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Question: Who will win this season's Super Bowl?  (Voting closed: January 18, 2025, 04:39:59 AM)
Lions - 2 (25%)
Chiefs - 4 (50%)
Ravens - 0 (0%)
Bills - 1 (12.5%)
Eagles - 0 (0%)
Vikings - 0 (0%)
Packers - 0 (0%)
Buccaneers - 1 (12.5%)
Chargers - 0 (0%)
Commanders - 0 (0%)
Rams - 0 (0%)
Broncos - 0 (0%)
Texans - 0 (0%)
Steelers - 0 (0%)
Total Voters: 8

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Author Topic: 🏈 Nutildah's NFL Playoff & Super Bowl Picks - 2025 🏈  (Read 670 times)
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January 25, 2025, 08:11:22 PM
 #41

With less than 48 hours to go, here are the spreads:

Washington (+6) vs. Philadelphia (-6), O/U = 47.5

To be played in Philadelphia. Meanwhile WAS leads PHI in almost every important stat: average pts, yards per play, 3rd and 4th down conversion %, lower # turnovers per game. I reckon this should be a closer matchup than the next game. I think the safe bet here is WAS to cover +6 (PHI will probably still win is my guess).

Buffalo (+2) vs. Kansas City (-2), O/U = 48.5

A home game for KC; such a tight spread suggests that Buffalo would be the favorite if it were a home game for them. Regardless, as we've previously discussed, no team comes close to have as much playoffs experience as KC. The duo of Mahomes + Andy Reid is unstoppable when it comes to finding ways to secure the V. My belief is KC will win and easily cover the spread.

I am not so sure on the Philly play. Yes Daniels is a tough QB and very dynamic in the run game, but they only have 1 really decent wide receiver and and I think Philly is the #1 defense. I see a Philly team covering the spread and going to the Superbowl.

I am also opposite of you in the Bills/Chiefs pick. Josh Allen and the Bills are gelling right now. They have everything they need to beat KC, they just gotta learn how to do it in the playoffs. Mahomes is 3-0 vs Bills in post season play, I feel like Bills win the Superbowl and stop the 3 peat. Isn't going to be easy, but they are good enough to get it done.

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January 25, 2025, 09:30:14 PM
 #42

With less than 48 hours to go, here are the spreads:

Washington (+6) vs. Philadelphia (-6), O/U = 47.5

I doubt that the Eagles will lose this in front of their crowd but indeed the -6 spread doesn't look easy at all. Betting on their win for over 47.5 without the spread looks a "safer" option for me.

Buffalo (+2) vs. Kansas City (-2), O/U = 48.5

Lower spread for a very crucial game. However, I'm positive that Kansas can handle it and overcome it. In this year's playoff, I'm supporting the Chiefs all the way, so this game can't be an exception. Cool
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January 26, 2025, 02:36:25 AM
 #43

With less than 48 hours to go, here are the spreads:

Washington (+6) vs. Philadelphia (-6), O/U = 47.5

To be played in Philadelphia. Meanwhile WAS leads PHI in almost every important stat: average pts, yards per play, 3rd and 4th down conversion %, lower # turnovers per game. I reckon this should be a closer matchup than the next game. I think the safe bet here is WAS to cover +6 (PHI will probably still win is my guess).

Buffalo (+2) vs. Kansas City (-2), O/U = 48.5

A home game for KC; such a tight spread suggests that Buffalo would be the favorite if it were a home game for them. Regardless, as we've previously discussed, no team comes close to have as much playoffs experience as KC. The duo of Mahomes + Andy Reid is unstoppable when it comes to finding ways to secure the V. My belief is KC will win and easily cover the spread.


I very much wish those statistics will be shown and occur in the game. Uncle Jim sometimes shares his updates during games and this game he might do this while he is watching it in the stadium heheheheh.

However, does everyone want the superbowl to be the Chiefs vs. the Eagles or the Bills vs. the Commanders? I created a trade on Polymarket that this will be the Bills vs. the Commanders hehehe. Should I sell this with a small profit if the Commanders will win or should I continue the trade and get 100% of the prize?

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January 26, 2025, 08:09:50 PM
 #44

Here we go, enjoy the games my friends!  I just added 4k "subscription" to my YouTube TV account, $10 a month but definitely worth it, even though it's not true 4k, still looks very nice.  Most shocking of all is that it was added right away, normally it takes about 20mns of logging in and out of my account to get it to work.  Anyways if you have the opp to add it, worth it imo.

