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Author Topic: Don't trust your intuition.  (Read 1903 times)
Natalim
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January 22, 2025, 08:30:45 AM
 #161

If we think that we trust and rely on our intuition, then there is no sense in using analysis and having knowledge in gambling. But we'd found out that we so much believe in using our knowledge and skill in the reason that we can make good analysis and bring us winning. In this situation, we already know what is important and what is the right approach. But above all, nothing has given us assurance. Luck is still what we need at all times, while knowledge, skills, analysis, intuition, etc. are just support.

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January 22, 2025, 08:58:57 AM
 #162

I don't think intuition can improve our luck, you are right to say intuition is more about feelings and maybe this is not much different from the instincts we have. If this intuition doesn't work in sports betting does that mean intuition works for slot gambling? I don't think it works well in slot gambling either, because slot gambling itself depends on luck with its victory, maybe there are those who do slot gambling carelessly but manage to win because luck is on their side at the right time.
In slot gambling or sports betting, I don't think there is any influence whatsoever on the intuition that is owned, with sports betting that can increase the chances of winning with skills, it basically depends on luck, so luck plays a bigger role than anything else. In addition, it is very unlikely that anyone can get a victory or profit by being able to survive in the long term, their victory only by relying on their intuition.
Most of the time it will really be that in connected when it comes to emotion on which on whatever your mind be telling you or with those inner voices or simply intuition will really be that trying out to alter your earlier analysis that you had made out or simply that opposite. Whenever you do have that intuition calls then it will really be giving out that kind of hindrance whether you do go with your earlier analysis or would be focusing on what your intuition calls you. This is why it will be that situational because not all people will really be having that same personality at the moment that they will be encountering things. There are ones who do mostly believe on their intuition just because they do have a good history or track about winning bets then they will be sticking into it. It will really be just that too impossible that you cant be able to determine on which one is really that good for you.You do have your own will on where you do find yourself having that advantage because each one of us does have that approach on the way we do make bets. If you do see yourself that profitable with intuition calls then thats good but if you do find out that it causes up too much loses then its automatically be considered to be ignored. So it will really be that situational into this aspect because not all will really be on the same situation or results into their intuition calls.
It makes more sense for those who believe in their intuition because they have experienced where they believed in their intuition and managed to get a big win so that it makes them believe in their intuition until in the end they believe in it more than the strategy or pattern that many people usually look for to get a win, and in my opinion it is better to believe in intuition than strategy or pattern because it seems like this intuition makes more sense than strategy.
How about yourself, do you believe in your own intuition, because I'm sure you yourself must have gambled so maybe you yourself occasionally believe in your own intuition.
Besides, I think there's nothing wrong with believing in intuition because it's like a choice from ourselves, but what is clear is that there should be no excessive behavior.
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January 22, 2025, 11:53:29 AM
 #163

I think that it is possible that such feeling, we call "intuition" is just a result of our brain work. It uses our experience, our knowledge and gives the result of processed information. And we think that it is just feeling.

I don`t use "intuition" in my betting, but i`ve sometimes got situation, when my research gave me one result, and something in me cried that it is mistake and i couldn`t understand what is it. I didn`t calculate how much time it was right cry, but sometimes it was right.
The problem, I think, is that people call "intuition" to very different things. For some, it is some kind of magical thinking, while for others it is what is also known as "system 1" or fast problem solving heuristics.

If we take the second definition, I always use intuition in my bets. The contrary, using system 2, would require from me a thorough analysis of every bet I place, which would make them, at least for me, terribly boring.

I set my limits on beforehand, but then I just flow between these limits, without much effort.
It seems that you`re right. Not so many people can choose logically thinking and prefer different "magic things".

About betting - i think it depends on character. I prefer to analyze events before betting. It is dull enough but gives higher profit than "intuition"


I don`t use "intuition" in my betting, but i`ve sometimes got situation, when my research gave me one result, and something in me cried that it is mistake and i couldn`t understand what is it. I didn`t calculate how much time it was right cry, but sometimes it was right.
There are times that our research are not enough. And it happens from time to time and we'll never see how it is going to be until the games are done and our bet results are out. That's why if someone bets with their intuition, that's probably their plan B. If the research and other tips don't work then all they have left is themselves to trust with the bets they are about to place. Even me, if I have no reasons anymore and everything has got to be stuck with losses, I'll find ways to do it even if it takes me to trust my own intuition.
I`d prefer to avoid such bets than choose "intuition" prediction. But you`re right that analyze wasn`t perfect. Later I found that i just hadn`t some information for analyze .

