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Author Topic: The odds we can get on our side.  (Read 355 times)
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February 24, 2024, 08:23:03 AM
 #21

Your tips are laudable but on the contrary not everyone will go into a sport with limited odd options and be experiencing frequent winnings. Just like the tennis you made note of if am not knowledgeable about that area of sport like I do with football and about the players I'll be making more losses than I may be making in football that's with numerous odds options.


Knowledge can give huge factor of winning but his statement still have merit on it since you will still have 50% chance of winning regardless if you have enough knowledge on that bet or not compared to other bet types with more than 2 outcome. Having 50% winning chance rate doesn't mean you will lose frequently because it still depends on your luck if you will choose the winning team/players or not because not all the time players with better stats win which means anything can happened regardless if you are familiar on that sports or not.



In addition to the tips. Betting live will give you better chance of winning because you can analyze the actual condition of the team and you can take advantage on the current situation to bet on a team that is just starting heat their game to get the W.
Knowledge of betting can only be sharpened if one keeps following the sport they would or find easy to bet on.
For football betting, if one if conversant with the rules of the league he/she wants to bet on, and can read and followup statistics of the teams on the table in the league, it might make picking odds and placing bet quite easier too.

The players who are in form and perhaps star of the team in any of the league and team they play for, can help me make a good bet like first/second half win, first/second/full time draw. If the team was to play with a either a stronger or much weaker side my placing a bet would be based on such prognosis and the teams current form, standings on the table and their performance in different league matches.

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February 24, 2024, 08:38:22 AM
 #22

I do like watching football but I don't have enough time to start doing all those important analysis, I have a home to take care and I have a business that takes most of my time per day.

For someone like me I just take risks that I can handle if anything bad happens, I do get your points and they are correct, if one choose a sport that they are so into, it will be easy to figure out some things that others can't.

If you want to start betting on a sports game, make sure it's your favourite, the type that you are so into, love watching the most, don't follow a game because your friend is making the best money from the game.

And mind you, always risk only what you can afford to use, don't say because you now understand the game very well, so you can risk any amount of money, gambling has no guarantee.

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February 24, 2024, 09:30:42 AM
Merited by Julien_Olynpic (1)
 #23

Addition: Consider the timeline they are playing. If they hosted from the East then suddenly they will play in the West the next day. This will affect their body because they don't have enough rest.
Another addition to that. Check out their schedule if they are playing a rough week. If every game was so close that they played too hard on their past games then their next game is not just a weak team but one of the top 5 in the league who had a better schedule than them.
Confidence building should also be taken into account. If a team/player keeps on winning in a streak, might as well bet for him/them. High confidence could mean a lot and one of those is playing great on his next few games until they get exhausted.

That's a lot of things to check but it enhances our chance to win. So for those who really want to win a bet, this should be done. The 50 percent chance may grow to 60 or 70 which is a good thing. Parlay makers on the other hand might not have that time to do all the research but do imagine if you hit all the lines and how much multiplier you can get in one bet. Cheap but very profitable.

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February 24, 2024, 10:52:16 AM
 #24


1. Play those sports or those types of betting that allow only 2 outcomes, not 3. For example, in tennis there are no draws and, accordingly, your chances of a favorable outcome increase slightly. In football, if you bet on one team winning, you must take into account that there can be 2 more outcomes - the other team winning or a draw. All other things being equal, it is more difficult to guess one outcome out of three than out of two. Therefore, in football, we can bet either on the total (over or under), or on 2 outcomes: the victory of one team on one side or the victory of the other team and a draw on the other side.

It’s wise to play sports that you’re familiar with. One that you take pleasure in watching, you are already at a disadvantage if you choose to gamble on a sport that you’re oblivious about. I think the 2 outcome system is flawed, there is usually more than 3 outcomes/bet options when it comes to sports betting, for example, in football you can bet on how many goals will be scored in the game; number of corner kicks; there is even the both sides can score bet….the list goes on.


Most certainly, the more conversant you are and the more knowledge you have about a particular sport,, the more equipped you are to make informed predictions and choices about the games.
As you mentioned above, there are often many different betting options available for each game and knowing the ins and outs of the sport gives you a much higher and greater advantage to know which options and odds to bet on that'll give you the best chances of winning. It's more like doing your homework before a test, the more knowledge you have the better you'll do.

