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Author Topic: A reservoir of unpredictable games.  (Read 577 times)
passwordnow
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July 11, 2024, 09:54:12 PM
 #41

Why do people see themselves as a reservoir of unpredictable games whenever they bag a huge win in the midst of others?
That is because they think that they'd win again. The confidence is there and that's what they're trying to sell but little did they know, they're not going to be in the same state forever. So, if it's with all of these predictions and bets and you're gonna rely on someone else, you may want to rethink about it because that's not going to work just as what you're thinking of. You have to make your own predictions and bet it as if you're ready to lose it. I'm not telling that you're there to gamble and accept the losses but pretty much close to it so that your heart and mind is ready to whichever result that you're about to have. That's one way to avoid having heavy feelings when your bets are losing.

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July 11, 2024, 10:24:29 PM
 #42

Why do people see themselves as a reservoir of unpredictable games whenever they bag a huge win in the midst of others?
I think it's because they are compulsive gamblers and anxious individuals, while in some cases they are pretty superstitious too, what boosts their self-confidence even more, as they attribute their predictions to a major external and spiritual force which can potentially bring them accurate informations about the future. Therefore, we can also consider they are delusional! Once in a while these people make correct predictions, but it's still not enough to cover the history of losses they carry.

And the few who manage to win some nice amounts of money, end not managing these funds properly, because their focus is on predicting more games' results and placing more bets, so they inevitably end losing everything they achieved so far. These gamblers seem to be more interested in predicting games than on the money they make from gambling activity itself...

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July 11, 2024, 10:40:41 PM
 #43

I don't like it when I win in a streak, next to it will be hell. Cheesy

So he made the right pick on the early stage and it changed on the next ones. I thought the story would end with "He is still making the right predictions." but he ain't anymore. So the truth is still there that there is no way we can predict the games unless they are fixed matches.
I think he saw himself as a Nostradamus of whatever sport he is predicting but there's really no 100 percent and I won't say he got lucky because I think he is doing his homework but maybe he got lazy on the next matches.
For someone with the type of mindset as the Op highlighted, if they are still making correct predictions up to date, then we should have seen them give themselves a custom title, either "King of Gambling" or "Gambling Lord himself."
 
The pride and confidence would have been on another level, where people could even be making a booking just to have a share of his predicted games.
 
At least by now, he should be able to learn that it's not all in his power to decide which game can win and which one will lose. To some point, our prediction skills are rendered useless due to the type of result we see some games end with.

R


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Sandra_hakeem (OP)
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July 12, 2024, 02:34:43 AM
 #44

As a gambler, it is so important to understand that luck plays a huge part in you winning, but some people believe they have found the winning pattern/strategy, just because they were lucky to win a game. If it was possible for one to get a winning pattern, they'd definitely run the bookmakers to the ground; so first thing is to be humble enough to accept that you have to be lucky to win and not that you can "magically" pick correct games.
That's the one bitter pill they've refused to swallow for years now... I don't even think that's gonna end anyway - there's no fuckin' pattern to maneuver; I mean, there's definitely a pattern but the book markers have done it in a way that you can't track down previous historical records, compare, substitute for,  just to create some sort of loophole.
I really didn’t understand the gist of this story. I can only say that even a broken clock shows the correct time twice a day. That guy was apparently very unlucky - in the sense that he once believed in his ability to predict winnings and even had it. ray when it was "confirmed". Now it will be very difficult for him to be convinced of the opposite and he may lose money all his life.
My life experience suggests that the most unlucky gamblers are those who begin their “career” as a gambler with winnings.
"I don't really get what you didn't understand from the storyline but, this is one of the comments that threw me off" - WTF do you mean unlucky gamblers are likely the ones who begin their carrier with winnings?.. haven't you heard of situations where people get discouraged due to the fact that they've lost their whole goddam life savings and properties for an addiction that doesn't yield?

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July 12, 2024, 05:14:45 AM
 #45

Yes, such people should stop after several defeats in a row, but doing so is much harder than it seems. After all, we all know mathematics, and if a gambler has an unlucky option several times, then the chance that he will soon get a lucky one increases with each new defeat. And the hope for such a lucky chance is what drives the gambler.
Losing money consecutively in gambling is the sign for us to stops from playing gambling and not trying for more. That can leads us to gets more losses although we still have a chance to wins but the chance will not too big compare to our losses. We lose much money before so we must realizes that we must stops immediately before we runs all of the money.

