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Author Topic: Finding Value ( sports betting)  (Read 993 times)
Weawant
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September 01, 2024, 02:22:17 PM
 #41

I read an article that says in order to win in sports betting in the long run, we need to find value before making a bet. This means we don't need to bet on all the games available because we can't find value in all of them. Since it requires careful analysis based on the information available, it's impossible to analyze every game available for betting. Therefore, it's important to limit the number of bets and make sure that all the bets we make are well-studied so we can come out ahead in the long run.

If you believe in this, from your personal perspective, how do you find value?
This is very true and key especially if you are gambling for the purpose of making money and not just having fun, if fun alone is the basis for gambling, you may not need to put all of this into consideration but if making money is, then make sure to put into consideration this factor as it will help a long way to keep you long enough in the game and still make some good money off it as you have desired to. Limiting the number of bets may not even be the best thing to do but making sure to be careful with your picks and getting the most probable pick that can occur is just the best way of having more wins often than you do with losses.

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September 01, 2024, 03:25:40 PM
 #42

To find value, one must not make it a habit to gamble every day, especially even when they are don't have much information about the club they want to bet or but just want to stake because they made a common guess that the clum must win. I think that before someone can be successful in sports bets on the long run, is if they are able to make good analysis and only knows the best club they can select at every time they want to bet.  It's better to stake in a game that you have carried out a very well analysis and confirm that they have a very high chance of winning, than to stake on the game that you don't even knows their performance in their last match.

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September 01, 2024, 03:29:55 PM
 #43

I read an article that says in order to win in sports betting in the long run, we need to find value before making a bet. This means we don't need to bet on all the games available because we can't find value in all of them. Since it requires careful analysis based on the information available, it's impossible to analyze every game available for betting. Therefore, it's important to limit the number of bets and make sure that all the bets we make are well-studied so we can come out ahead in the long run.

If you believe in this, from your personal perspective, how do you find value?

Absolutely that's the only way to win. Because you are trying to skew the odds in your favor which in the long term you can have the edge.  In terms of how I fi d value, generally speaking I only bet games amd sports I'm highly familiar with.  Then knowing how odds usually get worked I male my own odds.  Then I look at the books to see where the habe them at.  If the odds are better on the books than what I thought they should be I bet that game. That's how I value bet.

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September 01, 2024, 03:54:17 PM
 #44

I only go for one or two matches in a week. That is my own finding value. Gambling often is the reason some people are losing. Another value that I found is to be gambling with the amount of money that I can afford to lose. That is why I prefer casinos that sports.  Sport betting is too boring for me than to watch matches but casinos games are opposite and lively with staking little amount of money with it.
I quit agree with you on this statement because gambling too often is the same and making multiple bet selections because of the quest to increase the odds, this is also increases the tendency to lose, because the risk factors in the negative direction is being increased at that point.

So indeed taking just a single game to bet on have higher luck chances this is also because at that point, you can easily analyse the team based in the available statistics of the team to prove their abilities and disabilities that could aid they winning.

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September 01, 2024, 03:56:15 PM
 #45

I read an article that says in order to win in sports betting in the long run, we need to find value before making a bet. This means we don't need to bet on all the games available because we can't find value in all of them. Since it requires careful analysis based on the information available, it's impossible to analyze every game available for betting. Therefore, it's important to limit the number of bets and make sure that all the bets we make are well-studied so we can come out ahead in the long run.

If you believe in this, from your personal perspective, how do you find value?

OP should have linked the article for us to read since this is an interesting topic, And I agree with that article; it's just common sense if you're doing a full analysis of 3 out of the 6 games and betting all of them, then you are just taking your chances in winning.

Pick the right matches to analyze where you are fully familiar with the teams and bet on that team so you have a good chance of winning, but if you're on a research purpose then by all means bet on all the games while taking note, but be sure you are aware of your chances of losing money.