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February 24, 2024, 11:11:17 AM
 #25

Your tips are laudable but on the contrary not everyone will go into a sport with limited odd options and be experiencing frequent winnings. Just like the tennis you made note of if am not knowledgeable about that area of sport like I do with football and about the players I'll be making more losses than I may be making in football that's with numerous odds options.


Knowledge can give huge factor of winning but his statement still have merit on it since you will still have 50% chance of winning regardless if you have enough knowledge on that bet or not compared to other bet types with more than 2 outcome. Having 50% winning chance rate doesn't mean you will lose frequently because it still depends on your luck if you will choose the winning team/players or not because not all the time players with better stats win which means anything can happened regardless if you are familiar on that sports or not.
Just as you stated in the initials of your comments, knowledge is all there is to have a more constant winning in any sport of your choice than just sitting on luck alone. You can be lucky but not all the times while in the time knowledge is always there as a hedge if only you can use it based on the extent you know about the particular sport you're still going to have a 50/50 chance of winning as in this case you have luck and knowledge put together unlike the former which you @AbuBhaKar only depend on luck alone.

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February 24, 2024, 11:52:03 AM
 #26

Your tips are laudable but on the contrary not everyone will go into a sport with limited odd options and be experiencing frequent winnings. Just like the tennis you made note of if am not knowledgeable about that area of sport like I do with football and about the players I'll be making more losses than I may be making in football that's with numerous odds options.

And be it wether a two odds options sport or above don't forget that these bookies have a way of manipulating the odds in a way that you can get confused in making better winning options. Sticking to a sport that you are good at should be much considered than  going for one for the sake of  limited odds

Yeah. Jumping into a sport with limited odds might not be everyone's jam. Like if tennis isn't your turf, it's probably better to stick to what you know like football. And yeah those bookies, they've got their tricks with odds, right? It's like a game within the game. So sticking to your game, the one you're good at, sounds like a solid plan. Keep rocking those bets with what you know and may the wins keep rolling in

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February 24, 2024, 12:03:56 PM
 #27

The topic I want to discuss today is the odds that we can get on our side, especially in sports betting. These can be various methods and life hacks that increase the likelihood of winning in gambling. You know, if you analyze the statistics of wins and losses, it may turn out that we did not take a lot into account in our bets. I did a little research of my own and I can tell you what simple methods can help bring luck to your side. I invite each poster to add some new item to this list.
1. Play those sports or those types of betting that allow only 2 outcomes, not 3. For example, in tennis there are no draws and, accordingly, your chances of a favorable outcome increase slightly. In football, if you bet on one team winning, you must take into account that there can be 2 more outcomes - the other team winning or a draw. All other things being equal, it is more difficult to guess one outcome out of three than out of two. Therefore, in football, we can bet either on the total (over or under), or on 2 outcomes: the victory of one team on one side or the victory of the other team and a draw on the other side.
2. If in a game one team is the guest and the other is the host, take this into account. This is banal advice, but still.
3. Consider the overall performance dynamics of each player. With sports, too, there is a career and results gradually deteriorate with age after reaching a certain peak.
4. Consider the motivation of players and teams within the tournament. I'm talking about matches where a team or player can afford to lose without much consequence to their place. That is, there are significant matches, and there are those that do not decide anything. In such matches, teams and players do not have much motivation to play.
     Write down additional factors that may increase the likelihood of a favorable outcome for your prognosis.

I would also add the factor of team motivation here. I mean that sometimes in some matches, the team has already achieved a result, for example, leaving the group, and they have the last match left, which does not solve anything for them, that is, if they lose, as well as if they win, they will remain in the same place. In such situations, the team sometimes releases a non-first team to protect players from injury, or the team does not play at 100% of its capabilities, because they previously ensured the result for themselves. While a weaker team can play against them, but which still has a chance to rise higher in the group and reach the playoffs if they beat a strong team. Such matches are sometimes unpredictable

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February 24, 2024, 12:29:22 PM
 #28

Your tips are laudable but on the contrary not everyone will go into a sport with limited odd options and be experiencing frequent winnings. Just like the tennis you made note of if am not knowledgeable about that area of sport like I do with football and about the players I'll be making more losses than I may be making in football that's with numerous odds options.


