Bitcoin Halving effect

[Sexylizzy2813]

The halving we're expecting is going to bring something positive and big in terms of the price. Is going to be an opportunity many investors and traders are looking up to and I know we're expecting to see Bitcoin price move higher than what we're seeing. Is it that the price of Bitcoin is going to be as high as $100k+ when the time comes?
For now $50k is even hard to get to (is this how the price was back then in the last halving? Slow) and I don't know which sign we're going to be looking out for since the price hasn't gotten to $45k yet, is this another strategy or is this halving not going to be as expected?🤔

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[Lucius]

~snip~
If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock.

However, I would like to point out that you may have forgotten one very important fact that changes with each subsequent halving - and this is because the first era of mining "produced" as much as 50 BTC, and the current one only 6.25 BTC (about 900 BTC per day) which will be reduced by another 50% with the next halving.

That "supply shock" you mention is not something that can have an impact like before, because the 450 BTC that the miners will "produce" will not cause any shocks on the market where we already have 19+ million BTC.

I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

Recently, a member claimed the same thing as you, with the difference that he even mentioned the halving date (which can't be precisely determined anyway) as the best date to buy BTC - but I wonder again if it wasn't better to buy BTC when the price touched the bottom and was under $20 000?

Of course, those who invest only for profit and want to "double their earnings" as quickly as possible have reason to be optimistic - but if they had thought differently based on past events, they could have already earned at least 300% on their investment.

[Hyphen(-)]

As we all are aware Bitcoin Halving is excepted to happen around April-May2024. Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024. If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock. I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

Even for those who want short term goals could easily see their investments grow like crazy by next halving which be in 2028.

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"

This is just something i thought i would share with the community if someone wasn't aware but let me know what you believe and also please feel to share your thoughts on this even if you disagree with whatever i've said above.

This is for people who are only willing to invest because of Halving so that they will get a quick profit from their bitcoin investment, not for real investors who are always ready to buy bitcoin anytime, regardless of the price of bitcoin.
The interesting thing now is that many people are embracing bitcoin because of halving, and I believe they will enjoy the decentralization behind it and keep investing and holding bitcoin even after halving.

This is a good investment time because the bitcoin price can just shoot up after this dump because we are approaching halving and the price of bitcoin is supposed to approach its all-time high before halving. Therefore, let's invest now and wait for a better opportunity to sell. Let's use this opportunity to bag more bitcoin.

[kryptqnick]

As we all are aware Bitcoin Halving is excepted to happen around April-May2024. Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024. If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock. I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

Even for those who want short term goals could easily see their investments grow like crazy by next halving which be in 2028.

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"

This is just something i thought i would share with the community if someone wasn't aware but let me know what you believe and also please feel to share your thoughts on this even if you disagree with whatever i've said above.

The growth wasn't necessarily due to supply shock, as you put it. Growth seems to happen after halving, but not immediately after it, and perhaps it can't even be directly attributed to it. It can be just FOMO due to being reminded that fewer and fewer coins are entering the total supply, or just increased demand because of some Bitcoin cycles taking a certain period of time. It's not so easy to measure, and there haven't been many halvings to say that it's a strong correlation. Halvings will keep happening, but I think Bitcoin would grow by 2028 even if the halvings stopped all of a sudden.

[criptoevangelista]

As we all are aware Bitcoin Halving is excepted to happen around April-May2024. Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024. If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock. I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

Even for those who want short term goals could easily see their investments grow like crazy by next halving which be in 2028.

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"

This is just something i thought i would share with the community if someone wasn't aware but let me know what you believe and also please feel to share your thoughts on this even if you disagree with whatever i've said above.

The growth wasn't necessarily due to supply shock, as you put it. Growth seems to happen after halving, but not immediately after it, and perhaps it can't even be directly attributed to it. It can be just FOMO due to being reminded that fewer and fewer coins are entering the total supply, or just increased demand because of some Bitcoin cycles taking a certain period of time. It's not so easy to measure, and there haven't been many halvings to say that it's a strong correlation. Halvings will keep happening, but I think Bitcoin would grow by 2028 even if the halvings stopped all of a sudden.

Nowadays it's more due to FOMO from past stories and natural market movement. Due to the reduction in supply through mining companies, the impact will not be much because more than 90% of the supply has already been extracted.

I'm just curious to know what it will be like when the block reward is less than 1BTC. At some point in history (I don't know if I'll be alive to see this in the future, I believe it will take decades) they will have to review whether 8 decimal places are enough for Bitcoin.