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January 22, 2025, 05:09:53 PM
 #164

If we think that we trust and rely on our intuition, then there is no sense in using analysis and having knowledge in gambling. But we'd found out that we so much believe in using our knowledge and skill in the reason that we can make good analysis and bring us winning. In this situation, we already know what is important and what is the right approach. But above all, nothing has given us assurance. Luck is still what we need at all times, while knowledge, skills, analysis, intuition, etc. are just support.

Yup that's right in the end victory still depends only on luck or I mean only luck can ensure that we will win, but yes I also can't say that intuition or knowledge and skills are completely useless because after all it has been proven as you said that both of those things can help increase the chances of winning but only occasionally or I mean can't guarantee victory at all, with this we already know that various things or methods are nothing more than tools and this is the reason why defeat is still always a part at the end of the game and indirectly this is also the reason why limitations and various other actions that lead to prevention are still something important to continue to apply.
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January 22, 2025, 05:31:03 PM
 #165


The problem, I think, is that people call "intuition" to very different things. For some, it is some kind of magical thinking, while for others it is what is also known as "system 1" or fast problem solving heuristics.

If we take the second definition, I always use intuition in my bets. The contrary, using system 2, would require from me a thorough analysis of every bet I place, which would make them, at least for me, terribly boring.

I set my limits on beforehand, but then I just flow between these limits, without much effort.
Thank you for clarifying the terms. However, I still do not fully understand the difference between "magical thinking" in this interpretation and "fast heuristics". Perhaps fast heuristics are more rational? I also think that this can be illustrated by the following example. Let's say you have some experience in sports betting. And based on your experience, you understand that when, say, a French team plays a German team, and when in the first half the German team wins with a margin of at least 1 goal, then in the next half the French team will win. This is just a conditional pattern, I do not know the statistics of the game of German teams with French. But you can focus on your internal statistics from experience and you can call this "fast heuristics".

You explained it very well: if you have lived many similar cases in the past, you may have assimilated patterns unconsciously, so you may internally "know" the most likely outcome. But as we're talking about games of chance, your intuition can be flawed.

Believing that this intuition is some kind of inspiration to the extent of believing that you are going to necessarily guess the correct result, and act accordingly, would fall into magical thinking.

It is funny to bet this way, but I understand why some of you prefer to use system 2 and rationally analyze as many data as possible trying to maximize the chances of victory.

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January 22, 2025, 05:40:51 PM
 #166


I have tried gambling with my intuition before and it is just like a mirage, something that looks real buy actually isn't Henderson I will never rely on my intuition in gambling. If I sample the number of bets I made using intuition,  it should be less than 30% success rate and that is a very poor result.

For what I know intuition works so well for people that believes and thus is why people have different perspective and opinions on certain matter's regarding life and I love the feeling of saying don't trust your intuition, cause it seems like not putting high hopes ok that particular bets or game your gambling whereas the chances of winning are purely based on lucks and if trusting your intuition could be more accurate then it's sure a jackpots but in most cases intuition would seem like some jerk that would have you regret over certain bets.

Intuition is not magical thinking. Intuition is an assessment of a situation based on previous experience, while the person himself does not perceive it as a process of his intellectual activity or a chain of logical reasoning.

Human thinking produces a chain of logical reasoning, but consciousness does not perceive this process. A beginner cannot have intuition, intuition implies extensive experience and extensive knowledge of the subject.

It seems to the human consciousness that this knowledge came from nowhere, but in fact, all of it is based on the person's previous experience.

Therefore, intuition really exists and is really useful in many situations, including gambling.

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January 22, 2025, 05:44:05 PM
 #167

Honestly, I’m my opinion I believe that the statement you cited may be more applicable to trading as I believe that gambling is totally on a different scale since no one has been able to come up with flawless strategy that ensures or guarantee profitability in gambling. It’s good to have good strategy because it can at least give you a sense of direction as a gambler every single time you’re faced with making certain gambling decisions, thereby contributes to keeping your gambling habits in check, avoiding excessive gambling as a result of attempting several methods, but this doesn’t in anyway guarantee a much better result than relying on one’s intuition when it comes to profitability in gambling. If luck is on your side, you’ll win, whether or not you rely on a strategy or your intuition, everyone needs luck in gambling, that’s just it.

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January 22, 2025, 05:58:49 PM
 #168

I listen to my intuition from time to time in gambling and investing. I can't say that it negatively affects the financial components. Sometimes it helps and sometimes it doesn't. An important note - you can listen to your intuition when you do not violate the basic rules of gambling: use only free money for gambling and limit the deposit. If you listen to intuition but violate these two rules, then you are definitely hoping only for luck.

