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Author Topic: Making too many picks reduces chances of winning.  (Read 1629 times)
Casdinyard
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February 03, 2024, 11:12:01 PM
 #141

But the thing is that you're going to win the same amount of games regardless of if you take them or not. And this doesn't mean I don't believe in destiny or anything but casinos have a specific amount of win-rate that they have set, so regardless of if you take the game or not, you're going to have the same amount of win and losses when the cards are laid out and your win history is tallied. You could argue that the same can't be said for sportsbooks but even that would still apply to this same logic. Most games after all are essentially 50/50 with both teams whether they're the crowd favorite or the underdog having the same chances at snagging that victory as each other. So when you bet more or less it doesn't really matter, at the end of the day you're going to still lose the same amount of money at the same frequency of events.

Plus if maximizing your bets and bet counts is what works for you as a gambler, why would you stop? Gambling isn't about winning or losing anyways and it's all about getting that itch at the back of your head scratched that begs to be sated with some bets placed. If you're ridding yourself of the chance to enjoy your gambling sessions then are you really gambling for fun anymore? Or are you just looking to earn money which I don't need further explaining, is a one way ticket to destination fucked?

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February 04, 2024, 09:37:26 PM
 #142

~snip
Them main key on here is that you should really be so sure on the bets you are making. Doesnt matter whether it would be multiple or single, as long you have applied analysis into it and not really just that picking up carelessly just because you do have those kind of guts telling you that you should be betting despite of having no knowledge on the games that you are tending to bet with.
Sometimes it cant really be just that avoided to have those kind of impulsive betting on where you would be betting up into those sports that you arent been aware on what it is.
There's no fun on betting into those lines on which you dont even have the idea on how the game works or even the teams behind it.
That means we have to really master analytical skills so that we can get a choice of teams that can win, regardless of whether we use multi or single bets. By having the ability to analyze, we will have no difficulty placing multiple bets because we are already familiar with multiple bets and can analyze every match we know. We will not place a bet if we cannot feel confident in our predictions, but we will also always remember that our predictions will not always give us a win. So we have prepared ourselves if one day, we will lose when placing a bet, and we will have no regrets because we know that it is a risk in gambling.
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February 04, 2024, 09:49:55 PM
 #143

~snip
Them main key on here is that you should really be so sure on the bets you are making. Doesnt matter whether it would be multiple or single, as long you have applied analysis into it and not really just that picking up carelessly just because you do have those kind of guts telling you that you should be betting despite of having no knowledge on the games that you are tending to bet with.
Sometimes it cant really be just that avoided to have those kind of impulsive betting on where you would be betting up into those sports that you arent been aware on what it is.
There's no fun on betting into those lines on which you dont even have the idea on how the game works or even the teams behind it.
That means we have to really master analytical skills so that we can get a choice of teams that can win, regardless of whether we use multi or single bets. By having the ability to analyze, we will have no difficulty placing multiple bets because we are already familiar with multiple bets and can analyze every match we know. We will not place a bet if we cannot feel confident in our predictions, but we will also always remember that our predictions will not always give us a win. So we have prepared ourselves if one day, we will lose when placing a bet, and we will have no regrets because we know that it is a risk in gambling.
Single or multiple then it would really be that totally depending on you on which it would really be always mattering on how good those picks would be.We shouldn't really be
trying out to cope up with multiples just because you have thought that it would really be able to increase the chance on winning a particular game or bets.
We do need  those quality bets rather than on quantity. It isnt really that important on having tons because it would really be all useless if those picks of yours
doesnt really have a correspond analysis on it or something that do talks about having no dedicated in depth search about on a team/player and just make out those
blind bets bets.
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February 04, 2024, 11:31:23 PM
 #144