[irsykes]

The halving we're expecting is going to bring something positive and big in terms of the price. Is going to be an opportunity many investors and traders are looking up to and I know we're expecting to see Bitcoin price move higher than what we're seeing. Is it that the price of Bitcoin is going to be as high as $100k+ when the time comes?
For now $50k is even hard to get to (is this how the price was back then in the last halving? Slow) and I don't know which sign we're going to be looking out for since the price hasn't gotten to $45k yet, is this another strategy or is this halving not going to be as expected?🤔

If the halving brings bitcoin to a price of 100k over the next year, the price of 50k bitcoin should arrive soon. because the process of getting to the moon takes a lot of time. I hope 50k bitcoin can be targeted soon in the coming month. This will be an extraordinary ATH, even though everyone has to go through the whale drama that will occur, we have to be mentally prepared

[MFahad]

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.

Bro. what makes you think that impact of this time's halving will be smaller? You think that because of ETFs approval? Bitcoin's price is still very volatile, we cannot say anything for sure about the impact of the halving. but anything can happen..
I am personally expecting positive impact on Bitcoin and Altcoin after halving.

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.

When you say in longterm Bitcoin price will stabilize, in how many year do you mean? Like approx 10 years?

I don't think Bitcoin's price will easily stabalize, Bitcoin is not a stablecoin. so it's market value will also fluctuate at some context. maybe a bit steadier than now. but 100% stablity is just not possible.

[criptoevangelista]

Bro. what makes you think that impact of this time's halving will be smaller?

Precisely because almost all of the supply has already been extracted by mining and is available to the market, from then on it is the market that dictates the price, therefore, the more time passes, the less volatile it will be.

[el kaka22]

What we are going to see is halved supply, and later on the demand will increase due to FOMO. What we have is a cycle, and everyone is aware of this cycle, which means that we can't really let it be, we can't just ignore the cycle.

So when a lot of people trust the cycle, and think that it is true, then the result ends up being something marginal, something that actually matters, and that is the point that we should be having. If enough people trust it, they will spend money on buying it, all thinking that it will go up. When they all buy, because they think it will go up, that means there will be more demand. With lesser supply for miners, and higher demand by FOMO public perception, the price of course starts to go up.

[AnonBitCoiner]

Bitcoin halving is not so far but the price is also not so higher as that was in previous few weeks therefore if someone still accumulating bitcoin then he will not wait for halving of 2028 but he can take profit from halving in the current year. I think that coming halving will give more strong results of success than the halving of 2020 because every year we see new highest worth of bitcoin that we previously never have examined. TAKING profit from coming halving is still easy but for those who believe in halving and who are constantly keeping eye on price chart and price movement.

[Mate2237]

Op you said nothing in this thread. Op I didn't see any effect you explained in the thread because the topic says about the effects of bitcoin halving and I didn't notice that in the thread. The price is still $39+k to $40k and if the price will still come down before the halving then it is also good for those who want to invest at once to wait a little bit. We all know that after the halving the price nof bitcoin will go up so if anyone is interested to invest the person can start from now till the halving Period.

But if the there is money now the person can divide it into two. And invest some now and use the remaining parts to do business and when the main dip comes then the remaining balance should be use to invest. That is another strategy for investment.

[Asiska02]

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"

This is just something i thought i would share with the community if someone wasn't aware but let me know what you believe and also please feel to share your thoughts on this even if you disagree with whatever i've said above.

It is a fact and very obvious how bitcoin price have moved rapidly after every halving that have taken place since the inception of bitcoin ecosystem. It is no more a news and has become something that is highly anticipated by all bitcoin enthusiasts and the public to see how bitcoin will make a new all-time high after the next coming halving which will take place this year.

For those that want to benefit from it, they’re already sticking their bags and preparing for the big rewards and with all this signs, some people don’t feel interested and still think that the bitcoin investment is not something to be trusted as they think they’ll be doomed if they invested in such asset.

One thing is certain, which is that; you can never get everyone interested in something 100%, no matter how genuine and truthful it might look, some people will still find an excuse to support their claim in why they don’t fancy it. Let those who believe invest and those that don’t can simply back out and watch out the space will grow more.

[Altryist]

It is a fact and very obvious how bitcoin price have moved rapidly after every halving that have taken place since the inception of bitcoin ecosystem. It is no more a news and has become something that is highly anticipated by all bitcoin enthusiasts and the public to see how bitcoin will make a new all-time high after the next coming halving which will take place this year.

For those that want to benefit from it, they’re already sticking their bags and preparing for the big rewards and with all this signs, some people don’t feel interested and still think that the bitcoin investment is not something to be trusted as they think they’ll be doomed if they invested in such asset.

One thing is certain, which is that; you can never get everyone interested in something 100%, no matter how genuine and truthful it might look, some people will still find an excuse to support their claim in why they don’t fancy it. Let those who believe invest and those that don’t can simply back out and watch out the space will grow more.

