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Author Topic: Bitcoin Halving effect  (Read 508 times)
humanvelocity (OP)
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January 25, 2024, 12:18:04 PM
 #1

As we all are aware Bitcoin Halving is excepted to happen around April-May2024. Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024. If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock. I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

Even for those who want short term goals could easily see their investments grow like crazy by next halving which be in 2028.

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"

This is just something i thought i would share with the community if someone wasn't aware but let me know what you believe and also please feel to share your thoughts on this even if you disagree with whatever i've said above.
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doubletheprof
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January 25, 2024, 12:33:10 PM
 #2

Bitcoin halving was always good for bitcoin and is certainly expected to do the same thing... BUT.

We all expected a big grow, after the BTC ETF approve, but the opposite happened. I think tha most probably, it will amek the BTC grow, but some amount of scepticallity is healthy for everyone. Wink
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January 25, 2024, 12:34:56 PM
 #3

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.

humanvelocity (OP)
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January 25, 2024, 12:54:04 PM
 #4

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.

When you say in longterm Bitcoin price will stabilize, in how many year do you mean? Like approx 10 years?
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January 25, 2024, 01:51:15 PM
 #5

Even for those who want short term goals could easily see their investments grow like crazy by next halving which be in 2028.
It is important to note this is NOT granted.  'Could' is the key word.  It could.  But it does not mean it will.

ETF has been recently approved.  Every body was expecting a long lasting giant green candle on the chart.  It did not happen however.  The opposite did.

Continuing to invest only money you are willing to let go is important.  Keep investing safely, even if history shows your investments are going to earn you a lot of profit.

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January 25, 2024, 01:52:53 PM
Merited by lizarder (1)
 #6

I'm just talking about the history that I know, even though I've never experienced it myself when halvings have occurred.
According to history, every time a halving occurs, the price spike is very large and I will justify this because more than 5 news sources that I have read, including more than a small group of experts in the crypto world, have explained the positive impact that will occur regarding the Bitcoin halving which is predicted to occur in 2024 corresponds to a 4-year event.

Even though the Bitcoin halving will have a good impact on Bitcoin investors who have a large amount of Bitcoin, in my opinion, investors who expect big profits through price returns during the halving must do it consistently and need to prepare everything well before the halving occurs.
The huge profits that investors will get during the halving and after, are not limited to Bitcoin investors alone. In my opinion, the positive effects in terms of profits will also be experienced by altcoin investors that I know.

For me, these are the times that test investors' patience in holding Bitcoin in the midst of a market situation that is experiencing correction and experiencing difficulties in improving what I have seen myself since I have been active. This means that in the midst of an increase, the price starts to move, suddenly returns to the bottom, or rather at the previous price.

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January 25, 2024, 01:54:13 PM
 #7

I am looking forward to seeing bullish run again in the market so that I can make some money again, I missed the last time bull run. I don't wanna face same scenario again.
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January 25, 2024, 02:01:21 PM
 #8

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.

When you say in longterm Bitcoin price will stabilize, in how many year do you mean? Like approx 10 years?

No... what I imagine is something that will take decades, maybe our generation won't see it. Bitcoin is still very young, the software is a BETA version that is still in full development. So even though it doesn't seem like it, we are at the beginning of all this.

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January 25, 2024, 02:08:11 PM
 #9

Bitcoin halving was always good for bitcoin and is certainly expected to do the same thing... BUT.

We all expected a big grow, after the BTC ETF approve, but the opposite happened. I think tha most probably, it will amek the BTC grow, but some amount of scepticallity is healthy for everyone. Wink


ETF and halving are entirely different events. Can't judge one by the other. Halving always leads to a big bull run.

Also the ETFs DID make bitcoin grow. Hype for the ETFs is largely what drove Bitcoin from like $30k to high $40,000s the past few months. And ETFs will continue to increase the price in the future as billions of dollars continue to flow into them. The main reason price temporarily dropped after the ETFs were approved is because people wanted to "sell the news" and there's been $2-3 billion dollars of selling from the Grayscale ETF which has neutralized what would otherwise have been a strong positive effect from the billions of buying into the other ETFs.
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January 25, 2024, 02:11:55 PM
 #10

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.
We saw it with Bitcoin and Ethereum and if we look beyond cryptocurrency market, we will see a same with gold. It is logic to see less growth rate when an asset has higher price and bigger marketcap, it will have less growth rate.

In future, we might see big growth after like two cycles, not a single one when block subsidy becomes smaller and it potentially makes halving has less impacts on price with only one cycle. Gold has a longer cycle than Bitcoin and I believe it relates to its marketcap too.

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January 25, 2024, 02:18:58 PM
 #11

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.
It's not that the impact of the halving is decreasing or getting smaller, it's that bitcoin is getting bigger so it's only natural that it gives smaller and smaller returns. Any asset will have a limit to its growth and at some point it will reach its maximum and saturation. Similar to gold, it also has a very good growth period but will gradually stabilize and bitcoin is no exception. That is also the reason why many people are gradually switching to investing in Altcoins with the hope of earning higher profits but with more risk.

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January 25, 2024, 02:35:59 PM
 #12

As we all are aware Bitcoin Halving is excepted to happen around April-May2024. Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024. If we look back at each time Bitcoin Halving took place in the past (November2012,July2016 and May2020) We have seen tremendous growth in prices due to supply shock. I think anyone who truly believes in Bitcoins future could not ask for a better timing to invest into it right now.

