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Author Topic: Buy Buy Buy or Sell Sell Sell?  (Read 143570 times)
Renampun
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Today at 04:52:00 PM
 #16881

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If someone is accumulating Bitcoin but has not yet built a reasonable Bitcoin holding, instead of trying to diversify, it is better to stay focused on accumulating Bitcoin. That way, they can build a strong portfolio first. After reaching a reasonable Bitcoin portfolio, they can then consider diversifying into other investments.

Actually, in my opinion, diversification is not really needed if your focus is on the long term, especially if the amount of investment you have is not that large, you are just wasting more time than just investing consistently in Bitcoin. especially with a small portfolio, spreading your money across too many investments can dilute your returns while adding more complexity. so it's better to just focus on building your investment in Bitcoin and continue accumulating it consistently over the long term instead of constantly chasing other assets which is not that important.

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Rabata
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Today at 05:02:27 PM
 #16882

There are advantages to buying Bitcoin with a loan, but you need to adhere to a fixed time when you will accumulate more SAT with a smaller amount of dollars. The time should be dips and to understand which is the down trend, you need to be in the DCA method regularly and also touching market situation.
Once someone borrow money, they are no longer investing with peace of mind because they now have a repayment obligation. That's also why I don't agree with the idea of waiting for dips to buy because  that is close to trading.

For me, DCA is simple. Because  it enable me to buy with my discretionary income and keep accumulating and if  price drops, I get more sats for the same money, I don't fancy  to borrow or try to predict the market. I would rather stay consistent than add debt to my investment.
You might disagree with it but that doesn't mean that those who are willing to do it are wrong, personally I don't like the idea of a person using borrowed money to start their bitcoin investment but that doesn't mean I don't support the idea of using a loan your investment as long as you are not planning on paying off the loan with your bitcoin investment, you should have an alternative way to repay the loan, if you can't handle it though then don't do it, stick to what you can handle, bitcoin investment is not a race.
Investing in Bitcoin with debt is not automatically wrong, but in this case we must have a separate reliable system for paying off that debt. People have different expectations, thinking that if they buy Bitcoin now, it will bring good results very quickly, and for this they think of investing with debt, and in such a situation the only way for them to pay off this debt is that investment, and this is where their biggest mistake happens. They will never get the profit they expect to make very quickly, but instead they will have to face more losses and face a worse financial situation, because after investing with debt and in short term, the price does not increase as they expected, but rather very very volatility decreases.
I will always be a little strict about taking a loan. Because a loan itself is not discretionary income. Rather, a loan often creates a liability on your future income. Even if you have a loan repayment plan, a loan can sometimes put pressure on your investment. You probably know that no one knows when the price of Bitcoin will increase or decrease. On the other hand, the time to repay the loan does not wait. So no matter how much you plan to repay the loan, there is still some risk. Especially when it comes to taking a loan just hoping to get a quick result, it can be even more risky. Because perhaps then his plan is such that if the price increases, he will sell it and repay the loan. This is one of the big risks in the savings process. I am not saying that loans are completely bad for everyone. But we can make decisions after considering all aspects.

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Today at 07:13:47 PM
 #16883

snip
If someone is accumulating Bitcoin but has not yet built a reasonable Bitcoin holding, instead of trying to diversify, it is better to stay focused on accumulating Bitcoin. That way, they can build a strong portfolio first. After reaching a reasonable Bitcoin portfolio, they can then consider diversifying into other investments.

Actually, in my opinion, diversification is not really needed if your focus is on the long term, especially if the amount of investment you have is not that large, you are just wasting more time than just investing consistently in Bitcoin. especially with a small portfolio, spreading your money across too many investments can dilute your returns while adding more complexity. so it's better to just focus on building your investment in Bitcoin and continue accumulating it consistently over the long term instead of constantly chasing other assets which is not that important.

Diversification should be done only when an investor has gotten to overaccumulation stage because then they will have a chance, space and time to look after the asset they are diversifying into so diversifying when you have not gotten to your overaccumulation stage can be distraction to the other investment someone has started already. And yes, before someone will also think of diversification they should make sure they have a good source of income that allow them to do that.

