China India tensions on impact to Global economy possible china India war

[Parklane777]

Get ready for goods and products shiped from china india area sea to get very expensive.
Also USA stand behind india and will give all the military aid to India it means stock market commodities and btc looking bullish becouse just start of the china India war the fed might lower the rates.
Now they can't do rate cuts but If there will be world one of the biggest war definately fed ecb boe will cut rates fast.
This one is very important for USA so they will support with money even more then ukraine.
We might see fed rate cuts in 1-2 months the emergency rate cuts to give military aid.
Also this area is important becouse a lot sea traffic with shipments goes from there to the world.
Fed cutting the rates + tensions on world one of most important area can make shipping cost by conteiners sky rocketing.
China India war will have huge impact to Global economy but one thing is for sure markets will go up.
Also Since India own currency fall i guess blackrock is ready to start sell btc to India and to china.
Both have huge population the china and india and If from starting the btc adoption and USDT USDC adoption to get btc then it can move the markets like grazy.
We could see the fed cutting rates but dollar will be still strong becouse of strong demand of USD specially USDT and USDC.
Everything comes together exacly timing.

[Upgrade00]

Also USA stand behind india and will give all the military aid to India it means stock market commodities and btc looking bullish becouse just start of the china India war the fed might lower the rates.

It's quite extreme to suggest this is or is going to be a war. There has been tensions in both countries for a couple of years now, but I do not see this spiraling into actual conflict anytime soon. The economic impact it would have on both states would mean they would both be trying to avoid it, but without looking weak.

I don't also think we should be making theories about how a war would benefit Bitcoin.

[nimethasa]

India and China have never had an issue of war. be it a military war or an economic war. they are fine and India has never been intervened by the USA. and it's just you who wrote that statement. if the economic war between the USA and China is really happening. but if China and India there has never been news in the mass media both print and online that discusses this. and if the war happens there is no effect on the price of bitcoin. when US and china tensions were at their peak there was no effect on the price of bitcoin.

[tyz]

Get ready for goods and products shiped from china india area sea to get very expensive.

China is currently flooding the world with goods to get its domestic economy back on track, which is leading to a deflationary trend. Now that the real estate sector has almost come to a standstill due to its problems and is contributing little to economic growth, the government is looking for alternatives. They have identified these in the expansion of industry, in particular solar and electric cars (also indirectly confirmed by the communist party). It should therefore be assumed that products from China will become cheaper. I don't think the scenario you describe is likely.

[Hispo]

Also USA stand behind india and will give all the military aid to India it means stock market commodities and btc looking bullish becouse just start of the china India war the fed might lower the rates.

It's quite extreme to suggest this is or is going to be a war. There has been tensions in both countries for a couple of years now, but I do not see this spiraling into actual conflict anytime soon. The economic impact it would have on both states would mean they would both be trying to avoid it, but without looking weak.

I don't also think we should be making theories about how a war would benefit Bitcoin.

I agree with you there, I don't think Satoshi would have liked anyone to especulate on the value of his creation from the suffering a death of people, especially the innocent.

Keeping that to one side. It is true India and China have had their clashes and disagreements over the occupation of territories in the north of the India, which both counties claim, but it would be foolish of them to start a war because of it or other seemingly small reasons.
Both India and China are part of the BRICS, and both are quite relevant members of the organization, because of their number of population and manufacturing capacities. What would the rest of the world think and also the rest of the BRICS members of two of their most important participants started a conflict? The alliance will undoubtedly lose the trust of many around the world and their plans to counter the United States Dollar in the maket with their own currency would not be taken as serious anymore.

So, I won't think anything serious will happen between them, unless they do not have their priorities clear at all.

[davis196]

This is a forum about Economics, not about geopolitical speculations.
Blackrock selling BTC to both India and China? OP is clearly trolling and spamming the forum with weird posts.
There's no point for China and India to fight against each other. I know that there were conflicts between India and China in the past, but I can't figure out why would China invade India or vice versa? Does Northern India have lots of natural resources? Does Tibet have lots of natural resources? The answer of both questions is no. A potential war between India and China would mean two things:
1.Lots of pointless casualties.
2.The collapse of BRCIS.
Both countries don't want such outcome.

