[POLYMARKET] Post election Trump, prediction bets, will USA own Greenland bets

[bbc.reporter]

The government shutdown in America has ended, everyone was very bullish for a big pump on bitcoin and all of the cryptospace, however, what only has occurred was a big dump under $100k.

This is very headshaking heheh.

In any case the next storyline for Trump is Venezuela. It is speculated that because the Epstein scandal is appearing again and this is being connected to the Donald, there is a speculation that the Donald will create a distraction by attacking Venezuela. According to some people there is an aircraft carrier near Venezuela already.

On Polymarket, the prediction rating that America will attack Venezuela has pumped to 53% from only 20%. This will certainly be very bearish for bitcoin and cryptocoins. This will certainly cause a big dump




Source https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by-october-31?tid=1763177135215

[bbc.reporter]

I have a speculation on the Donald's threat on Venezuela and what might occur for this and the Epstein files that will be released by the end of this year.

It has been approved in the senate in America already that the Epstein files will be released. On Polymarket, it has a presently 84% rating that it will be released on December, 2025.



However, if this will be released, there might be information in these files that might show the Donald as a pedophile. He cannot allow this because this would imply impeachment!

What will he do? I speculate that he will attack Venezuela and begin another war to cause an occurrence where the Epstein files release will be cancelled or forgotten. This will certainly cause another market dump similar to the bombings America has done on Iran.

[bbc.reporter]

News update.

I was expecting this rating on America's military engagement against Venezuela to go down under 50% by this Sunday, however, it has increased by 3% to a rating of 56%. The latest news update according to military.com is the marines are practicing their war games and they are monitoring the area.

It will not be shocking if the Navy Seal has gone inside secretly where they they are not allowed in the jurisdiction of Venezuela hehehehe. The US marines will not enter an area without advanced surveillance which is usually the job of the Navy Seal.



The U.S. military has deployed one of its largest forces to the Caribbean in decades, placing thousands of Marines and the world's most advanced aircraft carrier right on Venezuela's doorstep.

The buildup includes the USS Iwo Jima Amphibious Ready Group with the 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) embarked. This adds more than 2,200 Marines, MV-22 Ospreys, CH-53E helicopters, and landing craft. In total, nearly a dozen warships and around 12,000 sailors and Marines now operate in the region.

Read in full https://www.military.com/feature/2025/11/19/massive-us-marine-buildup-caribbean-just-7-miles-venezuelas-coast.html

[bbc.reporter]

What is everyone's speculation on the release of the Epstein files by the Donald? Will this really be released or will the Donald create an occurrence where the attention of the American people will be distracted?

Similar to what I have speculated before, the Donald's created occurrence will be a war against Venezuela. Also, this will serve the American government's agenda on removing Venezuela's president Maduro hehe.

The rating for Maduro's removal is 47% by March 2026.

[bbc.reporter]

It appears that instead of creating a Venezuela war occurrence to distract everyone on the release of the Epstein files, the Donald's administration is rumored to release a very redacted version of the files hehehehe. They release it, however, we will learn nothing new from these files because all of the important information will be blackened.

[Julien_Olynpic]

Of course, Trump has enormous influence on global affairs, and few people remain indifferent. Some approve of his actions, while others hate him. Moreover, this hatred is often irrational and emotionally driven. People dislike his narcissism. As for this particular bet on Polymarket, Trump is highly likely to become Person of the Year. But it's almost impossible to make money on such bets. The only way to make money is with an alternative candidate who suddenly wins. The only person who could possibly challenge him is Elon Musk.

[Smartprofit]

What is everyone's speculation on the release of the Epstein files by the Donald? Will this really be released or will the Donald create an occurrence where the attention of the American people will be distracted?

Similar to what I have speculated before, the Donald's created occurrence will be a war against Venezuela. Also, this will serve the American government's agenda on removing Venezuela's president Maduro hehe.

The rating for Maduro's removal is 47% by March 2026.

In my opinion, the likelihood of Maduro being removed from the presidency of Venezuela is no more than 30 percent.🙋

Why do I think so? Of course, Donald Trump is very keen to remove the current President of Venezuela. And of course, it's not because of drugs (not because drug cartels operate freely in Venezuela). Drug cartels operate freely in many Latin American countries, but the US government isn't the least bit concerned.🤷

In my opinion, the whole point is that Venezuela has huge oil reserves. The US is a direct geopolitical competitor to China and Russia. If the US government manages to gain control of Venezuela's vast oil reserves, it could be interpreted as a decisive victory in the geopolitical game.

So why do I think the likelihood of Maduro being removed from the presidency of Venezuela is no more than 30 percent? It's very simple! The Venezuelan government won't be intimidated by sanctions.  And to overthrow Maduro by force, a ground military operation is necessary (a single missile attack won't be enough). A ground military operation would mean hundreds of dead American soldiers. It would essentially be a repeat of the Vietnam War. Donald Trump won't agree to that. It would be political suicide.

