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Author Topic: Can a social or casual good guesser make better gambling prediction carrier?  (Read 923 times)
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January 26, 2024, 08:42:58 AM
 #101

Gambling carrier by just guessing? I don't think there will ever be somebody who will excel in this kind of job.
If someone is lucky and won huge amount of money at once, that is luck. But you are right because OP means long term. The longer someone is gambling, the more often, the higher the losses. That is just how gambling is, be it casinos or bookies.

If it is somebody who analyzes sports matches and players and their probability in winning their games, then it could be treated by bettors seriously.
People are only thinking they can do better with sport betting because they are able to make analyzes and speculate what the outcome of a match could be. But if someone makes sport betting a carrier, that is a failure that the person is getting himself into, be it in casino or sport. Gambling should be just for fun and use little amount of money for it.

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January 26, 2024, 09:07:35 AM
 #102

Funny enough my dear gamblers, something artrageous just happened within i and colleagues at work where we engaged on a "guessing and challenging game" daring ourselves in such a critical and lucky guesses.
E.G, *Guess where I am from.
 *How many kids do you think I have? 
 * How many hours/minutes do you think I drives from my house to work?
 * What high institution do you think I attended?
 * What is my 2nd childs shoe size?

These is a scenero of such game. Behold dear gamblers, someone in our midsts was able to make an exact 10 right guesses out of this challenge meanwhile others could even make count of a single right guess

This opted one of us to say to the champion that.... Oh wow, man, you are professional guesser. Maybe someone like you could be a professional gambling predictional.

I am concerned to ask, can such a person build a gambling carrier with such an excellent guessing prohibition? Or he should trash it all and believe that gambling predictions remains a game of luck?


Never entice someone to start gambling just because they are a lucky person. Guessing a correct outcome/answer is not a skill, it's mainly luck and luck always runs out at a certain point especially on the long run. Besides that you can't just become a professional gambler overnight because you think you are good at guessing. It's a profession and it may take years and years of research, dedication and experience before you can start earning money constantly. Even with all of that, you still can't guarantee you'll become a successful professional gambler since probably only about 5% of all gamblers can honestly say they are net profitable in their entire career.

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January 26, 2024, 11:55:45 AM
 #103

-snip-

Bingo!

Like in financial markets, past performance is not indicative of future results. Inductive reasoning cannot guarantee that your predictions will be correct, because real life has too many variants that could impact the final results.

The best approach for those who like gambling is to take it easy, I guess. Like the football fan who likes to add a little thrill to the match by placing a little bet. Dreaming about providences or scientific methods which ensure success is a big mistake.
What is clear is that betting, especially on sports or football, really requires knowledge and skills to make reliable predictions, this does not guarantee victory but it will be much better.
I have said it and of course experience and knowledge can be much better than just relying on luck, gambling with enjoyment on football match will really feel if can win it and of course it is proud team.
In fact, all this is not only about sports betting but also other bets such as lotteries, if buy tickets with random numbers without predictions will not be able to increase chances of winning.
We gamble using money and it not easy to get money, isn't it?
From here we have to think that betting with full consideration and good predictions will be able to minimize losses and provide confidence in what is being bet on.

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January 26, 2024, 02:46:55 PM
 #104

-snip-

Bingo!

Like in financial markets, past performance is not indicative of future results. Inductive reasoning cannot guarantee that your predictions will be correct, because real life has too many variants that could impact the final results.

The best approach for those who like gambling is to take it easy, I guess. Like the football fan who likes to add a little thrill to the match by placing a little bet. Dreaming about providences or scientific methods which ensure success is a big mistake.
What is clear is that betting, especially on sports or football, really requires knowledge and skills to make reliable predictions, this does not guarantee victory but it will be much better.
I have said it and of course experience and knowledge can be much better than just relying on luck, gambling with enjoyment on football match will really feel if can win it and of course it is proud team.
In fact, all this is not only about sports betting but also other bets such as lotteries, if buy tickets with random numbers without predictions will not be able to increase chances of winning.
We gamble using money and it not easy to get money, isn't it?
From here we have to think that betting with full consideration and good predictions will be able to minimize losses and provide confidence in what is being bet on.

But, without properly explaining some nuances, relying too much on knowledge and skills can make you take too many risks. That's the reason why (I think) many experts don't get relatively better results than the average bettor.

And be careful, because when you talk about lotteries you think that there is some kind of skill that make you increase your chances to win, and lottery is 100% dependent on chance, so we should take it out of the equation.

