When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time?

[angrybirdy]

Honestly speaking having confident with my picks, doesn't favour me that much, but when I just pick without putting or having any confident am going to win , most time I always endup winning and it will just look like a joke .

But still that doesn't change anything tho, being confident or not one is still going to lose , because gambling is mainly all about luck, so there's possibility of one going to loss or wins , is just depend on one luck that moment.

Yeah confidence does not guarantee a favorable winning as it always depends on your luck in a particular bet you have placed. I know we all experience this kind of thing where at some point we are confident enough but it always turn against our luck and I consider this thing as normal in the gambling industry.

That's true, there's no guarantee even if we're confident enough in our own pick because if luck doesn't favor us, it will ended up losing out bets. There's an instances that having much confidence in our bet will gives us disappointment in the end because we're hoping to win, but like what everyone say's. gambling is all about losing and winning, it depends to us when is our lucky day. 

[bubilas]

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

It seems to me that this is the way of understanding. Your situation is very familiar to me, this has happened to me more than once.
Only once did this happen in trading, when I realized that I did not understand where the price would go next, and recently in batting, when I began to bet on random matches, having the desire to simply lose the bonus limit.
Somehow, after the games, I also thought that I should put everything the other way around.
But it's not logical. It's like playing against your logic, and this approach is like betraying yourself.

[GigaBit]

Honestly speaking having confident with my picks, doesn't favour me that much, but when I just pick without putting or having any confident am going to win , most time I always endup winning and it will just look like a joke .

But still that doesn't change anything tho, being confident or not one is still going to lose , because gambling is mainly all about luck, so there's possibility of one going to loss or wins , is just depend on one luck that moment.

Yeah confidence does not guarantee a favorable winning as it always depends on your luck in a particular bet you have placed. I know we all experience this kind of thing where at some point we are confident enough but it always turn against our luck and I consider this thing as normal in the gambling industry.

That's true, there's no guarantee even if we're confident enough in our own pick because if luck doesn't favor us, it will ended up losing out bets. There's an instances that having much confidence in our bet will gives us disappointment in the end because we're hoping to win, but like what everyone say's. gambling is all about losing and winning, it depends to us when is our lucky day. 

There is no winning in gambling unless luck favors it. But if there is strategy then we can be ahead to win. But in some games luck plays a role entirely. For example, there are various games like dice roulette where there is no opportunity to apply strategy. And if one does sports betting then there are chances of winning if good research and strategy are applied. Although it is not possible to provide hundred percent assurance in that case. Again in the case of sports betting, we are often fatally confident about any bet. Even if you grow overconfident, there is a chance of loss. It is good to be confident to win but it must be kept within limitations.

[Republikcoin.com]

That's true, there's no guarantee even if we're confident enough in our own pick because if luck doesn't favor us, it will ended up losing out bets. There's an instances that having much confidence in our bet will gives us disappointment in the end because we're hoping to win, but like what everyone say's. gambling is all about losing and winning, it depends to us when is our lucky day. 

Everyone can and is ready to receive luck through gambling because it doesn't always come to the same person in any type of gambling. But what all gamblers must be more prepared to accept is defeat, because this definitely comes more often in any type of gambling. And if there is a gambler who is only ready to accept luck, I think that person is not a gambler and does not deserve to be in gambling because he does not understand how to enjoy real gambling.

[Jody.Drummer]

There is no winning in gambling unless luck favors it. But if there is strategy then we can be ahead to win. But in some games luck plays a role entirely. For example, there are various games like dice roulette where there is no opportunity to apply strategy. And if one does sports betting then there are chances of winning if good research and strategy are applied. Although it is not possible to provide hundred percent assurance in that case. Again in the case of sports betting, we are often fatally confident about any bet. Even if you grow overconfident, there is a chance of loss. It is good to be confident to win but it must be kept within limitations.

Yes exactly, I support your idea that not all types of games can be done by applying strategy, or I mean there are some types of games that are completely dependent on luck as you said one of them is roulette dice and maybe I will add another one that is like a slot game, the reason is clear that there are no statistics or history that we can use as analysis material to draw conclusions that lead to decision making, because this is a random game that cannot be analyzed at all.

In contrast to sports betting as you mentioned where we can make the performance of our favorite team as a benchmark to compare it with the strength of the opposing team at that time, you can apply strategies by looking at various sides to produce decisions that are believed to increase the chances of winning, but in the end it is clear that luck is still an important aspect in this bet and actually for all types of games luck will always be the most important aspect to confirm victory. Because obviously the logic in any type of game if it is still a betting activity then obviously the possibility of loss will be a part or will always be a definite possibility that will occur, meaning that the strategy is nothing more than something that is only useful to increase the chances of winning but does not guarantee that you will win at the end of the session, and for sports betting this is a combination of strategy and luck.

