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Author Topic: Don't trust your intuition.  (Read 1903 times)
Weawant
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December 30, 2024, 12:29:24 PM
 #101


Until now I still use intuition to make bets, even when I'm stuck to make a choice, I finally let intuition work. However I do not forget some considerations, intuition works based on the results of the absorption of the five senses, which I see, read and hear so that in one conclusion determine the choice. Believe me you're placing your bets, intentionally or unintentionally, to make a choice.
Its not totally out of place to be dependent on you intuitions gambling or even doing other things in life, your intuition cannot be wrong all the time, actually it cannot be a bad idea all the times especially with gambling that comes with a lot of uncertainties all the time, its only when there's a pattern or probably a logic to getting something done to get the desired result that you may want to stick to that logic and get the desired results but for things such as this that comes with too many uncertainties and you have the option at your choice, its always best to be fluid and adopt any strategy and pattern that is productive as at the time.
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December 30, 2024, 12:45:41 PM
 #102

I know that many users do not have a gaming system, that is, an ordered set of game rules. Instead, they rely on intuition in gambling. It is believed that intuition or insider knowledge can help in difficult cases. However, in such cases, I usually cite the opinion of one old stock speculator who said that the markets are counter-intuitive, intuition does not work here, strict and reasonable rules work here. This was said about trading, but the reasonableness of this phrase is so great that it is quite applicable to gambling as well.
And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?
The sentence of success in gambling is also a very questioned thing, but for me personally if it is in the Slot Intuition Slot game most often used because games like this really make me confused when analyzed, except for bets such as poker and soccer I prefer to calculate it by trying to analyze it and not just like in a slot game that without even intake is the same.

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December 30, 2024, 12:57:12 PM
 #103


Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?

No I don't think so. Intuition is like what you think or have the momentory push or conviction to do something or act. So since it is by the heat of the moment, it may only be temporary and not permanent, therefore you can will some with intuition and lose some too. You won't rely on it for long because it is also gambling in the basis of luck.

Intuition will not be successful without proper research and analysis. You need to analyse your games and narrow your games down to few games before you can then use your intuition and guess the particular game to choose or game to decide on. You can't be successful with it by mere using of such mindset without analysis, only random selection doesn't work with gambling.

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December 30, 2024, 01:49:20 PM
Last edit: December 30, 2024, 02:01:42 PM by Dewi Aries
 #104

Intuition is a feeling or hunch without any clear reason, I understand that gambling is an activity that cannot be fully predicted which means it is true that we gamble by relying on intuition, but for the matter of the results it is still random, in the sense that you can indeed win but you are also very likely to experience defeat. So that means intuition is something that is indeed used as a basis for decisions especially when we play at online casinos without any skills but of course it does not guarantee victory at all, meaning it comes back to how lucky you are when playing, and also it means that it cannot be used as a benchmark that you will succeed in the long term, in the end it still depends on your own luck.
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December 30, 2024, 02:00:48 PM
 #105

I know that many users do not have a gaming system, that is, an ordered set of game rules. Instead, they rely on intuition in gambling. It is believed that intuition or insider knowledge can help in difficult cases. However, in such cases, I usually cite the opinion of one old stock speculator who said that the markets are counter-intuitive, intuition does not work here, strict and reasonable rules work here. This was said about trading, but the reasonableness of this phrase is so great that it is quite applicable to gambling as well.

And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?


But what sort of "gambling" are you talking about? Because with casino gambling, it's already a known fact that if you use either a "system" or your "intuition", you'll still definitely be a long term LOSER because the casino has a FIXED edge against you ALL OF THE TIME.

Your post about comparing gambling to trading is merely applicable to gambling games like BlackJack, Poker, and gambling in sports.

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December 30, 2024, 02:33:42 PM
 #106

And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?
The probability of intuition in gambling is 50:50 so you will not always consistently win every bet if you only rely on intuition.  In sports betting we can more freely analyse until we can find the point of advantage, so intuition will be used more when playing luck based games.

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December 30, 2024, 02:58:45 PM
 #107

Well, I rarely bet just on intuition, I must be grounded with the most recent information pertaining those clubs such as it's recent form, injury updates, H2H information e.t.c.
It does need to be done. especially if it is about sports betting where we can analyze and also consider several things when the match is held. Indeed, this still does not guarantee that the results will always be in accordance with our expectations, but at least, it minimizes the worst possibility. yes, at least even though the results are not in accordance with expectations, we have tried with our analysis. because sometimes, other factors also have an effect.

Intuition is a feeling or hunch without any clear reason, I understand that gambling is an activity that cannot be fully predicted which means it is true that we gamble by relying on intuition, but for the matter of the results it is still random, in the sense that you can indeed win but you are also very likely to experience defeat.
This may be more applicable to slots or luck-based games, or other types of games. And it could be that there are people who simply rely on intuition and luck in gambling, even though in reality, this cannot always be expected.

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December 30, 2024, 03:09:12 PM
 #108

And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?

Let's see, pure intuition, which would be acting simply because you have an inner thought that tells you to act that way but without a basis in real data I think it is wrong to act on it.