[Kingperry22]

  this issue will certainly pose a threat to the global supply chain and disruption of production worldwide. china and india are regarded as the most populous nations on earth and if such conflict arise concerns about commodity price and agricultural produce may be of great concern.

Also it may eventually lead to fall in the financial market whereby affecting stock market and currency value. we hope for a diplomatic settlement before it escalated out of proportion.

[Haunebu]

What a load of crap. Wars are costly for all countries involved which is why very, very few leaders are dumb enough to go through with them. Examples are dumdums like Putin etc who end up regretting their decisions later on.

India and China are always hostile with each other, but their leaders aren't dumb enough to fight a war against each other for obvious reasons. Think!

[avikz]

I don't see any war between China and India happening. Even though China has a bigger military, please do not forget that both countries hold a significant number of nuclear warheads. So it is highly unlikely that India and China will get into a war. Because if it happens, it will officially become the third world war.

I understand America is very much interested in this because they will be able to sell their weapons to India. But I don't think it is happening ever again. Both countries have progressed in technology and no one would like to spend on wars when they can spend and built a better economy.

[kentrolla]

There as been tensions flaring up between India and China for quite sometime and there has been multiple clashes at the border and on the lands illegally occupied by China in the border area. But it has not escalated to the level of war as it's bad for both the countries because we have to accept the fact that without Chinese good and raw materials or would be difficult to sustain and also China cannot risk any war with India and India is not so stupid to fight American war just like Pakistan did and still suffering.

[jrrsparkles]

There won't be any war Like OP expecting between India and China cause both nations having issues with their borders for decades and India already making some moves like banning their apps, banning their investors.

China is having biggest military system compared to India doesn't mean they will fall and already No country doesn't want to mess with both India and China for obvious reasons.

[electronicash]

these two are members of the same bloc BRICS. and although India is a pain in the ass for the BRICS, i don't think they are going to ruin their way this extremely as they are no chance of defeating China in a hot war.  they may haave border issues but the tension usually ends in a peace talk.  Modi is not like Zelenski. he has more wisdom.

but if this happens, you can expect the Chinese products to be expensive. i would probably start buying more phones the day the war strikes.

[darkangel11]

If India hates China so much and wants to go to war with it, why did it join the BRICS? The goal of this monetary union is to weaken the dollar and create another currency that can be used for trading between countries who faced US sanctions. Joining BRICS is like showing the middle finger to both US and the EU, so India clearly chose China over the US. If It ever were to fight China it would be standing alone, since the US would not help them and many other countries like Russia would rather help China...
Your theory makes no sense, OP.

[Maus0728]

India and China have never had an issue of war. be it a military war or an economic war. they are fine and India has never been intervened by the USA. and it's just you who wrote that statement. if the economic war between the USA and China is really happening. but if China and India there has never been news in the mass media both print and online that discusses this. and if the war happens there is no effect on the price of bitcoin. when US and china tensions were at their peak there was no effect on the price of bitcoin.

You're naive to say that then because they've got a border tension back in 2022 if I recall and you don't know China fully then to say that they've got not issue with India because as far as I know, China is fighting against all of their neighbors with border disputes, saying that history is on their side and that they're just reclaiming what they're culturally deserving of, which is in most cases territory that seems to overlap with other countries' borders. But aside all that, India won't be going in an all-out war with China though, it's got it's hands full with Pakistan ready to make the move anytime India makes a move that would tip the balance of the scales.

[Kemarit]

China India war will have huge impact to Global economy but one thing is for sure markets will go up.

Isn't it that's what they said in every war though, it will have an impact to the global economy.

Also Since India own currency fall i guess blackrock is ready to start sell btc to India and to china.

