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Author Topic: Was it a Gut's feeling a Mathematical calculation or a Coincident?  (Read 401 times)
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June 30, 2024, 04:05:20 PM
 #61

From my own understanding, without your instincts you won't be sure if what you are doing, but the main point is even if your instincts tells you this and it didn't work doesn't mean your instincts is not telling you the right things. However gamble is a thing that without luck you won't be able to win even a half $ from it. As a gambler, you deserve luck to win and most times your instincts and your luck works together. In this case of this lucky gambler who won $2M I would say it is his lucky even if his instincts tells him to buy a scratch Chrome Scratch ticket, if wasn't for luck he won't have won the $2M, so congrats to him.

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June 30, 2024, 04:29:41 PM
 #62

I don't think there is some realiable relation between one's gut feeling and the outcome one could have while having a gambling session, or playing lottery, to be honest.
It would be rather a coincidence that one feels lucky or one had a good feeling before getting some gains. Though, I would also like to point out there are pretty much endless examples of people how step into a casino having good feeling and even expectations and they under-perform.
We could argue the "gut-feeling" and expectations are not the same and one should never have expectations while gambling. Still... I am very eskeptical when someone talks about something beyond chances and laws of probabilities when comes to lottery and casinos.

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June 30, 2024, 04:41:08 PM
 #63

It has no accurate calculations to tackle with, because we really need to educate someone or somebody that this gambling mindset was all about with luck. Nothing else will come to an assurance of investing such then you'll be able take that profit soon.
That's sounds funny if there's somebody who dealt with gambling with certain target and could come up 100% gains from his winnings.
Even though trading couldn't achieve that calculations, how much more with gambling that has the low percentage of returns was just 5%.

Besides, they will only say that they have the feeling that they will win once they got their winnings. But beforehand, I don't think they were confident that they will win from their ticket. For me, it is all about luck when you are talking about scratch card or lottery tickets. If there is mathematical calculation involved, for sure, it has been explored and exhausted by our mathematicians long time ago. And if they already found such mathematical formula, for sure, they already applied and exhausted it. I don't think they will just sit around knowing that there's some strategy to beat the system, right?

Indeed, they kept the same mindset with other losers and became desperate many times because of recurring problem pertains to gambling. Luck shouldn't be invested with huge amount of money, some people got lucky even playing with so cheap amount of $20 then boom they won. It's by perspective and vibes not with strategy of whatsoever it is, because beating the system is really an impossible one to exist.

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June 30, 2024, 05:04:55 PM
 #64

Actually the game referred to in this thread is a game that is full of luck, for me it's not just a gut feeling that takes over the win, let alone mathematical calculations, everything is actually due to luck, so there are no accurate mathematical calculations in gambling, in fact it's just a hunch, all the results are still the same. determine luck, the fact is that he was lucky enough to get that big win so that he could reason that it was a hunch or just a mathematical calculation of winning that gambling.

I have never played and tried gambling such as the lottery or Chrome Scratch tickets, but I often use this game to make big money for its users, but again the small percentage that wins is no more than 1% who win this game and beat 99% of the other players. So it's not impressive enough to play this game even though all gambling games don't give you many wins, but for me games like sports betting make more sense than other gambling, in fact it doesn't only require luck but also requires in-depth analysis and calculations to predict a match, in contrast to games like Chrome Scratch tickets

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June 30, 2024, 05:48:38 PM
 #65

Does a human have the instinct to feel or know the outcome of gambling?  In this article it was said that the winner have the positive guts after buying the ticket and eventually won $2m or is it just a coincident?
It may not be a reliable thing to do but I have seen a couple of people that do know when they are playing a game that will win. Some see the signs in dreams while some have a way their body reveal to them the fate of their games. I think this is a special gift that many people are able to master. Whatever be the case, I don't think it is a reliable way to go about gambling because it can fail. If this is consistent, many people will hit the casinos so hard that they will go bankrupt. The case in question might just be one of those personal signals that came out successful.

R


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June 30, 2024, 06:13:11 PM
 #66

In general, we already know that gambling is a game of luck and especially when it comes to gambling that is based on guessing numbers or placing lotteries. Because there is no exact strategy that will make us win the ticket we are going to buy, nor do we use mathematical strategies to make sure we get closer to winning, but in other cases instincts are needed for this, as gamblers most of us must have used these instincts for gambling, in this case the person happened to use his instincts to win a prize of $2 million and luck was on his side, I would congratulate the person for winning a big prize.
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June 30, 2024, 06:42:06 PM
 #67

Does a human have the instinct to feel or know the outcome of gambling?  In this article it was said that the winner have the positive guts after buying the ticket and eventually won $2m or is it just a coincident?
It may not be a reliable thing to do but I have seen a couple of people that do know when they are playing a game that will win. Some see the signs in dreams while some have a way their body reveal to them the fate of their games. I think this is a special gift that many people are able to master. Whatever be the case, I don't think it is a reliable way to go about gambling because it can fail. If this is consistent, many people will hit the casinos so hard that they will go bankrupt. The case in question might just be one of those personal signals that came out successful.
It sounds like superstition in my mind, but indeed some luck can be felt by human feelings, whether it's the voice of nature or their god or whatever, but certainly if we look at it logically then this is pure luck in my opinion, whether there are other factors that instinctively come to the person but this is called luck.