If I had to think of something similar to that there are some occasions when playing poker according to the data you would have to take a clear course of action, for example, you would have to fold vs. a rock player who raises you on the river but there are cases like that where you keep thinking and thinking because you see that there is something that does not fit, you call and you see that he had a bluff, so it would be a case of intuition that works. But you can only do that in specific cases, if you want to make money it has to be based on 99%+ of rational decisions based on how the player is, statistics and how the hand has been played.

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December 30, 2024, 03:27:40 PM
 #109

I know that many users do not have a gaming system, that is, an ordered set of game rules. Instead, they rely on intuition in gambling. It is believed that intuition or insider knowledge can help in difficult cases. However, in such cases, I usually cite the opinion of one old stock speculator who said that the markets are counter-intuitive, intuition does not work here, strict and reasonable rules work here. This was said about trading, but the reasonableness of this phrase is so great that it is quite applicable to gambling as well.
And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?
The sentence of success in gambling is also a very questioned thing, but for me personally if it is in the Slot Intuition Slot game most often used because games like this really make me confused when analyzed, except for bets such as poker and soccer I prefer to calculate it by trying to analyze it and not just like in a slot game that without even intake is the same.
For games that are purely chance and luck-based, and knowledge and skills have no effect on the outcome, then relying on intuition could be a helpful one. But if we are talking about sports betting or poker, following your intuition is a big no. That will only mislead you and resort into wrong decision-making. Instead, analyze the game well, the teams or players involved, and how does one team can gain an edge over the other. That way, you will have confidence on your choice of bet.

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December 30, 2024, 03:27:43 PM
 #110

Intuition is a feeling or hunch without any clear reason, I understand that gambling is an activity that cannot be fully predicted which means it is true that we gamble by relying on intuition, but for the matter of the results it is still random, in the sense that you can indeed win but you are also very likely to experience defeat. So that means intuition is something that is indeed used as a basis for decisions especially when we play at online casinos without any skills but of course it does not guarantee victory at all, meaning it comes back to how lucky you are when playing, and also it means that it cannot be used as a benchmark that you will succeed in the long term, in the end it still depends on your own luck.
OP was taking that advice from stonk/crypto markets, which work very differently to gambling. Markets are basically rigged against your intuition and you need to fight against your instincts (or intuition), because you are almost certainly selling when panic and buying when fomo. This is a common belief anyway, it's debatable if it's in any way accurate.

In gambling it doesn't matter if you listen to your instincts or not, games are not rigged against it. Outcome will be more or less the same.

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December 30, 2024, 06:29:36 PM
Merited by Julien_Olynpic (2)
 #111

Intuition is a feeling or hunch without any clear reason, I understand that gambling is an activity that cannot be fully predicted which means it is true that we gamble by relying on intuition, but for the matter of the results it is still random, in the sense that you can indeed win but you are also very likely to experience defeat. So that means intuition is something that is indeed used as a basis for decisions especially when we play at online casinos without any skills but of course it does not guarantee victory at all, meaning it comes back to how lucky you are when playing, and also it means that it cannot be used as a benchmark that you will succeed in the long term, in the end it still depends on your own luck.
OP was taking that advice from stonk/crypto markets, which work very differently to gambling. Markets are basically rigged against your intuition and you need to fight against your instincts (or intuition), because you are almost certainly selling when panic and buying when fomo. This is a common belief anyway, it's debatable if it's in any way accurate.

In gambling it doesn't matter if you listen to your instincts or not, games are not rigged against it. Outcome will be more or less the same.
I can suppose that intuition can work in some casino games, where the result is totally random. But in sport betting for example - we try to decrease random as much as possible. So add one more random factor like intuition don`t look a good idea in such case.
PS. I don`t believe in intuition in any way and in any situation. I think that sometimes your brain works automatically with your experience and gave an answer that you can name an intuition. But it is just experience and brain. No any random feelings.

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December 30, 2024, 10:10:33 PM
 #112

For me my intuition works mainly on casino games... It doesn't work everytime but it works most of the time but I don't think it's wise to always rely on intuition because there's always a high chance that you might be wrong... Like I always say skills over instincts, this is what makes you more better in gambling.. intuition and luck goes together you cannot always get lucky, this is the reason why I prefer sports betting because you can win based on research carried out more than instincts..The most important thing is to know what works for you and sticking to it.

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December 30, 2024, 10:15:55 PM
 #113

Maybe i will go by saying this, that we should not be too confident of our self, we have to make sure that we take time to cross check as well as listening on others concerning what we have to do, we may not always be on the right track, but while they are there around us to correct and advise, we may have the best opportunity in getting it right, also, we may not have to get it all wrong, because there are time we just have to go by our own personal conviction, but having a discerning spirit is what will led us to doing such and go for the right decision.

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January 15, 2025, 04:41:54 PM
 #114

what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?

I don't know what the rule but those intuition is keep me click that button for some no reason  Grin when I play game like dice mines and crash I just followed my gut blindly without any strategy because those game are pure luck in my opinion. So if you asked do you rely on it yes hahahha.