[rodskee]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

Sorry to hear that mate and hope you will find refuge from this thread as there are many of us that can
relate about your issue and problem and sometimes experimental is not that helpful at all because we may
fall from each traps in gambling.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

not sure if i can support that betting opposite of my analysis because this proves me to be not
good in gambling ?  what I do always is that to  focus in the team/player that i believe and to enjoy
my betting together with my love teams.

[Yamifoud]

That's true, there's no guarantee even if we're confident enough in our own pick because if luck doesn't favor us, it will ended up losing out bets. There's an instances that having much confidence in our bet will gives us disappointment in the end because we're hoping to win, but like what everyone say's. gambling is all about losing and winning, it depends to us when is our lucky day. 

Everyone can and is ready to receive luck through gambling because it doesn't always come to the same person in any type of gambling. But what all gamblers must be more prepared to accept is defeat, because this definitely comes more often in any type of gambling. And if there is a gambler who is only ready to accept luck, I think that person is not a gambler and does not deserve to be in gambling because he does not understand how to enjoy real gambling.

More luck and fewer strategies - that is what I see in gambling. For several years I've been gambling and no matter how hard I tried to analyze the situation and apply the strategies I've learned, luck really our ticket to winning. That is because situations never always happen the same in the past and if it ever comes, we still don't know when making us think that it is useless to keep using this way so we try another and still fail.
That is why I gamble without expecting I'm going to win instead, I just think I enjoyed what I'm doing at least it was not too hurt. 

[LFC_Bitcoin]

I’ve been really confident about my picks many times and still lost. We can’t control sporting results even if we pick the favourites to win.

Obviously though it’s natural to feel more confident about winning a bet when you really believe it’s going to win, usually the type of bet that I feel really confident about is with lower odds naturally.

[Unity for Humanity]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Although I don't have much experience in gambling but I have gambled with friends during IPL or such tournaments.  Gambled online as well as offline with friends. When there are different sports there are offers from one side which team I will take and based on that team they offer me money and if my team wins then I get good amount of money from there. Gambling like this has yielded several results in my favor but I have lost some matches again because the results were not what I expected.

[Mr. Magkaisa]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

          -   I just noticed what you said, Op. What do you mean by betting on the opposite of your analysis? Is this what you think will win but you will actually lose, and what you think will lose but your bet will be correct? Is this what you mean?

Because it appears from the experiment you did that you challenged that with your own strategy that you use when you play gambling in the crypto gambling business, it seems like that's what you want to convey.

[m2017]

I’ve been really confident about my picks many times and still lost. We can’t control sporting results even if we pick the favourites to win.

This means that your choice was not assessed by all factors influencing the final result of the bet. It turns out your analysis was wrong. Or, your choice was based on emotions, such as betting on the teams or athletes you systematized.

In gambling, as in investing, one should not allow the influence of emotions and to achieve the desired result (making a profit or winning), one should be guided only by cold calculations. But we should not forget about the element of surprise (chance), when even the favorite can make a mistake and lose to a contender with less chance of winning.

Obviously though it’s natural to feel more confident about winning a bet when you really believe it’s going to win, usually the type of bet that I feel really confident about is with lower odds naturally.

This is a typical mistake of gamblers - to believe (hope for the desired outcome of the bet). Whereas, you need to know (realistically assess) the chances of winning (detailed analysis).

[knowngunman]

That's true, there's no guarantee even if we're confident enough in our own pick because if luck doesn't favor us, it will ended up losing out bets. There's an instances that having much confidence in our bet will gives us disappointment in the end because we're hoping to win, but like what everyone say's. gambling is all about losing and winning, it depends to us when is our lucky day. 

Seriously, winning has nothing to do with our state of mind when gambling. From my personal experience and observations from others, betting placed with so much confidence mostly end up losing than bet placed with calmness and less expectations. Forget about gambling and let talk about the real life, over confidence make things worse and decisions taken with under such conditions are likely to fail. Talking from experience, I have been disappointed several times with games I played with so much confidence and they end up falling my hands and likewise, I do win some games I play with less expectations when I don't pay much attention but surprisingly, they become green.

However, being confident and winning a bet depends on the games you normally play. There are games that you can be confidently relaxed after playing them and they will play according to your prediction but games like football doesn't fit in this category. In games like table tennis, I do pick with confident and win depending on the player vs player since it's individual game but team games will hardly work out well.

