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Author Topic: Bitcoin Halving effect  (Read 521 times)
humanvelocity (OP)
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January 25, 2024, 12:18:04 PM
 #1

As we all are aware Bitcoin Halving is excepted to happen around April-May2024. Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024. If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock. I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

Even for those who want short term goals could easily see their investments grow like crazy by next halving which be in 2028.

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"

This is just something i thought i would share with the community if someone wasn't aware but let me know what you believe and also please feel to share your thoughts on this even if you disagree with whatever i've said above.
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January 25, 2024, 12:33:10 PM
 #2

Bitcoin halving was always good for bitcoin and is certainly expected to do the same thing... BUT.

We all expected a big grow, after the BTC ETF approve, but the opposite happened. I think tha most probably, it will amek the BTC grow, but some amount of scepticallity is healthy for everyone. Wink
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January 25, 2024, 12:34:56 PM
 #3

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.

.
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humanvelocity (OP)
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January 25, 2024, 12:54:04 PM
 #4

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.

When you say in longterm Bitcoin price will stabilize, in how many year do you mean? Like approx 10 years?
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January 25, 2024, 01:51:15 PM
 #5

Even for those who want short term goals could easily see their investments grow like crazy by next halving which be in 2028.
It is important to note this is NOT granted.  'Could' is the key word.  It could.  But it does not mean it will.

ETF has been recently approved.  Every body was expecting a long lasting giant green candle on the chart.  It did not happen however.  The opposite did.

Continuing to invest only money you are willing to let go is important.  Keep investing safely, even if history shows your investments are going to earn you a lot of profit.

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January 25, 2024, 01:52:53 PM
Merited by lizarder (1)
 #6

I'm just talking about the history that I know, even though I've never experienced it myself when halvings have occurred.
According to history, every time a halving occurs, the price spike is very large and I will justify this because more than 5 news sources that I have read, including more than a small group of experts in the crypto world, have explained the positive impact that will occur regarding the Bitcoin halving which is predicted to occur in 2024 corresponds to a 4-year event.

Even though the Bitcoin halving will have a good impact on Bitcoin investors who have a large amount of Bitcoin, in my opinion, investors who expect big profits through price returns during the halving must do it consistently and need to prepare everything well before the halving occurs.
The huge profits that investors will get during the halving and after, are not limited to Bitcoin investors alone. In my opinion, the positive effects in terms of profits will also be experienced by altcoin investors that I know.

For me, these are the times that test investors' patience in holding Bitcoin in the midst of a market situation that is experiencing correction and experiencing difficulties in improving what I have seen myself since I have been active. This means that in the midst of an increase, the price starts to move, suddenly returns to the bottom, or rather at the previous price.

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January 25, 2024, 01:54:13 PM
 #7

I am looking forward to seeing bullish run again in the market so that I can make some money again, I missed the last time bull run. I don't wanna face same scenario again.
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January 25, 2024, 02:01:21 PM
 #8

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.

When you say in longterm Bitcoin price will stabilize, in how many year do you mean? Like approx 10 years?

No... what I imagine is something that will take decades, maybe our generation won't see it. Bitcoin is still very young, the software is a BETA version that is still in full development. So even though it doesn't seem like it, we are at the beginning of all this.

.
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January 25, 2024, 02:08:11 PM
 #9

Bitcoin halving was always good for bitcoin and is certainly expected to do the same thing... BUT.

We all expected a big grow, after the BTC ETF approve, but the opposite happened. I think tha most probably, it will amek the BTC grow, but some amount of scepticallity is healthy for everyone. Wink


ETF and halving are entirely different events. Can't judge one by the other. Halving always leads to a big bull run.

Also the ETFs DID make bitcoin grow. Hype for the ETFs is largely what drove Bitcoin from like $30k to high $40,000s the past few months. And ETFs will continue to increase the price in the future as billions of dollars continue to flow into them. The main reason price temporarily dropped after the ETFs were approved is because people wanted to "sell the news" and there's been $2-3 billion dollars of selling from the Grayscale ETF which has neutralized what would otherwise have been a strong positive effect from the billions of buying into the other ETFs.
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January 25, 2024, 02:11:55 PM
 #10

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.
We saw it with Bitcoin and Ethereum and if we look beyond cryptocurrency market, we will see a same with gold. It is logic to see less growth rate when an asset has higher price and bigger marketcap, it will have less growth rate.

In future, we might see big growth after like two cycles, not a single one when block subsidy becomes smaller and it potentially makes halving has less impacts on price with only one cycle. Gold has a longer cycle than Bitcoin and I believe it relates to its marketcap too.

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January 25, 2024, 02:18:58 PM
 #11

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.
It's not that the impact of the halving is decreasing or getting smaller, it's that bitcoin is getting bigger so it's only natural that it gives smaller and smaller returns. Any asset will have a limit to its growth and at some point it will reach its maximum and saturation. Similar to gold, it also has a very good growth period but will gradually stabilize and bitcoin is no exception. That is also the reason why many people are gradually switching to investing in Altcoins with the hope of earning higher profits but with more risk.

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January 25, 2024, 02:35:59 PM
 #12

As we all are aware Bitcoin Halving is excepted to happen around April-May2024. Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024. If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock. I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

Bitcoin halving is around the corner and there's a parable that goes "a good journey starts with a good kola" so at least since the halving is drawing near, we should have started seeing some good signs of our optimism in the price of Bitcoin rather than the price continuously dipping even more, though the dip stands as an opportunity to accumulate more Bitcoins, but it would have been better if the price maybe fluctuate like the price dipping and rising a bit till the correction processes has been undergone but regardless of what we're experiencing in bitcoin price movement now, we should be optimistic that a noticable pump will surely occur after the halving in the bull market therefore, there shouldn't be any "cause for an alarm" now rather we should hold our coins and never sell it off before the halving.

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"

Although we learn from histories of previous reoccurrence but however, what is permanent in life is changes because the future is uncertain regardless of our speculation and predictions therefore as we are hoping for the best, we should as well prepare for the worst.

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January 25, 2024, 03:03:35 PM
 #13

I am looking forward to seeing bullish run again in the market so that I can make some money again, I missed the last time bull run. I don't wanna face same scenario again.
If you don’t want to regret again next time, you should try and buy when you have the money to invest just do it and don’t wait for the price to drop to zero first because that might never happen, bitcoin price is just not predictable when you will be waiting for it to drop is when it will go up and so on, so buy and hold now for you not to regret again, the bull run is coming we can’t tell exactly when but it will come so why wait for it try to buy and hold for long in other not to be taken by surprise.

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January 25, 2024, 03:17:09 PM
 #14

As we all are aware Bitcoin Halving is excepted to happen around April-May2024.