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January 26, 2024, 02:59:36 PM
 #105

The gambler who want to make a profit from the gambling site should guess the maximum accuracy.
I don't get about having this maximum accuracy. Is it a requirement that someone has to go with maximum accuracy of what? of winning?

Because the gamblers who bet with the more accuracy able to win the particular betting,making the maximum accuracy in the game help the gamblers to make the big win in the game.
Accuracy of what actually? Accuracy of able to win or being good at gambling? There's a lot of accuracies that I am thinking of with just these words you've said. And why you keep on saying about maximum accuracy? It's something that no one can control if this accuracy that you're talking about is related to gambling. It can be said about this accuracy but you'll never be able to put that at its maximum.

The random better was considered to be the guessing in the gambling site,but gambling was totally different one.Because the guessing should be made based on the probability and technical knowledge about that particular game.The gamblers should understand the luck also playing huge role in the gambling business,So the gamblers also increase their luck possibility by good deeds.
When it's about guessing, it's just like a total and outright guess at all. Because when you will include about technical knowledge and those information that has a basis then you're not guessing anymore, what you are doing is analyzing and that's normal in gambling. But in the latter, I'd agree with you about understanding luck but relating it to good deeds and increasing your chances by doing so, I don't see relation of it.

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January 26, 2024, 06:54:40 PM
 #106

I am concerned to ask, can such a person build a gambling carrier with such an excellent guessing prohibition? Or he should trash it all and believe that gambling predictions remains a game of luck?

Gambling is a different type of game cause there's always the game fever but with the special gift of the person based on your explanation, I believe his gift will give him some chance with the crash game and some slots because they mostly involve guessing the next game movement. However, the person in the subject still needs to know about gambling profitably.

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January 26, 2024, 06:59:11 PM
 #107

Gambling is something different from all manners of social guessing, some will even think to the extent of consulting a psychist for them to be able to get the required achievement they planned for while gambling, yet there's nothing they could end up achieving from this because it doesn't work the way most of them pictured it, you either gamble and win by luck or your skills earn you the rewards for winning, another thing to consider is when you're not even gambling to make money than to have fun, you will be less concerned to have this.

R


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Oilacris
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January 26, 2024, 07:30:37 PM
 #108

Gambling is something different from all manners of social guessing, some will even think to the extent of consulting a psychist for them to be able to get the required achievement they planned for while gambling, yet there's nothing they could end up achieving from this because it doesn't work the way most of them pictured it, you either gamble and win by luck or your skills earn you the rewards for winning, another thing to consider is when you're not even gambling to make money than to have fun, you will be less concerned to have this.
It isnt something that you could really be able to apply if we do speak about being a good guesser into gambling on which we know that there are really things which cant really be predicted no matter what specially on luck based games or casino games on which it isnt something that could really be hold or known for when it comes on being lucky. IF you are someone who do able to make some good guesses on things but it would be just good at there and better not to make yourself that thinking that you could really be that lucky once you do step your foot into gambling field.
We do know that it isnt something applicable when you do play gambling so better remove that kind of idea in mind because it will really just that make you desperate.
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January 26, 2024, 07:37:19 PM
 #109

Do you really know what gambling is or you are just trying to play along with the way of posting in the forum, like trying to seem to be active instead of taking the time to learn what gambling is and trying to be engaged in it by trying to experience the real game that is called gambling.


I mean no offense but what gou put out here os just a makeup story because there is no way your colleagues won't know your marital status since it is in the work guidelines and the HRM will constantly remind employees of other staff's marital status and that is why you have Mr and mrs or miss in the workplace, that is administration for you.

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January 26, 2024, 07:45:08 PM
 #110

Guessing doesn't require mental courage, even answering as long as it is correct will be considered a coincidence.
Different from gambling, you bet to risk the money you bet. There is a clear risk you are taking.
So this is not related at all. If guessing was a good way to gamble maybe magicians could get rich when they gambled.

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January 26, 2024, 07:49:54 PM
 #111

These is a scenero of such game. Behold dear gamblers, someone in our midsts was able to make an exact 10 right guesses out of this challenge meanwhile others could even make count of a single right guess

This opted one of us to say to the champion that.... Oh wow, man, you are professional guesser. Maybe someone like you could be a professional gambling predictional.