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September 01, 2024, 04:28:23 PM
 #46

I read an article that says in order to win in sports betting in the long run, we need to find value before making a bet. This means we don't need to bet on all the games available because we can't find value in all of them. Since it requires careful analysis based on the information available, it's impossible to analyze every game available for betting. Therefore, it's important to limit the number of bets and make sure that all the bets we make are well-studied so we can come out ahead in the long run.

If you believe in this, from your personal perspective, how do you find value?
The fewer the number of games to bet, the higher the possibility of winning those bets analyzed, compared to when a bettor has many games to bet to expect a win from them all. That's very difficult to come by.

The mistake to make as a gambling bettor is to focus on the bigger odds of games rather than going for the lesser odds of a smaller number of games. Having more than 5 games to bet, all because you aim for big odds is quite unnecessary and it's very hard to come by as win bets compared to bets that have few games on them.

R


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September 01, 2024, 05:09:02 PM
 #47

I read an article that says in order to win in sports betting in the long run, we need to find value before making a bet. This means we don't need to bet on all the games available because we can't find value in all of them. Since it requires careful analysis based on the information available, it's impossible to analyze every game available for betting. Therefore, it's important to limit the number of bets and make sure that all the bets we make are well-studied so we can come out ahead in the long run.

If you believe in this, from your personal perspective, how do you find value?

If you imagine that every sports betting company out there which is offering you odds is trying to figure out the same thing, then you should have an understanding that you're asking a monumental question. They are equally looking to both a) retain their own money which they risk against yours and b) make profit from picking more accurately than the public. Even if you do come up with a strategy, you must consider that they are constantly adapting and it is unlikely to last very long if you do find a flaw in the logic. The best value I've seen is in live bets, where their vast computing power is at a disadvantage because it cannot do all the indepth analysis and re-calculations that it could before the game started.

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September 01, 2024, 07:08:36 PM
 #48

Honestly, I don't do much research on how to be good at spotting value bets, because in my opinion, even if someone is an expert at identifying value bets, over time they will still end up losing money while playing. If these value betting tips really worked, then we would see a lot of people posting success stories they had with sports betting. What I have seen is that even guys who consider themselves professional bettors don't make a living from sports betting. They have other sources of income. That's why I prefer to stick with my old method: I choose games that involve teams I know and like, then I see if they have high odds and then I analyze the performance of the teams and bet on the team with the best performance and accept the result at the end of the game. In other words, even when I lose, I don't get upset because I only bet with little money.

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September 01, 2024, 07:42:14 PM
 #49

~~
If you believe in this, from your personal perspective, how do you find value?

I'm sure we all agree, if it is impossible to analyze every game available. Just imagine how much time we will spend on it, then it will be very tiring. Moreover, I think the results will not be optimal because we are forced to collect all the latest information for the basic material for the analysis we do. Well, let me share about the bets I make. As we know, in one week there will always be many sports match schedules, in this context football. Usually I will check it from the site that is my reference, only the big leagues that I usually like. I will refer to the betting exchange related to the teams that will compete, then examine the ones that are of concern. It would be tiring if I had to research many matches, so only a few teams to analyze. Well, I have plenty of time to collect every latest information before the match starts, no need to rush because the odds can change before the match is held. Of the many matches, ideally I only choose two or three matches. Even then, with the odds that I like. Unless, I just choose the parlay option with a small bet. then the question is, does what I do produce long-term wins? the answer is, not always. because, in sports or football there is no such thing as a sure prediction.

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September 01, 2024, 08:05:52 PM
 #50

I read an article that says in order to win in sports betting in the long run, we need to find value before making a bet. This means we don't need to bet on all the games available because we can't find value in all of them. Since it requires careful analysis based on the information available, it's impossible to analyze every game available for betting. Therefore, it's important to limit the number of bets and make sure that all the bets we make are well-studied so we can come out ahead in the long run.