Knowledge can give huge factor of winning but his statement still have merit on it since you will still have 50% chance of winning regardless if you have enough knowledge on that bet or not compared to other bet types with more than 2 outcome. Having 50% winning chance rate doesn't mean you will lose frequently because it still depends on your luck if you will choose the winning team/players or not because not all the time players with better stats win which means anything can happened regardless if you are familiar on that sports or not.
Just as you stated in the initials of your comments, knowledge is all there is to have a more constant winning in any sport of your choice than just sitting on luck alone. You can be lucky but not all the times while in the time knowledge is always there as a hedge if only you can use it based on the extent you know about the particular sport you're still going to have a 50/50 chance of winning as in this case you have luck and knowledge put together unlike the former which you @AbuBhaKar only depend on luck alone.

Betting is not just about luck most of the time and you really have to analyze so you can know when you will bet and at what risk you're getting into. The chance of winning in betting though are more high since you are betting on who will win at what the score range is, not unlike in other gambling games where pure luck is all you need before you win a good profit. If you're into betting, its also important to understand how the odds works.

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February 24, 2024, 12:38:22 PM
 #29

I do like watching football but I don't have enough time to start doing all those important analysis, I have a home to take care and I have a business that takes most of my time per day.



I actually made a thread for some persons to give one predictions for any match they are sure about for a week, and most people wrote it off and gave all the excuses they wanted to give.

It would have been very easy for someone that doesn't know how to or doesn't have time to make predictions to take some picks from there, but I think most of them were right expecially the guy that said if people started losing they might want to blame others for their loses even if the rules were that simple.

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February 24, 2024, 12:46:49 PM
 #30

I can't remember where, the example was based on horse racing: I read last week that there was a way to win money no matter what place the horses achieved in the race, betting on several horses different amounts adjusted to each one's odds.

Theoretically the system was flawless, but I doubt whether it can be done in modern gambling services platforms where odds are adjusted with algorithms that leave no room for error.

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February 24, 2024, 12:51:56 PM
 #31

Our approach hardly scrapes gambling's ocean. Starting with binary outcomes is simple. Tennis eliminates draws, but what about variables? Surface type, player tiredness, and recent injuries complicate binary guesses

Now, home advantage. Yes, but what about overconfidence, the silent killer? Or underdog spirit? They reverse scripts. Performance dynamics, while valid, are more complex than age. Mental resilience, rebound, and adaptation are crucial. Motivation has pros and cons. A team may not require a win, but what about individual glory? Contract negotiations? Your request for additions? Example: psychological warfare. Teammates utilize mind games, press comments, and social media to intimidate opponents. Ever considered that? Gambling goes beyond chances and facts. Understanding the human behind the data

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February 24, 2024, 04:10:15 PM
 #32

Historical head-to-heads are gold; I say, "Know your history to predict the future." Due to past experiences, teams and players often have psychological advantages. My friends, this is human nature, not stats.

Weather - how frequently we underestimate Mother Nature! Wind, rain, and extreme temperatures can affect outdoor sports. I cannot stress enough: check the weather before betting.

Injuries and roster rotation are key. The latest team news is always on my radar. A key player missing or a coach shifting the squad for a less important match can change the odds. Reading between the team sheet lines.

Keep this list expanding. Since the devil's in the details, sports betting specifics are our closest friends.

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February 24, 2024, 04:44:19 PM
 #33

Knowledge of betting can only be sharpened if one keeps following the sport they would or find easy to bet on.
For football betting, if one if conversant with the rules of the league he/she wants to bet on, and can read and followup statistics of the teams on the table in the league, it might make picking odds and placing bet quite easier too.

The players who are in form and perhaps star of the team in any of the league and team they play for, can help me make a good bet like first/second half win, first/second/full time draw. If the team was to play with a either a stronger or much weaker side my placing a bet would be based on such prognosis and the teams current form, standings on the table and their performance in different league matches.

I'm short some sports are easy to understand and easier to choose where team we are going to support that can win in the end. Such us in football  as long as we are following them from eliminations to finals. The. We can predict the outcome of our bet. But in some other games we don't know what's the right thing to do and right thing when we gonna make. Doe those in sports betting we can say that team are too good for our bet cause they will have a good lineup as well.