Anyone else uncomfortable with Brady's announcing??  I mean he looks very odd announcing and like he's very uncomfortable himself.  He also seems to just be horrible at it lol.
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January 26, 2025, 08:17:59 PM
 #45

Here we go, enjoy the games my friends!  I just added 4k "subscription" to my YouTube TV account, $10 a month but definitely worth it, even though it's not true 4k, still looks very nice.  Most shocking of all is that it was added right away, normally it takes about 20mns of logging in and out of my account to get it to work.  Anyways if you have the opp to add it, worth it imo.

Anyone else uncomfortable with Brady's announcing??  I mean he looks very odd announcing and like he's very uncomfortable himself.  He also seems to just be horrible at it lol.
Brady has been horrible all year at announcing the game and I feel like he is trying too hard, but at least he is taking a shot I guess and earning those millions.

Commander with a big opening drive, converted quite a few 3rd and 4th down plays. Not sure why they decided for a FG finally as they weren't getting stopped, but this def doesn't look like Philly will be running away with the game.

With less than 48 hours to go, here are the spreads:

Washington (+6) vs. Philadelphia (-6), O/U = 47.5

To be played in Philadelphia. Meanwhile WAS leads PHI in almost every important stat: average pts, yards per play, 3rd and 4th down conversion %, lower # turnovers per game. I reckon this should be a closer matchup than the next game. I think the safe bet here is WAS to cover +6 (PHI will probably still win is my guess).

Buffalo (+2) vs. Kansas City (-2), O/U = 48.5

A home game for KC; such a tight spread suggests that Buffalo would be the favorite if it were a home game for them. Regardless, as we've previously discussed, no team comes close to have as much playoffs experience as KC. The duo of Mahomes + Andy Reid is unstoppable when it comes to finding ways to secure the V. My belief is KC will win and easily cover the spread.


I very much wish those statistics will be shown and occur in the game. Uncle Jim sometimes shares his updates during games and this game he might do this while he is watching it in the stadium heheheheh.

However, does everyone want the superbowl to be the Chiefs vs. the Eagles or the Bills vs. the Commanders? I created a trade on Polymarket that this will be the Bills vs. the Commanders hehehe. Should I sell this with a small profit if the Commanders will win or should I continue the trade and get 100% of the prize?
2 of the announcers think it will be Buffalo vs Washington, 1 chose Philly vs Buffalo, while the rest chose Philly vs KC prior to the game starting. I'm thinking Philly vs Buffalo myself.

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January 27, 2025, 12:23:45 AM
 #46

I'm thinking Philly vs Buffalo myself.

Well, this could still come true... Huge win by the Eagles... what a total score, blew away the over by more than 30 points. I did not see the Commanders defense doing so absolutely poorly here. We have a great matchup coming up right now. I'm still feeling more confident about the Chiefs to win than ever. Hope I didn't just put a jinx on them.

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January 27, 2025, 01:09:08 AM
 #47

Hope I didn't just put a jinx on them.

Nah, you don't!  The Chiefs are ahead and looking more than good than ever. As for the Eagles, they played as they expected to play. Great win for them and for all who bet on them. Cool
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January 27, 2025, 02:14:19 AM
 #48

Good lord what a game by Saquon Barkley and crew. That man is one hell of a running back, and the combo of him and AJ Brown is a lot for any team to handle.  I had the Eagles at -6. Happy to take a few shackles home from that win. I put a bit less on the Chiefs. I kinda figured we’d have a game like we are having right now, a closer one I could see going either way.

Had the chiefs at -1.5 I believe.
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January 27, 2025, 03:21:17 AM
Last edit: January 27, 2025, 04:44:32 AM by nutildah
 #49

What a game! Exciting till the end. Chiefs indeed found a way to pull in the W as expected. I thought they would cover more comfortably but they only won by 3, which was about 1 more point than the spread at game time. It all hinged on Mahomes' stellar stealth pass in traffic that nobody really saw coming, and that the announcers referred to as "one of Andy Reid's specially-designed plays".

I'm only going to count half of a win for my Eagles/Commanders pick, as the Eagles indeed won but blew out the Commanders way, waaay beyond the spread. So my record is now 7.5 - 4.5.

After the performance by Hurts and Barkley in today's first game, I'm gonna have to strongly rethink who is more likely to win the Super Bowl, our last and final stop. Will probably stick with the Chiefs but I could be talked out of it.

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January 27, 2025, 04:16:48 AM
 #50

Good lord what a game by Saquon Barkley and crew. That man is one hell of a running back, and the combo of him and AJ Brown is a lot for any team to handle.  I had the Eagles at -6. Happy to take a few shackles home from that win. I put a bit less on the Chiefs. I kinda figured we’d have a game like we are having right now, a closer one I could see going either way.

Had the chiefs at -1.5 I believe.


I reckon that after witnessing these 2 games, the Eagles might make uncle Jim very happy and he will spread his arms being an eagle. My bet will also be the Eagles without playing on the spread, however, I will not be shocked if Andy Reid and the Chiefs will become lucky again on certain circumstances. The referees are Andy Reid's friends hehehehe.