If you also observe that such things are also ineffective sometimes, getting dreams and other things that come suddenly through their instincts many fail and do not match expectations, this cannot be relied on because not everything can be true, and once again this is pure luck in life.

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June 30, 2024, 07:13:18 PM
 #68

I believe in instinct as I've had that hunch a few times. Sometimes it was about a person that I knew, or someone I just saw, or about a house that I was in. You know, sometimes there's that something you feel about someone. One time my friend came to me with a new girlfriend and I told him afterwards that It's going to end bad for them. He of course thought I envy him or something and stopped talking to me for a while, but a few months later she left him and he came back to his senses. Anyway, he has a wife now so it all turned out well, but I tell you, gut feelings exist. You're sometimes drawn to a person or a place, and other times you want to stay away from them.
I believe he might have had that gut feeling when buying the ticket, but that also could have been misinterpreted excitement.

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June 30, 2024, 08:01:17 PM
 #69

In general, we already know that gambling is a game of luck and especially when it comes to gambling that is based on guessing numbers or placing lotteries. Because there is no exact strategy that will make us win the ticket we are going to buy, nor do we use mathematical strategies to make sure we get closer to winning, but in other cases instincts are needed for this, as gamblers most of us must have used these instincts for gambling, in this case the person happened to use his instincts to win a prize of $2 million and luck was on his side, I would congratulate the person for winning a big prize.
Gamble is a gamble that needs luck to win, that's why the dude was lucky to win $2M. It's important to follow our instincts because most of the times, our instincts doesn't lie to us. However he might only want to try his luck, because when you don't try your luck by risking the amount you can afford to lose you won't be either lucky to win. Luck is very important when we talk about gamble, if we are not lucky to win we won't be able to achieve a winning. No gambler wants to lose that's why many gamblers prefer risking smaller amounts on smaller odds because they can't risk huge money.

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June 30, 2024, 08:05:03 PM
 #70

I believe in instinct as I've had that hunch a few times. Sometimes it was about a person that I knew, or someone I just saw, or about a house that I was in. You know, sometimes there's that something you feel about someone. One time my friend came to me with a new girlfriend and I told him afterwards that It's going to end bad for them. He of course thought I envy him or something and stopped talking to me for a while, but a few months later she left him and he came back to his senses. Anyway, he has a wife now so it all turned out well, but I tell you, gut feelings exist. You're sometimes drawn to a person or a place, and other times you want to stay away from them.
I believe he might have had that gut feeling when buying the ticket, but that also could have been misinterpreted excitement.
To be honest, it's hard to believe in something like this, but I also don't deny that premonitions are sometimes right and sometimes wrong, because several times I have also done it and experienced it, and some are right and some are wrong, this cannot be understood how it works let alone described with a logical explanation, maybe this is a mystical thing in humans themselves.

A small example is when I had a premonition that my grandfather's death would occur in the next 2 days, and it did happen, even though previously my grandfather was in good health, of course things like this cannot be explained logically, then at another time I had a premonition that the local soccer match in my country would end with a score of 3 : 0 and it really came true too when I knew the final result of the Persib Bandung vs Madura match, but things like this are not a few also get wrong instincts or hunches, even in my opinion more wrong, maybe that person gets a hunch that makes him win the lottery.

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June 30, 2024, 08:06:41 PM
 #71

Another article caught my attention and wanted to share it with you to know your thoughts about the subject matter.

A person won $2m after having a positive gut feeling after buying a scratch Chrome Scratch ticket.  More story on the link given below:

Seattle Man Has “Gut Feeling” After Buying Scratch Ticket, Wins $2M




Does a human have the instinct to feel or know the outcome of gambling?  In this article it was said that the winner have the positive guts after buying the ticket and eventually won $2m or is it just a coincident?

I looked for some discussion on the internet and I agree with one of the replies on qoura[1] that the winner on Sportsbet does not rely on luck but rather on the mathematical calculation of the information presented by the data of the competing team but in this case, it is different since the game is based on chance and it would be hard to calculate the possible result since the data of distribution of the said ticket is unknown.

