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Author Topic: Can a social or casual good guesser make better gambling prediction carrier?  (Read 925 times)
Findingnemo
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January 25, 2024, 07:37:40 AM
 #61

If I am not wrong there was a reality show that was famous which is exactly what you are saying, the person will find what you have in mind and ask 10 questions prior to that and you just need to say yes or no to those questions.

Eventually, it's a failed model, and it's impossible to guess what someone is having in their mind too often so this game is not going to be profitable for the one who runs it and they why should they run it?

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SeaCoinCollector.
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January 25, 2024, 07:55:29 AM
 #62

You friend may not be able to use how good they are at guessing to help them win at games because the outcomes of games depend on many other factors. Still, this person might get better at betting if they really want to and are willing to put in the time to learn how different games work. There's no way to be great at gambling if you don't know what you're doing. You have to be disciplined and ready to learn from both wins and losses.
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January 25, 2024, 08:02:02 AM
 #63

Perhaps this "professional guesser" already knew the answers of those questions, by talking with his colleagues about those subjects in the past. Grin Or maybe he was just lucky. Luck comes and goes. You can't be lucky 24/7 during the entire year. Maybe this guy can read people's minds. Can he predict the future? Maybe he could make more money as a fortune teller, instead of betting money on gambling. Why doesn't he try his luck in a casino(or at sports betting) and see where he goes?
Sometimes can I guess correctly one or two numbers of the lottery, but that doesn't mean that I will win the jackpot. Grin

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January 25, 2024, 08:05:07 AM
 #64

I am concerned to ask, can such a person build a gambling carrier with such an excellent guessing prohibition? Or he should trash it all and believe that gambling predictions remains a game of luck?
As it has already been said that gambling is not about guessing but about predicting, and the two mean entirely different things although they be taken to mean the same thing. When you are just guessing, you are just making choices randomly based on what you think is right not even minding any underlying historical facts or statistics about your choices, but when you're making a prediction, you're not just making a random choice but a calculated choice based on analysis that has been made.

Prediction is not a random choice; you make a prediction based on your analysis or your understanding of a situation, and from that, you will come up with a prediction that has a basis, not just some random decision, while in guessing from the word itself, you will make a decision or guess based only on what you think, meaning guessing doesn't have a basis; it's a pure guess and such. Anyway, for the OP's statement, I don't think just a good guesser could also become a good gambler; if he is lucky enough, maybe he has a shot, but if it's pure guessing, expect that he will lose money from gambling. Gambling is different from guessing; it has a weight—the weight of losing money.

So if you think you have a shot at gambling just because you are good at making random choices or decisions, then think again. Are you ready for the consequences?.

         -     I think that prediction is also useless to a gambler if they believe that the winnings of all gamblers who play on a casino platform in the crypto business industry depend only on luck. Because for me, there is no need for analysis just to have a high chance of winning.

Then another thing is that gambling can't be considered a job, as for others it is something that can be earned by any gambler, which is not possible because it is not every day that we can experience a big win here in gambling.

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junder
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January 25, 2024, 08:20:04 AM
 #65

Gambling is entertainment and gambling is also just a game. However, because gambling involves financial risks, we cannot act and behave carelessly when gambling, including just guessing without a strategy to increase the chances of winning. If in making betting decisions you are just guessing without doing research and analyzing the match, then that is the same as wasting money for nothing. Even though luck plays an important role in every win we achieve, it is also important to remember that there are several types of gambling that require strategy, knowledge and good risk management. And by combining luck and skill, it is more likely that you can achieve better results.

Even though this is just a game, we should not take gambling lightly. We must be serious enough to consider everything, including the risks and negative impacts of gambling that is done carelessly and irresponsibly.

That's true, even though gambling is related to luck, not all gambling only depends on luck, because there is gambling that requires skill and knowledge to increase the chances of winning at the gambling that is done. Also, if it's slot gambling, it won't be a problem, because in slot gambling, in my opinion, there's really nothing else you can do apart from just clicking. There is no good strategy and skills to be able to do this type of gambling.

but as you say, I agree with gambling which requires skill and knowledge but if they do it by just guessing it is the same as throwing away their money for free. If the gambling they do requires skill then they should be able to have the skills related to the gambling they do as well as the knowledge to increase their chances of winning the gambling. Don't think that all gambling only depends on luck, even though gambling requires skill, that doesn't mean it only relies on luck. Just guessing won't work. 'Because it's true what you say, combining skill and luck maybe it will produce something positive.

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January 25, 2024, 08:25:38 AM
 #66

You don't describe gambling as a guess, especially when it comes to sport betting. It could be a matter of predictions after analyzing the stats from both opponents and how far they have gone in that season if lately they are in form or not, this will be helpful to determine the possibility of winning the gambling.

