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Author Topic: Post per day/ per month falling.  (Read 1419 times)
Ambatman (OP)
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April 15, 2024, 08:15:19 AM
Merited by Welsh (2)
 #1

I came across the chart of the posts per day and month in ninjastics and was surprised that it has been falling for the last days /month  despite the halving of this year.




Is there a reason For this continuous fall in posts?

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April 15, 2024, 08:23:43 AM
Merited by philipma1957 (1), d5000 (1)
 #2

Halving being nearby has nothing to do with the number of posts people make in a day. There might be a thread about it, but I don't think it's enough to keep the number of monthly and daily posts of all members increasing. 
 
The number of monthly posts reduced could be either because active members here have also reduced or because some people have also diverted their attention to Altcointalk as a result of Mixers being moved to that side. Some members might still be active here but might not be producing as many posts as they used to in the past since they are now posting on different forums.

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April 15, 2024, 08:35:11 AM
 #3

I came across the chart of the posts per day and month in ninjastics and was surprised that it has been falling for the last days /month  despite the halving of this year.

Is there a reason For this continuous fall in posts?
Stop of campaigns that pay per posts like Chip Mixer and other mixers are main reasons if I am not wrong.

Forum posts don't depend too much on Bitcoin halving. It has some correlation but not too strong and a bigger correlation is with active campaigns and how many posts they require each week. You can see in bull run, posts can be more than in bear market but it is explained by more companies run signature campaigns in bull market.

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April 15, 2024, 09:00:16 AM
 #4

Halving being nearby has nothing to do with the number of posts people make in a day. There might be a thread about it, but I don't think it's enough to keep the number of monthly and daily posts of all members increasing.
I think he is referring to bitcoin price that went up and halving can further push the price up. There have been more traffic on this forum when bitcoin price increased in the past.

Stop of campaigns that pay per posts like Chip Mixer and other mixers are main reasons if I am not wrong.
Chipmixer has been banned which opened ways to other mixers on this forum and the competition was high among them. They pay more than other campaigns. The mixers are even paying for avatar campaign also. This encourage more people to join campaign and post. Mixers campaign ban on this forum is the reason.

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April 15, 2024, 09:08:57 AM
 #5

You have displayed the results of posts per day on a scale for the last 3 months, while posts per month on a general scale, which gives bias , but in general there is a decrease in the number of posts, and if the data is compared to the last ten years, we may notice that part of the decrease is normal and the other part Due to the lack of signature campaigns and an attempt to reduce spam on Gambling boards.

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April 15, 2024, 01:23:01 PM
 #6

You have displayed the results of posts per day on a scale for the last 3 months, while posts per month on a general scale, which gives bias , but in general there is a decrease in the number of posts, and if the data is compared to the last ten years, we may notice that part of the decrease is normal and the other part Due to the lack of signature campaigns and an attempt to reduce spam on Gambling boards.

Why only Gambling board cant you see the amount of spam only on the Bitcoin discussion and Altcoin discussion board? Spam is everywhere if you go out and check all the boards. I agree lack of a signature campaign might be one of the reasons why the activity is going down but to think that another forum is getting the traffic would be not wiser. There are a few policies by the admin that might have resulted in the downfall of user engagement and traffic coming into the forum.


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April 15, 2024, 02:22:01 PM
 #7

Is there a reason For this continuous fall in posts?
1. Lack of merit* > users hard to rank up > demotivated > users leave the forum.

2. Less campaign > users post less than before.

*to be frank, we didn't lack of merit, although there's drop in merit sent, but the amount isn't that big. What we lack is people who give merit based on the post instead of the users, the current merit only distributed to few gangs or circles.

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April 15, 2024, 02:32:55 PM
Merited by d5000 (1), mindrust (1)
 #8

If you observe the "posts per month" graph from ninjastic.space, it's clear that the mixer ban isn't the reason for the decline. The Mixer ban started from the end of 2023 to the beginning of 2024, while the decline began in 2022, and probably even earlier. Nowadays, there isn't much hype and discussion on altcoins, bounties, or ICOs, which were the sources of posts and discussions. When was the last time you remember new projects worthy of discussion? Lately, there are only meme tokens that serve no purpose and offer no extractable knowledge.

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April 15, 2024, 03:00:32 PM
 #9

Probably general decline of discussions here, so close to the halving I will have expected discussions to be on the rise as Bitcoin climbs up the search engines as one of the most talked about topics, that's not happening just yet.

<snip>while the decline began in 2022, and probably even earlier.
Could it be that discussions peaked during the last bull run and has been gradually going back to normal since then? I understand we've reached an ATH since then, but maybe people are waiting for us to go closer to $100k before they start getting excited.

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April 15, 2024, 06:00:10 PM
 #10

To be honest here, one of the driving force to how members make posts in their numbers can be attributed to the post requirements needed by their signatory campaign and if you check right from the start of the year, we no longer have as many as possible campaigns as before just because mixers have been banned, you can imagine if they all exist till date, how you would have seen members making more higher post all because they wanted to fulfill their weekly requirement, there may be other factors like newly available bounties, absence of frequent and latest trending news, drop in numbers of newly registered users, political and economical factors as well could in one way or the other affect the way people make post often.

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April 15, 2024, 07:20:32 PM
 #11

I don't know what's the main reason of this decline, I guess there is multiple reasons behind it. And I think it happens not for the first time. IIRC in past there was even more significant decline. Don't remember exact year, but it was somewhere after ICO's and bounty campaign bubble bursted.
But it's not neccessarily bad thing. IMO, with such decline quality of discussion become better and there is less spam.

