We are still early in this bull run. Retails have yet come back massively!

[tranthidung]

Institutional investors are whales who are game makers and manipulators but Bitcoin market hits its all time high with very last forces from retail investors. Bitcoin is up more than 44% last month (February) and makes many people feel like they missed the party.

Fact is, it is still early. See some metrics above like

• Google Trend
• Youtube Subscribers
• Youtube Views

Like Youtube or not, we can not deny fact that it is one of most favorite homes of retail investors, newbies in Bitcoin market. It is where they get most exposure and information, to hype themselves in Bitcoin market.

Three charts above show that we are far from peak hype of the past bull market.

Also, let's check

• Bitcoin bubble index

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[DeathAngel]

We’re not in the peak bull period until Grandma & Uncle Bob start calling & asking how to buy Bitcoin. All jokes aside we’re not even at the halving yet, the peak bull run won’t be until next year. The bull has some way to run yet so sit in & get ready to watch the greatest show on earth. We have Spot ETF demand now, the run to Bitcoin will be like nothing we’ve ever seen.

[Upgrade00]

We've not even had the halving yet, so no one should be thinking they have missed a party that hasn't even started.

It's easy to not see how high we can go from here, over $100k would seem ridiculous to most and close to $200k would be impossible. This would cause people to put an imaginary price ceiling and then rue the missed chance to get bitcoins while they were cheaper.

Buy and hodl.

[criptoevangelista]

We’re not in the peak bull period until Grandma & Uncle Bob start calling & asking how to buy Bitcoin. All jokes aside we’re not even at the halving yet, the peak bull run won’t be until next year. The bull has some way to run yet so sit in & get ready to watch the greatest show on earth. We have Spot ETF demand now, the run to Bitcoin will be like nothing we’ve ever seen.

Reading your post I share that yesterday I saw people commenting something like: "bitcoin is paying well" lol  ...

but without a doubt the famous question from Uncle Bob and Grandma are strong signs of the bubble breaking... Let's pay attention to the signs! strong signals... Of people discovering the wonders of bitcoin and asking random questions thinking they will become millionaires the next day by buying satoshis.


But we are still a long way from the top of the cycle.

some patterns are missing: the famous pyramids, new crypto games, new shitcoins, new promises, new eccentric millionaire influencers and television news advertisements showing people who have changed their lives... There are many signs!

[pawanjain]

It's very different this time. Bitcoin is almost going to break the ATH price as it's very near to it.
We haven't even passed the bitcoin halving yet and it's always that bitcoin breaks the ATH after the halving.
So, yes, we are definitely early. I can't even imagine how high bitcoin would go after few months of BTC halving.
This year is going to show us some serious gains I believe.

[Shishir99]

Reading your post I share that yesterday I saw people commenting something like: "bitcoin is paying well" lol  ...

It's like Bitcoin is a company, and they pay a return on investment. LOL. I remember seeing a meme a couple of years ago that says the Bitcoin CEO decided to increase the price for Christmas or something like that. The problem is that people hear about Bitcoin and quickly invest without proper research. They invest in Bitcoin, but imagine how lazy they are; they don't even know how it works. LOL.

Regarding the bull run, yes, I agree that we are still in the early stages of the bull run. But a lot of people are saying that the bull run hasn't started yet. I want to say, we are in bull run already. Just wait till the halving and we will go further till we make another ATH.

[Ndabagi01]

The way the bitcoin market moved from last month to today led many people to believe that they had missed out on the party and were left behind. Until the halving, I believe everyone entering the market is still early in the bull and will profit significantly if they act now. We are already counting down to the halving, and if the price breaks or does not break by then, we can predict how high bitcoin will go after breaking the current ATH price. The bull is still in the early stages; there is no need to panic or feel FOMO. You can only get as much as you invest early in bitcoin when the time for bull run reaches and gets to its maximum value at the end of the bullish period.

[tranthidung]

We’re not in the peak bull period until Grandma & Uncle Bob start calling & asking how to buy Bitcoin. All jokes aside we’re not even at the halving yet, the peak bull run won’t be until next year. The bull has some way to run yet so sit in & get ready to watch the greatest show on earth. We have Spot ETF demand now, the run to Bitcoin will be like nothing we’ve ever seen.

Grandma & Uncle Bob and our friends who suddenly knock our doors to ask our advice about Bitcoin or help them to invest in Bitcoin, it will be time for thinking of peak. These hype activities will be reflected on Google Trend, Youtube Subscribers, Views even we know there are bias factors on those parameters, they are still helpful.