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January 25, 2024, 08:40:42 AM
 #67

You don't describe gambling as a guess, especially when it comes to sport betting. It could be a matter of predictions after analyzing the stats from both opponents and how far they have gone in that season if lately they are in form or not, this will be helpful to determine the possibility of winning the gambling.
You know, when talking about sportsbet, it's not like gambling in general, which only relies on luck.
maybe in games like blackjack or other casino games, you can just rely on luck to win the game. but it's different from sportsbet, besides luck still has a chance, understanding the statistics and development of the team's game is the main key that you should know. by understanding that, surely victory becomes closer and profits can become bigger.

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January 25, 2024, 08:58:16 AM
 #68

i don't think that a social or casual good guesser can pursue a career in prediction gambling because seeing how prediction gambling doesn't purely rely on just guessing, but it is related to how someone can predict the outcome based on the data and information they collect, so it's not just based on his guess alone it had a solid basis.

usually betting predictions are based on statistics and probability, so that if someone just guesses, they might lose their chance to win the game. but people who are good at predicting, they will be able to predict based on their observations and analysis, so that they state a prediction not just just guessing but more than that.

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January 25, 2024, 09:02:38 AM
 #69

Someone like that will never know unless he starts gambling and he is going to find out. Theoretically gambling is luck, which means no one can be perfect all the time. Sometime the predictions work and sometimes it doesn't. What you should do is to tell your colleague to start a carrier in gambling and try his luck he may be successful in it who knows.

You don't describe gambling as a guess, especially when it comes to sport betting. It could be a matter of predictions after analyzing the stats from both opponents and how far they have gone in that season if lately they are in form or not, this will be helpful to determine the possibility of winning the gambling.
He never described gambling as a guess work. And yes, the guessing spirit may work for his colleague but there are sone extent it may go. If he includes multiple games in his bet it may not work for him. As he won't be able to get all the luck in all the games. Perhaps you are forgetting that a person who is a good guesser is most time a critical thinker and analyzer.

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January 25, 2024, 09:14:36 AM
 #70

Gambling is game of  luck, but  sometimes requires experience,skill and a good player not a good guesser. Especially sports games like football, basketball,rugby etc requires analysing and evaluation of teams not how good you are on guessing. These games involves those that follow them up, fan and gamblers familiar to these game. If you are not gambling on games you aware of then you will be good looser in your guessing. Your guessing can only work if you are familiar or know about the games you want to bet.

Exactly! Even if we say that gambling is all about luck or something, sometimes it really requires skills and analyzation when doing it because if you really know what you are doing, there's a tendency that you have any tips and Ideas how you are going to win. If you just do the guessing every time you gamble, it's like you're wasting money  and you have to think that what you're doing is not challenging.  if you do the prediction game all the time, you'll lose interest in the things that you do. So many people invest their time in gambling because they feel the excitement in every game they do.



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January 25, 2024, 09:19:48 AM
 #71

Gambling can never predict win or lose rather it is completely uncertain and no matter how accurate the prediction is it will never give 100% results. Gambling is an uncertain possibility where luck often favors especially in some cases predictions can come in handy. For example, in the case of sports betting, in football or cricket, it is often correct to predict the strength of two teams, but in dice or slots, bankroll, no matter how much you predict, it will not give any result because in this case they are completely uncertain and depend on luck. Chances of winning if luck favors and defeat is sure if luck doesn't favor.

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January 25, 2024, 09:48:31 AM
 #72

Gambling never gives exact probability it is uncertain probability it is difficult to estimate. Gambling predictions are rarely useful and take luck here. You cannot accurately determine any forecast by guessing. If luck is good, you will be able to rise above the winnings but you have to analyze everything properly. In the place of gambling analysis often fails but you can learn something from it.

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January 25, 2024, 10:21:47 AM
 #73

Don't stress yourself, there is nothing anyone can say that will make me change my mind about luck in gambling, I still stand strong with my fact that gambling is straight out luck, there is nothing that can change this, mind you why not try it out first before discussing it?

If guessing really works or can work in gambling you should try it out and drop your experience on this forum, people will probably believe you more, guessing about people is different to gambling, you can see those people, and its a fact that people are readable, some people are very good at reading people and be able to figure out what they are planning.

It's not the same with gambling, you are completely on your own and what happens next doesn't depends on you, casinos and gambling have been operating since the beginning of time, if there is really a way to beat casinos it would have been found already, the reason why it's not found is because there is no way to beat luck, so therefore it can't be found, because it was never lost.

getting lucky is a one in a million chances, this is why casinos wins more than gamblers, they are not at big risks like the gamblers, gamblers are the ones trying to beat the impossible not the casinos.