~snip
Them main key on here is that you should really be so sure on the bets you are making. Doesnt matter whether it would be multiple or single, as long you have applied analysis into it and not really just that picking up carelessly just because you do have those kind of guts telling you that you should be betting despite of having no knowledge on the games that you are tending to bet with.
Sometimes it cant really be just that avoided to have those kind of impulsive betting on where you would be betting up into those sports that you arent been aware on what it is.
There's no fun on betting into those lines on which you dont even have the idea on how the game works or even the teams behind it.
That means we have to really master analytical skills so that we can get a choice of teams that can win, regardless of whether we use multi or single bets. By having the ability to analyze, we will have no difficulty placing multiple bets because we are already familiar with multiple bets and can analyze every match we know. We will not place a bet if we cannot feel confident in our predictions, but we will also always remember that our predictions will not always give us a win. So we have prepared ourselves if one day, we will lose when placing a bet, and we will have no regrets because we know that it is a risk in gambling.

Yes, but it may take a lot of time to fully master the world of sports so that we can make a choice that is really appropriate and that has a great chance of leading us to victory, but I think there are only a few people who deliberately learn from nothing to knowing everything about the world of sports because after all it takes a lot of time, and most gamblers these days are always focused on winning but don't bother to train themselves to get a lot of insight that can basically provide them with information to make the right decision when betting. But if you are one of the people who have experience and a pretty good understanding of the world of sports then I think this type of gambling is better than other types of gambling that only rely on complete luck, but still, risk management must still be applied because the name of gambling is always inseparable from the possibility of risk and that means we must be able to be a responsible gambler.

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February 04, 2024, 11:39:39 PM
 #145


That means we have to really master analytical skills so that we can get a choice of teams that can win, regardless of whether we use multi or single bets. By having the ability to analyze, we will have no difficulty placing multiple bets because we are already familiar with multiple bets and can analyze every match we know. We will not place a bet if we cannot feel confident in our predictions, but we will also always remember that our predictions will not always give us a win. So we have prepared ourselves if one day, we will lose when placing a bet, and we will have no regrets because we know that it is a risk in gambling.

The gambler who analysis the game and increased their skills towards the game will make the money from the gambling site.The gambler who had more skill can do the betting in single or multiple,the result will be always positive.If the gamblers doesn’t have enough skill,he may not use the money to play gambling.Because the gambling is based on the real game,the maximum money he had used without knowledge will leads to the loss.So gamblers can spend some dollars in the gambling site to earn the gambling skills,this skills will give the gambler huge money in the long run by updating skills with specific periods.
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February 05, 2024, 01:15:10 AM
 #146

it's the same as buying random numbers to win a big jackpot, the more number choices we buy the greater the chance we will be close to the jackpot, unfortunately nga in general gambling doesn't really apply, there are times when we increase the number because we are sure of the choice, and there are Sometimes we also minimize the number of bets and increase the number of tickets
depending on the game situation
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February 05, 2024, 01:22:24 AM
 #147

I agree. Quality over quantity is the best way to go in terms of sports betting. Sports betting is not totally based on luck unlike majority of the casino games. Sports betting is a different form of gambling because bettors are not just picking bets blindly. Sports bettors are not just relying on luck. They rely on analysis. So if every bet requires an analysis it means a bettor can only place a limited number. If a bettor places so many bets it might compromise the level of analysis done in every one of them.
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February 05, 2024, 10:54:43 AM
 #148

Single or multiple then it would really be that totally depending on you on which it would really be always mattering on how good those picks would be.We shouldn't really be trying out to cope up with multiples just because you have thought that it would really be able to increase the chance on winning a particular game or bets.
We do need  those quality bets rather than on quantity. It isnt really that important on having tons because it would really be all useless if those picks of yours doesnt really have a correspond analysis on it or something that do talks about having no dedicated in depth search about on a team/player and just make out those blind bets bets.
Yes, that's absolutely true because we are the ones who have to choose to place a single or multiple bet. And if we feel like we don't have much money, we don't need to force ourselves to place a double bet because that will only waste the money we have. However, we can try to divide the money so that we can try to place single and double bets simultaneously. But we can't expect to get a big win because we have placed two types of bets, single and double. But if we are really lucky because of our analysis or predictions, we can win, we can win, and that means we can get more money from the capital we use to place bets. So everything will depend on the results of the analysis you do so that you can predict which team has the chance to win so that we can also win some money.