We keep hearing different and contrary opinions on the expected date for halving to take place, some will say in March while some will give April and May respectively, there have been a lot countdown to this and we keep hearing different versions of the counts, all I know is that halving will happen before the mid year.

Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024

It's never too late to invest and hold, we can also make profitability in it even before halving when the market surges or we engage trading.

R


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January 25, 2024, 03:17:13 PM
 #15

This will not happen. After the halving occurs, there is usually a price correction because many people think that the price will rise immediately after it. The halving has an effect on the price, but the effect is in the long term, and the price of Bitcoin will not change in May or June, and it rises because of the halving, but the possibility of stability or correction is higher.

We will see the effect starting in October
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January 25, 2024, 03:51:05 PM
 #16

Yeah, i think, We are just in the setup phase before entering the bull cycle, the possibility and history is that after the halving there are only about 3 months left. This stage involves establishing the initiation process and this boundary is necessary to create opportunities for deliberation, trust and decision. After the halving, it seems to be just HODL.

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January 25, 2024, 04:04:00 PM
 #17


We will find out when the halving is over and I think it will take weeks to months until the supply in the market dries out and that's when we see the prices going to Mars.

The only problem I see here is the global issue like the war that is escalating as it wouldn't help people to find investments like BTC. The supply may be fewer and fewer but fewer investors also coming into Bitcoin due to global issues.


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January 25, 2024, 04:04:59 PM
 #18

When you say in longterm Bitcoin price will stabilize, in how many year do you mean? Like approx 10 years?
No... what I imagine is something that will take decades, maybe our generation won't see it. Bitcoin is still very young, the software is a BETA version that is still in full development. So even though it doesn't seem like it, we are at the beginning of all this.

We are definitely heading towards price stability even though it would never be like a a stable coin but the fluctuations that some Alt-coins experiences due to volatility is not the same as that of bitcoin. The volatility rate of bitcoin price is no longer high again. If we look at the price we are even expecting in the next bull run many will tell you that at most it will be a $200k new ATH which is just like 3x from the current ATH before we would have even predicted a 5x to 10x but no the market is not that too volatile and that’s why the best thing is to hodl for a very long term



ETF and halving are entirely different events. Can't judge one by the other. Halving always leads to a big bull run.

Also the ETFs DID make bitcoin grow. Hype for the ETFs is largely what drove Bitcoin from like $30k to high $40,000s the past few months. And ETFs will continue to increase the price in the future as billions of dollars continue to flow into them. The main reason price temporarily dropped after the ETFs were approved is because people wanted to "sell the news" and there's been $2-3 billion dollars of selling from the Grayscale ETF which has neutralized what would otherwise have been a strong positive effect from the billions of buying into the other ETFs.

People actually hyped this ETF saga still to a very high potential thinking it could push it way high but that’s not the case as bitcoin tends to re correct after every hype that either affects it negatively or positively. This high level of sale as expected is by whales because they knew many will give in and once ETF is approved they will take their profit early before the market actually corrects. The idea is look into long term and not a short term like ETF hypes

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January 25, 2024, 04:05:33 PM
 #19

After getting hopeless from ETFs, I think a lot of people are starting to hope for halvings. There is nothing wrong, because history states that every time a halving occurs, there will be a long-lasting green candle. However, this does not mean that it is a definite guarantee that it will happen again. This is still false and just speculation. We will see the rest of the real market conditions after the halving.

Once again, accumulating BTC is currently still the best way. We can get more BTC for the next few years as long as we always make regular purchases.
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January 25, 2024, 04:13:34 PM
 #20

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.

Yes Dear due to very reasons like the last halving did not have that kind of news as in the current time e.g., Approval of BTC, involvement of Blackraok in BTC, and many more prospectives. well I would also suggest that keep accumulating some amount of Bitcoin from time to time as if the market will not give us a good buying chance, we will not feel bad about missing any chance because we are accumulating on the current span also.

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January 25, 2024, 04:20:20 PM
 #21

The halving we're expecting is going to bring something positive and big in terms of the price. Is going to be an opportunity many investors and traders are looking up to and I know we're expecting to see Bitcoin price move higher than what we're seeing. Is it that the price of Bitcoin is going to be as high as $100k+ when the time comes?
For now $50k is even hard to get to (is this how the price was back then in the last halving? Slow) and I don't know which sign we're going to be looking out for since the price hasn't gotten to $45k yet, is this another strategy or is this halving not going to be as expected?🤔

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January 25, 2024, 04:27:52 PM
 #22

~snip~
If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock.


However, I would like to point out that you may have forgotten one very important fact that changes with each subsequent halving - and this is because the first era of mining "produced" as much as 50 BTC, and the current one only 6.25 BTC (about 900 BTC per day) which will be reduced by another 50% with the next halving.

That "supply shock" you mention is not something that can have an impact like before, because the 450 BTC that the miners will "produce" will not cause any shocks on the market where we already have 19+ million BTC.

I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

Recently, a member claimed the same thing as you, with the difference that he even mentioned the halving date (which can't be precisely determined anyway) as the best date to buy BTC - but I wonder again if it wasn't better to buy BTC when the price touched the bottom and was under $20 000?

Of course, those who invest only for profit and want to "double their earnings" as quickly as possible have reason to be optimistic - but if they had thought differently based on past events, they could have already earned at least 300% on their investment.

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January 25, 2024, 04:45:37 PM
 #23

As we all are aware Bitcoin Halving is excepted to happen around April-May2024. Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024. If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock. I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

Even for those who want short term goals could easily see their investments grow like crazy by next halving which be in 2028.

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"

This is just something i thought i would share with the community if someone wasn't aware but let me know what you believe and also please feel to share your thoughts on this even if you disagree with whatever i've said above.
This is for people who are only willing to invest because of Halving so that they will get a quick profit from their bitcoin investment, not for real investors who are always ready to buy bitcoin anytime, regardless of the price of bitcoin.
The interesting thing now is that many people are embracing bitcoin because of halving, and I believe they will enjoy the decentralization behind it and keep investing and holding bitcoin even after halving.

This is a good investment time because the bitcoin price can just shoot up after this dump because we are approaching halving and the price of bitcoin is supposed to approach its all-time high before halving. Therefore, let's invest now and wait for a better opportunity to sell. Let's use this opportunity to bag more bitcoin.

.
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January 25, 2024, 05:10:52 PM
 #24

As we all are aware Bitcoin Halving is excepted to happen around April-May2024. Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024. If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock. I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

Even for those who want short term goals could easily see their investments grow like crazy by next halving which be in 2028.