[bbc.reporter]

@Smartprofit. It might presently become less than 30% because the American congress is presently trying to limit the Donald's campaign against the drug cartels in Venezuela.

Some of the people might be shaking their heads why Trump is using America's military power against drug cartels. This is because the American executive as formally approved the move to designate drug cartels as  terrorist organization which will give Trump the authority to use the military to attack them.

I speculate that he will also use this power to attack the Chinese cartels in Asia. I have heard that they are the kings of the methamphetamine hydrochloride business. They have the government officials of certain Asian countries under their payroll hehhehe.

[bbc.reporter]

It appears that after the Donald has controlled Venezuela, he has also begun to declare that military action on Iran will again be very much possible to protect the protestors in this country who appear to be winning.

In any case, after this, the Donald's next mission is for Greenland to become America's territory heheheeh. What is everyone's speculation on this? I reckon this 18% rating will increase until October and dump after this. I reckon getting Greenland will be very much more difficult than invading Venezuela.

[KTChampions]

It appears that after the Donald has controlled Venezuela, he has also begun to declare that military action on Iran will again be very much possible to protect the protestors in this country who appear to be winning.

In any case, after this, the Donald's next mission is for Greenland to become America's territory heheheeh. What is everyone's speculation on this? I reckon this 18% rating will increase until October and dump after this. I reckon getting Greenland will be very much more difficult than invading Venezuela.

The attacks on Greenland seem like a distraction from the fact that the US is waging another pro-Israeli war, even though voters were promised the exact opposite: an end to wars overseas and "America First." But this is a logical argument, and visually it begins to seem like Trump has turned into a senile fool who doesn't even understand what he's doing. And his entourage are sycophants and scum who will support anything. It's very difficult to make predictions under these circumstances.

[bbc.reporter]

@KTChampions. The Donald's roadmap for Greenland will not be similar to what America has done on Venezuela. I speculate that there will be negotiations for America to buy Greenland or a potion of this similar to how America has bought Alaska from the Russians.

Also, this is not a distraction. There are rare earth metals and other types of minerals and raw materials under the ice of Greenland that can help America to be lesser reliant on China and other countries.

[KTChampions]

@KTChampions. The Donald's roadmap for Greenland will not be similar to what America has done on Venezuela. I speculate that there will be negotiations for America to buy Greenland or a potion of this similar to how America has bought Alaska from the Russians.

Also, this is not a distraction. There are rare earth metals and other types of minerals and raw materials under the ice of Greenland that can help America to be lesser reliant on China and other countries.

The negotiations had already taken place and ended abruptly after Greenland and Denmark expressed their "No" to Trump and began threatening to get rid of American treasuries. Meanwhile, the United States is assembling a huge force to strike Iran. And it seems this crap doesn't even need to be justified to voters - the scammer is acting in the interests of a third country, openly breaking his own promises.
As for rare earth minerals, it makes no difference whether they are in Greenland or not - only China knows how to process them to the required purity.

[bbc.reporter]

@KTChampions. However, there certainly is a higher chance that America will try another negotiation than decide to attack a European territory.

On China being the only country that knows how to process rare earth metals? This is a headshaking statement from you because there are facilities in America and Asia that process rare earth metals.

Greenland is also rich in lithium. This is another important mineral used to create batteries. However, there is another country rich in lithium. This is Afghanistan. The Donald might invade this hehehehe.

[fruktik]

The Nobel Peace Prize should be awarded to an individual who promotes peace. I don't think Donald Trump deserves it because he started the war between Iran and Israel. So he wants to take credit for ending the war he contributed to start? He might reserve the right to win the award if he facilitates the end of the killings happening in Gaza. Representative Buddy Carter of Georgia was wrong to nominate Trump.

He's not looking at a bonus, but handcuffs and a life sentence. The same goes for his family. It's simply unbelievable how zealously they all abuse their high positions and brazenly commit crimes. They exceed their authority. Even some senators are shocked by such actions and decisions. But what about the reality? All this only increases irritation. Ugh, I feel like a huge mess is about to begin that will shake the entire country. We need to bet on the worst possible outcome. That's what I think.

[KTChampions]

@KTChampions. However, there certainly is a higher chance that America will try another negotiation than decide to attack a European territory.

On China being the only country that knows how to process rare earth metals? This is a headshaking statement from you because there are facilities in America and Asia that process rare earth metals.

Greenland is also rich in lithium. This is another important mineral used to create batteries. However, there is another country rich in lithium. This is Afghanistan. The Donald might invade this hehehehe.