If you believe in this, from your personal perspective, how do you find value?

In sports betting I think we as bettors do not have to have an analysis of each player because anyway, I think it will only waste time and does not guarantee victory either. So, for me personally I only analyze from the schedule and the final results they have in several previous matches and also about their head to head results. Thus, at least we will have our own assessment to determine the choice but indeed, I think analyzing in such a way also does not guarantee to win because this is a lucky bet, I guess. But at least, we also do not make random bets because by having our own analysis then of course we will have a decent value of how much money we should bet on a particular match.

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September 01, 2024, 09:25:45 PM
 #51

The English League is popular in my country so it is always easy to analyze by discussing matches with club fans. It is also not easy to bet on all the games, so I usually restrict my bet to a few games I have researched.    
Analyses are beyond just discussing about football clubs with friends. You can also try other leagues. There are many weeks I just do not like to bet on English Premier League if I see better matches from other leagues. You can use some sites to make the analyses even if you do not watch the matches. Just important information like how were the last five matches the club played, the players to be used for the match, the clubs head-to-head, the extend the club can score and the some other information to predict what could be the outcome of the match.

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September 01, 2024, 09:58:30 PM
Last edit: September 01, 2024, 11:14:23 PM by Sandra_hakeem
 #52

I read an article that says in order to win in sports betting in the long run, we need to find value before making a bet. This means we don't need to bet on all the games available because we can't find value in all of them. Since it requires careful analysis based on the information available, it's impossible to analyze every game available for betting. Therefore, it's important to limit the number of bets and make sure that all the bets we make are well-studied so we can come out ahead in the long run.
Very much important!  I normally lookout for game that deems my interest... Situations where I'm caught up by the two games with almost similar odds, I find it very difficult to predict them so, for that reason, I'd just ignore such games. Also, it depends on which competition -- if it's a game in the premier league e.g Brighton Hove albion vs Aston Villa with the odds of 2.45 and 2.65 respectively, I could just wager on the 2.65 to win,.. i may also fix a draw on them.
Edit:
With most of my bets, I've got only a few of them that I haven't found any value. Like it was a random thought and just went straight away for those matches. I'm not the type of gambler that bets on something that I don't know but you know that we've got all of our crazy times[...]
sometimes, it's always worth the try... I've also confirmed few cases where a gambler wagers on games from Scottish premiership and it cuts. You could be lucky with games like that - especially during pre-season or breaks.

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September 01, 2024, 10:10:41 PM
 #53

I find value when I truly know the match up. If I have no idea who are playing, I guess that I bet on them sometimes when I am bored and have got nothing to do with the spare that I have.

I agree with that study that you shouldn't bet with all bets just because they appear. But when you see someone that does this, you might think of them that they're just having fun or have a lot of spare to bet to.

And what's good with the bookies now, they don't require a lot of money to bet for the matches that they list and that's another factor I guess why someone isn't forced to bet on everything.

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September 01, 2024, 10:20:55 PM
 #54

I read an article that says in order to win in sports betting in the long run, we need to find value before making a bet. This means we don't need to bet on all the games available because we can't find value in all of them. Since it requires careful analysis based on the information available, it's impossible to analyze every game available for betting. Therefore, it's important to limit the number of bets and make sure that all the bets we make are well-studied so we can come out ahead in the long run.

If you believe in this, from your personal perspective, how do you find value?
Finding value,,,
Well that’s one way to put it but, it’s simply making conscious effort to analyze the game you bet on before going ahead to make a stake on it. Sports betting isn’t casino betting and it offers some privileges to demonstrate your expertise as per, how well you know the game and team.
That doesn’t mean you would always make a win even in the best of analysis.