Yes, but it may take a lot of time to fully master the world of sports so that we can make a choice that is really appropriate and that has a great chance of leading us to victory, but I think there are only a few people who deliberately learn from nothing to knowing everything about the world of sports because after all it takes a lot of time, and most gamblers these days are always focused on winning but don't bother to train themselves to get a lot of insight that can basically provide them with information to make the right decision when betting. But if you are one of the people who have experience and a pretty good understanding of the world of sports then I think this type of gambling is better than other types of gambling that only rely on complete luck, but still, risk management must still be applied because the name of gambling is always inseparable from the possibility of risk and that means we must be able to be a responsible gambler.
It doesn't matter if we need a long time to master better analytical skills. It is still worth training because it is related to our determination to learn better analytical skills. We can't depend forever on people who share their predictions regularly because we also don't know which predictions can give us a win. Therefore, as we become more active in learning to analyze a match, it will increase our ability to analyze matches, and we will not depend on other people to analyze matches. Indeed, only a few people want to take the time to learn to analyze because they are the ones who really want to have better analytical skills than other people. If they already have better analytical skills, they will test it by analyzing upcoming matches to see how far their training has progressed. If they still lose, they feel they need to learn more because this learning will never stop. The world of sports is always developing, so they must continue learning to improve their analytical skills to be even better.

The gambler who analysis the game and increased their skills towards the game will make the money from the gambling site.The gambler who had more skill can do the betting in single or multiple,the result will be always positive.If the gamblers doesn’t have enough skill,he may not use the money to play gambling.Because the gambling is based on the real game,the maximum money he had used without knowledge will leads to the loss.So gamblers can spend some dollars in the gambling site to earn the gambling skills,this skills will give the gambler huge money in the long run by updating skills with specific periods.
Only those who want to continue learning to analyze will get more results than other people who don't want to learn it. They can also improve their analytical skills to be even better, which is why they can get even more results. They know that they cannot stop learning to analyze a match because that will make them lose their ability to analyze, especially since there are always significant developments in the world of sports. They also don't force themselves to place bets if they don't know much about the match and will look for other matches that they know about so they can analyze them well. It is with analytical skills that they can make money even when placing bets. They can not always be able to win because of the factors that exist in the match, where in every match, there will be surprising factors that can occur.
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February 05, 2024, 11:15:42 AM
 #149

You are actually right on that, too many picks reduces our chances of winning, because In a situation whereby you make ten or fifteen select, and you are expect to get it all right for you to win, and the owner of the bet is just looking for one inside to fail, for him to be the winner, what makes you think you will succeed more than him? So if you really want to be winning more, them you have to be picking fewer games like 3 or 4

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February 05, 2024, 11:16:43 AM
 #150

As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.


This is only true if you are betting in rush without doing analysis. You have a lot of time to bet on matches that will happened on couple of days, weeks and months so the reason about you can’t analyze well when doing multi picks is not relevant at all.

I’m not a sports bettor but I’m applying this on blackjack by sitting multiple seat so that I can spread my winning chance rate and for a chance to breakeven when my other hand is bad.

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February 05, 2024, 11:35:27 AM
 #151

As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.


This is only true if you are betting in rush without doing analysis. You have a lot of time to bet on matches that will happened on couple of days, weeks and months so the reason about you can’t analyze well when doing multi picks is not relevant at all.