So in case where you are buying a lottery or scratch ticket, would you abide by your gut's feeling whether to purchase to bet on the combination of a number?  Do you believe that instinct can help a person win in a chance based gambling games?

For me, the person involved in the story just got a lucky coincidence that he has chosen the winning scratch ticket and has nothing to do with his gut's feeling.  Everyone has a positive gut feeling whenever they are engaging in chance-based gambling games and a majority of them fail miserably losing all their bankroll and even beyond that.



[1] https://www.quora.com/Does-a-good-gambler-rely-more-on-intuition-or-logic

1000% it’s coincidental. That’s a scratch ticket and there is no strategy or logic to it at all it’s just purely luck, which is most definitely what it was. Lucky guy. 2 mil is a lot of money

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June 30, 2024, 08:13:38 PM
 #72

Many gamblers have positive gut feelings and for that reason, they gamble as consequence to following their intuition and instincts. However, only a tiny percentage of them end winning considerable prizes like the man from the news shared on this thread. I don't think it's a mathematical calculation, although I can't assure if coincidence exists too.

This man was lucky, what doesn't mean every other gamblers having gut feelings should use these news to boost their confidence on themselves, because the same results are definitely not going to be achieved by most of them. It's actually quite dangerous to rely on gut feelings, because in some cases they can lead a gambler to addiction and chasing losses, as he keeps repeating to himself "next time it's going to be different", so he will recover his lost money, although it never happens, and debt continues being accumulated until bankruptcy.

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June 30, 2024, 08:49:08 PM
 #73


So in case where you are buying a lottery or scratch ticket, would you abide by your gut's feeling whether to purchase to bet on the combination of a number?  Do you believe that instinct can help a person win in a chance based gambling games?
I'm a regular lotto bettor and scratch ticket buyer and most of the time I rely on my instinct, but my instinct can only get me 2 or 3  correct numbers but I still follow them, my reason is there's a feeling of excitement or fulfillment even if you hit 2 or 3 numbers instead of doing lucky pick totally relying on luck.

True that, winning while following our instinct brings more joy than just choosing number randomly.  I can see the adrenaline rising when one is betting according to their guts or instinct since I also experience that.  Although it brings more joy and excitement, I doubt it can help us in winning on any random games.  Besides, I also have experienced losses while betting on my hunches.

Its pure luck that you hit a jackpot that coincides with your gut feeling, and there's no mathematical calculation involved, so far I have not heard of one lottery winner who is a math professor and uses his skill to win the jackpot.

I agree with you winning on lotteries has nothing to do with mathematical calculation, the calculation on the chance of winning do but the actual win is dependent on one's luck.  Although there are articles that tell about how mathematical calculations help in increasing the odds of winning in lotteries and scratches, these same articles[1][2] also tells us that it is impossible to predict the actual jackpot winning number.

I believe in instinct as I've had that hunch a few times. Sometimes it was about a person that I knew, or someone I just saw, or about a house that I was in. You know, sometimes there's that something you feel about someone. One time my friend came to me with a new girlfriend and I told him afterwards that It's going to end bad for them. He of course thought I envy him or something and stopped talking to me for a while, but a few months later she left him and he came back to his senses. Anyway, he has a wife now so it all turned out well, but I tell you, gut feelings exist. You're sometimes drawn to a person or a place, and other times you want to stay away from them.
I believe he might have had that gut feeling when buying the ticket, but that also could have been misinterpreted excitement.
To be honest, it's hard to believe in something like this, but I also don't deny that premonitions are sometimes right and sometimes wrong, because several times I have also done it and experienced it, and some are right and some are wrong, this cannot be understood how it works let alone described with a logical explanation, maybe this is a mystical thing in humans themselves.

Or the winnings is staged  Grin.  There are instances where some gambling institutions go rouge and leak a possible winning scratch ticket and the location where it can be purchased. It can then be bought by someone known by an insider and published the said event creating some interesting setup like premonition or other things that will give a possible sensation to the story.  I am not saying that the one stated on the articles is a setup but things like what I stated happened.



[1] https://lotterycodex.com/how-to-win-the-lottery-mathematically/
[2] https://lotterycodex.com/lottery-formula/

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June 30, 2024, 08:59:23 PM
 #74


Does a human have the instinct to feel or know the outcome of gambling?  In this article it was said that the winner have the positive guts after buying the ticket and eventually won $2m or is it just a coincident?


EXTREME LUCK AND COINCIDENCE!

When dealing up with lottery then this is something normal and i dont really believe about mathematical calculation since we are talking about lottery on which we know that odds on hitting those combinations
would really be that close to impossible, even if you do buy hundreds of thousands of tickets but still it wont really be giving out that guarantee that you could really be able to win. So everything would really be
that random and you would really be needing that extreme luck for you to hit those numbers. In speaking about gut feeling then this is something that might have connection because if you dont have that feeling that you wont really be taking any action.