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Today at 07:14:15 PM
 #16884

I will always be a little strict about taking a loan. Because a loan itself is not discretionary income. Rather, a loan often creates a liability on your future income. Even if you have a loan repayment plan, a loan can sometimes put pressure on your investment. You probably know that no one knows when the price of Bitcoin will increase or decrease. On the other hand, the time to repay the loan does not wait. So no matter how much you plan to repay the loan, there is still some risk. Especially when it comes to taking a loan just hoping to get a quick result, it can be even more risky. Because perhaps then his plan is such that if the price increases, he will sell it and repay the loan. This is one of the big risks in the savings process. I am not saying that loans are completely bad for everyone. But we can make decisions after considering all aspects.
A lot of folks only focus on the possible profits and forget that a loan also comes with pressure and responsibilities, in investing especially with something as unpredictable as Bitcoin , managing risk is just a important as looking for opportunities.  patience, proper planning , and only using money one can afford to lose can make a big difference in the long term. A loan can increase one potential gains , but it can also increase one stress and risk .

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Today at 07:53:21 PM
 #16885

After this, when the accumulation stage is completed, an investor can take profit from Bitcoin investment according to his financial condition.
You don't need to even rush into taking profit. When you have reached your over accumulation stage, you transit into the maintenance stage where you are just only holding and allow your portfolio to just be compounding in value.

After your maintenance stage and it's time to take little profit, you don't do it based on your financial condition so that,you don't sell too many bitcoin too soon so you don't end up a low coiner again because you feel that your mission have been accomplished. You are to use the sustainable withdrawal method that allows you to with little part from your bitcoin either using a particular time or using a particular price in order for your bitcoin investment to continue compounding without being affected by your little withdrawal.
Yes, basically, when we're in the overaccumulation phase, or at least our Bitcoin accumulation goal has been achieved, we must also remember that the holding target may not have been reached. It's possible that someone might conduct a DCA on Bitcoin and ultimately reach a target, and that purchase target is met halfway through. Therefore, the holding period is still far from being reached.

Therefore, I believe that while waiting for the holding period to be completed successfully, it would be better for all of us to continue buying Bitcoin with DCA. This will undoubtedly allow us to buy more Bitcoin once our holding period is reached. So, that's basically what I'm thinking right now. Holding and the amount of Bitcoin are different goals, but both must be met effectively if our Bitcoin investment is to run smoothly.

You might need to give an example @Gallar in order to explain what you are talking about.

I would imagine that so many guys might take a very long time to reach overaccumulation status, so even if a guy is able to invest 10% of his income into bitcoin, it will take him 10 years to have had invested 1 year of his income into bitcoin.

A person likely can measure his goals by his current income, since his current income helps to establish how much he might be able to put into bitcoin, and of course, if guys are able to increase their income without substantially increasing their expenses, then it becomes likely that they would be able to accumulate more bitcoin faster, which would then allow them to potentially get to overaccumulation status faster.

Another thing is how much their bitcoin might grow in value, yet how much the bitcoin might grow in value is a factor that is less within their control as compared to their being able to figure out how much of their discretionary funds that they are able to put into bitcoin which should help to give them guidelines for what they might consider to be practical targets to try to reach in terms of their bitcoin accumulation levels - even though sometimes surprises could end up coming in term of their potentially receiving greater amounts of income that they might be able to end up investing into bitcoin.

A quick reminder to those investors who are planning to take out loan to invest in bitcoin, if you take out loan to invest in bitcoin just know that you're not investing from your discretionary fund that's the fund/ wallet where our Bitcoin investment money is supposed to come from, and failure to do that could cause damage to our Bitcoin investment even though some investors have this confident or believe that nothing will happen to Thier Bitcoin investment if they take out loan because they have way to pay back,  my question is what if that source you're hoping to get the . money that you will use to pay back the loan didn't work out? You know life can happen at times that is why we need to avoid whatever thing that will give us borden.
It's true that quite a few people take out loans to invest in BTC, and quite a few are successful because the price of BTC rises and there's always money to repay the loan. However, there's always a risk. If, for example, we default on the loan or are unable to repay it due to, for example, a company going bankrupt or being laid off, many will experience losses because they don't hold BTC long-term and sell their BTC at a price below the purchase price.