Now, the accumulation bets is one place to lose in sports betting. It’s an opportunity to pile up those little odds to get some weighty multiplier but, the more games you accumulate, the less your chances of winning.
Chances is that, you can go wrong on one a always is and that’s all it takes to trash your bet.
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September 01, 2024, 10:25:45 PM
 #55

I read an article that says in order to win in sports betting in the long run, we need to find value before making a bet. This means we don't need to bet on all the games available because we can't find value in all of them. Since it requires careful analysis based on the information available, it's impossible to analyze every game available for betting. Therefore, it's important to limit the number of bets and make sure that all the bets we make are well-studied so we can come out ahead in the long run.

If you believe in this, from your personal perspective, how do you find value?

In making bets, it's always a valuable thing to consider your money as essential because money came from your hard earned job is definitely providing us life support. Without that, we can't live our daily expenses that's we should learn the importance of financial management, since other people didn't value this idea. They kept doing same ways and being stressed without correcting themselves of same mistakes on their way of spending money.

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September 01, 2024, 10:31:23 PM
 #56

Well, going on random bets is just a waste of time and money, so the best strategy is to bet only on what you've seen the most valuable bet. But how can we find value in betting when most of our bets are certainly valuable for us? This boils down to the idea that we should only stick to 1 or 2 bets when betting, thus betting only on which has the highest probability to win. And don't be greedy when betting, bet only on an amount that you are comfortable of losing, thus betting only on your spare money.

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passwordnow
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September 01, 2024, 10:48:14 PM
 #57

I read an article that says in order to win in sports betting in the long run, we need to find value before making a bet. This means we don't need to bet on all the games available because we can't find value in all of them. Since it requires careful analysis based on the information available, it's impossible to analyze every game available for betting. Therefore, it's important to limit the number of bets and make sure that all the bets we make are well-studied so we can come out ahead in the long run.

If you believe in this, from your personal perspective, how do you find value?
With most of my bets, I've got only a few of them that I haven't found any value. Like it was a random thought and just went straight away for those matches. I'm not the type of gambler that bets on something that I don't know but you know that we've got all of our crazy times, so when I did sometimes when that bet wins, that's giving more joy than the ones that I've found value and I know most of with those games.

I am limiting my bet and trying to bet on good odds and that's the type of gambler I am even though I know that the underdogs have lesser chances of winning but it's different with esports. Sometimes, the underdogs can really turn the table and they'd give some good wins and that's why for me it's worth to go extra mile of odds when it's with the underdogs. I don't bet on everything that I know, even if I want to, I stop myself and still limits for some bets each day.

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September 01, 2024, 11:15:23 PM
 #58

instead of calling it "finding value" I would call it "finding chances / opportunities". And I agree that sometimes it is better to evaluate the quality of the bets one could do, instead of the quantity of the bets one could partake in.
In my opinion, perhaps the best way to find those opportunities would be to program and have a calender with the matches which actually catch our attention as bettors and analyze our chances with weeks in advance, so when time comes and we see the according odds, we can take a choice. It would be the contrary to logging onto the casino at any time and place bets at whim and carelessly.

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September 01, 2024, 11:27:33 PM
 #59

Personally I don't stake or gamble on matches that I don't know properly, so what is means to find value here is that we should go into leagues or matches we know nothing about jist because we find it tempting and it could profit more of yield enough wins which is even not guaranteed.

Most people don't see value or opportunity in the games they bet on but the add them to their bets just because it could increase their potential wins, perhaps I have been a victim of this act times ago but not now I have realised it's just not working as it seems very simple while gathering them.

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September 01, 2024, 11:32:01 PM
 #60

If you believe in this, from your personal perspective, how do you find value?
This is more our management to do sports betting. Indeed, there must be several things to consider before betting on sports.
To be clear, it should be:
- Don't be too strict and fanatic about one club or player to bet on, make sure you understand who the opponent is.
- Manage our bankroll wisely so that we can continue betting even though there is a loss
- And I agree with not to bet all sports, because we need to focus on analysis, and don't force ourselves to analyze many sports, focus on what we exactly understand and sure enough to get plus point

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