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January 27, 2025, 04:28:40 AM
 #51

That Chiefs game delivered like it was close to Superbowl level after the Bills almost held off the Chiefs in the second half.

I had the Chiefs to win and even though they were up by several points, I knew it wouldn't be that easy as the Bills still made it super sweaty until the end.

I'm just thankful the Bills went for those 2-point attempts and somehow failed all of them.  Grin

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January 27, 2025, 05:53:50 PM
 #52

That Chiefs game delivered like it was close to Superbowl level after the Bills almost held off the Chiefs in the second half.

I had the Chiefs to win and even though they were up by several points, I knew it wouldn't be that easy as the Bills still made it super sweaty until the end.

Chiefs win was a must for my bets, 3 good paid parlays and 3 singles. Now the only one left is to win the Superbowl and be the 1st team that makes a three-peat.
However, the Eagles are on fire, in every game they are better than they were in the previous one. So, I have serious doubts that Chiefs will get the job done, and if they do, it will be bigger than ever.
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January 28, 2025, 07:51:28 PM
 #53

At least according to ESPN right now, the spread has the KC Chiefs at -1.5 to win the Super Bowl.  This certainly gives me pause.  I mean I understand that Mahomes is the best Quarterback in the NFL, and that he's won what, 4 of the last 6 or 3 of the last 5 Super Bowls ( last one having lost to the Eagles, which makes this a really fun re-match).. but with Saquon Barkely and AJ brown both being SIGNIFICANTLY better than any weapons the Chiefs have, it's a really tough call!! 

I am not sure whom I'll select year


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January 29, 2025, 12:39:41 AM
 #54

What is everyone's prediction on who will be the MVP on the superbowl? I reckon this might depend on your prediction on which team will have the victory?

On Polymarket, there are 2 candidates that are leading this. These are Patrick Mahomes who has presently become very much annoying and super Saquon Barkley. Mahomes has a rating of 46% and super Saquon his rating is 27%.

https://polymarket.com/event/super-bowl-lix-mvp?tid=1738110911017

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January 29, 2025, 01:19:41 AM
 #55

I don't think that Kansas City has an answer for Saquon Barkley. The only thing the Chiefs can do is attempt to make the Eagles depend more on their passing game, stopping Barkley and Hurts from monster runs by putting more defenders near the line of scrimmage. As every other Super Bowl and playoff game, a lot of it is going to come down to poise. Which star players can remain clutch when the pressure is on? Mahomes has little to prove in this regard. Its going to come down to how well Hurts and Barkley perform under immense pressure.

What is everyone's prediction on who will be the MVP on the superbowl? I reckon this might depend on your prediction on which team will have the victory?

On Polymarket, there are 2 candidates that are leading this. These are Patrick Mahomes who has presently become very much annoying and super Saquon Barkley. Mahomes has a rating of 46% and super Saquon his rating is 27%.

Very much depends on who wins the game!

.
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January 29, 2025, 07:24:07 PM
 #56

At least according to ESPN right now, the spread has the KC Chiefs at -1.5 to win the Super Bowl.  This certainly gives me pause.  I mean I understand that Mahomes is the best Quarterback in the NFL, and that he's won what, 4 of the last 6 or 3 of the last 5 Super Bowls ( last one having lost to the Eagles, which makes this a really fun re-match).. but with Saquon Barkely and AJ brown both being SIGNIFICANTLY better than any weapons the Chiefs have, it's a really tough call!!

The difference that I see between them, is that Chiefs are a team and not only Mahomes. They can get an ace out of their sleeve, as they did in other matches. So yes, the Eagles are great contenders and have 2 exceptional players but Chiefs strategy will be the key. Turnovers as well... Wink

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If anyone forgets how it works, let me know!

To be honest, I don't have a clue about this and yes, I would like to know more. Smiley
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January 29, 2025, 07:48:25 PM
 #57

At least according to ESPN right now, the spread has the KC Chiefs at -1.5 to win the Super Bowl.  This certainly gives me pause.  I mean I understand that Mahomes is the best Quarterback in the NFL, and that he's won what, 4 of the last 6 or 3 of the last 5 Super Bowls ( last one having lost to the Eagles, which makes this a really fun re-match).. but with Saquon Barkely and AJ brown both being SIGNIFICANTLY better than any weapons the Chiefs have, it's a really tough call!!

The difference that I see between them, is that Chiefs are a team and not only Mahomes. They can get an ace out of their sleeve, as they did in other matches. So yes, the Eagles are great contenders and have 2 exceptional players but Chiefs strategy will be the key. Turnovers as well... Wink

FOOTBALL SQUARES
If anyone forgets how it works, let me know!