In fact, not many people invest, and even if a person knows about Bitcoin and knows that it can grow and make a profit, but has never invested money anywhere before, then he may simply be afraid to try, afraid to risk his savings, because fear losing everything is stronger than the desire to make a profit.
Halving should do its job and most likely we will see a growth Bitcoin price after the halving, but now it is difficult to say what this growth will be, how much Bitcoin can grow, and the most important question: will correction before the halving and how much the price of Bitcoin can fall. If it falls, it will be a good reason to buy more Bitcoin.

[pawel7777]

Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024. If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock. I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

The price cannot keep growing exponentially forever, even only due to a limited number of money in existence (well, sort of). The other factor is, the each halving has a much lesser impact on the supply side. If you look at each cycle and compare them to each other, you'll see that the growth, expressed as a percentage was lower in each cycle compared to the previous one, which is kind of obvious but there are still many retail investors hoping for x100 or more, just because it happened in the past.
We have to be realistic in our expectations. Learning from history might be a good thing, but expecting things to unfold exactly the same way every time is not.

[Xal0lex]

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price...

The bitcoin price will never stabilize because bitcoin is an asset that will always have volatility, like gold for example. And since bitcoin has its own volatility, it will always have a supply-demand relationship, which means that its price will always change within a certain range.

[criptoevangelista]

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price...

The bitcoin price will never stabilize because bitcoin is an asset that will always have volatility, like gold for example. And since bitcoin has its own volatility, it will always have a supply-demand relationship, which means that its price will always change within a certain range.

Everything is volatile, nothing keeps the same price because the market has this nature....

I expressed myself poorly... but what I meant was that volatility will become milder, not as violent as it has historically been. But it's something that I imagine will take a few decades, maybe we won't even be around to see it happen anymore.

[famososMuertos]

...//:::

I am not saying that it is your case OP, but there is an apparent; "I have to say, love Halving."  ok.

Although the Halving have a positive effect on the perspective at the price,  determining that effect for this same year is still a coin-flip.

[passwordnow]

Even for those who want short term goals could easily see their investments grow like crazy by next halving which be in 2028.

Why wait for the next halving? Just focus on the current and let things happen in the future. Don't look yet on that year when we're still far from that. Take a closer look for this year and next year because as the halving comes, it's assumed that the bull run will come as a start to this year up to next year. And for those short term goals, you may want to have altcoins for that because they're known for it.

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"

This hurts me because I did wrong things on my holdings on 2021 bull run and that's making me learn it right now. That's fine because as long as I've got what it takes to hold and I understand the importance of it, that's what matters to me this day. We've got a different contributor this time and that's the Bitcoin spot etf and together with the help of halving too, we're expecting that the value will increase soon.

This is just something i thought i would share with the community if someone wasn't aware but let me know what you believe and also please feel to share your thoughts on this even if you disagree with whatever i've said above.

I have nothing to disagree but just want to tell that you should only focus on the time that you're currently living. But there is nothing wrong to goal to the next halving but before doing that, take the advantage of what we're about go through and that's with this year's halving.

[Raflesia]

Bitcoin halving was always good for bitcoin and is certainly expected to do the same thing... BUT.

We all expected a big grow, after the BTC ETF approve, but the opposite happened. I think tha most probably, it will amek the BTC grow, but some amount of scepticallity is healthy for everyone.

ETFs and Halving are 2 different things I think so in this case we cannot link between one and the other because after all this cannot be equated so that in this case even if in the end this affects a little but will not have a big impact.

Halving always gives the best hope for the growth of bitcoin in the end even though we don't know what will happen in the future but we still hold firm that halving can bring a good thing for the growth of bitcoin in the future. it is the hope that we always want so to find out whether it can happen or not then we just have to wait for it.

[Assface16678]

Bro. what makes you think that impact of this time's halving will be smaller?

Precisely because almost all of the supply has already been extracted by mining and is available to the market, from then on it is the market that dictates the price, therefore, the more time passes, the less volatile it will be.

I disagree, as long as the supply in bitcoin market are not clogging meaning, if bitcoins are being circulated in the market afe getting more higher then that's the time when bitcoin price will lessen, its like supply and demand, as long as many investors are buying bitcoin the halving effect will take place, as we know halving season is coming and because of that many investors are stocking their bitcoin holdings and as the demand rise up expect the result of price bitcoin being sky rocked that how I bull run is, its not the market who does the bull run, its us investors who make the effect and movement in the market, so I don't think thie year or the time bull run comes I don't the effect will be little. Maybe not just like the other bull run, because bitcoin is already at a high price, but still, the impact of the bull run will be shocking.