The bottom line is that borrowing money to invest in BTC carries a high risk, while using discretionary income is certainly more reassuring and provides a more comfortable mentality. However, the choice is yours, and the risk is yours.
This is what i called double jeopardy. Taking the risk of borrowing money from the bank and at the same time investing in another risky business.  Although borrowing for business is good but not Bitcoin. Bitcoin is too volatile to say the least. If you have what i call free money then you can invest in Bitcoin. Sincerely speaking, Bitcoin has broken some hearts and amended some. Why i said it's a double jeopardy is this. If Bitcoin fails because of it's nature,then you will certainly default in paying back the loan you borrowed

Many times people can justify getting a loan to invest in a business if they might be trying to use the business as a way to leverage their labor so that they can make more money than what they might make by working for someone else.  Of course, businesses struggle to make sure that they make enough money and that they are  also profitable enough to be able to pay back the loan.

Bitcoin is a passive investment, so it is not really the same as a business, even though it still could be justifiable to get a loan to buy bitcoin so that future income would be used to buy bitcoin yet then less bitcoin would be able to buy later, since the money that was borrowed would have to be paid back during the term of the loan, and yeah there may well be many times that they terms of the loan are not really good, so they do not necessarily justify getting into the loan situation, even though each person can decide for himself, and from my perspective it makes more sense to get a loan if the terms are reasonable such as lower than 6% annual interest rates and that the term is long such as 4 years or longer, yet there should be ways to pay back the loan, such as a solid future income and/or other assets (besides bitcoin) that could be used to pay the loan in case the future income dries up.  Loans do add more risk, and they are not necessary, yet individuals can make those kinds of choices to the extent they believe it might be advantageous to get a loan rather than just buying bitcoin from their discretionary funds and not taking so many risks that come from including a loan.

Historically bitcoin has been such a great investment, so then it might not have had been justifiable to add more risk to it, so many of the folks who lost money in bitcoin over the years have been those persons who added too much risk.

Investing in bitcoin requires focus, as lack of focus will lead to a halt in our Bitcoin accumulation journey.
We need to manage our time and thoughts, and set aside a portion of our funds to regularly purchase bitcoin as part of our Investment plan for the future.

Without proper planning, Investments will typically be short lived due to a lack of focus and a lack of goals. As a principle of life, we understand that developments change everything. This era is a technological era, and Bitcoin is an asset with immense value due to its superior concept to fiat. Therefore, we must completely forget about investing in other assets and focus on bitcoin for future success.
Investing in bitcoin should not stop person from investing in other long time investment. If person can comfortably invest in bitcoin and other long time investment assets, there is no reason to limit it just one.

What matter is your have the discretionary income to invest and that the other investment they you are doing doesn't make you to pause your bitcoin accumulation. Bitcoin investment isn't some rocket science that can take away all of your time and energy form doing other things. You can invest and still have time for other things..

Even though guys can do whatever they want, I am not too excited about the idea of investing in other things, besides bitcoin.

There are advantages in focusing on bitcoin and cash management, yet surely if there might be other opportunities, such as employers who offer retirement funds that guys can invest into, then it might make sense to have some other investments, even though there can be distraction and dilution when time, energy and/or value are diverted to other potentially inferior investments.  But, yeah, guys make choices.

Some people are even yet to reach a good stage of their Bitcoin investment journey yet they choose to diversify into shitcoins instead to focus on managing their Bitcoin investment properly so they'll achieve good result in the future. Diversifying to shitcoins while trying to build a better Bitcoin portfolio would definitely lead to complications.

 If someone has chosen Bitcoin as an investment option then it's best to focus on it, instead of adding distractions in the name of diversifying to shitcoins which is less worthy of giving attention to. It's the kind of things that disrupt investors from achieving their investment goals.
When diversifying, you diversify into a different asset and not an asset of the same line with bitcoin. Shitcoin isn't diversifying because Bitcoin controls it's price and Bitcoin is the best so, it becomes a problem when bitcoin price is down because it means that all your asset will depreciate in value. Shitcoin is gambling don't forget.

If you want to diversify, you diversify into asset of different line like stock, bond, equity and cash equivalents in other to balance your loss in case bitcoin price is down the other one can be doing fine to balance up for you. We diversify in other to preserve the value of your wealth and not because you just want to do it.

You need to have the knowledge on whatever, asset you want to diversify into to avoid losses and regret in the future. If you don't have the knowledge, it's better to focus on building your bitcoin portfolio alone.