No needs to regret when we lose especially if we use limitation because that limits is the money we can afford to lose. But the fact, people doesn't realizes about that and they still deposit more money because they hopes they can wins the games and recover their lost money in gambling. With the hopes to wins in the next rounds makes gamblers still playing gambling because they believe that they will wins in the next rounds. If they realizes they will not risks more money if they already lose some money and will quit gambling.

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July 12, 2024, 05:52:21 AM
 #46

This is exactly the case that I described in the previous post. Sometimes people have some catastrophic confidence, and it is this that helps them win. Many people say you have to believe in winning; everyone knows about this, but not everyone knows how to do it correctly. We cannot control luck, but luck sometimes does inexplicable things to us. And yes, a period of success very often gives way to a streak of failures at a time when the next lucky ones catch fortune by the tail.

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July 12, 2024, 11:46:36 AM
 #47

I once had this guy coming around to bug me with weekend fixtures for coupon draws... Not until someone volunteered to stake heavily on them odds, just to prove to him that the authenticity of his games weren't guaranteed. Since he wasn't in a position to wager the games himself, the agreement was that if anyone wagers and it doesn't cut, he'll have to pay for the loss.. "I was surprised when he readily accepted". His confidence threw me off, but something kept telling me that he's got too much ballsiness for it to not.
 
Long story cut short, it was a win! yes, it became a surprise and infact, a mystery to everyone that his prediction just delivered as though he arranged with the fixed draws -- 6 draws came through and since then, he kept making predictions on that premise, but the opposite was the case for everytime he wrote down random numbers. Infact, he has never won since then!
Why do people see themselves as a reservoir of unpredictable games whenever they bag a huge win in the midst of others?
I believe both party's enthusiasm would have died off should the first draws predictions he made hadn't given a win. It was that lucky feat that bolstered his confidence you believe himself in charge of correct predictions. Good a thing the first game played right, else I doubt he would have been able to repay the amount the other guy staked on the game since he couldn't make the bet himself and was looking for someone capable.

A reservoir of unpredictable games? No one has that reserve right actually. We are gambling on luck which makes it important that we stake with money we can afford to forego not minding the confidence we have on the predictions. Luck in gambling has never been constant.

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July 12, 2024, 12:01:09 PM
 #48

Yes, such people should stop after several defeats in a row, but doing so is much harder than it seems. After all, we all know mathematics, and if a gambler has an unlucky option several times, then the chance that he will soon get a lucky one increases with each new defeat. And the hope for such a lucky chance is what drives the gambler.
Losing money consecutively in gambling is the sign for us to stops from playing gambling and not trying for more. That can leads us to gets more losses although we still have a chance to wins but the chance will not too big compare to our losses. We lose much money before so we must realizes that we must stops immediately before we runs all of the money.

No needs to regret when we lose especially if we use limitation because that limits is the money we can afford to lose. But the fact, people doesn't realizes about that and they still deposit more money because they hopes they can wins the games and recover their lost money in gambling. With the hopes to wins in the next rounds makes gamblers still playing gambling because they believe that they will wins in the next rounds. If they realizes they will not risks more money if they already lose some money and will quit gambling.

I am sure that there is a certain level of deposit, after the loss of which the gambler begins to play casino games as if he no longer cares about his money.
It's probably something like 60 percent. If a gambler has lost this part, then he experiences moral anxiety and anger, and it’s probably better to leave at this point. But the desire to “restore the deposit” will only lead to a complete and irrevocable loss of all the money on the balance sheet.

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July 12, 2024, 12:40:54 PM
 #49

Long story cut short, it was a win! yes, it became a surprise and infact, a mystery to everyone that his prediction just delivered as though he arranged with the fixed draws -- 6 draws came through and since then, he kept making predictions on that premise, but the opposite was the case for everytime he wrote down random numbers. Infact, he has never won since then!
Why do people see themselves as a reservoir of unpredictable games whenever they bag a huge win in the midst of others?
Winning in the initial stage of your gambling career can be a very dangerous thing because it is what makes you become an actual and addicted gambler. When a person wins their first bet if it's sports betting or wins some money if it's a gambling game, they start believing that they can make money from gambling, and this belief makes them overconfident which eventually makes them lose a lot of money because they keep making bets again and again with the hope that they are going to win.

