The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion

[michellee]

But isn't it obvious that after the halving, we reaches new all time high? So that is the impact that we all have been seeing and experiencing ever since. Bitcoin investors accumulate and hold and then sell on the right time, great ROI for everyone. Bitcoin miners continue to support the network, we paid them, then they make money, simply as that. And those average joe like the rest of us have learn and mature, followed DCA or do traders, so same result with whales, we also make money and we enjoyed our financial freedom because of Bitcoin and it's design to halved every 4 years and pushed the price as supply is dwindling, but the demand is at a record level. So what else do we need to discussed?

If you say the highest point is a new ATH, Bitcoin reached it some time ago, putting its price in the range of more than $70k. But it is not yet a new high or ATH price for Bitcoin, especially since the halving has just happened. It may still take more months for this to happen.

We can only wait for Bitcoin to get its ATH price. Meanwhile, the impact of the halving is a reduction in rewards for miners and the possibility of Bitcoin reaching its new ATH again. This is what Bitcoin investors have been waiting for. They are still trying to buy more Bitcoin because of that possibility.

Joining DCA or becoming a trader is a way to generate profits from Bitcoin. If people can be patient while waiting for the price to increase, they can make huge profits. There will definitely be a high demand for Bitcoin, especially for investors who still want to buy more Bitcoin.

[1715061208]

1715061208

[1715061208]

1715061208

[1715061208]

1715061208

[1715061208]

1715061208

[coolfree]

Actually the bull run that would happen after halving event is just a pure speculation.

If halving event is the reason of bull run, why it's need to wait for next few months or year to increase? there's nothing difference between during halving event and a year after halving event because the reward already halved.

People were certainly disappointed the last time this happened :p

[EluguHcman]

I think the halving's effect is still lying dormant, a lot of selling pressure against the buying pressure and the price remained under the current All-time-high?

To be honest, I dont see the halving times as good times to trade, or find an opportunity to trade because it is unpredictable but once the dust settles the bull or bear runs will initiate and then it becomes more fun.

Just let bitcoin grow as it is growing, unless we see more involvement from governments, growth will take time, a halving every four years has minimal impact.

While you have made these outlines of bull and the bear run becoming more funs for investors, it is captured that these two circles of the bull and the bear is activated after the halving has played its role so then it is obvious and agreed that the halving has bigger impacts on the Bitcoin in considering the Price value which would surge a great height of a new ATH after the previous.

[justdimin]

As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies, preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.

Of course it does, there isn't even anyone denying that it does. First of all it is a huge huge deal for miners, because it means they are making half of what they sued to make, and considering the difficulty level is high, we are talking about a lot of machines and a lot of expense, just to mine half of what they mined last week.

It means, unless the price starts to go up soon, they are not going to be happy about what they have, and I would agree with that, they would be right about that. I believe that we are going to end up with a much higher price, because they would need to sell higher, and that is why we are going to have a big impact on the price as well, that is just how it works if you look at the past history of halving.

[tabas]

and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

I agree that every bull run, it all starts with the halving but you are the OP. 

The OP is quite a little mixed up right there, but I think he is referring to someone whom he lost the original post that he supposed to make reply of but instead post this thread as a reply to that lost post. It's a little complicated LOL.

I am not sure with that but one thing is, he's agreeing with himself as he's the OP. 

But anyways, the bitcoin halving impact in the market is not gonna be a huge question mark anymore. Yeah you are right, it is a common knowledge for everyone who is here longer enough to experience at least the last 3 halvings that there is indeed a huge impact positively when the event occurs. We even call it the 4 year cycle, which a lot of investors are now following.

Exactly, it is a 4-year cycle and there are a lot of folks here that have understood the routine and there is nothing to worry about it. Most of us are just holding it and moving towards the peak of the market. Someone doesn't have to sell at the peak because it's hard to spot that exact moment but IMO, majority that have bought even at the start of the year are already in profit before the halving happened.

[Onyeeze]

Actually the bull run that would happen after halving event is just a pure speculation.