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April 15, 2024, 07:47:13 PM
 #12

Op, I am still struggling to understand the relationship between halving and the number of posts in the forum. Things that affect number of posts are signature campaigns, give aways etc

You have displayed the results of posts per day on a scale for the last 3 months, while posts per month on a general scale, which gives bias , but in general there is a decrease in the number of posts, and if the data is compared to the last ten years, we may notice that part of the decrease is normal and the other part Due to the lack of signature campaigns and an attempt to reduce spam on Gambling boards.

Why only Gambling board cant you see the amount of spam only on the Bitcoin discussion and Altcoin discussion board? Spam is everywhere if you go out and check all the boards. I agree lack of a signature campaign might be one of the reasons why the activity is going down but to think that another forum is getting the traffic would be not wiser. There are a few policies by the admin that might have resulted in the downfall of user engagement and traffic coming into the forum.


It is true there's spamming in almost all the boards where generic topics are discussed. It was from somewhere last year that bitcoin discussion board began to appear like a spam board. If you also check the local boards you will be surprised by the number of spam happening there. However, gambling discussion board houses the majority of the spammers.

R


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April 15, 2024, 07:50:12 PM
Merited by NeuroticFish (2), d5000 (1), Note3 (1)
 #13

When I launched https://bpip.org, there were over 300,000 active members. Now there are 57,000.  That prob has a lot to do with it.

I post for interest - not signature spam.
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April 15, 2024, 08:23:45 PM
 #14

I came across the chart of the posts per day and month in ninjastics and was surprised that it has been falling for the last days /month  despite the halving of this year.
Bitcoin halving has nothing to do with activity in bitcointalk forum.
This downtrend is happening for some time but main reason for recent drop is probably decision to ban mixer signature campaigns and anything that is connected with mixers in any way.

Is there a reason For this continuous fall in posts?
Old members are getting less active, some of them are inactive, and in general people don't use forums so much as they did before.

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April 15, 2024, 09:29:13 PM
Merited by The Sceptical Chymist (2), iBaba (2)
 #15

What have halving have to do with member's post and activities in the forum, I was surprised to read the body of this message and finding out that the reduction in the posting and activities reduced not connection with bitcoin in any ways.


The only reason I can say it possibly responsible for the recent post amount reduction, may be as a reason that one of the biggest signature campaign which is stake, made alot of changes in the total posts required for each Sig member, and also some campaign manager are following the trend of posts reductions, I believe that is a enough good reasons to have such posts reductions in the past few weeks and month.

 
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April 15, 2024, 09:55:08 PM
 #16

I came across the chart of the posts per day and month in ninjastics and was surprised that it has been falling for -cut-
Is there a reason For this continuous fall in posts?
If its the overall data of the forum then the big reason is in halving people are making money, so they are posting less and reading more, another reason is, that obfuscating the site's advertising is banned on BTT so there are fewer members in campaigns so fewer posts are being made plus current running campaigns require less post count I assume. Besides these reasons, I don't know of any other. But overall its not a good thing.

Yeah another reason could be some people are spending there time on ALTT now, As I am spending more time there then here I assume, as I am newbie there (by experience but trying to catch things up as I am senior here hehe). Overall, we will see the same number of traffic post wise soon when more comapings will be running.

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April 15, 2024, 09:59:09 PM
 #17

1. Lack of merit* > users hard to rank up > demotivated > users leave the forum.
C'monnn man, what are you talking about?? I've read through several mega threadslike this one   and I've observed that it has a whole number of people that left the forum before [when you could make a hundreds of thousands of incoherent post and rank up like wild fire], in-between and after the merit system was adopted. Having these delusions in your mind is  definitely gonna make nothing outta you!

Ambat, the system has be adjusted in a way that detest alot of people in some ways.. mind you, death is a major factor that encompasses the deterioration of post in the forum.

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April 15, 2024, 11:42:50 PM
 #18

Can you compare that data to last year's to see if there are any similarities or differences and if there's a pattern or not? We can't say yet if this is related to the upcoming halving or if other factors are causing the decline. Is this just a seasonal trend or a shift in user behavior that's impacting the posting frequency?

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April 16, 2024, 12:00:49 AM
 #19

Honestly, I am also surprised by the way those graphs have continued to develop through time. Some months ago I thought the halving and other events regarding Bitcoin would make it only matter of time before we started to see a very high increase in participations here in the forum, but I guess I was wrong...

If I had to guess about this trend, then I would agree with Vod and point towards the decrease on active members within our community. It seems nowadays, many of the new Bitcoin enthusiasts prefer to take their discussions to other platforms, like Twitter/X or Discord. Kind of ironic, keeping in mind how many scammers lurk around those applications.

Anyways, I am not very worried about it. Hopefully better times are yet to come for both this web and also for Bitcoin. There is not much reason panic for losing a percentage of activity, through years.

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April 16, 2024, 01:39:33 AM
 #20

I came across the chart of the posts per day and month in ninjastics and was surprised that it has been falling for the last days /month  despite the halving of this year.

Is there a reason For this continuous fall in posts?
Stop of campaigns that pay per posts like Chip Mixer and other mixers are main reasons if I am not wrong.

Forum posts don't depend too much on Bitcoin halving. It has some correlation but not too strong and a bigger correlation is with active campaigns and how many posts they require each week. You can see in bull run, posts can be more than in bear market but it is explained by more companies run signature campaigns in bull market.

I also believe that Chipmixers and other mixers campaign has an impact on the percentage and the diminishing numbers of bounty campaigns both in the service section and the altcoin section, we must admit it many of our members are motivated when they are incentivized to be active here in Bitcointalk

But Bitcointalk will continue to gain more visitors as there are hundreds of thousands of discussions indexed by Google as interest in topics about Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency grows Bitcoin will continue to gain organic visitors


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