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June 30, 2024, 09:01:40 PM
 #75

Another article caught my attention and wanted to share it with you to know your thoughts about the subject matter.

A person won $2m after having a positive gut feeling after buying a scratch Chrome Scratch ticket.  More story on the link given below:

Seattle Man Has “Gut Feeling” After Buying Scratch Ticket, Wins $2M




Does a human have the instinct to feel or know the outcome of gambling? 

On a common scenario, you will discover or find out that those buying this kind of ticket are being desperate on winning because they wanted to make their own attempt in seeing if they can have the luck for winning or not, after all, we have also seen many of this category who claimed for winning and later discover loosing at the end, it is more obvious that everyone want to make win but only few among those that attempted and shew interest for winning emerge a winner.

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June 30, 2024, 09:06:09 PM
 #76

EXTREME LUCK AND COINCIDENCE!

When dealing up with lottery then this is something normal.

Let’s say I can agree that for him personally it was extreme luck, but what kind of coincidence can we talk about? I think that 50-90% of those who participate in lotteries/draws experience “positive” feelings because they hope to win. If they did not believe in winning, they would not participate in the lottery. Thus, the fact that the winner experienced a premonition of winning is not a coincidence, but a pattern.

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June 30, 2024, 09:12:16 PM
 #77

In this case, there's nothing like mathematical calculation; he did agree with his instincts, and coincidentally, he was right. That doesn't mean that if he believes in his guts, he will win the bet all the time. If he really thinks it was mathematical calculation or guts, then let him continue to win consistently. That's when he will realize that it is never possible to achieve such a success because everything depends mostly on luck and not expertise. 

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June 30, 2024, 09:12:30 PM
 #78

If the gambler does it multiple times then that simply means he have a basis on his bets otherwise those are just coincidence. Actually, it is normal to be confident of your bet simply because you made a bet; you won't bet to something that is in contrast with your betting bias. Even if you're not sure of the outcome, you bet is simply your bias at that moment you placed it. I am having the same feeling with every bet I make but not all of it are winning, so I guess this is just due to his/her luck on that day. Gut feelings are simply assumptions we make depending on how we expect or assume things. You can make as many as possible mathematical calculations bottomline in gambling is that, if you're not lucky, winning won't be in your hands.
In general, we already know that gambling is a game of luck and especially when it comes to gambling that is based on guessing numbers or placing lotteries. Because there is no exact strategy that will make us win the ticket we are going to buy, nor do we use mathematical strategies to make sure we get closer to winning, but in other cases instincts are needed for this, as gamblers most of us must have used these instincts for gambling, in this case the person happened to use his instincts to win a prize of $2 million and luck was on his side, I would congratulate the person for winning a big prize.
Just no other way to explain right? We all had gut feelings on our bets but those are simply how we want things to happen without guarantee. Instincts, assumptions, expectations, gut feelings and other emotions we feel are subjective of us, gamblers. No one would want to lose in the first place.

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June 30, 2024, 09:17:12 PM
 #79

In this case, there's nothing like mathematical calculation; he did agree with his instincts, and coincidentally, he was right. That doesn't mean that if he believes in his guts, he will win the bet all the time. If he really thinks it was mathematical calculation or guts, then let him continue to win consistently. That's when he will realize that it is never possible to achieve such a success because everything depends mostly on luck and not expertise. 
Crazy how some persons think that they can actually calculate their way to winning in gambling be it lottery ticket or any form of gambling. If there was any atom of the possibility that people can actually mathematical calculate the outcome of their games or bet then the success rate of gambler in this earth would be something else and besides even the people hosting or having these gambling business would allow that to be possible as they are actually running a business system and not a charity home.

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June 30, 2024, 09:34:20 PM
 #80

A large number of individuals experience what they perceive as a positive premonition before purchasing lottery tickets; in the event that they win, they connect their success to this intuition. Yet more often than not, this is simply happenstance masquerading as intuition. In games based on chance there is no sure way to predict the outcome because data and odds cannot be calculated accurately: no certainty in chance.

Amidst a scenario of games that are more organized such as sports betting, the use of mathematics and calculations based on team information plus statistics can give you an edge. Those who come out on top in places like Sportsbet typically win due to their reliance on knowledge-based decision-making, not mere gut feeling or instinct. More often than not, winners in platforms such as Sportsbet obtain victory through informed choices after having sought knowledge and data analysis, rather than basing decisions solely on intuition or gut feelings.

Trusting your gut in a game of chance such as the lottery typically results in more disappointment than success. Though a few individuals might come across that one stroke of luck every now and then, the majority of gamblers end up losing their cash. The odds are never in our favor when we blindly believe that luck will favor us.

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