Bitcoin halving is around the corner and there's a parable that goes "a good journey starts with a good kola" so at least since the halving is drawing near, we should have started seeing some good signs of our optimism in the price of Bitcoin rather than the price continuously dipping even more, though the dip stands as an opportunity to accumulate more Bitcoins, but it would have been better if the price maybe fluctuate like the price dipping and rising a bit till the correction processes has been undergone but regardless of what we're experiencing in bitcoin price movement now, we should be optimistic that a noticable pump will surely occur after the halving in the bull market therefore, there shouldn't be any "cause for an alarm" now rather we should hold our coins and never sell it off before the halving.

"Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it"

Although we learn from histories of previous reoccurrence but however, what is permanent in life is changes because the future is uncertain regardless of our speculation and predictions therefore as we are hoping for the best, we should as well prepare for the worst.

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January 25, 2024, 03:03:35 PM
 #13

I am looking forward to seeing bullish run again in the market so that I can make some money again, I missed the last time bull run. I don't wanna face same scenario again.
If you don’t want to regret again next time, you should try and buy when you have the money to invest just do it and don’t wait for the price to drop to zero first because that might never happen, bitcoin price is just not predictable when you will be waiting for it to drop is when it will go up and so on, so buy and hold now for you not to regret again, the bull run is coming we can’t tell exactly when but it will come so why wait for it try to buy and hold for long in other not to be taken by surprise.

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January 25, 2024, 03:17:09 PM
 #14

As we all are aware Bitcoin Halving is excepted to happen around April-May2024.

We keep hearing different and contrary opinions on the expected date for halving to take place, some will say in March while some will give April and May respectively, there have been a lot countdown to this and we keep hearing different versions of the counts, all I know is that halving will happen before the mid year.

Dare I say whatever price BTC sits on today is irrelevant and can expect an exponential growth after May2024

It's never too late to invest and hold, we can also make profitability in it even before halving when the market surges or we engage trading.

R


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January 25, 2024, 03:17:13 PM
 #15

This will not happen. After the halving occurs, there is usually a price correction because many people think that the price will rise immediately after it. The halving has an effect on the price, but the effect is in the long term, and the price of Bitcoin will not change in May or June, and it rises because of the halving, but the possibility of stability or correction is higher.

We will see the effect starting in October

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January 25, 2024, 03:51:05 PM
 #16

Yeah, i think, We are just in the setup phase before entering the bull cycle, the possibility and history is that after the halving there are only about 3 months left. This stage involves establishing the initiation process and this boundary is necessary to create opportunities for deliberation, trust and decision. After the halving, it seems to be just HODL.

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January 25, 2024, 04:04:00 PM
 #17


We will find out when the halving is over and I think it will take weeks to months until the supply in the market dries out and that's when we see the prices going to Mars.

The only problem I see here is the global issue like the war that is escalating as it wouldn't help people to find investments like BTC. The supply may be fewer and fewer but fewer investors also coming into Bitcoin due to global issues.


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January 25, 2024, 04:04:59 PM
 #18

When you say in longterm Bitcoin price will stabilize, in how many year do you mean? Like approx 10 years?
No... what I imagine is something that will take decades, maybe our generation won't see it. Bitcoin is still very young, the software is a BETA version that is still in full development. So even though it doesn't seem like it, we are at the beginning of all this.

We are definitely heading towards price stability even though it would never be like a a stable coin but the fluctuations that some Alt-coins experiences due to volatility is not the same as that of bitcoin. The volatility rate of bitcoin price is no longer high again. If we look at the price we are even expecting in the next bull run many will tell you that at most it will be a $200k new ATH which is just like 3x from the current ATH before we would have even predicted a 5x to 10x but no the market is not that too volatile and that’s why the best thing is to hodl for a very long term



ETF and halving are entirely different events. Can't judge one by the other. Halving always leads to a big bull run.

Also the ETFs DID make bitcoin grow. Hype for the ETFs is largely what drove Bitcoin from like $30k to high $40,000s the past few months. And ETFs will continue to increase the price in the future as billions of dollars continue to flow into them. The main reason price temporarily dropped after the ETFs were approved is because people wanted to "sell the news" and there's been $2-3 billion dollars of selling from the Grayscale ETF which has neutralized what would otherwise have been a strong positive effect from the billions of buying into the other ETFs.

People actually hyped this ETF saga still to a very high potential thinking it could push it way high but that’s not the case as bitcoin tends to re correct after every hype that either affects it negatively or positively. This high level of sale as expected is by whales because they knew many will give in and once ETF is approved they will take their profit early before the market actually corrects. The idea is look into long term and not a short term like ETF hypes

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January 25, 2024, 04:05:33 PM
 #19

After getting hopeless from ETFs, I think a lot of people are starting to hope for halvings. There is nothing wrong, because history states that every time a halving occurs, there will be a long-lasting green candle. However, this does not mean that it is a definite guarantee that it will happen again. This is still false and just speculation. We will see the rest of the real market conditions after the halving.

Once again, accumulating BTC is currently still the best way. We can get more BTC for the next few years as long as we always make regular purchases.
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January 25, 2024, 04:13:34 PM
 #20

The impact of the halving will be much smaller than the previous ones, most of the volatility has already disappeared. Don't expect to increase the price with percentages (%) above 3 digits as happened in the past.

In the long term, bitcoin will stabilize its price, it is still cheap in this price region and we can still buy bitcoin with some freedom, it is a very good time to accumulate a little more.

Yes Dear due to very reasons like the last halving did not have that kind of news as in the current time e.g., Approval of BTC, involvement of Blackraok in BTC, and many more prospectives. well I would also suggest that keep accumulating some amount of Bitcoin from time to time as if the market will not give us a good buying chance, we will not feel bad about missing any chance because we are accumulating on the current span also.

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