If halving event is the reason of bull run, why it's need to wait for next few months or year to increase? there's nothing difference between during halving event and a year after halving event because the reward already halved.

nobody come say of Bitcoin regulation or increment because whatever thing they are saying concerning Bitcoin is based on their own understanding of the market of Bitcoin one thing I told people that they should do concentrate on is to know when to purchase Bitcoin and when not to purchase Bitcoin so therefore I believe that the Bitcoin investment have to do with understanding and basic research before they can invest on Bitcoin, but some persons doesn't make such research to know if they invest now in bitcoin can suicide or not.

[legendbtc]

Actually the bull run that would happen after halving event is just a pure speculation.

If halving event is the reason of bull run, why it's need to wait for next few months or year to increase? there's nothing difference between during halving event and a year after halving event because the reward already halved.

I agree that it is all pure speculation as we have neither proof nor any guarantee for it. But the bull season did not come immediately after the halving and that we hastily concluded that the halving was not the catalyst that created the bull season is not entirely correct. Everything takes time to absorb and be effective, we cannot expect it to happen immediately.

Furthermore, this is the financial market and if everything is so predictable then who will be the losers in the market? Making money in the financial markets has never been easy and there aren't too many winners, so it has to happen in the most unexpected way. When the crowd is most hopeful and excited, it will not come, but when the crowd becomes depressed and disappointed, that is when the bull season will come.

Personally, I still believe that the halving is the catalyst for the bull season, but the market is also being manipulated so the bull season will always come in the most unexpected way.

[Blitzboy]

The halving is huge. Its not some little adjustment - it fundamentally cuts Bitcoin's supply in half. Scarcity drives such wild price hikes after a halving. Economic basics: finite supply, consistent demand, price rises. This is how Bitcoin builds value over time. Bitcoin's halving is like this force. It initially lowers the price, but smart investors know that's prime purchasing time. This pattern is essential to Bitcoin's operation. Its built-in mechanism for long-term growth makes it unique. Indeed, halving has a huge impact. It controls market movements and determines Bitcoin's fate in this new economy.

[aoluain]

Actually the bull run that would happen after halving event is just a pure speculation.

If halving event is the reason of bull run, why it's need to wait for next few months or year to increase? there's nothing difference between during halving event and a year after halving event because the reward already halved.

I agree that it is all pure speculation as we have neither proof nor any guarantee for it. But the bull season did not come immediately after the halving and that we hastily concluded that the halving was not the catalyst that created the bull season is not entirely correct. Everything takes time to absorb and be effective, we cannot expect it to happen immediately.

Furthermore, this is the financial market and if everything is so predictable then who will be the losers in the market? Making money in the financial markets has never been easy and there aren't too many winners, so it has to happen in the most unexpected way. When the crowd is most hopeful and excited, it will not come, but when the crowd becomes depressed and disappointed, that is when the bull season will come.

Personally, I still believe that the halving is the catalyst for the bull season, but the market is also being manipulated so the bull season will always come in the most unexpected way.

Good points, something I never thought about before but it makes sense that the Halving is the
catalyst for the bull market which has followed every time so far. I guess its speculation, everyone
knows "its going to happen" and we all move in that direction which actually creates the bull market,
maybe its like a self-fulfilling prophecy?

Maybe its a HODL'ing thing, there is a increase in adoption, more people getting into Bitcoin, more
speculators, more buying and HODL'ing even when the dump happens.

Furthermore, this is the financial market and if everything is so predictable then who will be the losers in the market?

The losers will be the ones who essentially "buy high" and "sell low".
Some people want to see results before they get into Bitcoin so they only buy when the price is high,
we all know that the markets dont keep going up and up. There will be others approximately 12 months
from now who will but right before a big market correction ^{if it happens as per previous post halving market corrections}



 

[Spaceman1000$]

I think the halving's effect is still lying dormant, a lot of selling pressure against the buying pressure and the price remained under the current All-time-high?

To be honest, I dont see the halving times as good times to trade, or find an opportunity to trade because it is unpredictable but once the dust settles the bull or bear runs will initiate and then it becomes more fun.

Just let bitcoin grow as it is growing, unless we see more involvement from governments, growth will take time, a halving every four years has minimal impact.