Gambling by relying on intuition is a very natural thing, we never know about which choice is right and which choice is wrong especially when we are involved in a type of game based on luck and that is the reason why intuition is a natural thing to be used as a basis for decision making, the point is, like the last idea you conveyed that what must always be remembered is to limit the amount of the budget and make sure to only use the amount that is really able to be lost and besides that also limit your expectations of winning, I think it is a fact that gambling by relying on intuition is a very natural thing but what is not natural is when you believe too much and put too much hope in that intuition.

In general, I think that in any choice that is not predetermined we use intuition, i.e. almost every day we use it without even thinking about it. If we make a mistake, we just don't pay attention to it. If our choice leads to something good, then we say that our intuition did not fail us and we felt that it was necessary to do so without any scientific analysis. In my opinion, this is a kind of praise for the right choice, not some sixth sense.
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January 22, 2025, 11:37:21 PM
 #169


I have tried gambling with my intuition before and it is just like a mirage, something that looks real buy actually isn't Henderson I will never rely on my intuition in gambling. If I sample the number of bets I made using intuition,  it should be less than 30% success rate and that is a very poor result.

For what I know intuition works so well for people that believes and thus is why people have different perspective and opinions on certain matter's regarding life and I love the feeling of saying don't trust your intuition, cause it seems like not putting high hopes ok that particular bets or game your gambling whereas the chances of winning are purely based on lucks and if trusting your intuition could be more accurate then it's sure a jackpots but in most cases intuition would seem like some jerk that would have you regret over certain bets.
Because of the possibility of it working for others that is why we always say that we should make a generally concluded statement such as this one saying that we should not follow our intuition or feelings whereas gambling entirely doesn't follow a pattern and a gambler no matter the level of expertise will need to depend wholly on luck to be able to win, so for that depending on intuition can work for some people even if it doesn't work of r the majority of the rest gambler, so the message in this is that, in gambling, stick to what work's for you, if following your intuitions work for you, then keep it up and if it doesn't work for you, you have to discover which composition works for you at the end of the day.

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January 23, 2025, 01:51:57 AM
 #170

I know that many users do not have a gaming system, that is, an ordered set of game rules. Instead, they rely on intuition in gambling. It is believed that intuition or insider knowledge can help in difficult cases. However, in such cases, I usually cite the opinion of one old stock speculator who said that the markets are counter-intuitive, intuition does not work here, strict and reasonable rules work here. This was said about trading, but the reasonableness of this phrase is so great that it is quite applicable to gambling as well.
And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?

I like the old stock speculators point. Intuition and your gut feellings sometimes won't always take you to valhalla! You do need to look at what has worked in the past, what is iron clad, in this case the rules. What are the rules that would be applicable here? Well, I myself am actually curioius what set of rules is their bible with gambling and intuition. That would surely be intersting to read & maybe could help you if you followed it and learned the rules~!

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January 23, 2025, 02:10:09 AM
 #171


I have tried gambling with my intuition before and it is just like a mirage, something that looks real buy actually isn't Henderson I will never rely on my intuition in gambling. If I sample the number of bets I made using intuition,  it should be less than 30% success rate and that is a very poor result.

For what I know intuition works so well for people that believes and thus is why people have different perspective and opinions on certain matter's regarding life and I love the feeling of saying don't trust your intuition, cause it seems like not putting high hopes ok that particular bets or game your gambling whereas the chances of winning are purely based on lucks and if trusting your intuition could be more accurate then it's sure a jackpots but in most cases intuition would seem like some jerk that would have you regret over certain bets.
Because of the possibility of it working for others that is why we always say that we should make a generally concluded statement such as this one saying that we should not follow our intuition or feelings whereas gambling entirely doesn't follow a pattern and a gambler no matter the level of expertise will need to depend wholly on luck to be able to win, so for that depending on intuition can work for some people even if it doesn't work of r the majority of the rest gambler, so the message in this is that, in gambling, stick to what work's for you, if following your intuitions work for you, then keep it up and if it doesn't work for you, you have to discover which composition works for you at the end of the day.
You would realize for yourself on how it would really be ending up when it come to this kind of mindset on which if you are really that believing that you can make or do  the things on what others been that doing then you will soon be telling that it doesnt work that way and you will be ending up on facing up some issues at the moment or time that you do it yourself about intuition following when you do make out some bets or any sort of gambling or whatever that pertains about this matter. Whenever you do make out some decisions in regarding on testing it out for the sake of curiosity then it wont really be that a bad thing either. It is really just that there are those times or moments that we do become careless due that we are being blinded with our greed.