Why do you think the US had to back down in the trade war it started? China has restricted the export of rare earth elements, and this has proven to be sufficient leverage to protect its interests. Without rare earth elements from China (of the required degree of purification), the United States is experiencing problems with weapons production, and global electronics manufacturers are experiencing problems with the production of their stuff. It's incredible but true, China is a leader in the production of many rare earth elements.

[bbc.reporter]

@KTChampions. I am not arguing that China is not the leader on the processing of rare earth materials, I am only telling you that they are not the only country that are processing rare earth materials. There is also a processing plant of rare earth in America located in California, there is another one in Malaysia and other countries in Asia and there will also soon be processing plants of rare earth materials in Australia and Canada.

In any case, much of the rare earth materials are mined in China, this might be why the Donald wants to have the control over Greenland because of the very high deposits of rare earth materials underground. This will also be a strategic location to put nuclear missiles pointed on China and Russia hehehheheeh.

[KTChampions]

@KTChampions. I am not arguing that China is not the leader on the processing of rare earth materials, I am only telling you that they are not the only country that are processing rare earth materials. There is also a processing plant of rare earth in America located in California, there is another one in Malaysia and other countries in Asia and there will also soon be processing plants of rare earth materials in Australia and Canada.

In any case, much of the rare earth materials are mined in China, this might be why the Donald wants to have the control over Greenland because of the very high deposits of rare earth materials underground. This will also be a strategic location to put nuclear missiles pointed on China and Russia hehehheheeh.

There may be real reasons for his interest in Greenland, but it is done in such a completely illogical and gangster-like manner that I seriously doubt it. In the end, even if you get a large chunk of ice, but scare off all your allies (and show your enemies your true face), you will strategically worsen your position, and not the opposite. Let's see what happens next, 99% of the time it's a war with Iran - another fulfillment of the promise to "end overseas wars" 

[Mindyspace]

@KTChampions. I am not arguing that China is not the leader on the processing of rare earth materials, I am only telling you that they are not the only country that are processing rare earth materials. There is also a processing plant of rare earth in America located in California, there is another one in Malaysia and other countries in Asia and there will also soon be processing plants of rare earth materials in Australia and Canada.

In any case, much of the rare earth materials are mined in China, this might be why the Donald wants to have the control over Greenland because of the very high deposits of rare earth materials underground. This will also be a strategic location to put nuclear missiles pointed on China and Russia hehehheheeh.

Yes, from what I've researched, China dominates the processing, but it's not the only one, you know? The United States, Malaysia, and other countries already do it, and Australia and Canada are getting in on the action.

Greenland carries more weight due to strategy and resources. This missile part is more of a game. Ultimately, the idea of the US, including Donald Trump, is to reduce dependence on China and contain its influence and that of Russia.

But in any case, will these new projects outside of China really be able to break this dominance in the medium term? I'd also like to know...

[bbc.reporter]

@KTChampions. I am not arguing that China is not the leader on the processing of rare earth materials, I am only telling you that they are not the only country that are processing rare earth materials. There is also a processing plant of rare earth in America located in California, there is another one in Malaysia and other countries in Asia and there will also soon be processing plants of rare earth materials in Australia and Canada.

In any case, much of the rare earth materials are mined in China, this might be why the Donald wants to have the control over Greenland because of the very high deposits of rare earth materials underground. This will also be a strategic location to put nuclear missiles pointed on China and Russia hehehheheeh.

There may be real reasons for his interest in Greenland, but it is done in such a completely illogical and gangster-like manner that I seriously doubt it. In the end, even if you get a large chunk of ice, but scare off all your allies (and show your enemies your true face), you will strategically worsen your position, and not the opposite. Let's see what happens next, 99% of the time it's a war with Iran - another fulfillment of the promise to "end overseas wars" 

I cannot disagree on your assessment on the Donald's tactics heheheh. However, yes, we can certainly witness that Greenland might become an important country to place under America's jurisdiction.

On Iran, this is very much clear that America will attack Iran if they cannot agree on their nuclear negotiations. America wants Iran to stop their uranium enrichment research and their missiles program. But I speculate that China and Russia does not want this to stop. This is certainly why Russia and China sent military ships on the Strait of Hormuz. This might stop the American military from attacking Iran, I reckon.

[Judith87403]

When the prediction markets odds are correct and Donald Trump ends up as TIME's 2024 person of the year, it would not be a big surprise in matters concerning impact. TIME usually picks the person with the biggest influence on the headlines, either for better or worse, and the comeback of Trump in the 2024 election was a huge news internationally. Already TIME had named him the person of the Year for 2024 after the election. What is worthy of note is that markets are not actual announcements, only bets on results, and TIME's real editors would make the call. Therefore it is funny to imagine the reaction, yet it is equally fitting with how the title has been historically used.