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"

This is just something i thought i would share with the community if someone wasn't aware but let me know what you believe and also please feel to share your thoughts on this even if you disagree with whatever i've said above.
The growth wasn't necessarily due to supply shock, as you put it. Growth seems to happen after halving, but not immediately after it, and perhaps it can't even be directly attributed to it. It can be just FOMO due to being reminded that fewer and fewer coins are entering the total supply, or just increased demand because of some Bitcoin cycles taking a certain period of time. It's not so easy to measure, and there haven't been many halvings to say that it's a strong correlation. Halvings will keep happening, but I think Bitcoin would grow by 2028 even if the halvings stopped all of a sudden.

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January 25, 2024, 05:18:19 PM
 #25

As we all are aware Bitcoin Halving is excepted to happen around April-May2024. Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024. If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock. I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

Even for those who want short term goals could easily see their investments grow like crazy by next halving which be in 2028.

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"

This is just something i thought i would share with the community if someone wasn't aware but let me know what you believe and also please feel to share your thoughts on this even if you disagree with whatever i've said above.
The growth wasn't necessarily due to supply shock, as you put it. Growth seems to happen after halving, but not immediately after it, and perhaps it can't even be directly attributed to it. It can be just FOMO due to being reminded that fewer and fewer coins are entering the total supply, or just increased demand because of some Bitcoin cycles taking a certain period of time. It's not so easy to measure, and there haven't been many halvings to say that it's a strong correlation. Halvings will keep happening, but I think Bitcoin would grow by 2028 even if the halvings stopped all of a sudden.

Nowadays it's more due to FOMO from past stories and natural market movement. Due to the reduction in supply through mining companies, the impact will not be much because more than 90% of the supply has already been extracted.

I'm just curious to know what it will be like when the block reward is less than 1BTC. At some point in history (I don't know if I'll be alive to see this in the future, I believe it will take decades) they will have to review whether 8 decimal places are enough for Bitcoin.

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January 25, 2024, 05:22:09 PM
 #26

The halving we're expecting is going to bring something positive and big in terms of the price. Is going to be an opportunity many investors and traders are looking up to and I know we're expecting to see Bitcoin price move higher than what we're seeing. Is it that the price of Bitcoin is going to be as high as $100k+ when the time comes?
For now $50k is even hard to get to (is this how the price was back then in the last halving? Slow) and I don't know which sign we're going to be looking out for since the price hasn't gotten to $45k yet, is this another strategy or is this halving not going to be as expected?🤔
If the halving brings bitcoin to a price of 100k over the next year, the price of 50k bitcoin should arrive soon. because the process of getting to the moon takes a lot of time. I hope 50k bitcoin can be targeted soon in the coming month. This will be an extraordinary ATH, even though everyone has to go through the whale drama that will occur, we have to be mentally prepared

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January 25, 2024, 05:29:24 PM
 #27

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.
Bro. what makes you think that impact of this time's halving will be smaller? You think that because of ETFs approval? Bitcoin's price is still very volatile, we cannot say anything for sure about the impact of the halving. but anything can happen..
I am personally expecting positive impact on Bitcoin and Altcoin after halving.

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.

When you say in longterm Bitcoin price will stabilize, in how many year do you mean? Like approx 10 years?
I don't think Bitcoin's price will easily stabalize, Bitcoin is not a stablecoin. so it's market value will also fluctuate at some context. maybe a bit steadier than now. but 100% stablity is just not possible.









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January 25, 2024, 05:32:28 PM
 #28


Bro. what makes you think that impact of this time's halving will be smaller?


Precisely because almost all of the supply has already been extracted by mining and is available to the market, from then on it is the market that dictates the price, therefore, the more time passes, the less volatile it will be.

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January 25, 2024, 06:11:23 PM
 #29

What we are going to see is halved supply, and later on the demand will increase due to FOMO. What we have is a cycle, and everyone is aware of this cycle, which means that we can't really let it be, we can't just ignore the cycle.

So when a lot of people trust the cycle, and think that it is true, then the result ends up being something marginal, something that actually matters, and that is the point that we should be having. If enough people trust it, they will spend money on buying it, all thinking that it will go up. When they all buy, because they think it will go up, that means there will be more demand. With lesser supply for miners, and higher demand by FOMO public perception, the price of course starts to go up.

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January 25, 2024, 06:16:06 PM
 #30

Bitcoin halving is not so far but the price is also not so higher as that was in previous few weeks therefore if someone still accumulating bitcoin then he will not wait for halving of 2028 but he can take profit from halving in the current year. I think that coming halving will give more strong results of success than the halving of 2020 because every year we see new highest worth of bitcoin that we previously never have examined. TAKING profit from coming halving is still easy but for those who believe in halving and who are constantly keeping eye on price chart and price movement.



 

 

 

 

 

 


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January 25, 2024, 06:40:06 PM
 #31

Op you said nothing in this thread. Op I didn't see any effect you explained in the thread because the topic says about the effects of bitcoin halving and I didn't notice that in the thread. The price is still $39+k to $40k and if the price will still come down before the halving then it is also good for those who want to invest at once to wait a little bit. We all know that after the halving the price nof bitcoin will go up so if anyone is interested to invest the person can start from now till the halving Period.

But if the there is money now the person can divide it into two. And invest some now and use the remaining parts to do business and when the main dip comes then the remaining balance should be use to invest. That is another strategy for investment.









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January 25, 2024, 07:35:30 PM
 #32

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"

This is just something i thought i would share with the community if someone wasn't aware but let me know what you believe and also please feel to share your thoughts on this even if you disagree with whatever i've said above.

It is a fact and very obvious how bitcoin price have moved rapidly after every halving that have taken place since the inception of bitcoin ecosystem. It is no more a news and has become something that is highly anticipated by all bitcoin enthusiasts and the public to see how bitcoin will make a new all-time high after the next coming halving which will take place this year.

For those that want to benefit from it, they’re already sticking their bags and preparing for the big rewards and with all this signs, some people don’t feel interested and still think that the bitcoin investment is not something to be trusted as they think they’ll be doomed if they invested in such asset.

One thing is certain, which is that; you can never get everyone interested in something 100%, no matter how genuine and truthful it might look, some people will still find an excuse to support their claim in why they don’t fancy it. Let those who believe invest and those that don’t can simply back out and watch out the space will grow more.

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January 25, 2024, 08:06:54 PM
 #33

It is a fact and very obvious how bitcoin price have moved rapidly after every halving that have taken place since the inception of bitcoin ecosystem. It is no more a news and has become something that is highly anticipated by all bitcoin enthusiasts and the public to see how bitcoin will make a new all-time high after the next coming halving which will take place this year.

For those that want to benefit from it, they’re already sticking their bags and preparing for the big rewards and with all this signs, some people don’t feel interested and still think that the bitcoin investment is not something to be trusted as they think they’ll be doomed if they invested in such asset.