I am concerned to ask, can such a person build a gambling carrier with such an excellent guessing prohibition? Or he should trash it all and believe that gambling predictions remains a game of luck?
I don't think so, maybe it was just pure luck and coincidences on all that guess and it could change your view at some point when something like a money was on the line. You tend to be carefree at guessing like that but when it comes to gambling you're thinking more than you could think, I think psychology has some explanations on that or it's still part of some unsolved mysteries, lol. Grin
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January 26, 2024, 08:22:39 PM
 #112

In my opinion, a good guesser may not succeed in gambling. This is because gambling and prediction are two different things. Gambling requires more than just a guest work to record a win. Any gambler who rely on guessing will continue to lose heavily because such a gambler will not want to look into statistics which is vital for making a good prediction.
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January 26, 2024, 10:04:01 PM
 #113

Some lucky bettors might be able to predict a game or two, but if they take gambling seriously, eventually they'll find out that analysis of available data and using it for their next bets will work more. .......

There are those who perceive and evaluate gambling as mere amusement, but it is crucial to bear in mind that, despite such perceptions, we must acknowledge that there are inherent risks involved in gambling, along with the detrimental consequences it may have. Moreover, for certain individuals, gambling is regarded as a solemn undertaking; nonetheless, it is imperative to approach this pursuit with cautiousness and discernment.

When we discuss the seriousness of gambling, it goes beyond simply being prepared to lose money or devising strategies to improve our odds of winning. There are other crucial aspects that demand equal attention and a serious approach. Specifically, we must prioritize self-control and adopt measures to minimize or eliminate the detrimental consequences associated with gambling. It is imperative that we prioritize effective risk management and strike a harmonious balance between our gambling endeavors and other aspects of our lives.

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January 27, 2024, 04:04:16 AM
 #114

I am concerned to ask, can such a person build a gambling carrier with such an excellent guessing prohibition? Or he should trash it all and believe that gambling predictions remains a game of luck?

Some of the guesses you use as examples are just guesses and the results if correct are just coincidences, but some can be analyzed, such as how long it takes you to drive from home to work and shoe size, and sports betting is more about analysis, not just guessing because if you just guess, the chances of winning will be getting smaller and there is indeed a luck factor such as when choosing an underdog.
In sports betting some people can really analyze carefully so that they can win but I believe that is because they really pay attention to the sport, if you have never followed football then it will be quite difficult for you to analyze, so sports betting also depends on our analysis and your liking for the sport, it is not entirely luck like a lottery that is pure luck.

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January 27, 2024, 07:51:59 AM
 #115

In my opinion, a good guesser may not succeed in gambling. This is because gambling and prediction are two different things. Gambling requires more than just a guest work to record a win. Any gambler who rely on guessing will continue to lose heavily because such a gambler will not want to look into statistics which is vital for making a good prediction.
Besides that, in predicting a match, a person needs the ability to gather more information to analyze the match and find a team that has a chance of winning. With good analytical skills, he may be able to find his team, which will cause him to lose more often because in placing bets, he will rely more on his guesses rather than using his analysis. But if he wants to learn how to analyze a match and find a place to get useful information, he can become a gambler who gambles in sports betting. And he can also predict which team can win against other teams so he can win the bet.

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January 27, 2024, 08:37:22 AM
 #116

gambling is not guessing like that. because actually gambling can be analysed. for example, sports gambling can be analysed before the match starts, for example, football, how the squad can all go down or there are injuries etc.
There's some games in gambling that uses guess as a feature or part of that game, so saying that gambling doesn't involve guessing at all is not true at all. Poker can be a guessing game, have you seen Negreneau stun his opponents and make them lose their poker face a little because he got the cards right? I think that's guessing right? Blackjack is also a guessing game, guessing means that you're not sure about what's happening next but doesn't gambling also give out uncertainty? I don't think that someone who's a good guesser could do a better prediction than those that don't possess the skill to do a good guess most likely they're going to be just increasing their chance of doing the right thing during the decision making but the odds are out there already.



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January 27, 2024, 10:18:04 AM
 #117

In my opinion, a good guesser may not succeed in gambling. This is because gambling and prediction are two different things. Gambling requires more than just a guest work to record a win. Any gambler who rely on guessing will continue to lose heavily because such a gambler will not want to look into statistics which is vital for making a good prediction.
One's own prediction is most effective in gambling. Other people's guesses never work in gambling the type of gambling is always changing. One's own ideas and experiences are a type of bet that can be used in an effort to make money. These are the ones that can easily determine your bankroll systematically or strategically. If you analyze the casino site well and use the betting system the risk is low. You can learn a lot about casino sites that will help you with your next bet.

