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Author Topic: Leopard tactics in sports betting.  (Read 549 times)
o48o
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August 19, 2024, 11:25:21 AM
 #41

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
I was confused about how this metafor is even applicable, but i guess to simplify it: It's basically making a decision not bet on every game, just the games you think you have some extra knowledge about the weaknesses. Which i thought people did already. Why would anyone bet on a game is they know nothing about what's going on with the teams? Are people really making random sports bets?

I thought this would be just common sense and everyone who follows sports would analyze teams all the time. And that's the very reason they are willing to put money in, but maybe i was overestimating how much work are people putting on this. For someone like me, i always thought that lack of knowledge is the major thing that prevents me making bigger bets. Because i don't follow most sports closely and everyone else who does has edge that i don't.


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August 19, 2024, 11:46:11 AM
 #42


Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

I Google to explore this Leopard tactic but it yield none, but its worth discussion this based on our observation and experience and inside buzz, monetary rewards is a big factor when two opposing team is equal on strength skills and depth while the other team was promised with huge bonus and financial perks.

The other team that was not offered will lose their motivation knowing that the other team is getting a lot while they are not getting anything from their management.

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August 19, 2024, 04:03:48 PM
 #43

~~
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

Honestly, i just heard the term leopard tactics in sports betting. but when i read your post, it was interesting. it's just that in reality bettors who like sports especially football, there are some basic things that must be known and involved when trying to research and analyze a match. well, you have conveyed the points that we always involve when betting and researching a match. for me personally, there may be similarities with tactics like the leopard expression. so here's the thing, before choosing a bet, i usually first look at the match schedule for several leagues. of the many matches offered in betting, the most ideal in my personal opinion is what i should choose to bet on. i mean, if a match does not provide the ideal probability in my betting version, honestly i don't hesitate not to bet. even though it's a big match, for example involving two strong teams competing. I try to be objective in choosing bets, as well as the odds provided by the bookie. not only aimed at choosing a team, but also seeing the much more ideal probability based on our own understanding to bet. honestly i don't like low odds, so other alternatives are my choice. with the condition that, after going through research and analysis results. one or two matches that we choose, is better than choosing many matches but ending up losing.


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August 19, 2024, 04:14:56 PM
 #44

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
Well, I currently have no idea of any thing to write down to support the ones you have already listed, so, let's just assume you have mentioned it all, but I will just chip in my thought as regards to your idea generally.

Let me say that based on my betting experience, it's rare that a team will have a better chances of winning a game and the casinos won't know about it, did you even realize that casinos usually have their own sports speculators who spend not only time, but also money in researching and coming up with well detailed analysis of how a match will likely end, this is how the casino usually come up with what is likely to be the best odds to list for a team in an upcoming match.

In situations where an underdog comes on to beat the favorite, rest assured that even the casinos themselves didn't see that coming, it's only by luck, like we saw in 2023 world cup where Saudi Arabia beat Argentina, no one, not even the casinos expected that to happen.

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August 19, 2024, 06:14:35 PM
 #45

Didn't thought of it as a leopard tactics but I just see that sometimes there are situations like this when you agree within yourself that  , "yes! This bet is a sure game because of the situation. " Sometimes, it could be when a very good player is added to the team and also when the defensive players are people that have have always made your previous prediction to be successful. Then the other ones you listed are quite a good criteria in having a great assumption for the success of one's prediction.

It's interesting that it happens sometimes when the thing you didn't have a name for actually has a full terminology for it. We all learn something new each moment we live and communicate Grin

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August 20, 2024, 04:06:38 PM
 #46

To be honest I'm not entirely sure on your example of the leopard tactic. Are you saying that they only try in situations where there is a clear advantage, as opposed to how they would only hunt if it was appropriate? I don't feel this has anything to do with equality, because hunting is essential to their survival, not just a choice based on values. The examples you gave do not seem useless to you. Many of these things are already calculated by bookmaker right. You get what I'm saying? Also I had thought that this was an argument based on the idea that everyone did a bit of research into the sports teams, and that was why they were willing to place a bet. I may be over-estimating how much research people actually put in. I had always thought that the main reason I did not like losing much money was that I did not know a great deal about the individual sport I was watching. Those who know a lot more about the game appear to be having an advantage that I do not have.