I’m not a sports bettor but I’m applying this on blackjack by sitting multiple seat so that I can spread my winning chance rate and for a chance to breakeven when my other hand is bad.
And there's no point that you would really be making tons of bets without even knowing on what it is or havent put up any analysis through it. We do know that this is something
that shouldn't really be done because you are really just that wasting money on what one. I do agree into those points above that i would rather be making a single bet but having that good
analysis that could back it up, compared on having tons of bets but having no research has been done or just simply making blind bets on which this is really something that would
really be resulting on fucking up yourself when it comes to your bankroll. Always be wise and always be that mindful on what are those things or on where you would really be searching it up.
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February 05, 2024, 01:27:19 PM
 #152

Yes, but it may take a lot of time to fully master the world of sports so that we can make a choice that is really appropriate and that has a great chance of leading us to victory, but I think there are only a few people who deliberately learn from nothing to knowing everything about the world of sports because after all it takes a lot of time, and most gamblers these days are always focused on winning but don't bother to train themselves to get a lot of insight that can basically provide them with information to make the right decision when betting. But if you are one of the people who have experience and a pretty good understanding of the world of sports then I think this type of gambling is better than other types of gambling that only rely on complete luck, but still, risk management must still be applied because the name of gambling is always inseparable from the possibility of risk and that means we must be able to be a responsible gambler.
It doesn't matter if we need a long time to master better analytical skills. It is still worth training because it is related to our determination to learn better analytical skills. We can't depend forever on people who share their predictions regularly because we also don't know which predictions can give us a win. Therefore, as we become more active in learning to analyze a match, it will increase our ability to analyze matches, and we will not depend on other people to analyze matches. Indeed, only a few people want to take the time to learn to analyze because they are the ones who really want to have better analytical skills than other people. If they already have better analytical skills, they will test it by analyzing upcoming matches to see how far their training has progressed. If they still lose, they feel they need to learn more because this learning will never stop. The world of sports is always developing, so they must continue learning to improve their analytical skills to be even better.

On the other hand, it is also true as you say that we cannot continue to depend on other people's predictions by just hoping "hopefully this time you win" without knowing what underlies your victory, and by having our own understanding and skills, it will make it easier for us to make decisions that we think  are really right, because the fact is that usually there will always be differences in choosing something, or I mean that everyone has their own beliefs and beliefs in choosing and that means that not necessarily the underlying things that are made a reference by people who provide or share predictions will match our opinions and beliefs..

So I think for this problem back again to each person, if indeed they do not mind to start learning from a beginner until they can have a pretty good understanding and skills like the professionals have by passing a long time then go ahead. So go ahead, because all your decisions are in your own hands and you will also feel the benefits when one day you manage to prove that the results of your learning are not in vain by being able to produce more wins..

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February 05, 2024, 01:51:31 PM
 #153

I agree. Quality over quantity is the best way to go in terms of sports betting. Sports betting is not totally based on luck unlike majority of the casino games. Sports betting is a different form of gambling because bettors are not just picking bets blindly. Sports bettors are not just relying on luck. They rely on analysis. So if every bet requires an analysis it means a bettor can only place a limited number. If a bettor places so many bets it might compromise the level of analysis done in every one of them.
But we also do not have a process to guarantee the output of the analysis, this is just a relative filter and there will be errors in this process, on the other hand, in sports betting, the human factor is too important and from an analytical point of view, our synthesis seems to ignore part of this factor, to be honest, quality doesn't quite hit the mark here either. Going against the majority, quantity is also an opinion that I like, we divide it into many parts for many analyzes and data of a match, from there, we will partly compensate for the losses when we rely only on quality

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February 05, 2024, 02:02:35 PM
 #154

By having the ability to analyze, we will have no difficulty placing multiple bets because we are already familiar with multiple bets and can analyze every match we know. We will not place a bet if we cannot feel confident in our predictions, but we will also always remember that our predictions will not always give us a win. So we have prepared ourselves if one day, we will lose when placing a bet, and we will have no regrets because we know that it is a risk in gambling.

The challenge in gambling is not about having the ability to analyze or having no difficulty placing multiple bets or not placing a bet because we do not feel confident in our predictions but the question is after analyzing, reading articles and sports news and avoiding games we are not sure of, are we going to win? most of the time we still do not win. It is not a matter of preparing yourself for loss because we will always lose. Of course, you can have a winning streak but one big loss can throw you off balance. In my thinking, it is not about winning a bet and thinking you got the strategy it is about profiting in the long run.