We've not even had the halving yet, so no one should be thinking they have missed a party that hasn't even started.

Halving is about 48 days 17 hours from now.
https://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/

It's easy to not see how high we can go from here, over $100k would seem ridiculous to most and close to $200k would be impossible. This would cause people to put an imaginary price ceiling and then rue the missed chance to get bitcoins while they were cheaper.

No one can predict it but let's take this chance to see historic growth of past cycles. The latest cycle gives us 16x from Low to High and we are already 4x from Low to High in this cycle.

16x like the past cycle is too much so I humbly expect for 8x for this cycle. So we might end up with $120,000 but I don't exclude any chance that Bitcoin will make a bigger than 8x.

[Zaguru12]

No one can predict it but let's take this chance to see historic growth of past cycles. The latest cycle gives us 16x from Low to High and we are already 4x from Low to High in this cycle.

16x like the past cycle is too much so I humbly expect for 8x for this cycle. So we might end up with $120,000 but I don't exclude any chance that Bitcoin will make a bigger than 8x.

The way bitcoin is rallying up before the halving itself happens is actually fascinating and making all speculations a bit hard. Just like what you said I don’t see bitcoin also reaching $200k as new all time but with this ETF hype causing heavy market FOMO I might be wrong. My reason for not seeing it at that price is because I think that bitcoin volatility to me is reducing and the pump and the dump wouldn’t be so massive as in the past.

Your predictions of $120k seems more like mine, just a bit down from it. what I predict is at most 2.5x from the current ATH of $69k. Once it gets to this current ATH even before halving I don’t see it doing more than this 2.5x which brings the price at around $170k to $180k. Other events can actually affects this predictions but i Expect this price In the middle of next year 2025

[Upgrade00]

Halving is about 48 days 17 hours from now.

Still enough time to hit an ATH.

No one can predict it but let's take this chance to see historic growth of past cycles. The latest cycle gives us 16x from Low to High and we are already 4x from Low to High in this cycle.

This is one way to look at it. In my optimistic state, I think we go above $150k this cycle, but $120k seems like a very reasonable expectation to plan your investment around.

[Kelward]

The way the bitcoin market moved from last month to today led many people to believe that they had missed out on the party and were left behind. Until the halving, I believe everyone entering the market is still early in the bull and will profit significantly if they act now. We are already counting down to the halving, and if the price breaks or does not break by then, we can predict how high bitcoin will go after breaking the current ATH price. The bull is still in the early stages; there is no need to panic or feel FOMO. You can only get as much as you invest early in bitcoin when the time for bull run reaches and gets to its maximum value at the end of the bullish period.

Buying Bitcoin now is definitely not late, infact with the price prediction we're quite certain that it can hit up to $150k in the peak of bull run, so if a person starts now to hodle, within a year's time, he'll be sure of getting over %100 ROI, I think that'll be a very good deal for any investor. No doubt we're still in the early stage of bull run, and just imagine what will happen after halving, another massive pump because of temporary scarcity, so this is not a time to panic and wish you'd started accumulating earlier, because the party is just getting started. Bitcoin adoption have been massive now because a lot of people are becoming more aware of this bull season, and they want to be a part of it.

[thecodebear]

Yeah the normal retail crowd that FOMO's into bull markets hasn't even started coming in yet. They probably won't get excited about Bitcoin again until like this summer once it gets all over the media that Bitcoin has passed its 2021 high and is surging higher. That's what gets those people excited enough to throw their money into something they don't understand haha. The feeling of "omg people are making so much money I gotta jump in right now!"


Though I think this bull run will end a lot earlier than normal. Bull runs always end near the end of the year after the halving, so we've all been expecting this market cycle to end late 2025. But since first the hype around a possible ETF approval, and then the money coming into the ETFs, have raised sped things up, so that the cycle is currently about half a year ahead of where it would normally be, I think we'll see a peak in early 2025 rather than late 2025. The bear market could very well be bottoming by late 2025 when we would normally expect the bull market to be peaking. But we'll see.  Anyway I think we'll see the retail crowd start to FOMO in this summer. They are definitely not here yet.

[Wind_FURY]

Although retail money that's going to enter the ecosystem later in the cycle is going to be very important, I believe the entities that will truly make Bitcoin surge meaningfuly this bull  cycle will be government entities. There might currently be one that's not being noticed that has been slowly buying Bitcoin quietly.