You are correct to point out that diversification tends to be a wealth preserving mechanism rather than a wealth building mechanism, so in that sense some wealth likely needs to already have had been built before diversification starts to make sense.

It might be o.k. to start to diversify once the bitcoin investment equals 6 months or more of the expenses of the investor, yet some people might wait until the bitcoin investment reaches 1 or 2 years of the expenses.  These are judgment calls.  Also, maybe if a person is growing his bitcoin investment and his cash at the same time, he likely is not going to like to keep so much value in cash (especially when the cash starts to become higher than 4 months of expenses), which could start to justify keeping some value in other places and perhaps even considering the extent to which the other places are liquid and/or non-volatile to the extent that those funds might also be serving as back up funds.

I can still tell that there are many newbies that are still facing little challenges on this, as a newbie, knowing how to figure out your financial stability is very paramount. But it's not necessarily till you must figuring out the starting amount before investing, it all depends on the availability of your discretionary income, even In practicing process one can can get to understand how or what exact amounts to be investing either weekly,like $10 or $20 worth of bitcoin depending on the person's financial status.

However, having a mindset of learning while investing gives newbies a hints on how to balance thier status along the line,  moreover, the most important thing newbies should know, is to start with the little amounts of thier discretionary income and when they get comfortable on it,  then they can adjust based on what may feels right to them.
investors should invest according to your income and cash flow. Many people struggle to invest even 10% or more of their income. That is, it can take 5 or more years to invest the equivalent of our 1 year's income.

If you want to invest 1 years of your income over 5 years, then you need to invest 20% of your income each of those 5 years, which is not easy for normal people to accomplish that high of a level of investment.

So you should try to be realistic about your capabilities. Bitcoin is an investment that has the potential for huge asymmetric gains. So whatever amount we pursue, it should be within our budget and realistic in implementing responsible and long-term plans, so that we feel comfortable with the habit of regular savings and investment. And as our income increases, it can be a prudent approach to gradually increase the amount.

For sure, it is likely good to try to be realistic around a person's income, and many times it can be difficult to increase income levels and to maintain expenses at low and/or manageable levels.

[edited out]
Expressing my personal opinion, I can say that if a person has the financial capacity and can comfortably invest in real estate, gold or other conventional assets along with Bitcoin. Bitcoin gives us extraordinary returns and financial freedom. We have to remember that Bitcoin is the best 'hard money'. Therefore, a large part of our portfolio should be in Bitcoin. Also, if one has an extra budget, there is no harm in investing in real estate or any other reliable long-term asset. The main thing is that we do not stop depositing Bitcoin (DCA) while investing elsewhere. If it is possible to balance both together, then that is the biggest advantage for an investor.

Maybe you @Stive009 need to give some examples from where you believe all of the money to invest would be coming from?

Generally it tends to take times to build up wealth and to build up holdings, and surely many guys around here recognize the idea of building up both bitcoin and back up funds which could take 6-12 months or longer just to build up a bitcoin holdings and back up funds that each equal in the ballpark of 3 months of expenses.

So are you expecting that normal people can just diversify for the sake of it, or are you expecting normal people to be able to invest more than 10% to 15% of their income into bitcoin and/or other investments?

1) Self-Custody is a right.  Resist being labelled as: "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
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Today at 08:14:10 PM
 #16886


Investing in bitcoin should not stop person from investing in other long time investment. If person can comfortably invest in bitcoin and other long time investment assets, there is no reason to limit it just one.

What matter is your have the discretionary income to invest and that the other investment they you are doing doesn't make you to pause your bitcoin accumulation. Bitcoin investment isn't some rocket science that can take away all of your time and energy form doing other things. You can invest and still have time for other things..
Sure, one can diversify, but to what end? How much discretionary does one have to keep buying Bitcoin consistently and also investing in order assets? Another question would be, with such diversification, how long will you take to get some tangible Bitcoin in your portfolio? Of course, this will take too much time. Paying more attention to just Bitcoin accumulation at least for beggining will be better and more productive
Now the idea of diversifying is not a bad one, where there might be issues is when what you’re going into doesn’t have a sustainable long term value. For example you might diversify into other tangible projects like Land/Real Estate, a business venture or Gold etc. to but when you leave Bitcoin to diversify into Altcoins and shitcoins which ten to carry more risk and uncertainty this might become problematic.