I have gambled for so many years and I will say spending time reading the history of teams and checking H2H record and positions in the league, doesn`t guarantee winning it just wastes your time and in the end, you will be tricked by your mind that you were so close to winning and the next day you continue analyzing and wasting your time for something that will be determined by luck. Most people who won big didn`t devote time to analyzing and checking so many details. Luck fell for them and they won. There is nothing I haven`t tried yet I cannot be regarded as a successful gambler. I have subjected myself even to rollover for one month with a 1.20 odds. I still couldn`t hit the target.

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February 05, 2024, 02:11:49 PM
 #155

Tell this to the football fans, almost all of them love doing this, the higher the numbers of pick they have the higher their rewards, this is what all of them think about, nothing else, as if they are certain about winning.

I have only seen a brother who choose one match or two and risk money on it, mind you he always have better results than those greedy gamblers that likes packing up to eight or even ten matches at once, they have this stupid idea of making million in one go.

Almost all football gamblers that I know do this and they never have good ending, not even once, there is always a loss out of all the matches that spoil everything for them, it's not good to be greedy in gambling, definitely not the right place to use greediness.

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February 05, 2024, 05:01:04 PM
 #156

By having the ability to analyze, we will have no difficulty placing multiple bets because we are already familiar with multiple bets and can analyze every match we know. We will not place a bet if we cannot feel confident in our predictions, but we will also always remember that our predictions will not always give us a win. So we have prepared ourselves if one day, we will lose when placing a bet, and we will have no regrets because we know that it is a risk in gambling.

The challenge in gambling is not about having the ability to analyze or having no difficulty placing multiple bets or not placing a bet because we do not feel confident in our predictions but the question is after analyzing, reading articles and sports news and avoiding games we are not sure of, are we going to win? most of the time we still do not win. It is not a matter of preparing yourself for loss because we will always lose. Of course, you can have a winning streak but one big loss can throw you off balance. In my thinking, it is not about winning a bet and thinking you got the strategy it is about profiting in the long run.

I have gambled for so many years and I will say spending time reading the history of teams and checking H2H record and positions in the league, doesn`t guarantee winning it just wastes your time and in the end, you will be tricked by your mind that you were so close to winning and the next day you continue analyzing and wasting your time for something that will be determined by luck. Most people who won big didn`t devote time to analyzing and checking so many details. Luck fell for them and they won. There is nothing I haven`t tried yet I cannot be regarded as a successful gambler. I have subjected myself even to rollover for one month with a 1.20 odds. I still couldn`t hit the target.
Your years of analysis and dogged pursuit of a winning strategy have taught you, albeit the hard way, that gambling success is evaluated by loss management. No amount of analysis can change the house's advantage. It's about comprehending the game's unpredictability, not your studies or expectations. Old-school gamblers know this. They don't chase losses or anticipate every wager to win; instead, they focus on a strategy that lasts longer and increases their chances of making a profit

Always view gambling as entertainment with the possibility for profit, not a primary source of income. Setting limits on how much you're willing to lose and sticking to them regardless is fundamental to healthy gambling. More than strategy, discipline distinguishes successful gamblers from losers

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February 06, 2024, 01:56:33 AM
 #157

I agree. Quality over quantity is the best way to go in terms of sports betting. Sports betting is not totally based on luck unlike majority of the casino games. Sports betting is a different form of gambling because bettors are not just picking bets blindly. Sports bettors are not just relying on luck. They rely on analysis. So if every bet requires an analysis it means a bettor can only place a limited number. If a bettor places so many bets it might compromise the level of analysis done in every one of them.
But we also do not have a process to guarantee the output of the analysis, this is just a relative filter and there will be errors in this process, on the other hand, in sports betting, the human factor is too important and from an analytical point of view, our synthesis seems to ignore part of this factor, to be honest, quality doesn't quite hit the mark here either. Going against the majority, quantity is also an opinion that I like, we divide it into many parts for many analyzes and data of a match, from there, we will partly compensate for the losses when we rely only on quality