Betting or gambling doesnt really need up that much on such approach because everything is really just that for the sake of fun but on the moment or time that you are doing all sorts of things without minding up about applying some analysis specially on strategic based games  then it will really be that up to you. We might be that looking for fun but most of the time we will be mindful about on how to make money on which this will the reason on why you would be ending up on careless actions or decisions. Intuition could anytime kicked in at the moment that we do make out bets and thats why there's some hesitance in relation to this because on what you are really thar trying out to do.

R


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January 23, 2025, 02:56:48 AM
 #172

I know that many users do not have a gaming system, that is, an ordered set of game rules. Instead, they rely on intuition in gambling. It is believed that intuition or insider knowledge can help in difficult cases. However, in such cases, I usually cite the opinion of one old stock speculator who said that the markets are counter-intuitive, intuition does not work here, strict and reasonable rules work here. This was said about trading, but the reasonableness of this phrase is so great that it is quite applicable to gambling as well.
And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?

I like the old stock speculators point. Intuition and your gut feellings sometimes won't always take you to valhalla! You do need to look at what has worked in the past, what is iron clad, in this case the rules. What are the rules that would be applicable here? Well, I myself am actually curioius what set of rules is their bible with gambling and intuition. That would surely be intersting to read & maybe could help you if you followed it and learned the rules~!
These are the simplest boring rules that everyone knows, but which not everyone wants to follow when they are visited by excitement. For example, the rules of money management and risk management. One of the main rules of money management says: "Do not bet all your funds if you do not want to quickly lose a large amount." As a rule, we should bet no more than 10%, and often even less. Of course, any rules can be broken if you want to. But in this case, you most likely will not achieve your results in terms of profit. On the other hand, if you play for fun, then the only rule you should follow is the above-mentioned rule about limiting quick and large losses.

 
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January 23, 2025, 01:07:26 PM
 #173

I know that many users do not have a gaming system, that is, an ordered set of game rules. Instead, they rely on intuition in gambling. It is believed that intuition or insider knowledge can help in difficult cases. However, in such cases, I usually cite the opinion of one old stock speculator who said that the markets are counter-intuitive, intuition does not work here, strict and reasonable rules work here. This was said about trading, but the reasonableness of this phrase is so great that it is quite applicable to gambling as well.
And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?

I like the old stock speculators point. Intuition and your gut feellings sometimes won't always take you to valhalla! You do need to look at what has worked in the past, what is iron clad, in this case the rules. What are the rules that would be applicable here? Well, I myself am actually curioius what set of rules is their bible with gambling and intuition. That would surely be intersting to read & maybe could help you if you followed it and learned the rules~!
These are the simplest boring rules that everyone knows, but which not everyone wants to follow when they are visited by excitement. For example, the rules of money management and risk management. One of the main rules of money management says: "Do not bet all your funds if you do not want to quickly lose a large amount." As a rule, we should bet no more than 10%, and often even less. Of course, any rules can be broken if you want to. But in this case, you most likely will not achieve your results in terms of profit. On the other hand, if you play for fun, then the only rule you should follow is the above-mentioned rule about limiting quick and large losses.
So that will depend on each gambler rules because if they only want to have fun in gambling, they should limiting their funds and only playing gambling for not too long. But if we talk about intuition, we may lose our control in gambling because we follow our intuition that say we can gamble for one more time and then quit gambling. Some people can win because of their intuition but the other will not because that is not intuition but greediness that lead them to losing their money. We can not always count on our intuition in gambling because there is uncertainty outcome that we may get. So it is better we stick to our rule about limiting ourselves in gambling so we can avoids the big loss because we use gambling for have fun.
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January 23, 2025, 01:42:53 PM
 #174

I know that many users do not have a gaming system, that is, an ordered set of game rules. Instead, they rely on intuition in gambling. It is believed that intuition or insider knowledge can help in difficult cases. However, in such cases, I usually cite the opinion of one old stock speculator who said that the markets are counter-intuitive, intuition does not work here, strict and reasonable rules work here. This was said about trading, but the reasonableness of this phrase is so great that it is quite applicable to gambling as well.
And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?

I think that intuition works because it exists and is a compiled experience. The human brain is 30 percent active, but what is the other 70 for then? I think that they contain the subconscious responsible for intuition. So, intuition is responsible for quick unconscious decisions based on previous experiences and thoughts. And I think that when we sleep, our brain compiled information, translating it from active to subconscious, forming new opinions in intuition.