As far as I know, their own currency has deflated years ago and yet they are still standing.

Both have huge population the china and india and If from starting the btc adoption and USDT USDC adoption to get btc then it can move the markets like grazy.
We could see the fed cutting rates but dollar will be still strong becouse of strong demand of USD specially USDT and USDC.
Everything comes together exacly timing.

So in your conclusion, there is a relation with this war to crypto? how come? And I don't think that it will go that far that this two countries are going to war each other. Doesn't make sense and the leaders of this two countries, are going to sit down and talk and not escalate everything. They know the cost of war and how it will affect them, so I will say that diplomacy will take place.

[Sithara007]

Era of full-fledged military wars are over. Any possible war between India and China in the future will be done through the proxy route. China is supporting insurgents in northeast India through its ally Myanmar, while India is supporting the separatists Tibetans by allowing them to operate from Dharamshala. Apart from that, a military confrontation could be very damaging for both the sides. China is suffering from a demographic crisis, and deaths have overtaken the births there. Similarly, in India the states that contribute to the armed forces (Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu, Punjab.etc) are going through a similar crisis. In both the nations, manpower is no longer replaceable.

[pooya87]

An armed conflict between India and China is unlikely and I'll give you 3 reasons for it:
1. The "disagreements" between the two countries have existed for a long time (like about certain areas between the two countries and borders, etc.) and it has never led to any major conflicts. In other words India has a much higher chance of going to war with Pakistan than with China.

2. The two countries have nukes. The chance of an armed conflict between two nuke owning countries is always low because of the mutual destruction capability.

3. The two countries are going on a different path which means there will be less tensions in the future. India is going on the path that China went decades ago (mass producing "simple" stuff) while China is getting past it and is entering "tech" products and will want to transfer that burden to India.

Get ready for goods and products shiped from china india area sea to get very expensive.
Also USA stand behind india and will give all the military aid to India it means stock market commodities and btc looking bullish becouse just start of the china India war the fed might lower the rates.

You are contradicting yourself.
US heavily depends on imports, specially from China and somewhat from India. If according to you price of those products go up that means inflation in US which means FED will be forced to increase interest rates to battle inflation not decrease it.

We might see fed rate cuts in 1-2 months the emergency rate cuts to give military aid.

Another contradiction. If US regime wants to spend a ton of money, they'll have to print trillions. If this aid is bigger than Ukraine aid they'll have to print even more.
This means higher inflation which again the FED has to battler by increasing the rates not decreasing them.

Also this area is important becouse a lot sea traffic with shipments goes from there to the world.
Fed cutting the rates + tensions on world one of most important area can make shipping cost by conteiners sky rocketing.

Another reasons for higher inflation and higher rates.

We could see the fed cutting rates but dollar will be still strong becouse of strong demand of USD specially USDT and USDC.

It is weird that you advertise these two centralized shitcoins in most of your comments!

[Kakmakr]

The thing is, China and India have a population growth that are not controlled, so border conflicts like this will be a ongoing problem, because they have to put those people somewhere and they also need more agricultural land to produce more food.

The thing is also that they are both part of BRICS ... so they have to find a way to work together for that to succeed.

[franky1]

The thing is, China and India have a population growth that are not controlled, so border conflicts like this will be a ongoing problem, because they have to put those people somewhere and they also need more agricultural land to produce more food.

The thing is also that they are both part of BRICS ... so they have to find a way to work together for that to succeed.

the border between india vs china is protected by.. MOUNTAINS
so its not a land dispute over area's that can be used for housing/agriculture of a growing indian populous

[btc78]

I have only seen tension between the two because of territory dispute which I don’t think would be enough reason to go on a full-blown war. Remember, these two countries do not only have each other as their enemies especially China. China is pressuring a lot of countries right now and they would most likely go out for a territory that is most valuable for them. But no matter how valuable it is, they can not just go and attack a country. They haven’t even gotten Taiwan and many are saying they might just never do it.