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Blitzboy
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January 27, 2024, 03:39:39 PM
 #118

gambling is not guessing like that. because actually gambling can be analysed. for example, sports gambling can be analysed before the match starts, for example, football, how the squad can all go down or there are injuries etc.
There's some games in gambling that uses guess as a feature or part of that game, so saying that gambling doesn't involve guessing at all is not true at all. Poker can be a guessing game, have you seen Negreneau stun his opponents and make them lose their poker face a little because he got the cards right? I think that's guessing right? Blackjack is also a guessing game, guessing means that you're not sure about what's happening next but doesn't gambling also give out uncertainty? I don't think that someone who's a good guesser could do a better prediction than those that don't possess the skill to do a good guess most likely they're going to be just increasing their chance of doing the right thing during the decision making but the odds are out there already.
I understand your blackjack example. Another game that requires smart guessing. An intricate calculation of perceived and unseen factors determines whether to hit or stand. Gambling's beauty is how you play it - using knowledge, intuition, and guessing - not just the odds or cards you're handed. Its impossible to match the excitement of making the right judgment when you're not sure of the outcome.

I think being a good guesser helps you win, if somewhat. Being more aware of the game's flow and your opponents' cues improves your chances. While gambling is still unpredictable, improving your guessing skills might make it more fun. Instead of avoiding risk, embrace it with awareness and, dare I say, delight. That makes gambling so entertaining, right?

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January 27, 2024, 04:08:23 PM
 #119

But guess is a guess, no certainty and assurance. What's the criteria to tell that someone is good at guessing? There could be instances wherein that individual could correctly guess 8/10 questions for this day and be wrong in most questions tomorrow, bottomline is lack of consistency given that he/she is just guessing. Also, guessing a general or social question is different from gambling in the aspect that there's the involvement of money with betting and that also means higher rate of pressure and doubt. Not quite sure but you'd be able to guess things better if you are calm and comfortable, which I think a factor as well in this discussion.
In my opinion, a good guesser may not succeed in gambling. This is because gambling and prediction are two different things. Gambling requires more than just a guest work to record a win. Any gambler who rely on guessing will continue to lose heavily because such a gambler will not want to look into statistics which is vital for making a good prediction.
Well, there's an association with the word lack of assurance with the outcome. Whether you are a good guesser or not, if you are unlucky then you are losing in gambling. You'd only be able to increase the chances of winning in betting on games wherein analysis work like with sportsbetting. But as we all know, winning will never be guaranteed. Being certain of winning is different from increasing the "chance" of winning. We are often just "guessing" in gambling 'coz we rely on our fate and luck.

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January 27, 2024, 05:36:41 PM
 #120

In my opinion, a good guesser may not succeed in gambling. This is because gambling and prediction are two different things. Gambling requires more than just a guest work to record a win. Any gambler who rely on guessing will continue to lose heavily because such a gambler will not want to look into statistics which is vital for making a good prediction.
One's own prediction is most effective in gambling. Other people's guesses never work in gambling the type of gambling is always changing. One's own ideas and experiences are a type of bet that can be used in an effort to make money. These are the ones that can easily determine your bankroll systematically or strategically. If you analyze the casino site well and use the betting system the risk is low. You can learn a lot about casino sites that will help you with your next bet.
That is very true, we as people know very well that things when we try to do them better, we have various ways of looking for information through influencers, YouTube, looking for videos, things that can give us a way, but honestly I had not heard of seeing people making predictions in a casino game, however it is valid, when we can see things in that sense we can see that things can be very optimal like this, but the predictions can happen more than everything for sports plans, and they can also be given firmly if it is considered good, then every time we are seeing any eventuality in a casino it catches our attention, I personally have always seen that the strategies are very good, But as in everything, sometimes in sports betting the predictions fail, and as you say, sometimes the strategies fail, there are many people who do not believe in strategies.

Strategies in casinos are sometimes very good when you know how to use them, as I have said on many occasions, there is no single strategy, things can happen very differently if we use strategies that have a lot to do with trying to do things different, sometimes the strategies don't work, just like sometimes you use one, two, three and it works, but I am one of those who when they play they apply everything they know, because basically when things are tried to be done differently they work out well. Applying strategies has always worked out well for me, I don't know about others, I do believe in strategies, and the truth is that it helps me not to have a totally flat and meaningless game sometimes if we play just as if it were a pattern or something like that, At least I always lose, but when I apply strategies or do something different from what I always do, it goes well for me, I don't know but it works for me.

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