes on having that confidence then we do surely be loving on sticking into those who are favorites.

It is really just that there are really indeed moments that we do really feel like to make out some bets into those underdogs because of having that feeling or even having that sudden analysis.
Results would neither be that positive or negative but at least it wont really be leaving out some regrets if you do follow the bet that you are preferring into.

R


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January 05, 2024, 02:30:58 AM
 #28

It turns out Pacers at -2.5 @2.50 was a good bet as they dominated the Bucks and winning by double digits but that's in hindsight now. I still would not pick that position if presented with the same scenario. To bet on the underdog while giving the opponent an additional advantage with minimal change in odds isn't worth it. Maybe I'll consider if the lines were like @2.23 for ML and the underdog -2.50 is @4.
You will get the ML odds but you won't get the -2.5 @4. That is now how bookmakers make the betting odds, they don't make one to give us the advantage, it's always on the betting sites so they will not be abuse. And yeah, it turns out it was a great bet, this happen sometimes in the NBA but if you are good in selecting the right bet, it should not b a problem winning.

I think this kind of strategy is quite interesting, but mind you, not all websites (sportsbook) offers this kind of odds.

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January 05, 2024, 12:51:57 PM
 #29

It takes courage and precise calculations to be able to bet on the underdog because if you do it carelessly then it will be like trying to make a profit in vain because the result is more to be a loss.
Of the many underdogs who managed to change the prediction results, there are definitely more that match the predictions with a strong team winning, it can be seen that a strong team will dominate a competition for years, but trying to occasionally bet on the underdog can be done if we see there is a chance to win, not just randomly choose it.

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January 05, 2024, 04:50:12 PM
 #30

I've done those kinds of bets a few times before, but I don't place them regularly because i've seen so many underdogs throw big leads where they could even fail to cover the initial handicap. The lowest i'd mostly take on the underdog would be the ML, and i'd rather avoid the stress of losing a handicap bet because they failed to cover the spread by a point or more. It would be impressive if you could pull off the strategy until the end of the season when it's not easy to spot underdogs that can win outright and cover the handicap with ease.

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January 05, 2024, 05:14:36 PM
 #31

By saying favorites, I mean would you choose Indiana -2.5 with 2.50 odds, a little higher than the moneyline odds which is 2.23.

Actually this is a good idea given that you will already choose underdog bets since basketball matches that underdog win usually have over 2.5 spread on points to make an upset match. An underdog vs favorite matches with that odds usually result to huge spread so taking the 2.5 odds over 2.23 with just additional 1.5 points difference is already worth it risk for boost odds.

I didn’t consider this kind of bets before but reading this makes me wanna try it on my next bet that involves underdog ML.

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January 05, 2024, 05:21:41 PM
 #32

Talking for myself, I don't really bet on sports based on the odds alone, I also see it myself as a fanatic about that particular team or franchise then I will be willing to take a little risk with my money even if it is an underdog.

But generally, it is one of the calculated risks taken by sports bettors and I don't think it doesn't pay off well because we never know the probability of an underdog beating the favorites but it does happen in the sports and that day is unpredictable and that is why the gambling always thrills the users.

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January 06, 2024, 06:21:53 AM
 #33

Talking for myself, I don't really bet on sports based on the odds alone, I also see it myself as a fanatic about that particular team or franchise then I will be willing to take a little risk with my money even if it is an underdog.

But generally, it is one of the calculated risks taken by sports bettors and I don't think it doesn't pay off well because we never know the probability of an underdog beating the favorites but it does happen in the sports and that day is unpredictable and that is why the gambling always thrills the users.
I think many are like that because the main reason on why they choose sports betting over casino games is to increase their chances of winning. When we know the teams that are playing, we already know their capacity, so we go for them than on the unknown teams. It is also a way of showing a support to them.

So even if we lose, we still feel fine. If they are the underdog, this also means that their odds are high and we can earn a much higher profit in case we win. There are odds which determines the probability of the game. Usually, the underdog has a low chance of winning compared to the crowds favourites. This is their only downside here.

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January 06, 2024, 06:41:52 AM
 #34

-snip-
By saying favorites, I mean would you choose Indiana -2.5 with 2.50 odds, a little higher than the moneyline odds which is 2.23.
Of course, every bettor would like the high odds, and personally, I love to support the underdogs even outside betting, however, the underdog must be worth it. But I do not let that cover my reasonable judgments for my money in betting.

All that matters is for me to make money and I can only bet on underdogs if I know that they have a good chance of winning. Gambling shouldn't be about sentiment, it has to be about what you believe would be the true outcome and nothing else. You might want to support the underdog even while watching the game but still bet against them, that is wisdom (if you can cope), you can fake it.

But me betting on an underdog solely because I either want such to win (sentiment) or was attracted to the big odds is not sensible. I would rather go for the outcome of my unbiased analysis and nothing can change that.

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January 06, 2024, 07:43:49 AM
 #35

We will choose it as a bet if we are sure that the underdog team will win. But if not, we wouldn't choose it. We have to see which team is stronger and has a chance of winning so we can choose it. It's not because the team is the underdog or the top team. If each team brings out their best, they will fight hard and prove that their team is also worthy of winning. And it is up to us to find which team has the bigger win so that we can choose it for the bet. And each one has its risks, so we have to pay attention to the amount of money we will use to bet. No matter which team you choose, you should be able to bet with the money you can afford.