One thing is certain, which is that; you can never get everyone interested in something 100%, no matter how genuine and truthful it might look, some people will still find an excuse to support their claim in why they don’t fancy it. Let those who believe invest and those that don’t can simply back out and watch out the space will grow more.
In fact, not many people invest, and even if a person knows about Bitcoin and knows that it can grow and make a profit, but has never invested money anywhere before, then he may simply be afraid to try, afraid to risk his savings, because fear losing everything is stronger than the desire to make a profit.
Halving should do its job and most likely we will see a growth Bitcoin price after the halving, but now it is difficult to say what this growth will be, how much Bitcoin can grow, and the most important question: will correction before the halving and how much the price of Bitcoin can fall. If it falls, it will be a good reason to buy more Bitcoin.

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January 25, 2024, 08:20:06 PM
 #34

Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024. If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock. I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

The price cannot keep growing exponentially forever, even only due to a limited number of money in existence (well, sort of). The other factor is, the each halving has a much lesser impact on the supply side. If you look at each cycle and compare them to each other, you'll see that the growth, expressed as a percentage was lower in each cycle compared to the previous one, which is kind of obvious but there are still many retail investors hoping for x100 or more, just because it happened in the past.
We have to be realistic in our expectations. Learning from history might be a good thing, but expecting things to unfold exactly the same way every time is not.

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January 25, 2024, 08:59:13 PM
 #35

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price...

The bitcoin price will never stabilize because bitcoin is an asset that will always have volatility, like gold for example. And since bitcoin has its own volatility, it will always have a supply-demand relationship, which means that its price will always change within a certain range.

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January 25, 2024, 09:08:28 PM
 #36

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price...

The bitcoin price will never stabilize because bitcoin is an asset that will always have volatility, like gold for example. And since bitcoin has its own volatility, it will always have a supply-demand relationship, which means that its price will always change within a certain range.

Everything is volatile, nothing keeps the same price because the market has this nature....

I expressed myself poorly... but what I meant was that volatility will become milder, not as violent as it has historically been. But it's something that I imagine will take a few decades, maybe we won't even be around to see it happen anymore.

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January 25, 2024, 09:09:51 PM
 #37

...//:::
I am not saying that it is your case OP, but there is an apparent; "I have to say, love Halving."  ok.

Although the Halving have a positive effect on the perspective at the price,  determining that effect for this same year is still a coin-flip.

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January 25, 2024, 09:18:27 PM
 #38

Even for those who want short term goals could easily see their investments grow like crazy by next halving which be in 2028.
Why wait for the next halving? Just focus on the current and let things happen in the future. Don't look yet on that year when we're still far from that. Take a closer look for this year and next year because as the halving comes, it's assumed that the bull run will come as a start to this year up to next year. And for those short term goals, you may want to have altcoins for that because they're known for it.

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"
This hurts me because I did wrong things on my holdings on 2021 bull run and that's making me learn it right now. That's fine because as long as I've got what it takes to hold and I understand the importance of it, that's what matters to me this day. We've got a different contributor this time and that's the Bitcoin spot etf and together with the help of halving too, we're expecting that the value will increase soon.

This is just something i thought i would share with the community if someone wasn't aware but let me know what you believe and also please feel to share your thoughts on this even if you disagree with whatever i've said above.
I have nothing to disagree but just want to tell that you should only focus on the time that you're currently living. But there is nothing wrong to goal to the next halving but before doing that, take the advantage of what we're about go through and that's with this year's halving.

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January 25, 2024, 09:21:33 PM
 #39

Bitcoin halving was always good for bitcoin and is certainly expected to do the same thing... BUT.

We all expected a big grow, after the BTC ETF approve, but the opposite happened. I think tha most probably, it will amek the BTC grow, but some amount of scepticallity is healthy for everyone. Wink
ETFs and Halving are 2 different things I think so in this case we cannot link between one and the other because after all this cannot be equated so that in this case even if in the end this affects a little but will not have a big impact.

Halving always gives the best hope for the growth of bitcoin in the end even though we don't know what will happen in the future but we still hold firm that halving can bring a good thing for the growth of bitcoin in the future. it is the hope that we always want so to find out whether it can happen or not then we just have to wait for it.

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January 25, 2024, 09:42:41 PM
 #40


Bro. what makes you think that impact of this time's halving will be smaller?


Precisely because almost all of the supply has already been extracted by mining and is available to the market, from then on it is the market that dictates the price, therefore, the more time passes, the less volatile it will be.
I disagree, as long as the supply in bitcoin market are not clogging meaning, if bitcoins are being circulated in the market afe getting more higher then that's the time when bitcoin price will lessen, its like supply and demand, as long as many investors are buying bitcoin the halving effect will take place, as we know halving season is coming and because of that many investors are stocking their bitcoin holdings and as the demand rise up expect the result of price bitcoin being sky rocked that how I bull run is, its not the market who does the bull run, its us investors who make the effect and movement in the market, so I don't think thie year or the time bull run comes I don't the effect will be little. Maybe not just like the other bull run, because bitcoin is already at a high price, but still, the impact of the bull run will be shocking.

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January 25, 2024, 09:42:47 PM
 #41

  
   Bitcoin halving is the reduction in the number of time Bitcoin is  being given out into circulation, at these event,  it brings down the new Bitcoin's supply rate,making a scarcity in the market which make the value of Bitcoin to go high due to supply demand and growing demand, since it's price goes up with every halving.

   Halving can affect prices which are
●   Rewards after mining are halved( that is ,the miners gets lower benefit confirming transaction by 50%) which give rise to healthy and capable increased the network. In reducing its  new bitcoin production, it make sure that Bitcoin's provision is finite and limited .
●Bitcoin inflation rate reduces after halving.
● Halving brings about high market  attention and publicity! .
 It's important areas are its fixed supply and downward block benefits that happen every four years.
Sexylizzy2813
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January 25, 2024, 11:38:50 PM
 #42

The halving we're expecting is going to bring something positive and big in terms of the price. Is going to be an opportunity many investors and traders are looking up to and I know we're expecting to see Bitcoin price move higher than what we're seeing. Is it that the price of Bitcoin is going to be as high as $100k+ when the time comes?
For now $50k is even hard to get to (is this how the price was back then in the last halving? Slow) and I don't know which sign we're going to be looking out for since the price hasn't gotten to $45k yet, is this another strategy or is this halving not going to be as expected?🤔
If the halving brings bitcoin to a price of 100k over the next year, the price of 50k bitcoin should arrive soon. because the process of getting to the moon takes a lot of time. I hope 50k bitcoin can be targeted soon in the coming month. This will be an extraordinary ATH, even though everyone has to go through the whale drama that will occur, we have to be mentally prepared

You're right with what you said but you know that if $50k will arrive soon and the process of getting to the moon takes a lot of time, also know that investors and traders are expecting something bigger than $50k before now, because by now we shouldn't be seeing the price at $39-40k or even $41k at this point.
The amount you mentioned ($50k) would have come to pass since December 2023 but I don't see that happening, that was my expectation base on how Bitcoin price has been moving successfully but it made a stop at $40-44k, couldn't get past $45k till now, but I feel the preparation for the big event is on its way that's why we are having this delay.