[Z_MBFM]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Although I don't have much experience in gambling but I have gambled with friends during IPL or such tournaments.  Gambled online as well as offline with friends. When there are different sports there are offers from one side which team I will take and based on that team they offer me money and if my team wins then I get good amount of money from there. Gambling like this has yielded several results in my favor but I have lost some matches again because the results were not what I expected.

Gambling is fun For those who gamble for fun, betting with friends is more fun than online gambling. Because when you gamble online you enjoy it alone but when you gamble offline with friends the joy is much greater when you are together. I gamble online but I am not very familiar with the games.  Among certain games I play, Blackjack is my favorite game. And here my guess works very well. the decisions I make are successful most of the time.

[Crypto Library]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

I think it's more dangerous for the gaining profits from gambling. In gambling there will always both some times you will gain profit and sometime you will get lost. If you think in gambling peoples always get profited from gambling then you are in wrong thought. And I also wanna say that when you realised by your own self  gambling is not profitable for you or your losing amount is crossing your affordable limit then immediately stop gambling take a break from gambling recover yourself and after that play again as you can afford to lose.
Anyway it has happened to me many times that I have made a prediction and lost it due to bad luck even though I was confident about it and that's gambling here not only prediction power but also luck. Because it's all about the luck.

[sompitonov]

There is no winning in gambling unless luck favors it. But if there is strategy then we can be ahead to win. But in some games luck plays a role entirely. For example, there are various games like dice roulette where there is no opportunity to apply strategy. And if one does sports betting then there are chances of winning if good research and strategy are applied. Although it is not possible to provide hundred percent assurance in that case. Again in the case of sports betting, we are often fatally confident about any bet. Even if you grow overconfident, there is a chance of loss. It is good to be confident to win but it must be kept within limitations.

Yes exactly, I support your idea that not all types of games can be done by applying strategy, or I mean there are some types of games that are completely dependent on luck as you said one of them is roulette dice and maybe I will add another one that is like a slot game, the reason is clear that there are no statistics or history that we can use as analysis material to draw conclusions that lead to decision making, because this is a random game that cannot be analyzed at all.

In contrast to sports betting as you mentioned where we can make the performance of our favorite team as a benchmark to compare it with the strength of the opposing team at that time, you can apply strategies by looking at various sides to produce decisions that are believed to increase the chances of winning, but in the end it is clear that luck is still an important aspect in this bet and actually for all types of games luck will always be the most important aspect to confirm victory. Because obviously the logic in any type of game if it is still a betting activity then obviously the possibility of loss will be a part or will always be a definite possibility that will occur, meaning that the strategy is nothing more than something that is only useful to increase the chances of winning but does not guarantee that you will win at the end of the session, and for sports betting this is a combination of strategy and luck.

The very first thing I played was roulette and I used the Martin Gale strategy, this was more than 10 years ago. Oh, how naive I was, it really seemed to me that I was smarter than the casino and would not lose with such a strategy, now it’s just funny for me to remember it, lol. It is now clear to many that it doesn’t matter at all what to bet on, the main thing is that in the long run the casino will take its commission if a 0 is rolled out. But this is one of the fastest ways to win or lose money, you can find out the result in just a couple of seconds, but I I haven’t played for a long time and some casinos have a limit on bets. Despite everything, for some reason I like this game, probably because of its simplicity and the fact that it was the first of my gambling games, this is a kind of nostalgia for me.

[Bravut]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

          -   I just noticed what you said, Op. What do you mean by betting on the opposite of your analysis? Is this what you think will win but you will actually lose, and what you think will lose but your bet will be correct? Is this what you mean?

Because it appears from the experiment you did that you challenged that with your own strategy that you use when you play gambling in the crypto gambling business, it seems like that's what you want to convey.

Yeah, what he believes gonna be the winner from his analysis then he bets on it for Lossing just opposite of what he analysize. And vice versa, this method remind me of old school days were we choose opposite of what we think is the right answer and end up getting it correctly.

For me OP, is tryna finding an edge of which I believe he has gotten. The truth is, OP should leverage on that if it works and probably adapt it because and sort out means to improve more . It happens most at times, we need to man up and get rid of emotion, huge expectancy as gamblers.

[punk.zink]

I’ve been really confident about my picks many times and still lost. We can’t control sporting results even if we pick the favourites to win.

Obviously though it’s natural to feel more confident about winning a bet when you really believe it’s going to win, usually the type of bet that I feel really confident about is with lower odds naturally.