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January 25, 2024, 10:22:02 AM
 #74

Being a great guesser in casual games doesn't automatically make someone a pro gambler. Real gambling involves strategy, odds, and more than just luck. Your friend might want to tread carefully and not think guessing alone guarantees success in the gambling world.

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January 25, 2024, 11:02:18 AM
 #75

You don't describe gambling as a guess, especially when it comes to sport betting. It could be a matter of predictions after analyzing the stats from both opponents and how far they have gone in that season if lately they are in form or not, this will be helpful to determine the possibility of winning the gambling.
You know, when talking about sportsbet, it's not like gambling in general, which only relies on luck.
maybe in games like blackjack or other casino games, you can just rely on luck to win the game. but it's different from sportsbet, besides luck still has a chance, understanding the statistics and development of the team's game is the main key that you should know. by understanding that, surely victory becomes closer and profits can become bigger.


Absolutely,but most times someone who does not  even have any idea about football guess the scores correctly,and at this point he/she will be considered as a good predictor,without knowing that he was just been lucky.
If you're not passionate about football you can't make a prediction,how can you possibly make a prediction when you don't even know the team that is more stronger among the both teams.

You can't predict when you don't even know there statistics and as well the wining possibility and there strengths, this are factors that need to be considered before making any prediction either.
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January 25, 2024, 12:49:38 PM
 #76


I am concerned to ask, can such a person build a gambling carrier with such an excellent guessing prohibition? Or he should trash it all and believe that gambling predictions remains a game of luck?


I don't think that it's good to build a carrea in gambling, because it is based on luck, and you can not take care of your responsibilities based on something that you don't know when you'll earn income from it, moreover the chances of loses are greater than that of winnings in gambling. So unless your friend has supernatural powers to predict perfectly, then no need to encourage him to take gambling prediction as a carrea, his correct predictions might be his lucky day and if you call him another day, he might not be so lucky in the predictions. Moreover it's easier to predict when money is not involved, but if money is involved he might not be so courageous to predict.

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January 25, 2024, 01:03:01 PM
 #77

What the gambler did was just guessing and nothing more, besides we all know that anything that has to do with betting depends on luck and no one can be sure if it because if gamblers are so dem sure about their games no body will ever stake low on their bets.
They will want to win huge money that's why no body will want to stake low in a game that they are sure of.

However, as the man guesses and get 10 correctly, that does not mean that he will continue to win everyday as there will surely be a dwy when he will lose.

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Blitzboy
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January 25, 2024, 01:36:55 PM
 #78

Don't stress yourself, there is nothing anyone can say that will make me change my mind about luck in gambling, I still stand strong with my fact that gambling is straight out luck, there is nothing that can change this, mind you why not try it out first before discussing it?

If guessing really works or can work in gambling you should try it out and drop your experience on this forum, people will probably believe you more, guessing about people is different to gambling, you can see those people, and its a fact that people are readable, some people are very good at reading people and be able to figure out what they are planning.

It's not the same with gambling, you are completely on your own and what happens next doesn't depends on you, casinos and gambling have been operating since the beginning of time, if there is really a way to beat casinos it would have been found already, the reason why it's not found is because there is no way to beat luck, so therefore it can't be found, because it was never lost.

getting lucky is a one in a million chances, this is why casinos wins more than gamblers, they are not at big risks like the gamblers, gamblers are the ones trying to beat the impossible not the casinos.
Gambling is unpredictable, thus luck is crucial. However, some games require skill. Poker and blackjack require strategy, right?

Of course, I've played these games for pleasure. I found it fascinating because decisions can influence the game even if you cant control the cards. The goal is to maximize odds, not beat the casino. A delicate tango between chance and decision.

Your point about casinos always winning is correct! Thats their design. What if gambling was entertainment rather than a business? Like going to the movies, you pay for the thrill and experience, not a guaranteed return. Enjoy the voyage and hope for a lucky break!

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January 25, 2024, 01:59:14 PM
 #79

The given information is just based on observations so you can make a wild guess and it's part of gambling but not considered as gambling if you want to make gambling you must need to consider the outcome of the game by having statistics and probability to winning the game. Those consist of data and information but those you've given are just a speculation that still can be true or guess the right answer without the analytics. Reason why gambling can be good to the blessed people with have a high IQ for calculating the odds of winning.

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January 25, 2024, 02:18:14 PM
 #80


I am concerned to ask, can such a person build a gambling carrier with such an excellent guessing prohibition? Or he should trash it all and believe that gambling predictions remains a game of luck?


Career  you say? How. How is that possible?

It is just like saying you do guessing for a career. Some people can't say they gamble as a career then to condemn yourself to a guessing as a career is more ludicrous. Gambling is luck based and to guess at games with analysis is such a funny thing.

Yes some people are good in guessing, like to guess answers in exams but you would have had an idea to use the elimination method but to only guess in gambling to win games is not sustainable.

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