Don't let them front-run you. YOU front-run THEM. Buy the DIP and HODL, DCA, do anything you can to buy more Bitcoin.

[Yatsan]

Indeed, personally I do think that bullrun won't be happening this early. Price have entered and stayed on the overbought area for months already and a price correction will always have a tendency to take place. However, given that there's no assurance of what will be next whether it will be a continuous pump with crypto market prices or a sudden crash before the halving. The anticipated event for the bullrun is halving and given that it is not yet happening, therefore we should be careful of our decisions. Buying at this point would be okay as well but expect that you'd be quite on edge since prices are about to breakthrough without assurance. If you plan to make an entry be sure to set a stoploss.

Halving is about 48 days 17 hours from now.

Still enough time to hit an ATH.

No one can predict it but let's take this chance to see historic growth of past cycles. The latest cycle gives us 16x from Low to High and we are already 4x from Low to High in this cycle.

This is one way to look at it. In my optimistic state, I think we go above $150k this cycle, but $120k seems like a very reasonable expectation to plan your investment around.

Problem is not having the assurance or to not be guaranteed of a continuous price increase. Market price charts from previous halving, bullrun took place after months since occurence. However, again, that won't make things certain. What's best to do is to know your risk appetite; if you can afford seeing no matter what direction it goes after your purchase, then you'd be good to go.

[I_Anime]

Halving is about 48 days 17 hours from now.

Still enough time to hit an ATH.

No one can predict it but let's take this chance to see historic growth of past cycles. The latest cycle gives us 16x from Low to High and we are already 4x from Low to High in this cycle.

This is one way to look at it. In my optimistic state, I think we go above $150k this cycle, but $120k seems like a very reasonable expectation to plan your investment around.

yeah bitcoin price after the halving, may be likely around such price you mention which is $120k or at most $150k but still we can't actually tell, because that how most people believe then that bitcoin won't hit $60k before the halving and bitcoin current price is more than and soon hit a new ATH before the halving, so after the halving bitcoin may surged more than the price range we just mention.

[SmartGold01]

If I may understand correctly is only those that doesn't enter the market at a very low price that is why you see such noise and panic all over about people saying they have missed the bull trend, if I may get it well we have never achieved the previous ATH even though we are nearly to the price but we can't say the bull run has started and ended. What matters is we are looking at halving for the main bull market to start and of course when halving is over we might see some hard time over the market because after halving bull run doesn't start immediately so probably by 2025 that is when we might fully enjoys the bull run, but who knows if the narratives has change from its previous states to another new dimension who knows but historically I have never seen such.

[adultcrypto]

Bitcoin price trajectory have left us with so much uncertainties with the only thing certain being that we will see higher prices after the halving and going forward. So I agree with you that we are still early in this bull run. I don't know if what happened with the Bitcoin ETF will also happen with he halving, a case where everyone expected that Bitcoin was going to the moon immediately the ETF was approved. What we saw was just a minor push up before a deep retracement. Now we are also expecting serious price rise after the halving, will it happen like the ETF or not?

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

Three charts above show that we are far from peak hype of the past bull market.

We are really far from the peak of the market, although no one knows what the peak price will be before the bear market starts again but as it stands now, no one has yet missed any party. We are still preparing for the huge party to come because this initial stage is just like a price warm-up to make investors aware that it's going to be a crazy bull run. 

[sunsilk]

Wait until the halving and we'd for sure going to have that sequence about these trends where all of the people at all ages will start searching on google about "how to buy bitcoin", "is bitcoin a good investment". You'd see that but we already have some signs already and that's the Coinbase having a glitch on the very first few days of the skyrocket.

It's true that we're still early and there's a need to wait until the bull run comes. Stack for yourselves and we all have been doing that for so long but for the people outside the forum, I just hope that most of them have their own plans and time to buy soon.

The peak of this cycle will be the most interesting thing on this history for this cycle.

[ShowOff]

I think we are past the initial bullish phase in 2023, so I think we are already in the continuation phase even though we have not yet reached the new ATH. Price recently almost touched the old ATH, but then failed and corrected slightly. The upcoming halving is likely to sway anyone's interest in buying bitcoin and taking advantage of the opportunity, but experienced investors seem to have got entry in early so it's likely only retail traders will force themselves to capitalize on the hype.

Over time demand for bitcoin will increase and I don't think this is only influenced by the halving. Institutional investors have opened many people's eyes to their own doubts about bitcoin, so I think the hype this time will probably be bigger than the previous halving period.