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January 23, 2025, 02:42:16 PM
 #175

[...]
And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?

Its hard to rely in gambling, yes its gives a good profit if you hit a jackpot but when you will get this win its seems they need to take a lot of games and spend a lot of money just to play gambling and if you tried to monitor it could just a small portion of the winnings to the total number of spends they have. IMHO we can just use the gambling for temporary or short term because its a casino always the house has the edge to win, only small portion of players with luck and skills gets the good return. In the long term at the end player who don't have control possibly lose the game.

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January 23, 2025, 07:40:49 PM
 #176

At the moment, I do not believe in intuition when it comes to gambling based solely on luck. Such games include, in particular, roulette.

In such games, I can only count on the mathematical theory of probability. This knowledge will not help me win, but at least it will save me from big losses.

As for sports betting, I am not so experienced in these games of chance to count on my intuition. Intuition is a consequence of great experience, and I do not have such great experience in sports betting.

I try to adequately assess my capabilities, deceiving yourself is the worst of all evils.

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January 23, 2025, 07:54:18 PM
 #177

I know that many users do not have a gaming system, that is, an ordered set of game rules. Instead, they rely on intuition in gambling. It is believed that intuition or insider knowledge can help in difficult cases. However, in such cases, I usually cite the opinion of one old stock speculator who said that the markets are counter-intuitive, intuition does not work here, strict and reasonable rules work here. This was said about trading, but the reasonableness of this phrase is so great that it is quite applicable to gambling as well.
And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?

I would be plain with myself and for me I think its everytime I do that because I don't bet regularly so whenever I get the feeling I just go with my intuition on the actual thoughts of how the game would play out and most of the time fear of loss do creep in which makes me most often to alter those first thoughts and change the predictions and most of the time my instincts are always right on the first thought.











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January 23, 2025, 10:26:05 PM
 #178

I know that many users do not have a gaming system, that is, an ordered set of game rules. Instead, they rely on intuition in gambling. It is believed that intuition or insider knowledge can help in difficult cases. However, in such cases, I usually cite the opinion of one old stock speculator who said that the markets are counter-intuitive, intuition does not work here, strict and reasonable rules work here. This was said about trading, but the reasonableness of this phrase is so great that it is quite applicable to gambling as well.
And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?

I would be plain with myself and for me I think its everytime I do that because I don't bet regularly so whenever I get the feeling I just go with my intuition on the actual thoughts of how the game would play out and most of the time fear of loss do creep in which makes me most often to alter those first thoughts and change the predictions and most of the time my instincts are always right on the first thought.
Think that's not a good way of gambling, gambling with the mindset that this might be correct is made through emotions and it can make one to lose more than he can afford t risk. Relying on intuition can't help you to know if you are developing on your prediction or not because you just make everything through your thoughts. However, I prefer to check analysis before making my own predictions through the informations I get from the analysis I checked cause with that it can help me to know if am making progress on game predictions.

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January 24, 2025, 05:13:28 AM
 #179

And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?
Each an everyone has their category or pattern of gambling and I believe intuition is one of them.  Most games I usually play is based on intuition and or instinct. Most times you just need your intuition to leed you than being too much mathematically calculative. Even as that, i still believe in the school of thought that say gambling win is by luck. There is no particular strategy that is believed to be the best when it comes to gambling.

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January 24, 2025, 07:46:43 AM
 #180

And what do you think - what is the role of intuition in gambling? How often do you rely on it? Can relying on intuition lead to long-term success in gambling?
Each an everyone has their category or pattern of gambling and I believe intuition is one of them.  Most games I usually play is based on intuition and or instinct. Most times you just need your intuition to leed you than being too much mathematically calculative. Even as that, i still believe in the school of thought that say gambling win is by luck. There is no particular strategy that is believed to be the best when it comes to gambling.
Yes, each one of us does have that kind of creating such strategy on which we are the ones who do make out such option on which we know that when it comes to different ways or methods on how you do make out such way as long you do make up profits but actually when dealing up with gambling or betting. Just like on what most people been saying that trusting up your intuition will really be that depending or basing on the winning rate because at the time or moment that you will be having this kind of approach whether you will really be making use of these intuitions or you will be that following into your analysis. Just like on what other people been saying that you are already that making up use of such thing on which its impossible that you wont be able to distinguish on which one is really that making profits to you. Gamble for fun and not for making money because not all the time you will be that lucky when making up bets and same goes with dealing up with casino games. Trusting up your intuition will really be that needing up your own consideration because on the time that you will be seeing whether this one is good or not. We do have different situation on this one.

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