No one is saying that diversification is a bad idea, or investing in the assets you mentioned such as land/a real estate isn't good enough or productive, nope. They are all good investments and hopefully might be productive at the end of the day.
But the main point here is diversifying to other assets while still running your Bitcoin investment, of course will delay your Bitcoin investment growth and probably take you more years to reach your investment target or goal.

Other assets may be cool, but Bitcoin still beats them all for it's value. So, it's more advisable that plebs concentrate on accumulating Bitcoin and focus on reaching there over-accumulation stage or investment target rather than get distracted with diversification. Another reason while I may not encourage diversification for investors who are still in there accumulation process is that such diversification will make them miss out from some good buying (Bitcoin)opportunities since they will be sharing there income into the different assets they are trying to continually buy. Perhaps, sticking to one assets (Bitcoin) will be better, more productive and also allow you to concentrate to allow you meet up with your investment target.


[edited out]
Expressing my personal opinion, I can say that if a person has the financial capacity and can comfortably invest in real estate, gold or other conventional assets along with Bitcoin. Bitcoin gives us extraordinary returns and financial freedom. We have to remember that Bitcoin is the best 'hard money'. Therefore, a large part of our portfolio should be in Bitcoin. Also, if one has an extra budget, there is no harm in investing in real estate or any other reliable long-term asset. The main thing is that we do not stop depositing Bitcoin (DCA) while investing elsewhere. If it is possible to balance both together, then that is the biggest advantage for an investor.

Maybe you @Stive009 need to give some examples from where you believe all of the money to invest would be coming from?

Generally it tends to take times to build up wealth and to build up holdings, and surely many guys around here recognize the idea of building up both bitcoin and back up funds which could take 6-12 months or longer just to build up a bitcoin holdings and back up funds that each equal in the ballpark of 3 months of expenses.

So are you expecting that normal people can just diversify for the sake of it, or are you expecting normal people to be able to invest more than 10% to 15% of their income into bitcoin and/or other investments?

Of course, raising income to confidently invest in Bitcoin consistently isn't an easy task. Sometimes, there could be so may reasons why some investors don't meet up there weekly or monthly plan of buying Bitcoin consistently using the DCA strategy. Sometimes, it could be an increased expenses or many more emergencies happening all at once, and sometimes our discretionary can't cover all these expenses and then we are forced to skip or adjust our buying plan or amount to suit the present situation at hand.
This simply even makes it more difficult for someone who is diversifying to find it more problematic to meet up, and invariably, if he tries to manage and keep up with all his investments, he would have to cut down on amount of allocations to his various diversified investments, thereby limiting the increase and growth of his Bitcoin investment. I would still maintain that plebs concentrate on accumulating Bitcoin alone consistently while pursuing there investment target plan rather than think of diversification

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Today at 08:29:16 PM
 #16887

I will always be a little strict about taking a loan. Because a loan itself is not discretionary income. Rather, a loan often creates a liability on your future income. Even if you have a loan repayment plan, a loan can sometimes put pressure on your investment. You probably know that no one knows when the price of Bitcoin will increase or decrease. On the other hand, the time to repay the loan does not wait. So no matter how much you plan to repay the loan, there is still some risk. Especially when it comes to taking a loan just hoping to get a quick result, it can be even more risky. Because perhaps then his plan is such that if the price increases, he will sell it and repay the loan. This is one of the big risks in the savings process. I am not saying that loans are completely bad for everyone. But we can make decisions after considering all aspects.
A lot of folks only focus on the possible profits and forget that a loan also comes with pressure and responsibilities, in investing especially with something as unpredictable as Bitcoin , managing risk is just a important as looking for opportunities.  patience, proper planning , and only using money one can afford to lose can make a big difference in the long term. A loan can increase one potential gains , but it can also increase one stress and risk.
I agree with this statement, many new investors only calculate the potential profit when investing with debt, they think that their profit will increase much more because of their investment with this debt, but they do not think about how much more risk it creates. If you want to get something good from Bitcoin, you have to survive here for the long term, in any market situation and in any financial situation, we have to survive for the long term, and for this we have to be careful about our financial matters in terms of investment. Investing with debt will lead us to a lot of mental worries, in such a situation, market instability has a very deep impact on us.

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