R


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January 25, 2024, 11:55:45 PM
 #43

From the price history of Bitcoin, I only know that the peak of Bitcoin's bull price usually takes place the year after halving. In the past, that's how it happened, and unless history changes hands, that's probably how it's going to happen again. The price peak will be experienced next year, although the price for this year may not be as low as last year.

Whoever still wants to invest in Bitcoin should remember to invest the amount of money that they can hold for a long time. It is easy to say that Bitcoin can get to $80k before the end of this year, but that speculated price is not usually certain, and that is the reason why someone should only invest with the money they will not want to use so urgently because if they do, the price of Bitcoin might not be bullish when they want to sell off, and if they sell at a low price, they will lose.

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January 26, 2024, 02:51:22 AM
 #44

The halving we're expecting is going to bring something positive and big in terms of the price. Is going to be an opportunity many investors and traders are looking up to and I know we're expecting to see Bitcoin price move higher than what we're seeing. Is it that the price of Bitcoin is going to be as high as $100k+ when the time comes?
For now $50k is even hard to get to (is this how the price was back then in the last halving? Slow) and I don't know which sign we're going to be looking out for since the price hasn't gotten to $45k yet, is this another strategy or is this halving not going to be as expected?🤔
If the halving brings bitcoin to a price of 100k over the next year, the price of 50k bitcoin should arrive soon. because the process of getting to the moon takes a lot of time. I hope 50k bitcoin can be targeted soon in the coming month. This will be an extraordinary ATH, even though everyone has to go through the whale drama that will occur, we have to be mentally prepared

You're right with what you said but you know that if $50k will arrive soon and the process of getting to the moon takes a lot of time, also know that investors and traders are expecting something bigger than $50k before now, because by now we shouldn't be seeing the price at $39-40k or even $41k at this point.
The amount you mentioned ($50k) would have come to pass since December 2023 but I don't see that happening, that was my expectation base on how Bitcoin price has been moving successfully but it made a stop at $40-44k, couldn't get past $45k till now, but I feel the preparation for the big event is on its way that's why we are having this delay.
If last month Bitcoin could touch 50k it could be a different story now, only a few digits short of reaching the target number has experienced a drastic decline. Indeed, ETFs can have a positive impact only for a short time. and they are waiting for bitcoin to bottom as I expect if bitcoin can reach 33k/35k, as the market is experiencing volume down

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January 26, 2024, 03:12:11 AM
 #45


"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"


Quite true. I also believe that with the current dip of the Bitcoin market this can be a good opportunity to buy or add more BTC into our portfolio. While no one can be sure what can be, we can be guided by precedents or those that happened in the past. Personally, I am a little bit shocked that ETF so far never produced the strong push for Bitcoin so it can get into a new ATH, am hoping that the halving can do it. So what should we do? Let's all buy more Bitcoin and then hold them for good until we can realize a good profit. Now, this is just my opinion and not a financial advise.

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January 26, 2024, 06:02:23 AM
 #46

Whether your views about halving are right or wrong, what I believe is that this event has a significant impact on the entire market, not just on Bitcoin alone. People gain optimism because of halving and we can't deny that prices rise after which is what we really experienced in the past halving. Maybe the impact is not that much compared to the past but it could still not disappoint the holders who are waiting for many years.

Whether you believe it or not, we can't influence you either. People are waiting and hoping for something big after halving, why not be positive about it?

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Sexylizzy2813
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January 26, 2024, 07:21:39 AM
 #47

The halving we're expecting is going to bring something positive and big in terms of the price. Is going to be an opportunity many investors and traders are looking up to and I know we're expecting to see Bitcoin price move higher than what we're seeing. Is it that the price of Bitcoin is going to be as high as $100k+ when the time comes?
For now $50k is even hard to get to (is this how the price was back then in the last halving? Slow) and I don't know which sign we're going to be looking out for since the price hasn't gotten to $45k yet, is this another strategy or is this halving not going to be as expected?🤔
If the halving brings bitcoin to a price of 100k over the next year, the price of 50k bitcoin should arrive soon. because the process of getting to the moon takes a lot of time. I hope 50k bitcoin can be targeted soon in the coming month. This will be an extraordinary ATH, even though everyone has to go through the whale drama that will occur, we have to be mentally prepared

You're right with what you said but you know that if $50k will arrive soon and the process of getting to the moon takes a lot of time, also know that investors and traders are expecting something bigger than $50k before now, because by now we shouldn't be seeing the price at $39-40k or even $41k at this point.
The amount you mentioned ($50k) would have come to pass since December 2023 but I don't see that happening, that was my expectation base on how Bitcoin price has been moving successfully but it made a stop at $40-44k, couldn't get past $45k till now, but I feel the preparation for the big event is on its way that's why we are having this delay.
If last month Bitcoin could touch 50k it could be a different story now, only a few digits short of reaching the target number has experienced a drastic decline. Indeed, ETFs can have a positive impact only for a short time. and they are waiting for bitcoin to bottom as I expect if bitcoin can reach 33k/35k, as the market is experiencing volume down

I thought ETF would have made a great impact as of last month being December to elevate the price, like letting it continue the flow but it didn't, is like the price movement was on hold that something was keeping it from getting a little bit closer to $50k.
You're right, if $50k would have been possible since last month the story would have been different and the price market would have been counting $55-60k by now, is not going to be anytime soon ($50-60) before the halving.

R


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January 26, 2024, 11:03:22 AM
 #48

The bitcointalk forum is an eye opener to cryptocurrency investors, trading by having information about Bitcoin and been active in forum is added advantage to have more information and more knowledge about Bitcoin circle, which normally called Bitcoin halving that occurs every 4years, after having occur, price of Bitcoin skyrocket.
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January 26, 2024, 11:42:13 AM
Merited by criptoevangelista (1)
 #49

~snip~
I'm just curious to know what it will be like when the block reward is less than 1BTC. At some point in history (I don't know if I'll be alive to see this in the future, I believe it will take decades) they will have to review whether 8 decimal places are enough for Bitcoin.