Of course there is no perfect prediction even if it is based on objective data and analysis. In the end they still are all guesses but they're informed guesses. They're based on something. As such, they're way better than just picking teams and players and betting on them without even analyzing the possibilities. Everybody can easily come up with say 20 and above bets in just a matter of minutes. But these bets are probably with lower chances against say 5 bets but are carefully analyzed and chosen.
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February 06, 2024, 02:45:28 AM
 #158

As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Share your opinion regarding this matter.



Edit : I see that some replies are talking about parlay. FYI, this is not about parlay, it's about making many single picks on a regular basis. Please avoid using parlay when sharing your opinion.

I guess it was just a high-risk reward thing having multiple bets on a regular basis might be great for sure if you're winning but on the other way around that could easily be a double-edged sword since you could as well lose multiple bets. To be honest I would probably prefer doing multiple bets since it has higher chances of winning for sure at some point, even though I might lose for the other bet it increases the chance of winning and that could easily make up for the loss if I win the bet, kinda like high-risk high reward thing so, in my opinion, its kinda worth it.

In sports betting we prefer players that we think we might think is going to win or even have some kind of analysis on what we think is going to win, depending on how you are going to play since there are combos where you could multiply your winning. It is just going to involve luck on your prediction, I might just have a favorite player or team just to make it interesting and make it fun but with a high chance of winning if I really wanted to make money I would do multiple picks.

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February 06, 2024, 03:38:46 AM
 #159

~snip~
Of course there is no perfect prediction even if it is based on objective data and analysis. In the end they still are all guesses but they're informed guesses. They're based on something. As such, they're way better than just picking teams and players and betting on them without even analyzing the possibilities. Everybody can easily come up with say 20 and above bets in just a matter of minutes. But these bets are probably with lower chances against say 5 bets but are carefully analyzed and chosen.
It pretty good thought, indeed everything will still be guess even though it is thought made with full data and objective analysis.
But this is not just mere guess but also prediction full of opportunities for success or victory, predictions are made using objective data and analysis which will produce predictions that really have chance of winning based on the data on paper.
Predictions like this will be much better than guesses that are created just from wishful thinking according to existing thoughts, there is still variety of real data out there that can be studied to analyze the results and this will be very useful.
We bet with money and we bet on the team that is truly superior so that whatever the outcome is, at least an effort is made to produce the best prediction, maybe some gamblers will not understand things like this.

I will still state and assume that those gamblers who bet based on appropriate data analysis in each match are the gamblers who succeed in creating better opportunities.
No gambler wants to suffer defeat and that is why knowledge and intelligence in analyzing every data is very important to understand.
They will focus on just few bets but with opportunities that can be increased in creating success.

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dezoel
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February 06, 2024, 02:34:43 PM
 #160

This should be obvious, very often on the altcoin board I see newbies thinking about investing in dozens of coins, and I wonder how do they plan to keep track of so many coins? Since a portfolio application is not enough, they need to keep themselves updated about everything that happens around all of those coins, and their lack of experience does not help either, so I know they are going to fail before they invest into any of those coins, and it is natural that the same principle applies to sport bets as well.
Well, people who invest in multiple cryptocurrencies are gambling with their money and aren't making sane and thought-through decisions, because when you make investments after doing enough research, you won't be able to do that in bulk but you will barely be able to choose 4 to 5 coins to invest in. Similarly, when it comes to sports betting, someone who bets on multiple games at once is making random bets without even knowing anything about the teams and their gameplay.

Such people often tend to lose money unless they turn out to be extremely lucky and all their random picks play out in their favour which doesn't happen all the time. This is the reason why it's important for someone to make limited bets and only on teams and matches that they know something about.

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