It is much better if a gambler loses at first when they start gambling so that they can understand that gambling is full of risks and you can lose your money in it and that one needs to be careful when they are making bets so that they don't lose excessive amounts of money out of greed.

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July 12, 2024, 01:08:12 PM
 #50

I would say that actually it was nothing more than just luck, or what I mean is that when he bet at the beginning of the deal at the same time luck really came at the right time which probably made the people who were there surprised and maybe assumed that he was the one different, in the sense that people may have an advantage in themselves because their predictions are really accurate.

On the other hand, I understand that maybe there is something else that could be the cause, maybe luck comes because he really feels optimistic that he will win at the end of the session, but in my opinion, self-confidence will not always produce something that is as expected, in There is little sense in luck coming just because someone feels very confident.

The proof is that in the next few sessions he experienced defeat as you explained OP, and I am sure that in the process of executing it he certainly did the same thing as in the initial bet when he won, and what this means is that his first win was nothing more than just luck coming at the right time .

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July 12, 2024, 01:22:41 PM
 #51

Why do people see themselves as a reservoir of unpredictable games whenever they bag a huge win in the midst of others?

Some people might feel that they are special. I have heard gamblers say that predictions from certain people or groups are sure bets. They fail to understand that most gambling wins are not based on expertise but on luck. But this is not the case for experienced gamblers who have known the rudiments of gambling.

The reason behind it maybe because he just lucky at first and second and third games he dont get lucky very much.

I mean one of my friends got addiction in slot games because first he saw other people win a lot from the slot game and when he tried after registration he also won, the level of confidence is leveling up until he loss the game. But somehow he still want to make deposits by some gut feeling

Winning your first games can lead to gambling addiction. Most of these new gamblers will think that it is easy to win games since they had some easy wins at the beginning of their gambling experience. However, some of them usually change this mindset as they gain more experience.

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July 12, 2024, 06:11:55 PM
 #52

Due to how experienced some people have become in gambling and the number of winnings they frequently get from their predictions, they can develop pride and see themselves as accurate prediction machines. They also fail to realize what gambling is all about; they underestimate the fact that gambling is basically about being lucky and not an assurance of winning the predicated games at all times. I have so many people in my place who pose themselves as prediction machines, and some people are just trusting in them despite their losses. 

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July 12, 2024, 06:52:24 PM
 #53

I once had this guy coming around to bug me with weekend fixtures for coupon draws... Not until someone volunteered to stake heavily on them odds, just to prove to him that the authenticity of his games weren't guaranteed. Since he wasn't in a position to wager the games himself, the agreement was that if anyone wagers and it doesn't cut, he'll have to pay for the loss.. "I was surprised when he readily accepted". His confidence threw me off, but something kept telling me that he's got too much ballsiness for it to not.
 
Long story cut short, it was a win! yes, it became a surprise and infact, a mystery to everyone that his prediction just delivered as though he arranged with the fixed draws -- 6 draws came through and since then, he kept making predictions on that premise, but the opposite was the case for everytime he wrote down random numbers. Infact, he has never won since then!
Why do people see themselves as a reservoir of unpredictable games whenever they bag a huge win in the midst of others?
One thing I am learning about life currently is that we don't have to be over reacting and judging people. There are some things that we need er expected to happen which always been the reality. Gambling need to be as fun but there are people that are always too curious to make money for themselves when they can always take the risk and watch what will happen next. There are people that have been making huge profits from bets like this, others could as waste of money which can be of garet help to us as gambler. We need to make money from gambling and that should not make us to serious about gambling which should be more of relaxation.

.
.Duelbits.
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July 12, 2024, 09:02:36 PM
 #54

Simply my friend, that’s what we call a lucky hit, and it doesn’t mean that person is super or always lucky, since most of the time it will only happen one or two times even three times but not shortly and as in this case, the second and the following times were a huge fail for him. Personally, I find these lucky hits if you agree with me, are very dangerous for people who would believe that luck is always with them, you know why? Because the next coming times they would play and gamble even harder, thinking they would get the same outcome and chances.

There’s nothing called a talent when it comes to predictions and luck, it is very random and that’s why I don’t really believe in stories like winning all the time and being super lucky to beat the casino in the long ride.

.
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July 12, 2024, 09:20:35 PM
 #55

I once had this guy coming around to bug me with weekend fixtures for coupon draws... Not until someone volunteered to stake heavily on them odds, just to prove to him that the authenticity of his games weren't guaranteed. Since he wasn't in a position to wager the games himself, the agreement was that if anyone wagers and it doesn't cut, he'll have to pay for the loss.. "I was surprised when he readily accepted". His confidence threw me off, but something kept telling me that he's got too much ballsiness for it to not.
 