This will happen much sooner than you think, and even if you are a little older person, it is very possible that you will experience it, considering that miners will receive less than 1 BTC after block 1 260 000, and that the next halving will happen on the block 840 000 in a few months. If I calculated correctly, it will happen at the halving in 2032. If we assume that the price of BTC will rise significantly by then, miners will still have the motivation to mine, and they will always have earnings from fees.


Controlled supply

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January 26, 2024, 12:06:20 PM
 #50

As we all are aware Bitcoin Halving is excepted to happen around April-May2024. Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024. If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock. I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.
Just about 3 months ago, the price for investing in bitcoin was almost 2 times better than it is now. There are approximately the same 3 months left before the halving and during this period, the price may again fall by 2 times. Those who sincerely believe in the future of bitcoin will wait for their profit, but before achieving this goal they will probably have to ride the waves of fluctuations in the price chart.

Even for those who want short term goals could easily see their investments grow like crazy by next halving which be in 2028.
Why wait until 2028? We will probably see insane growth in 2024 (or a little later).

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"
I’m sure no one will be against repeating the halving story (when bitcoin grows after that). Smiley

This is just something i thought i would share with the community if someone wasn't aware but let me know what you believe and also please feel to share your thoughts on this even if you disagree with whatever i've said above.
I think the community has known about all this for a long time. Smiley I only believe in facts that show (thanks to past cycles) that the halving effect has a beneficial effect on the price of bitcoin. Will it be exactly the same this time? Let's take a look at this.

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January 26, 2024, 01:04:50 PM
 #51

Taking a deep dive,  In the past, Bitcoin halving events have often been followed by periods of increased demand and price appreciation. This is because the reduced supply can create a sense of scarcity and increase the perceived value of each Bitcoin. However, it's important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results, and the market can be influenced by various factors.
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January 26, 2024, 01:07:36 PM
 #52

The bitcointalk forum is an eye opener to cryptocurrency investors, trading by having information about Bitcoin and been active in forum is added advantage to have more information and more knowledge about Bitcoin circle, which normally called Bitcoin halving that occurs every 4years, after having occur, price of Bitcoin skyrocket.
Cryptocurrency investors have many lines they visit to make a decision they will consider important. Because they often seek profits through cryptocurrency investments, they will visit any forum to see developments in news about cryptocurrency and try to make the best decision before investing. Even though those who are experienced already know that Bitcoin is a very good investment route for all investors at any time and now everyone has seen how cryptocurrency investors have developed who openly like Bitcoin.

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January 26, 2024, 01:33:58 PM
 #53

Taking a deep dive,  In the past, Bitcoin halving events have often been followed by periods of increased demand and price appreciation. This is because the reduced supply can create a sense of scarcity and increase the perceived value of each Bitcoin. However, it's important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results, and the market can be influenced by various factors.
And I still believe that it was the same impact that we experienced this year after halving - the price increase. Of course, we can't simply it all the same due to some factors and market influence but in overall views on how halving plays some role in the crypto market, no doubt it was even more influencing than any factors.

Bitcoin halving remains unchanged and the impact is quite positive. And this is the reason that influences the mindset of the people to wait and feel the roaring price of Bitcoin after. The impact is not instant but it is okay, it comes next and drives the market to Bullrun.

R


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January 26, 2024, 01:41:02 PM
 #54

Halving happens almost every three years and in those years you experience a lot with the market if you know that history repeats itself you will not let surpass this upcoming halving without a take-home profit of yours, this coming pump is just a mini pump before the halving comes that's the time we will feel the true ATH if the bitcoin will beat its last price, still there's a lot of things might happen this upcoming months so could prepare for the dump or skyrocket this bull run.

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January 26, 2024, 01:51:29 PM
 #55

Most of us are expecting that this event or halving would create a bull run or make another ATH record for Bitcoin.
Only couple of months left before halving, maybe if there would be a bull run it would start real soon.

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January 26, 2024, 03:28:31 PM
 #56

~snip~
I'm just curious to know what it will be like when the block reward is less than 1BTC. At some point in history (I don't know if I'll be alive to see this in the future, I believe it will take decades) they will have to review whether 8 decimal places are enough for Bitcoin.


This will happen much sooner than you think, and even if you are a little older person, it is very possible that you will experience it, considering that miners will receive less than 1 BTC after block 1 260 000, and that the next halving will happen on the block 840 000 in a few months. If I calculated correctly, it will happen at the halving in 2032. If we assume that the price of BTC will rise significantly by then, miners will still have the motivation to mine, and they will always have earnings from fees.


Controlled supply

It's really true, this is much closer than I imagined, so it means that following the logic of supply X demand, today we can acquire some fraction of bitcoin for a relatively low value than compared to what it will be in 2032 when the reward per block will be only 0.78125 BTC (monetary expansion is infinite, bitcon is not) .

 I'll be happy if I can witness this moment, less than 1BTC per block will be a historic fact.

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January 26, 2024, 03:56:31 PM
 #57

~snip~
I'll be happy if I can witness this moment, less than 1BTC per block will be a historic fact.

Let's say that it will be something worth mentioning, but also if we know that in the first 4 years the reward per block was as much as 50 BTC, and today it is only 6.25 BTC (soon only a little more than 3 BTC), then this is a decrease of even x8.

The fact is that as we go further into the future, there are less and less BTC that will be available for mining, less and less rewards for miners and the price of BTC is getting higher and higher. Those of us who have been with Bitcoin a little longer witnessed the time when it was said "everything under $1000 is cheap", and then it changed to "everything under $10 000 is cheap", today we live in a time when we can say "everything under $100 000 is cheap" Wink

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January 26, 2024, 04:16:52 PM
 #58

As we all are aware Bitcoin Halving is excepted to happen around April-May2024. Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024. If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock. I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

Even for those who want short term goals could easily see their investments grow like crazy by next halving which be in 2028.

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"

This is just something i thought i would share with the community if someone wasn't aware but let me know what you believe and also please feel to share your thoughts on this even if you disagree with whatever i've said above.
Halving is one of the biggest events in the Bitcoin circle that affects the growth of Bitcoin greatly such that price goes up much more than it was before the halving because after every halving comes a massive bull run understanding this helps you position yourself strategically to getting the best out of the Bitcoin cycle after the interval of four years. In few months from now is another halving which will mean a massive Bull run is ahead so stacking up now will be the best any Bitcoiner would do so that immediately after the halving you will be running in massive profits.