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August 20, 2024, 04:40:55 PM
 #47

The leopard tactics is a strategy only know by those with long time experiences in sports. Most times the Coach have most of these ideas and tries to implement them on his team so they could be victorious. There are many similar situations like this, for instance in a match when some players have received various cards and are being warned by the ref. Let's say one read cards has already been issued to the opposing team. It would break their formation and leave a bigger chance for the other team to go into their defense strategy.

In order to implement this strategy you need to have a deep knowledge of that sport. Also you need to have interest in that sports because without the interest you won't be able to dig deep into the details. The more details and inside news you know the better for the leopard tactics. I knew most of the details mentioned by the OP, but this term leopard tactics is a new one for me but it really suits here. One need to be patience and stealth like a tiger in order to get close to a win.

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August 20, 2024, 09:50:15 PM
 #48

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

I have come across a lot of betting strategies but I haven't seen this one before. In a nutshell leopard betting system is capitalizing on the strength and weaknesses of both teams. Playing away from home is also a major factor, in most matches the team playing from home always have an advantage over the away team, this is something that can help in your analysis. When a team has problem with their coach the unity of that team might be in disarray and this might affect their game play. After reading this I think your points on this are very reasonable

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September 27, 2024, 08:41:01 PM
 #49

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

I haven't really heard of this strategy before but I must say that you have good points. Talking about point number 3, when a team is demoralized by their losses then it would be hard for them to be motivated to keep playing more upcoming games their opponents can capitalize on This weakness, although some teams surprisingly step up but it's very unlikely to happen that way. And also the 4th point you made, playing from either home or away is a factor that can affect the game play of teams. These are good points but it doesn't change the fact that luck is also involved

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September 27, 2024, 10:38:17 PM
 #50

5. When there are some idiots playing, usually these idiots can influence their teammates.
6. When people judge the teams based on the experience and history instead of the current performance.
7. When the teams are fighting for shitty trophies like FA Cup, DFB Pokal, Coppa Italia, Copa del Rey etc.
8. When the referee is very known as a robbery.

And there are many more thing, as long as they're playing to get the most prestigious trophies, all of the teams will all out.


Most times the history of a particular team can affect their performance that's why as a gambler into sports betting you must always learn to check head to head to see the performance of both teams, although some teams can improve within a short period of time.  Sports bet betting is not really easy because you have to take out time to do a lot of analysis so you can have a little leverage over the market which is almost impossible... whatever you do just make sure you don't gamble irresponsibly

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September 27, 2024, 10:54:20 PM
Last edit: September 30, 2024, 05:52:28 PM by AmoreJaz
 #51

5. When there are some idiots playing, usually these idiots can influence their teammates.
6. When people judge the teams based on the experience and history instead of the current performance.
7. When the teams are fighting for shitty trophies like FA Cup, DFB Pokal, Coppa Italia, Copa del Rey etc.
8. When the referee is very known as a robbery.

And there are many more thing, as long as they're playing to get the most prestigious trophies, all of the teams will all out.
Most times the history of a particular team can affect their performance that's why as a gambler into sports betting you must always learn to check head to head to see the performance of both teams, although some teams can improve within a short period of time.  Sports bet betting is not really easy because you have to take out time to do a lot of analysis so you can have a little leverage over the market which is almost impossible... whatever you do just make sure you don't gamble irresponsibly

Previous history may help but don't forget to learn the actual status of the team, their current coach and lineup because those greatly affect the performance of the team.

Also, if the referee is known to its robbery reputation, your confidence with your bets will lose because the referee will have their own decision even if the team is clearly winning the game.