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January 06, 2024, 07:55:09 AM
 #36

I do not like betting undergo against strong clubs. Strong clubs will have low odds while underdogs will have higher odds but which may not worth going for. Although sometimes I can go for underdog, but the only reason I can do that is when the strong club is not performing good in its previous matches and making me to have doubt as the strong club is losing to most matches it recently played.
As much as this is the most obvious thing that you should do and the common knowledge when betting, the problem is that the betting sites know this and that this is a common knowledge, of course they're make sure that the odds of the potential winner gets the lowest as possible so they can make sure that they can get the most profit because players will gravitate to betting on the underdog team with the higher odds. That's always going to be the name of the game when it comes to betting so even if you don't want to, you'd still be betting on the potential winner even if the odds are so low but when it comes to the odds of the potential being too low that even if you win, you're still going to lose, that's going to be a different story for me.



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January 07, 2024, 02:21:51 PM
 #37

We will choose it as a bet if we are sure that the underdog team will win. But if not, we wouldn't choose it. We have to see which team is stronger and has a chance of winning so we can choose it. It's not because the team is the underdog or the top team. If each team brings out their best, they will fight hard and prove that their team is also worthy of winning. And it is up to us to find which team has the bigger win so that we can choose it for the bet. And each one has its risks, so we have to pay attention to the amount of money we will use to bet. No matter which team you choose, you should be able to bet with the money you can afford.
Team that is clearly superior and the favorite is the one that has greater chance of winning the match.
Of course, if we are just talking about odds, the favorites and favorites are the main choices, but here in sports betting, not all the favorites can win and there are many cases where the underdog team becomes the winner and beats the favorite or seeded team.
But betting is not just about the underdog and the top team, but you have to consider all aspects, such as which players are among the main players who will compete and how each of them has developed in the last few matches.
Analyzing each team is very important and cannot be ignored if we want to bet and have predictions that can really be relied on.

I believe that every gambler has their own way of making predictions to bet on and I know every gambler will have confidence in determining which match between the team they will bet on.
When betting involves certain amount of money that may be very valuable, of course we can accept when we lose and use the money to the extent of our ability, but that doesn't mean we don't try to win because winning is the greatest satisfaction when betting.

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January 07, 2024, 02:31:16 PM
 #38

I definitely prefer the superior team. In basketball or football I will still choose the superior team over the underdog. I look more at the history and strength of the players, the club's reputation, this of course has shaped the club's playing mentality, no matter how good the underdog team is, if the mentality is still weak it will have an impact on the game. Even though the odds given are small, it is better for me not to risk my bet.

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January 08, 2024, 04:00:25 AM
 #39

Does anyone here do the same?

For example, let's say there's a game tomorrow between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers. The original betting spread is Indiana +2.5 vs Milwaukee -2.5. Let's assume their respective spreads have odds of 1.90, and you believe the underdog will win. Are you willing to bet on Indiana as favorites?

By saying favorites, I mean would you choose Indiana -2.5 with 2.50 odds, a little higher than the moneyline odds which is 2.23.

Yes would choose to bet on underdog especially if I know that the team is really doing well so most provably I will go bet on them. And in case of Indiana Pacers they have great chance to win since this young guys lead by Haliburton is doing good this season and have a chance to defeat those top teams on the league. Also its not rare situation that underdog team beat those strong team and their bettors is lucky enough to get a huge win for trusting their bets.

Milwaukee Bucks is strong team but sometimes they are not prone to losing that's why its good to gamble with that since it adds the exciting while watching this type of game especially you know that your team is way behind.

We might have a different analysis on betting an underdog team but for sure we are confident they will win. At least with the underdog winning and we are getting good odds, that's an extra winning compared to taking the odds that are 1.90 and below. Other might see it as a bad strategy, but it's not consistently picking the underdog, just choose the quality underdogs as that's the key on winning.

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January 09, 2024, 06:30:42 AM
 #40

Team that is clearly superior and the favorite is the one that has greater chance of winning the match.
Of course, if we are just talking about odds, the favorites and favorites are the main choices, but here in sports betting, not all the favorites can win and there are many cases where the underdog team becomes the winner and beats the favorite or seeded team.
But betting is not just about the underdog and the top team, but you have to consider all aspects, such as which players are among the main players who will compete and how each of them has developed in the last few matches.
Analyzing each team is very important and cannot be ignored if we want to bet and have predictions that can really be relied on.

I believe that every gambler has their own way of making predictions to bet on and I know every gambler will have confidence in determining which match between the team they will bet on.
When betting involves certain amount of money that may be very valuable, of course we can accept when we lose and use the money to the extent of our ability, but that doesn't mean we don't try to win because winning is the greatest satisfaction when betting.
The superior and the favorite team is indeed the team that has a greater chance of winning than the opposing team. But we must remember that when the match has started, there will be moments when surprises will come and encourage the opposing team to play with the best performance. In fact, by being the underdog, a team can play without burden and pressure because the underdog team is underestimating their team. This allows the team to play relaxedly and can reveal hidden performances that can surprise the favored team. This has happened in many matches where the unseeded team can compete with the favored team and can even win against that team because they can turn around and put pressure on the favored team.

Yes, every gambler has his or her way of predicting a match. Every gambler has that differently because we are talking about a person's ability to collect and analyze other data that other gamblers may not have. This allows them to find more important information that will support their analysis so that they can see the possibility of winning against the underdog team. This is what gamblers often forget when analyzing a match because many of them only see that the favored team has a greater chance of winning than the opponent, which is true. But other factors must also be considered when analyzing a match, which should be remembered by gamblers who want to analyze a match.

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