Understanding the cycle and taking advantage of it can not only get you profitable but can aswell make you have a bigger portfolio which for some people, it means that will be richm

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January 26, 2024, 04:34:23 PM
 #59

The halving we're expecting is going to bring something positive and big in terms of the price. Is going to be an opportunity many investors and traders are looking up to and I know we're expecting to see Bitcoin price move higher than what we're seeing. Is it that the price of Bitcoin is going to be as high as $100k+ when the time comes?
For now $50k is even hard to get to (is this how the price was back then in the last halving? Slow) and I don't know which sign we're going to be looking out for since the price hasn't gotten to $45k yet, is this another strategy or is this halving not going to be as expected?🤔
If the halving brings bitcoin to a price of 100k over the next year, the price of 50k bitcoin should arrive soon. because the process of getting to the moon takes a lot of time. I hope 50k bitcoin can be targeted soon in the coming month. This will be an extraordinary ATH, even though everyone has to go through the whale drama that will occur, we have to be mentally prepared

You're right with what you said but you know that if $50k will arrive soon and the process of getting to the moon takes a lot of time, also know that investors and traders are expecting something bigger than $50k before now, because by now we shouldn't be seeing the price at $39-40k or even $41k at this point.
The amount you mentioned ($50k) would have come to pass since December 2023 but I don't see that happening, that was my expectation base on how Bitcoin price has been moving successfully but it made a stop at $40-44k, couldn't get past $45k till now, but I feel the preparation for the big event is on its way that's why we are having this delay.
If last month Bitcoin could touch 50k it could be a different story now, only a few digits short of reaching the target number has experienced a drastic decline. Indeed, ETFs can have a positive impact only for a short time. and they are waiting for bitcoin to bottom as I expect if bitcoin can reach 33k/35k, as the market is experiencing volume down

I thought ETF would have made a great impact as of last month being December to elevate the price, like letting it continue the flow but it didn't, is like the price movement was on hold that something was keeping it from getting a little bit closer to $50k.
You're right, if $50k would have been possible since last month the story would have been different and the price market would have been counting $55-60k by now, is not going to be anytime soon ($50-60) before the halving.
The history that I have understood before the halving was that there was always great potential for the altcoin market but not in the long term, ETFs played a role in this year's rise in Bitcoin. The big ETF support was approved, bringing Bitcoin to a large price position above 30k, I hope the next correction doesn't go below 30k. it could be a long bear season

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January 26, 2024, 04:54:26 PM
 #60

Halving happens almost every three years and in those years you experience a lot with the market if you know that history repeats itself you will not let surpass this upcoming halving without a take-home profit of yours, this coming pump is just a mini pump before the halving comes that's the time we will feel the true ATH if the bitcoin will beat its last price, still there's a lot of things might happen this upcoming months so could prepare for the dump or skyrocket this bull run.

Yes indeed dear Halving will give us another opportunity to fill up our bags more and I hope Bitcoin will touch its new all-time high in the near future and hope for mid-2025 is that we will see Bitcoin above from the level of 130k easily. Well, Blackrock is accumulating Bitcoin aggressively at the current price as of yesterday's news I read Blackrock has accumulated nearly 1.8 billion worth of Bitcoin. So when that worth of bitcoin comes into the market just have an idea we will see the market highly bullish and although they will buy more from point to point.

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January 26, 2024, 10:35:22 PM
 #61

I thought ETF would have made a great impact as of last month being December to elevate the price, like letting it continue the flow but it didn't, is like the price movement was on hold that something was keeping it from getting a little bit closer to $50k.
You're right, if $50k would have been possible since last month the story would have been different and the price market would have been counting $55-60k by now, is not going to be anytime soon ($50-60) before the halving.
I believed that as well; however, the ETF approval anticipation had already increased Bitcoin's price quite significantly, so there's a chance that played its role too. The market grew quite fast in a short timeframe, which may be the reason why we're seeing a little bit of a slowdown. Personally, we should give it some time until we start seeing the effects of the ETF approval. Along with the upcoming halving, Bitcoin is definitely going to cross the $50.000 mark in no time.

The minor market correction is an opportunity to acquire more Bitcoin at a more affordable price before the significant surge we'll see in the upcoming months.

R


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January 26, 2024, 10:48:56 PM
 #62

I thought ETF would have made a great impact as of last month being December to elevate the price, like letting it continue the flow but it didn't, is like the price movement was on hold that something was keeping it from getting a little bit closer to $50k.
You're right, if $50k would have been possible since last month the story would have been different and the price market would have been counting $55-60k by now, is not going to be anytime soon ($50-60) before the halving.
I believed that as well; however, the ETF approval anticipation had already increased Bitcoin's price quite significantly, so there's a chance that played its role too. The market grew quite fast in a short timeframe, which may be the reason why we're seeing a little bit of a slowdown. Personally, we should give it some time until we start seeing the effects of the ETF approval. Along with the upcoming halving, Bitcoin is definitely going to cross the $50.000 mark in no time.

The minor market correction is an opportunity to acquire more Bitcoin at a more affordable price before the significant surge we'll see in the upcoming months.
One of the things with the markets is that even if on average the cycles we can see in them seem to repeat themselves, they are never exactly the same as the specific circumstances change all the time, and in this case the approval of a bitcoin ETF changed the game by quite a bit, as I really think the recovery that some were expecting to happen after the halving seems to have taken place before it, so it is likely that not much is going to happen once the halving takes place and those market conditions could last for a few more months after it.

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January 27, 2024, 10:07:17 AM
 #63

I thought ETF would have made a great impact as of last month being December to elevate the price, like letting it continue the flow but it didn't, is like the price movement was on hold that something was keeping it from getting a little bit closer to $50k.
You're right, if $50k would have been possible since last month the story would have been different and the price market would have been counting $55-60k by now, is not going to be anytime soon ($50-60) before the halving.
I believed that as well; however, the ETF approval anticipation had already increased Bitcoin's price quite significantly, so there's a chance that played its role too. The market grew quite fast in a short timeframe, which may be the reason why we're seeing a little bit of a slowdown. Personally, we should give it some time until we start seeing the effects of the ETF approval. Along with the upcoming halving, Bitcoin is definitely going to cross the $50.000 mark in no time.

The minor market correction is an opportunity to acquire more Bitcoin at a more affordable price before the significant surge we'll see in the upcoming months.

If the ETF has a significant role in the increase of Bitcoin price then why are we having that delay for the price up till this time? It should have stayed on the increase but we have it going down.
I think the effect from ETF has already been there and is like it has a particular time to start going back up (which we definitely don't know) to a more better price like more than the expected $50k. But my problem is that the delay is too much like we're going to see Bitcoin price back at $35k in a short while if care is not taken.