Can relying will lead you into long term success? No big now I mean the game that I played has lower win rate I believe so No I don't think its gonna give me a long term success

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January 15, 2025, 04:59:48 PM
 #115

what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?

Intuition role in gambling is giving the gambler the confidence on his bet.  Since gambling is mostly a luck-based game, there is no exact strategy to rely on but years of experience playing the game.  The gambler is somehow able to tell through his intuition (long-time experience) whether he is on a lucky streak or luck isn't on his side.

As a person who plays a luck-base game, I often rely on my intuition but obviously, since gambling results are random, it won't guarantee us long-term success in gambling.

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cabron
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January 15, 2025, 06:02:42 PM
 #116

what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?

Intuition role in gambling is giving the gambler the confidence on his bet.  Since gambling is mostly a luck-based game, there is no exact strategy to rely on but years of experience playing the game.  The gambler is somehow able to tell through his intuition (long-time experience) whether he is on a lucky streak or luck isn't on his side.

As a person who plays a luck-base game, I often rely on my intuition but obviously, since gambling results are random, it won't guarantee us long-term success in gambling.


However, if intuition is used in sports betting I think the gambler will do web research to validate the intuition, he may try to sk information by watching an analysis of several sports fans on which team they put their money and this intuition allows him to find a strategy to win.

If a person doesn't trust his intuition, I don't know who he would trust really. Not trusting your own intuition means he is distrusting himself.

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January 15, 2025, 08:25:49 PM
 #117

Intuition is a feeling or hunch without any clear reason, I understand that gambling is an activity that cannot be fully predicted which means it is true that we gamble by relying on intuition, but for the matter of the results it is still random, in the sense that you can indeed win but you are also very likely to experience defeat. So that means intuition is something that is indeed used as a basis for decisions especially when we play at online casinos without any skills but of course it does not guarantee victory at all, meaning it comes back to how lucky you are when playing, and also it means that it cannot be used as a benchmark that you will succeed in the long term, in the end it still depends on your own luck.

That's true mate, you know that even some times, when you are are quite uncertain about a bet before placing the bet, you can still luckily win but sometimes too you can take your time to make a prediction and be so confident about winning the bet only to be disappointed by the unexpected lose you will encounter. So, we can still be very much right in bets using our intuition.

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January 15, 2025, 08:31:05 PM
 #118

Some gamblers will blatantly tell you that they can't trust themselves when it comes to gambling, because they have tried it over time and couldn't meet up to not failing, that is why sometimes, we can't just rely only on our own capability when it comes to gambling, because things mostly happen the way we least expect, as gambling itself remains unpredictable, same were our actions in doing it, just as some already knew.

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January 16, 2025, 02:19:52 AM
 #119

what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?

Intuition role in gambling is giving the gambler the confidence on his bet.  Since gambling is mostly a luck-based game, there is no exact strategy to rely on but years of experience playing the game.  The gambler is somehow able to tell through his intuition (long-time experience) whether he is on a lucky streak or luck isn't on his side.

As a person who plays a luck-base game, I often rely on my intuition but obviously, since gambling results are random, it won't guarantee us long-term success in gambling.


However, if intuition is used in sports betting I think the gambler will do web research to validate the intuition, he may try to sk information by watching an analysis of several sports fans on which team they put their money and this intuition allows him to find a strategy to win.

If a person doesn't trust his intuition, I don't know who he would trust really. Not trusting your own intuition means he is distrusting himself.
Personally, I don’t think intuition is useless. Intuition has its uses, but it’s often not as useful as we think. First, I want to reiterate that all markets that are somewhat predictable are counterintuitive, even prediction markets, not just cryptocurrencies and stock markets. Sports betting is even more counterintuitive than the crypto market. Betting on intuition will make you lose money in the long run. Anything that has no rational basis will make you lose money in the long run (several years). The only time intuition can be useful is when choosing between two good alternatives, both of which are approved by the gaming system.

 
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January 16, 2025, 03:35:12 AM
 #120

Its not totally out of place to be dependent on you intuitions gambling or even doing other things in life, your intuition cannot be wrong all the time,
Some people have really bad intuition actually. Most likely because they like to overthink and overcomplicate things making the obvious one unnoticeable anymore. Your intuition can't always be wrong but it is impossible as well for it to be always right so trusting your intuition all the time with no basis to back it up will just be unwise.
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its only when there's a pattern or probably a logic to getting something done to get the desired result that you may want to stick to that logic and get the desired results but for things such as this that comes with too many uncertainties and you have the option at your choice, its always best to be fluid and adopt any strategy and pattern that is productive as at the time.
If your decisions and actions that have been influenced by intuition ended up being correct in the past then maybe you do have a good intuition and sometimes if it is too strong then maybe you can go for it. But like you said being fluid and being able to adapt to certain circumstances based on logic and intuition are the most important characteristics of someone. Take it into consideration but also reflect on every intuition and use reasoning. Sometimes it can just be false hope making you think it is intuition.

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