Well, it seems like that often happens to me too. At that time when I was sure I would win and there are pretty good odds to choose but what happened was that choice actually led to a loss, and the right one is the other odds that I didn't choose (by the way, I often play football betting).

However, when I felt unsure about the odds I chose and I decided to just watch the match without betting but what happened was that my chosen odds turned out to be the correct guess. I've also thought what if I did it all the other way around but when the time came, it turned out that I didn't have enough courage to do it.

[ethereumhunter]

Gambling is fun For those who gamble for fun, betting with friends is more fun than online gambling. Because when you gamble online you enjoy it alone but when you gamble offline with friends the joy is much greater when you are together. I gamble online but I am not very familiar with the games.  Among certain games I play, Blackjack is my favorite game. And here my guess works very well. the decisions I make are successful most of the time.

Exactly. Gambling is for fun so we don't have to serious playing gambling. We can analyze the match but we should not have a big hopes to wins because we must remember that in the field, many things can happens and once something change, that can effect to our prediction. We can't deny that many surprises can happens when the match shows and that makes us to use the money we can afford to lose. We can't always wins the most of time because the change factors that happens in the match so we must not use gambling as a place to makes money. We can only place a bet, watch the match or leave it like that and wait for the outcomes and if we lose, we should accept the outcomes and not trying to recovers our money because that will be difficult to do.

[Dewi Aries]

Gambling is fun For those who gamble for fun, betting with friends is more fun than online gambling. Because when you gamble online you enjoy it alone but when you gamble offline with friends the joy is much greater when you are together. I gamble online but I am not very familiar with the games.  Among certain games I play, Blackjack is my favorite game. And here my guess works very well. the decisions I make are successful most of the time.

Exactly. Gambling is for fun so we don't have to serious playing gambling. We can analyze the match but we should not have a big hopes to wins because we must remember that in the field, many things can happens and once something change, that can effect to our prediction. We can't deny that many surprises can happens when the match shows and that makes us to use the money we can afford to lose. We can't always wins the most of time because the change factors that happens in the match so we must not use gambling as a place to makes money. We can only place a bet, watch the match or leave it like that and wait for the outcomes and if we lose, we should accept the outcomes and not trying to recovers our money because that will be difficult to do.

Yes, you have said the right thing above that in a match anything can happen on the field and this is what makes me keep limiting my budget when betting on football betting, none other than because as you said and it is true that anything can happen. on the field which can turn things around, or in the sense that even though initially the team we are betting on is in a superior situation but if the match is not over then anything can happen there that has the potential to turn things around, and if I discuss this I am reminded of last week where At first Bayern Munich managed to take the lead against Real Madrid in the UCL in the match for the final but it turned out that it only took 3 minutes for Real Madrid to turn things around which made them win in the final minutes before the end of the match and this is one of the scenarios that is never expected. very likely to occur in the field. Therefore, I think it is clear that the point is that wherever we bet, various restrictive measures that lead to prevention will always be an important aspect, such as only risking small amounts.

[EarnOnVictor]

Honestly speaking having confident with my picks, doesn't favour me that much, but when I just pick without putting or having any confident am going to win , most time I always endup winning and it will just look like a joke .

But still that doesn't change anything tho, being confident or not one is still going to lose , because gambling is mainly all about luck, so there's possibility of one going to loss or wins , is just depend on one luck that moment.

Yeah confidence does not guarantee a favorable winning as it always depends on your luck in a particular bet you have placed. I know we all experience this kind of thing where at some point we are confident enough but it always turn against our luck and I consider this thing as normal in the gambling industry.

That's true, there's no guarantee even if we're confident enough in our own pick because if luck doesn't favor us, it will ended up losing out bets. There's an instances that having much confidence in our bet will gives us disappointment in the end because we're hoping to win, but like what everyone say's. gambling is all about losing and winning, it depends to us when is our lucky day. 

Confidence does not translate to certainly, and even if we are certain about the picks, it does not still guarantee the winning. We should not also forget that over-confidence is even not good in gambling, it has put a lot of people in trouble, especially those who have let their beliefs/assurance intoxicate them to the extent of wagering too big amount of money but in the end lose the money. This could be painful which is an excellent reason why we should even be careful about this confidence as a context since it is such that should be used in moderation and in such a way that the gambler has planned the right management to lessen any negative effect of it.

Also, gamblers should always know that even if they are very good at what they are doing and have the best possible picks, gambling will always be risky and luck is a strong factor here at the same time. It takes luck for gamblers to have that pick and still win it regardless of how confident such a gambler is towards the choice made.