R


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January 27, 2024, 10:28:55 AM
 #64

Market trends are usually driven by historic events a lot of experts tend to create estimated predictions, albeit not that accurate, based on historical data economy is usually just a repeat of trends and if we were to look at the past years of bitcoin we can see that halving truly creates new ath after each halving

Of course we have to clear up some possible misunderstanding after halving, bitcoin’s price will not spike up immediately I know a lot are expecting that after halving bitcoin will have a new ath right away and if they do not see the outcomes they wanted they might panic and sell just like a lot of people who thought that the etf approval would drastically increase bitcoin’s price right away and are now disappointed by bitcoin’s current price

But remember low prices of bitcoin is not a tragedy but instead an opportunity for us to acquire more bitcoin

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January 27, 2024, 11:12:03 AM
 #65

Bitcoin's history has shown that each halving has been associated with a significant price rally. However, it's important to note that historical performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. While the halving event is a known factor, the market is influenced by various dynamic elements, including macroeconomic factors, regulatory developments, technological advancements, and overall market sentiment
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January 27, 2024, 11:47:07 AM
 #66

If the ETF has a significant role in the increase of Bitcoin price then why are we having that delay for the price up till this time? It should have stayed on the increase but we have it going down.

We can take two reasons why the price fell by almost 20% instead of rising. The first is that the interest of investors after the approval of spot ETFs is not even close to what was speculated, and the second is that one of the companies that received approval for the ETF (Grayscale) had more than 600 000 BTC in its possession. The data says that they have already sold more than 80 000 BTC and are still selling, which definitely causes pressure on the market, and the law of supply and demand has taken its toll.

I think the effect from ETF has already been there and is like it has a particular time to start going back up (which we definitely don't know) to a more better price like more than the expected $50k. But my problem is that the delay is too much like we're going to see Bitcoin price back at $35k in a short while if care is not taken.

There is no problem here except that there were too many expectations around the ETF, but I have speculated before that maybe we should expect that the spot ETF will not have too much influence on the price of BTC, as was the case with the futures ETF. As much as one might think that any way that appears will cause a mass frenzy to own BTC, this is by no means the case.

Any way we look at it, I believe that less than 10% of people in the world have a positive opinion of Bitcoin - others still believe that it is some kind of ponzi scheme or means of money laundering, terrorist financing and similar things. Those who think otherwise should read what Gensler wrote after being forced to approve the spot ETF.

He pointed out that Bitcoin, which investors can now directly put money into through the new ETFs, is “highly volatile” and that crypto’s OG has been tied to things like money laundering and ransomware. “Bitcoin, itself, we did not approve, we did not endorse,” he said. “The only payment mechanism it’s being used for in sort of a, in a primary sense, is illicit activity,” he said in the interview.

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January 27, 2024, 11:55:56 AM
 #67

I thought ETF would have made a great impact as of last month being December to elevate the price, like letting it continue the flow but it didn't, is like the price movement was on hold that something was keeping it from getting a little bit closer to $50k.
You're right, if $50k would have been possible since last month the story would have been different and the price market would have been counting $55-60k by now, is not going to be anytime soon ($50-60) before the halving.
I believed that as well; however, the ETF approval anticipation had already increased Bitcoin's price quite significantly, so there's a chance that played its role too. The market grew quite fast in a short timeframe, which may be the reason why we're seeing a little bit of a slowdown. Personally, we should give it some time until we start seeing the effects of the ETF approval. Along with the upcoming halving, Bitcoin is definitely going to cross the $50.000 mark in no time.

The minor market correction is an opportunity to acquire more Bitcoin at a more affordable price before the significant surge we'll see in the upcoming months.
One of the things with the markets is that even if on average the cycles we can see in them seem to repeat themselves, they are never exactly the same as the specific circumstances change all the time, and in this case the approval of a bitcoin ETF changed the game by quite a bit, as I really think the recovery that some were expecting to happen after the halving seems to have taken place before it, so it is likely that not much is going to happen once the halving takes place and those market conditions could last for a few more months after it.
Nicely said, and it seems that what I've been telling people since I started with the forum is now getting popular. It is true that Bitcoin has some similarities in history, but people believe in that history too much which I don't think is professional if my investment and trading experience is to be regarded here. What has been happening when people are not really paying attention and when whales are so much in control of the coin may not happen again this time the market is already in the mainstream of the financial market and has also been well-owned by both financial institutions and cooperate bodies and also by those guys that fully understand the financial market, and not in a crypto way. These guys understand the traditional market better than the new Bitcoin and cryptocurrency assumptions, lousiness and ignorance.

Also, since the old whales (as they call them) can't be in control anymore, the market will better behave, which is my fear that it might not be able to move hugely as people expected of it. The grace Bitcoin had is that it is the number of cryptocurrencies that use blockchain technology which has never been used before in the payment, trading and investment industry. This made people appreciate it very well and helped the price to grow significantly. But as the coin is heavy now, issues might arise as it can't continue to climb higher and higher like before. If care is not taken, one can see it at over $1M in no time if allowed this way. I know institutional investors will not let that excesses happen, this is the time that Bitcoin will behave more maturely like traditional assets, so I cannot expect the situation in which it will move x5 of its size again, halving or not. This coming halving effect might be the lowest in impact ever recorded by the coin and I do not expect more than $2.5T market capitalization at its stretch.

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January 27, 2024, 11:55:59 AM
 #68

I think there will be an effect at the miners, but that the price of Bitcoin should increase this year (which is what the 4 year cycle wants to say). Miners maybe sell their bitcoin holdings, even if not all of them, to buy new mining hardware and have a stronger position in the coming months after the halving. Competition is already high now, but it should be even higher after the halving. After that, miners who mine less Bitcoin maybe dont stay so long because they will only get half the rewards and maybe have even less power because many others have increased their hashrate. That will be exciting to follow.

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AakZaki
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January 28, 2024, 07:07:54 PM
 #69

Everyone hopes that a price increase will occur when the halving occurs and this price increase will be the biggest increase that will form a new ATH. The market will be full of positive sentiment so FOMO will certainly occur. There will be many Halving effects for bitcoin and the crypto ecosystem, and bitcoin will reach its highest level again. everyone must be prepared to wait for this 4th halving moment and including me who is still holding some Bitcoin and also potential altcoins.
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January 28, 2024, 07:53:05 PM
 #70

Well, there will always be two sides of an argument. Some are saying that history will just repeat itself but there are still people who believes that changes might take plaace although on the same direction which is the trend of the maarket price. For sure many of us are thrilled with what we are witnessing at this point. Only a few was able to anticipate that an increase will take place and push prices upward. It somehow creates a domino effect for example, there's really no signs of market recovery last year but it still managed to break the $32k mark before the year ended. And from that people are too crazy to invest which supports the price increase on the other hand. Regardless of that lack of assurance if prices will now be higher, people are already thrilled of what could happen next as the dates for halving is coming nere. With this, you have to create a decent plan for it and to be able to still anticipate the worse possible thing to be experienced.

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