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September 27, 2024, 11:48:07 PM
Merited by Julien_Olynpic (2)
 #52

Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
The situation in which a key player in the team or any player at all got a red card in the middle of the match leaving his team to play one man short. This causes offset in game giving the other team with complete 11 players to have a better advantage of winning the match or if they were losing to at least force the game to a draw. This is one situation bookmakers don't see it coming and the gambler that bets on live bets can take advantage of it to give a sound prediction about a next possible outcome in the game.

Using the Op's analogy to my contribution, the situation could be said to be that of the gazelles getting injured in the middle of the chase by the cheetah, at that moment there is a high possibility of the wounded gazelle getting caught by the cheetah.

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September 28, 2024, 07:03:25 AM
 #53


Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

I think this rarely happens because bookmakers are experts and usually smarter than us. What I’ve noticed from my experience is that when I think the outcome is easy to predict, I often end up betting on the wrong side based on the game’s result. In short, it’s really unpredictable, which is why the majority of bettors or the public lose most of the time^^^the betting odds (point spread and totals) are very tricky.
This is true, the bookmakers normally have more experience than us and they're always outsmarting us with their odds. They know that gamblers are predictable so they'll us it against them so that they'll lose more. I think that sometimes gamblers should go against the most probable teams to win. Gamblers should also consider what is at stake to motivate a team to win, like when a team has lost two games in the group stages and the outcome of their third game doesn't matter. In the end it's luck that determines the outcome of matches whether in favor of the gamblers or bookmakers.











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September 28, 2024, 07:34:04 AM
 #54

Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
If last minute decisions happen such as changing of key members of the team like the coach. If the coaching approach changes either for the better or for the worse, it will shake bookmakers and they will have a difficult time to adjust the odds quickly and with certainty.

Internal team management may also change how the betting goes. Usually contract issues come up and this affects the players and the entire team which puts again the bookmakers into a difficult spot. If the team generally does not have good vibe, it may reflect in the game no matter how historically good they were.

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September 28, 2024, 10:11:22 AM
 #55

Everyone has a different strategy when it comes to betting, but the strategy you mentioned here seems to be quite effective even though I have never gambled with this strategy before. I never like to risk money too much. Winning bets is profitable for us but losing money by betting unnecessarily is harmful to me and I always try to follow this. I am willing to be satisfied with a small amount of profit for investing a certain amount of capital but I am not willing to risk any amount of money unnecessarily.  I will try to bet on those matches where I have a higher chance of winning. I know the results are not guaranteed but there is something called high risk and low risk that I always try to follow.

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September 28, 2024, 10:37:13 AM
 #56

The leopard tactics is a strategy only know by those with long time experiences in sports. Most times the Coach have most of these ideas and tries to implement them on his team so they could be victorious. There are many similar situations like this, for instance in a match when some players have received various cards and are being warned by the ref. Let's say one read cards has already been issued to the opposing team. It would break their formation and leave a bigger chance for the other team to go into their defense strategy.

In order to implement this strategy you need to have a deep knowledge of that sport. Also you need to have interest in that sports because without the interest you won't be able to dig deep into the details. The more details and inside news you know the better for the leopard tactics. I knew most of the details mentioned by the OP, but this term leopard tactics is a new one for me but it really suits here. One need to be patience and stealth like a tiger in order to get close to a win.
Currently, details about the internal politics and a whole lot of other things that are going on with players of all the teams are available on the media, and with a simple search, you can get a lot of things that will give you a great insight on even the emotional state of the players of each team. Bloggers and sports content creators have made it easier to get a lot of this information even before the club gives an official statement and that's one of the beauties of gambling at present.

I could tell what's happening to key players in all the teams I'm watching most especially the ones that can have an effect on their overall performance. There are even some analysts who will give you the potential lineup and formation that's expected in most games before the club releases it and after the club has released it, it happens just as you've predicted. The coined name by the OP might just not be too popular but its meaning is what almost all gamblers make use of while checking out the outcome of certain games.