I agree with you, the halving hasn't gotten much effect on the price at the moment, everything seems to be normal except for the mempool congestion. I believe most investors are just waiting the see the dust settle for them to take the next step.

Letting Bitcoin grow as it's growing should be the normal thing and not overburden yourself with uncertainty because of the halving that just occurred. Most investors understand how the market works and some are very calm with the situation of things, the ATH prediction will certainly come which will obviously take time and a lot of persons are looking towards $100k.

[AVE5]

Bitcoin halving is part of the genetic mottion to complete bitcoin program in a circle and it's of which every events of bitcoin of a circle is advanced to the previous circle such as the ATH.
About the impact of bitcoin halving, yes it does have huge impact of bitcoin promo by which it's an event period which limits bitcoins price and increases the number of Investors. This alone is a huge impact to bitcoin.

[DaNNy001]

Bitcoin halving is part of the genetic mottion to complete bitcoin program in a circle and it's of which every events of bitcoin of a circle is advanced to the previous circle such as the ATH.
About the impact of bitcoin halving, yes it does have huge impact of bitcoin promo by which it's an event period which limits bitcoins price and increases the number of Investors. This alone is a huge impact to bitcoin.

This will be the first real halving but due to the knowledge I have gather from the community, I am led to believe and understand that the halving is significant enough for everyone to step up their game and buy more coins. Due to the past records, it's believe that the price always goes up whenever it's the halving years and this has place a mentality on all Bitcoin investors to actually buy more coins during this period and people get encourage more to buy during this period because there is actually a nice price for those types of investors that are always scared of the DIP or bear season.

[Antotena]

As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies, preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.

Why do I feel like we might not experienced a large new price like everyone is expecting, like we night likely see Bitcoin pass the all time high but I'm not the only person that Bitcoin will do half a million. Let's say for instance Bitcoin jump up to $100k and then we want more upside growth of Bitcoin, if we want to see Bitcoin around $500k, that means Bitcoin would have to x5 in value and that seems to large to me and the crash wouldn't be easy to look at.

It's good to have some bags though, even when I don't have enough Bitcoin or even a half of it, I have some I'm holding because the hardest place I want to see my Bitcoin on is stablecoins because inflation is spoiling everything and food inflation is another problem that is spoiling fiats. I would rather hold a Bitcoin with 50% annual percentage on Bitcoin investment than leave everything on stablecoin.

[darkangel11]

I agree with you, the halving hasn't gotten much effect on the price at the moment, everything seems to be normal except for the mempool congestion. I believe most investors are just waiting the see the dust settle for them to take the next step.

They aren't waiting for any dust to settle. Bitcoin halvings never worked any other way than they do now, meaning that they never caused a FOMO rally.
I don't get why some people expect halving to work like ETF approval because it never did and it never will. Bitcoin halving reduces the sell pressure from miners
There used to be 900 BTC mined every day and now it's only 450, so the supply pressure has been reduced from around 60 million USD to 30 million. That's the halving effect and for it to impact the price we'll have to probably wait a few months.

[Asiska02]

My Opinion>>>
As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies, preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.

The impact the halving has on bitcoin cannot be overstated. Just look back into history on how every bitcoin halving events have come to be and how bitcoin attained a new all time high after the halving. It is a sequence that haven’t changed till date. The little changes that occurred in the market was that it broke through the all time high even before the halving took place. Looking closely at the market before the halving occurs, that major dump that happened was a sign that it has to be on that same sequence it has been following for all the past halvings.

Those pump in price that triggered it to surpass the all time high could be as a result of the new inventions in the bitcoin ecosystem like the spot bitcoin ETF. Those wailing and also maybe the OP you’re referring to would have been expecting an immediate surge in prices after the halving but that’s not the case. It will come but not immediately as many novice in the crypto world foresees it.

[Fiasem20]

Bitcoin halving is one of the most discussed topic in the crypto space.Bitcoin halving is an event that tend to happen every 4 years after 210,000 blocks have been mined.After every halving event the price of Bitcoin increase (ATH),from the previous halvings that occurred the price of Bitcoin significantly increase.Miners are rewarded for validating the blockchain network and transaction fees.According to Vitalik Buterin-The main reason why this is done is to keep inflation under control. – Vitalik Buterin, creator of Ethereum.But with the expansion of the network and the growth of Bitcoin adoption, the need to reduce inflation and simultaneously prevent the rapid depletion of Bitcoin available for the mining came to the fore .