Long story cut short, it was a win! yes, it became a surprise and infact, a mystery to everyone that his prediction just delivered as though he arranged with the fixed draws -- 6 draws came through and since then, he kept making predictions on that premise, but the opposite was the case for everytime he wrote down random numbers. Infact, he has never won since then!
Why do people see themselves as a reservoir of unpredictable games whenever they bag a huge win in the midst of others?

This is what I call have a luck for are day and feel you a gifted person, in gambling there is nothing like proud, is wrong. Because you have no reason to be proud of yourself, like in this case of your this victim, he just had a luck to win a suspicious prediction and he just see his self in the other pass as a professional that is why he keep predicting for others and that will not help but definitely put three to lose.

This is the main mistake that many people fall victim of most especially the newbies in gambling, am sorry to say, but, this are people that always feel like there know better than those that have been gambling for years because I understand one thing in gambling. if you predict a game with out staking any amount you will see that your prediction was right, but at the time that you predict and stake then you will see you losing. So I don’t think game is something you will be 100% sure if.

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July 12, 2024, 09:27:29 PM
 #56

Games are u predictable in gambling, some would have been trying all means to make sure that they win through this but things never happened the way they have expected because gambling itself cannot be predicted hundred percent, we only try our luck on bets just to make sure we habe the expected results in gambling, another thing I know is that we cannot predict some games accurately, even the prediction sotes are just a try of luck, not all of them were being accurate as to the games they predicted for us in gambling.

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July 12, 2024, 10:45:28 PM
 #57

If he could consistently bag those wins one after another, I'd be pretty sure he's doing something in the backgrounds that would amp his chances of winning, or perhaps he found a loophole in the system that he can use and abuse according to his satisfaction, another dead giveaway is when he's being asked to write random numbers (duh) and he's not winning anything, at best he's just got a strat that he doesn't want to share with anyone, at worst, he's cheating against the system.

But then again there's really no such thing as "unpredictable" as long as you have small enough parameters to work with. The only reason why games are so hard to predict especially when we're talking about gambling is because apart from the statistical rig-a-ma-roll that's happening within the game itself we also have the casino edge/house edge to consider, and this alone completely skews the chances of you winning by a large margin, pitting you against a system that would always favor the casino.

The latter part all the more convinces me he's got something up his sleeves, but whatever, we all had to get the bag I guess.

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July 12, 2024, 10:54:16 PM
 #58

They also fail to realize what gambling is all about; they underestimate the fact that gambling is basically about being lucky and not an assurance of winning the predicated games at all times. I have so many people in my place who pose themselves as prediction machines, and some people are just trusting in them despite their losses. 
They underestimate the gambling system and overestimate themselves, playing the hero roles, as they now see themselves as having defeated the system, which is exactly what the system wants: playing with your intelligence, which motivates those who feel omniscient to play with a higher amount with a high hope of winning a larger reward, which all will go down to the system, and they just don't learn from it and keep on going as they never believe that they don't control the game.

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July 12, 2024, 11:06:34 PM
 #59

From this post dear OP I see more of lessons than making inputs because I believe that with this, we are to understand that a few times of been lucky doesn't make us infallible gambling but this line of mistakes has been the road some others have rather chosen ans it has turned out that not a good percentage of rhwm gets it right.

Personally I wouldn't at any point want to think that I'm a reservoir of unpredictable games probably because I got lucky over a few times, I just know that I'm having fun and some times get lucky too and that's all that really matters to me. I hope others get to learn from this and become better gamblers with this that they have known from this post.

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July 13, 2024, 03:57:18 AM
 #60

-snip-
Personally I wouldn't at any point want to think that I'm a reservoir of unpredictable games probably because I got lucky over a few times, I just know that I'm having fun and some times get lucky too and that's all that really matters to me. I hope others get to learn from this and become better gamblers with this that they have known from this post.
An important point on the gambling you are doing is that you can have fun without thinking about profits that you haven't even gotten yet.
Maybe you can get lucky on some of the games or some sports bets you make, but losses will also happen.

There is no need to force yourself to keep playing, the game cannot be fully predicted, it just depends on how lucky you are.
Learning from every defeat is important to do.

R


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