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September 28, 2024, 10:45:14 AM
 #57

-snip-
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
I read all that you wrote but I don't think it's practically applicable these days because if you think you know a thing about sports, I tell you that the bookmakers know more, after all, they work as a team and will offer you odds based on their decisions on extensive analysis and considerations which is what reflects the odds we see attached to each game.

For me, bookies do not leave "a stone unturned" and I've never been disappointed with what I see when the odds are low when the chance of a certain team to win is high and high when the chance of a certain team to win is low. However, when their chances are similar, the odds become between 2 and 3.5, which is my preferred option if I see one because it's a good risk to take as the money will be worth it if won.

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September 28, 2024, 10:51:27 AM
 #58

Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
The situation in which a key player in the team or any player at all got a red card in the middle of the match leaving his team to play one man short. This causes offset in game giving the other team with complete 11 players to have a better advantage of winning the match or if they were losing to at least force the game to a draw. This is one situation bookmakers don't see it coming and the gambler that bets on live bets can take advantage of it to give a sound prediction about a next possible outcome in the game.

Using the Op's analogy to my contribution, the situation could be said to be that of the gazelles getting injured in the middle of the chase by the cheetah, at that moment there is a high possibility of the wounded gazelle getting caught by the cheetah.
I love this.

I have never been in a situation where I bet for live games where I could take advantage of what is happening while watching the game. I always watch NBA basketball on Stake.com (almost) live streaming and sometimes make live bets. But in situations like players being thrown out because of 2 technical fouls or just because of excessive contact which could lead to flagrant foul 2 which is an automatic rejection, I cannot take advantage of it because mentally, I am more focused on what will happen to the game especially if that player is an ace of their team.
What I mean is, it's difficult to think about betting when the game becomes that hot and all you can think about is what the results will be. That is why I love what you said here, I think I will try it sometimes especially now that the NBA is near starting the season.

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September 28, 2024, 10:55:13 AM
 #59

-snip-
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
I read all that you wrote but I don't think it's practically applicable these days because if you think you know a thing about sports, I tell you that the bookmakers know more, after all, they work as a team and will offer you odds based on their decisions on extensive analysis and considerations which is what reflects the odds we see attached to each game.

For me, bookies do not leave "a stone unturned" and I've never been disappointed with what I see when the odds are low when the chance of a certain team to win is high and high when the chance of a certain team to win is low. However, when their chances are similar, the odds become between 2 and 3.5, which is my preferred option if I see one because it's a good risk to take as the money will be worth it if won.

I agree with you. Bookmakers have more than one analyst in their staff, whose forecasts allow them to earn their bread. They have been doing this job all their lives, and recently they have started to use artificial intelligence technologies in their work, so it is becoming more and more difficult to play against them. Perhaps there are bettors who know more than bookmakers, but most of us are amateurs in the field of betting, whose results depend more on luck than on professionalism.

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September 28, 2024, 11:20:49 AM
 #60

I’ve never heard this term Leopard tactics in sports betting before but I will admit I look for situations like this sometimes. However, I’ve learned in these sorts of situations games can sometimes be even more unpredictable that normal. So typically when I’m betting a situation like this, I tend to take the underdog and hope for an unexpected outcome.
It’s definitely something the OP came up with, given the way OP had to draw the analogy and it makes sense. While most of these might apply, it’s one that comes with zero assurances still as, even when the game doesn’t mean much or could be the case of the team haven’t already won the league with some unplayed games, you can easily find them chasing unbeaten runs to end the season like we had with  Leverkusen last season in the Bundesliga.

This eventually messed them up in the Europa as an inexperienced team having to fight on two fronts with the little to no player rotation wasn’t going to end well. Fatigue would set in and they just didn’t manage well.

Even then, these are indeed factors to look out for in placing a bet.

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