To be honest, I don't have a clue about this and yes, I would like to know more. Smiley

Well that's the thing.  IMHO the NFL quarterback is by far the most difficult position to field of all sports.  That's why it so hard to find good ones and why you find 40 year old's who've been little more than a starter for a year or two and end up spending the rest of their careers as back up (making damn good money at that too).  So Mahomes IS enough to make the difference.  It's a team game but I think you need to realize the QB is a lot more than just "1 piece of the puzzle".

Here is what Super Bowl squares is all about - I can remember if @nutildah did them last year ,but I know @huertistic did have a few...so either or can vouch how it's just easy fun.  Here's an explanation- https://www.rochesterfirst.com/sports/the-big-game/how-super-bowl-squares-work/
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January 30, 2025, 03:21:09 AM
 #58

I don't think that Kansas City has an answer for Saquon Barkley. The only thing the Chiefs can do is attempt to make the Eagles depend more on their passing game, stopping Barkley and Hurts from monster runs by putting more defenders near the line of scrimmage. As every other Super Bowl and playoff game, a lot of it is going to come down to poise. Which star players can remain clutch when the pressure is on? Mahomes has little to prove in this regard. Its going to come down to how well Hurts and Barkley perform under immense pressure.

What is everyone's prediction on who will be the MVP on the superbowl? I reckon this might depend on your prediction on which team will have the victory?

On Polymarket, there are 2 candidates that are leading this. These are Patrick Mahomes who has presently become very much annoying and super Saquon Barkley. Mahomes has a rating of 46% and super Saquon his rating is 27%.

Very much depends on who wins the game!

Have you made a decision on who will be your bet on the superbowl? Has someone convinced you to go with our favorite uncle Jim and his Eagles?

In any case, I am on the side of the Eagles. What is their traditional color on their gatorade showers? I am very much unfamiliar with this. On Polymarket the have a prediction market for guessing this heheheh.

https://polymarket.com/event/gatorade-shower-color-super-box-lix?tid=1738206987090

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January 30, 2025, 04:36:27 AM
 #59

I don't think that Kansas City has an answer for Saquon Barkley. The only thing the Chiefs can do is attempt to make the Eagles depend more on their passing game, stopping Barkley and Hurts from monster runs by putting more defenders near the line of scrimmage. As every other Super Bowl and playoff game, a lot of it is going to come down to poise. Which star players can remain clutch when the pressure is on? Mahomes has little to prove in this regard. Its going to come down to how well Hurts and Barkley perform under immense pressure.

What is everyone's prediction on who will be the MVP on the superbowl? I reckon this might depend on your prediction on which team will have the victory?

On Polymarket, there are 2 candidates that are leading this. These are Patrick Mahomes who has presently become very much annoying and super Saquon Barkley. Mahomes has a rating of 46% and super Saquon his rating is 27%.

Very much depends on who wins the game!

Have you made a decision on who will be your bet on the superbowl? Has someone convinced you to go with our favorite uncle Jim and his Eagles?

In any case, I am on the side of the Eagles. What is their traditional color on their gatorade showers? I am very much unfamiliar with this. On Polymarket the have a prediction market for guessing this heheheh.

https://polymarket.com/event/gatorade-shower-color-super-box-lix?tid=1738206987090
If I hadn't seen KC put up so many points last week vs the Bills I would bet the Eagles and their Defense was going to win the Superbowl, but now idk. The 3 peat could happen. KC looked great against Buffalo and the Eagles looked great against Washington. I think we are in for a great matchup for sure. I would probably lean slightly in favor of KC currently.

Looking at the results of the poll and looks like 4 chose KC to win it all and 0 chose the Eagles. Interesting.

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..PLAY NOW..
bias
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January 30, 2025, 06:23:24 PM
 #60

Well that's the thing.  IMHO the NFL quarterback is by far the most difficult position to field of all sports.  That's why it so hard to find good ones and why you find 40 year old's who've been little more than a starter for a year or two and end up spending the rest of their careers as back up (making damn good money at that too).  So Mahomes IS enough to make the difference.  It's a team game but I think you need to realize the QB is a lot more than just "1 piece of the puzzle".

Probably true however you need someone to catch the ball, protect you, etc... Grin
It's a team sport, so as in all team sports, the more good players you have beside you the better. Thankfully for Mahomes that isn't alone. Cool

Here is what Super Bowl squares is all about - I can remember if @nutildah did them last year ,but I know @huertistic did have a few...so either or can vouch how it's just easy fun.  Here's an explanation- https://www.rochesterfirst.com/sports/the-big-game/how-super-bowl-squares-work/

Thanks for that! Smiley
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