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February 24, 2024, 04:44:37 PM
 #34

I usually try to watch all the matches, and even if I can't watch them all, I try to watch the highlights. Because it's hard for me to make predictions about a team I haven't watched. But still, I always look at the win and loss statistics. Because I think they give more detailed information about the overall performance of the teams. When I look at those statistics, I think I understand better what level the teams are at. Your topic is very good. Your advice to bet on sporting events with a two-probability outcome rather than sports with a three-probability outcome is also very important. But I like football matches more and I bet on football matches to make them more enjoyable, so your over/under advice is valuable for me. Thank you very much.

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February 24, 2024, 05:16:42 PM
 #35

1. Play those sports or those types of betting that allow only 2 outcomes, not 3.
I have Bluetooth for betting more on lawn tennis now I see a reason why they do so, and it makes sense to bet on a game with either a win or loose outcome.

2. If in a game one team is the guest and the other is the host, take this into account. This is banal advice, but still.
People consider this a lot which is the home advantage but it does not always favor them because sometimes especially in football the home team may perform very well but still end up loosing the game, or the whole team may just perform poorly and lose the game to the disappointment of the home crowd, so as much as this is significant, it does not really always counts that much.

In a team where the players are also highly disciplined and collectively hungry to win, they're good pick to bet on the win games because even in games where they're losing they will refuse to stay losing and stay fighting to the end.

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February 26, 2024, 01:54:56 AM
 #36

4. Consider the motivation of players and teams within the tournament. I'm talking about matches where a team or player can afford to lose without much consequence to their place. That is, there are significant matches, and there are those that do not decide anything. In such matches, teams and players do not have much motivation to play.
This method can help, but it can still go both ways because even if a team doesn't have anything to play, they could still pull an upset to end their season on a high note while the other team that needs to win could crumble through the immense pressure to win.

One method i'd like to add to that list is live betting on favorites. You can secure better odds through live betting on a few favorites if you know they have a slow playstyle. Even though it doesn't work every time, it's still a decent alternative if you're very confident in a team that usually delivers on the later half of the match.

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February 26, 2024, 02:19:49 AM
 #37

Interestingly I concur with you OP. To my worse behavior I I am not attentive to game predictive analyzers but here you caught me. Lol
Although with all Said, being lucky is still involved.
There are little privileges for hosts to win with a home advantage and there are some sports matches that the teams fears not even if the looses, it is either they have secured a valuable position or don't have to stress much because even if they wins they are still coming down to home for not qualifying at the tournament.

Also, predicting on the kind of games with a two optional of having just one side to win or what side to lose is better of games with multiple options just as said, win loose or draws.

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February 26, 2024, 05:59:32 AM
 #38


Also, predicting on the kind of games with a two optional of having just one side to win or what side to lose is better of games with multiple options just as said, win loose or draws.


Not really like I believe even in soccer game, there exit two options in the variables of options inside a particular option. Like if you have draw no bet, then you have succeeded in choosing one side excluding draw in the game. Well that is what I am thinking to say that is also part of having two options to choose from like the table tennis that Op used as example while making his post.

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February 26, 2024, 10:55:49 AM
 #39

Excellent topic, doing these small analyzes already reduces the risk a lot and increases the probability of the bet being successful, every good bettor always has to keep an eye on everything that happens behind the scenes of a club or athlete, everything can influence and change the  result

Even though betting is luck, we need the odds in our favor.

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Davidvictorson
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February 26, 2024, 12:06:48 PM
 #40

Write down additional factors that may increase the likelihood of a favorable outcome for your prognosis.
To get the odds on your side some of the suggestions that I want to make are what we all know. Simply bet what you can afford to lose and as  Oshosondy will always emphasize, it should be between 1% - 5% of your income. Secondly, focus your bets on sports where you possess ample knowledge. For instance, in football, prioritize leagues you're well-versed in, such as the Premier League rather than the Ligue 1 or the Saudi League ot the American Leauge irrespective of star player Messi or Ronaldo playing there. Lastly, refrain from hastily increasing your betting unit size, even during a winning streak.

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