[Ale88]

To me the impact depends on the area you’re looking at it. If it is the price impact, I don’t think we will have the same impact as the other past halving because the percentage of the price movement is reducing this is due to bitcoin facing less volatility than before. For example in the early halving you can easily get a movement of more than 10X but now it is hard. If you look at even the current market price speculation you will notice that the highest the predictions are expected to go is 4X from the previous ATH ($69k). And as we go later in future I think the volatility will still reduce more.

As for adoption rate, I think the later we go into more halvings the more impact it gives

I agree with you. It's kind of funny when people expect a sudden price increase because of the halving, almost as if nobody knew it was coming. The halving has an impact on price on the long run because there will always be people interested in buying bitcoin so many of them will buy after the halving simply because before they couldn't buy for whatever reason.

[fuguebtc]

To me the impact depends on the area you’re looking at it. If it is the price impact, I don’t think we will have the same impact as the other past halving because the percentage of the price movement is reducing this is due to bitcoin facing less volatility than before. For example in the early halving you can easily get a movement of more than 10X but now it is hard. If you look at even the current market price speculation you will notice that the highest the predictions are expected to go is 4X from the previous ATH ($69k). And as we go later in future I think the volatility will still reduce more.

As for adoption rate, I think the later we go into more halvings the more impact it gives

I agree with you. It's kind of funny when people expect a sudden price increase because of the halving, almost as if nobody knew it was coming. The halving has an impact on price on the long run because there will always be people interested in buying bitcoin so many of them will buy after the halving simply because before they couldn't buy for whatever reason.

I don't blame the newcomers because they have never experienced a halving before, but the funny thing is that there are still some investors who have gone through a halving before and also expect the price to increase immediately when the halving is completed .

Not just the halving but with any event similar to  ETFs, everything takes time to create a positive impact for bitcoin. But many investors want everything to happen immediately, and what's even more ironic is that those people often claim that they don't see bitcoin as a get-rich-quick investment. LOL.

[Mame89]

The halving is huge. Its not some little adjustment - it fundamentally cuts Bitcoin's supply in half. Scarcity drives such wild price hikes after a halving. Economic basics: finite supply, consistent demand, price rises. This is how Bitcoin builds value over time. Bitcoin's halving is like this force. It initially lowers the price, but smart investors know that's prime purchasing time. This pattern is essential to Bitcoin's operation. Its built-in mechanism for long-term growth makes it unique. Indeed, halving has a huge impact. It controls market movements and determines Bitcoin's fate in this new economy.

Yes that's right. The impact of this halving is certain and certainly has a big influence on its increase, even though currently the price is still stable, we can predict that usually after the halving Bitcoin will experience a very significant increase.

Because according to post-halving history, what happened before, post-halving, will stimulate the market to experience another bullish increase. This is also what several market analysts have said and they think that this increase has been taken into account by the market, we just have to wait for time. Although currently the price of bitcoin remains relatively stable post-halving, transaction fees on the network have spiked, proving increased activity. What is clear is that every halving will reduce the dilutive impact of mining so that the cycle will repeat itself, believe me. Doing dca on bitcoin and holding it in the long term will impact our finances in the future.

[Rengga Jati]

So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.

For me, still yes.
Even though currently, the impact of the Bitcoin halving is not that significant, in fact many people say that the price of Bitcoin has fallen since the halving occurred, and this is true. However, the impact of the Bitcoin halving usually won't be felt immediately, right? What this means is that the Bitcoin market still needs time and conditions in which BTC will really experience a significant bullish era with a fairly skyrocketing rate of increase.

And in the end it can reach and exceed the new ATH. But here, sometimes that's not enough, it can easily happen because there are so many conditions that influence the market. And this is one of them. That is actually a very extraordinary thing, which makes us have to remain persistent and patient.

But what is certain is that I personally am very confident that we will be able to get and feel the impact of this halving in the next few months, that is the cycle of Bitcoin. we have to be patient to follow it.